Twice the height of the Empire State - massive solar tower for AZ
gizmag.com
gizmag.com
First, the zero maintenance claim that is touted at least 3 times by the article seems suspicious. You can't really leave anything out in the desert sun and not have to maintain or replace it. Sun will disintegrate a lot of material, not to mention wind and sand. Anybody have any info or insight into what material they are using to create the "greenhouse"?
Additionally, the claim that "In fact, because you're creating a greenhouse underneath, it actually turns out to be remarkably good for growing vegetation under there." does not seem to jibe at all with the claimed temperatures ("add in the greenhouse effect and you've got a temperature under your collector somewhere around 80-90 degrees (176-194 F)"). I'm not sure I'm familiar with any vegetation that grows in near 200 degree temperatures.
Does anyone have any actual experience with this kind of tech?
http://maps.google.com/maps?q=Mojave,+CA&hl=en&ll=35...
The above link shows an aircraft storage facility in Mojave, California. There are a number of such facilities in the US, and many more worldwide. It was discovered some decades ago that you can leave a plane in the desert for years at a time, and when you come back to it there's very little maintenance that has to be done to make them airworthy again.
There was a story that I read a few months ago that I sadly can't find a link to at the moment. Some years back during one war or another, there was a plane that had engine problems. If I remember correctly, this was in northern Africa. The crew radioed that they were coming back to base, but they never made it. They were flying over a desert area.
A lot of years went by, and some prospectors working for an oil company were driving around the desert looking for places to drill and they came across the wreck of the plane.
The tail of the plane had broken off during the crash, but otherwise the plane was in excellent condition. There was still fuel in the tanks and the batteries were still charged. The oil guys were even able to turn on the lights and get the engines to turn over (might be wrong about that, but I think I remember that). If the tail hadn't broken, they likely could have been able to fly it out of there with not so much work.
So anyway, putting stuff in the desert isn't no maintenance, but it is low maintenance.
I do agree with your assessment about the greenhouse. Deserts are already pretty hot and plants don't grow well there. I don't think 2-3x the temp will be a big improvement.
In any case, desert is great for preserving stuff in terms of low humidity (ie things don't rot). Not so good for preserving stuff in terms of them getting sand blasted. Especially in AZ where winds routinely hit 100mph+ during gusts and 60mph during windstorms. Not to mention the haboobs.
Also, the prototype of this tower in Spain figured out that the plastics they were using were "not durable enough". I would imagine that means they disintegrated? I'm wondering what they're planning on building this thing out of.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_updraft_tower#First_Proto...
> I'm pretty sure that was part of the plot
> from The Mummy? :)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_Be_Good_(aircraft)I'm the guy who submitted that story ;)
It was in Libya during WWII that it happened:
I'd be quite curious what the actual maintenance costs will be. Still, no feedstock into the process means that you'd have to have pretty serious component failure to bring the running costs up to oil plants presumably.
What i'd also be interested in hearing is whether there's a drop in efficiency if particulate matter increases, and if so, what kind of curve fits the inefficiency
The plant will be limited by how much heat can be put into the air inside the 'greenhouse' and overall it will be interesting to see how the feed in replacement cool air without creating dust storms and sucking up birds and what not. I don't suppose someone with Mathematica can build up the spreadsheet using the perfect gas law and the air convection to see if their claims are close. 200MW is 200 sq kilometers of surface area at a nominal solar insolation of 1KW/meter but with an efficency of 10 - 15% and an actual insolation in AZ nearer 800W/m2 that is 1.6M sq kilometers of surface area for 15% conversion rate.
I'm wondering if they have the math they did posted somewhere.
200MW at 10% efficiency and 800W/m insolation is 2.5 km^2 (I believe their claimed efficiency is considerably lower than that, though).
Now whether that's still a wildly optimistic claim is up for grabs.
The Arizona tower will be a staggering 800 metres or so tall - just 30 meters
shorter than the colossal Burj Khalifa in Dubai, the world's tallest
man-made structure.
Is there any reason why this can't be constructed to be 831 meters tall to edge out the Burj Dubai?Honestly though, why compete just to show off? There its making money as the tallest structure, here it will be completely isolated, nobody comes here, whoopteedoo.
Here it is also all about cost-benefit. There will be no tourism.
I'd want to see it if I am in Arizona! But I don't care if it is tallest structure in the world, I'm in it for the power engineering.
Seriously, why would you build the tower higher than needed, only to "edge out" some empty building in the Arabian desert? Aren't there... sorry "ain't there" more important things?
Sad that something like this couldn't get a dime from the Australian government while the US "welcomed them with open arms" (and, presumably, truckloads of cash).
Also - we have lots of coal.
First, let's get the terminology right. This plant has a capacity of 200 MW. That does not mean that it produces 200 MWh. The formula for converting MW into (annual) MWh is the following:
MWh = MWx365x24xCF
In the above formula, CF is the capacity factor. Capacity factor is basically the amount of energy that a plant is actually able to produce over the course of a year divided by the total capacity of the plant. Here are some common capacity factors for various industries (taken from a private document, so no sources but this stuff is easy enough to google):
* Coal - 65-95%
* Natural Gas - 35-65%
* Hydro - 25-65%
* Solar - 20-35%
* Wind - 20-35%
* Nuclear - 80%+
Capacity factors are never 100% for various reasons:
* Plants may need to be taken offline for refueling, maintenance, or inspection
* For renewables, the wind isn't always going at full speed and the sun isn't always shining
* A whole bunch of other things that I am too tired to list (read the references below, they have some more in them)
Now, let's look at this new project, and one of the claims made in this article.
According to the article, this plant will be able to provide power for 150,000 homes. According to the EIA, the average household annual energy usage is 10,896 KWh. Given this information and using a more generous solar capacity factor (35%):
Number of Homes Powered = (200x365x24x.35) / 10.896 = 56,278 homes
Hmm, well that's just a bit less than what the article claimed, so they must be assuming a really amazing capacity factor for this estimate. Let's solve the below for cf and see what we get....
(200x365x24xcf)/10.896=150000
cf = approx. 93%
Look, I'm all for scientific advancement and alternative energy, but can we try to be more sensible than this? This is a highly improbable capacity factor.
Documents available from Enviro Mission says that the simulated capacity factor will be more like 50%. When we plug that number into the equation we get about 80,397 homes, which is pretty sensible. However, we have to remember that these are only simulated numbers. There are no similar projects currently available that can be compared to this one, so the actual capacity factor may be either more or less.
Note: Please keep in mind that efficiency is a totally different concept from capacity factor. Efficiency is typically used to describe how well a plant transfers from its energy source into electricity^. The capacity of a plant is a number that already incorporates the plant's efficiency. The capacity factor is simply a measure of how much of that capacity is actually used on an annual basis on average.
^ I am not an electrical engineer. I am an economist, that is the best definition I can come up with.
Disclaimer: I am incredibly tired right now, so if any errors appear in the above posting please send me some coffee so that I can correct them before falling asleep.
References:
+ http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=97&t=3
+ http://www.solarpaces.org/CSP_Technology/docs/solar_tower.pd...
+ http://www.enviromission.com.au/IRM/Company/ShowPage.aspx?CP...
Edit: Formatting was all messed up the first time. Forgot to include some additional information. Added clarification on efficiency.
"for every hundred metres you go up from the surface, the ambient temperature drops by about 1 degree. The greater the temperature differential, the harder the tower sucks up that hot air at the bottom - and the more energy you can generate through the turbines... Because the heat of the day warms the ground up so much, it continues working at night;"
As for how the difference in temperature between the surface and 100s of meters in the air changes throughout the day/night, I don't know.
So according to your equation, at 80% capacity, it could cover 128k homes. At 93.3% capacity it'd reach 150k.
I don't believe that is the case for two hand-waving reasons. The desert in northern New Mexico (where I lived) gets a thermal inversions. You can see that smoke from morning fires rises, hits the inversion layer, and goes horizontal. I believe this is common in deserts, at least those with mountains. From http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/abq/LocalStudies/ABQthermalinv... there's an 5.8C difference for shallow (~155m thick) inversions, which occurs throughout the year, and there were "130 inversion cases" in that year. Thus, the "1 degree per 100 meters" rule of thumb only applies during the day. A power system would have to work against the inversion.
Second, power extraction is more efficient with higher differentials. It would, I believe, be better to extract more power during the day (when the difference is high and demand for cooling is also high) than to store it for energy production at night.
The previous comment proposed the "capacity to be much nearer to 100% than the opposite." I just don't see that as being likely.
Also, where from NM are you? I'm from ABQ and Farmington.
Yeah, ABQ's in the valley so it's probably more prone to thermal inversions. I get the idea (eg, from http://www.arizonensis.org/news/sonorandesertedition/news03_... "PHOENIX, Az. ... The perfume is most noticeable after dark when temperature inversions trap it close to the ground.") that mountains aren't required, and that it's a common feature of deserts, but I wasn't able to track down numbers.
I was in Santa Fe for 8 years. I come back about once a year for my green chile fix. ;)
- "Because it works on temperature differential, not absolute temperature, it works in any weather"
- "Because the heat of the day warms the ground up so much, it continues working at night"
- "It requires virtually no maintenance - apart from a bit of turbine servicing now and then, the tower "just works" once it's going, and lasts as long as its structure stays standing"
If these claims are true, then it would make sense for this plant to have a much higher capacity factor than most solar plants given that the major factors lowering CF is mitigated in this design (works at night and no shutdown for maintenance). Maybe I'm stuck in CS land where we think by factors of 10 but the numbers in this article doesn't seem too far off the beaten path.
Whether they can actually average 120MW in operation, I don't know.
Greenhouse gets hot, creates a pressure difference between inside the greenhouse and outside of the tower at the top, air flows up through turbines. It is very simple.
There are very few moving parts and it is always going to be colder at the top of the tower than at the bottom.
Note that it isn't pure desert floor, but a man made structure that will purposefully trap heat. Imagine how hot it would get if you sat in your car with the windows rolled up in the middle of the desert. Then think about how cold it would be at 2x the height of the empire state building.
It will be colder just because of the air pressure at that altitude. Even so, the ground cools at a much different rate than air does, so I'm sure night time generation is bolstered somewhat by that.
It will have a very high capacity factor because the only thing that you should ever have to 'fix' is the turbine, which should last quite a long time.
It seems likely that cf will be much higher than even that of nuclear.
They're saying, 100k, not the 150 from the article. That seems more realistic.
From the Phoenix Business Journal: " . . . air is funneled up the tower at 35 mph past 32 wind turbines at its base . . . " http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/print-edition/2010/10/29/... That's a pretty impressive air velocity.
Think of it as: MWh/year = MWh/h x 365 x 24 x CF
However ...
I haven't been able to find out what the upflow airspeed will be. If it's large enough one could wear a winged suit and freefall in the funnel. That would be awesome.
Meteorological theory suggests that you would definitely get this if the airflow was not contained by the turbines, and cloud formation with the release of condensation heat would cause even more cloud formation which would basically result in a giant, permanent thundercloud above the power plant. This would obviously decrease insolation a lot.
Anyone in here who has done any theory on these kinds of projects? I'm just guessing based on my knowledge of gliding that a considerable amount of the energy collected from this power plant actually comes from the temperature differential between not just the solar energy collected directly underneath the tower. It isn't just the fact that hot air rises. Due to decreasing pressure, the air temperature of a mass of air decreases approximately one degree per hundred meters of altitude gained. But if the atmospheric temperature distribution due to meteorological conditions is such that the actual temperature in the atmosphere drops _more_ than one degree per hundred meters of altitude, you have an untapped energy source; any air mass set in motion upwards will actually accelerate instead of slowing down.
That we are making large-scale technology to exploit this is so ridiculously cool I have problems expressing it.
For one, maintenance will _not_ be low. Wind turbines (and nothing else is used here) do have quite some maintenance costs, and additionally, you need to keep the greenhouse clean.
The main problem I see is the capacity. 200 MW peak capacity at 60% efficiency translates to 120 MW peak electric energy. If we assume 50% capacity factor (which I suspect is _very_ generous), we arrive at 60 MWe average output. You would need 15 of these to substitute for a single 1 GW nuclear plant.
Big toy.
'200 MW peak capacity at 60% efficiency translates to 120 MW peak electric energy'. This sentence makes no sense. They are building a 200MW plant. That is the amount of electricity it will put out at peak.
You made up the number for 50% capacity figure just then didn't you? You did. I just saw you. So your final figure is wrong.
http://www.enviromission.com.au/IRM/Company/ShowPage.aspx?CP...
Makes sense, since half of the time it's night...
My reason for assuming that the "200" is not the electrical net output is that they write "MW", not "MWe". I have become quite cynical about the numbers on nameplates; they simply stick the biggest number on the thing that somehow appears in the calculation. Maybe I am wrong, and that is actually the peak electrical output.
However, that peak is only reached at noon in june. So, perhaps the actual yearly average output is 80 MW. Perhaps it is even 100 MW. It is still a big toy, and an expensive one at that.
150,000 US Homes
Is that a lot? I hate to (continue to) be a cynic, but it doesn't sound like a lot.
Now, the EIA says there are about 5700 power plants currently operating in the US [2]. Continuing with the back of the envelope math, that's almost 8 times as many as would be necessary if they all produced as much as this one. Pick whatever factor you want for "non-home" energy, but we're dealing with the right order of magnitude.
Combine that with the clean energy aspect of it, and I don't see a lot of reason to be cynical.
[1] http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/ahs/ahsfaq.html [2] http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=65&t=2
Wikipedia [1] says that the energy consumption of the US is 25,000 TWh per annum. Looking at the top rated comment and picking instead a CF between the two (I used 0.6); we're looking at this tower producing in the region of 1TWh.
So you'd actually need about 25,000 of these towers to provide for the energy requirements of the US. Ouch.
Edit: obviously, this is for the complete replacement of all existing energy use with clean renewable electricity. The gross US electricity production is given [2] as 4344 TWh (2008).
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_the_United_States [2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_of_the_Unite...
Clearly back of the envelope numbers, but definitely something to be excited about.
Besides, the thermodynamic efficiency isn't particularly relevant for technologies like this anyway - you're not paying for the input, after all. The efficiencies you care about here are watt/area, energy payback time and, ultimately, $/watt.
And there will be transmission line outages some times too.
60% has nothing to do with the efficiency of the transfer of energy.
He says in the video coal plants run 80% plant factor, nuclear plants would be even higher, probably putting out over 90% of their rated power.
Surprising - when I lived in Houston you needed AC running 24x7 for 6months of the year and all the other appliances where electric.
I assume, being in the desert, Arizona is cooler at night and they use propane/oil heating in the winter?
From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_updraft_tower
A 200 MW power plant with the same 1000-metre-high tower would need a collector 7 kilometres in diameter (total area of about 38 km²). The 38 km² collecting area is expected to extract about 0.5 percent, or 5 W/m² of 1 kW/m², of the solar power that falls upon it. Note that in comparison, concentrating thermal (CSP) or photovoltaic (CPV) solar power plants have an efficiency ranging between 20% to 31.25%
38 square kilometers, these things don't make sense if you don't use the greenhouse for something. Hopefully the wiki is outdated and they have a higher efficiency.
Land use efficiency is a concern now for the environment. If renewable technologies have to cover up 60,000+ square miles of land not inhabited by humans, then coal and nuclear are the environmentally friendlier options.
Personally, I think a thorium nuclear power plant in an isolated desert is a much more environmentally preferable approach than most renewable power sources.
There was some solar thermal project in California that ran into a lot of problems trying to use the desert land. Old power companies are paying environmental groups to protest those sprawling projects. Divide and conquer those hippies!
High altitude wind is the best source of renewable energy. It's concentrated and takes up airspace instead of land. They're taking their time though.
- The base of the tower covers a huge piece of land, which is now home to various desert creatures. Changing their habitat is unacceptable from the environmental protectionists' viewpoint. The precious creatures (probably some endangered species too) would probably die.
- Visual pollution. Nobody wants to have ugly structures in his backyard, let alone a half-a-mile-high tower which will be visible from a huge area. It detonates with the natural desert views of Arizona.
Because of these two reasons, this solar tower project will face years of litigation from environmental pressure groups, and in the end the project will probably stall.
[1] http://www.enviromission.com.au/EVM/Company/ShowPage.aspx/PD...
My wife and I live in Arizona (in the mountains) and we are having solar panels installed on our roof in 2 weeks that will furnish 100% or more of our electricity needs for about 10 months a year (and we will often make a little money back selling back power to our utility company) and cover about 50% of our needs the two months a year that we run our air conditioning.
A few friends have been critical of our decision for monetary reasons, and they may be right, but it is something we wanted to do. Also, if prices for energy, food, etc. increase dramatically, then we will break even on costs sooner rather than the anticipated 6 or 7 year time frame.
for comparison, hydro electric costs about $2 million per megawatt so a 200MW hydro plant would be $400 million, but with associated environmental concerns.
I'm extremely interested in the aftermath of all this. The building itself is clever and all, but what will the ecological impact be? Wind farms kill birds and bats and there's evidence the sound drives many more off, concentrated solar has a nasty habit of significantly heating the air around the plant and hydro-dams are enormously destructive no matter how you look at it. What's a 1/2-mile-tall heat pump going to do?
I suppose you'd need a mountain in the desert as well.
And longer, yes, but not in need of vertical support.
Is there any reason why this can't be built as an underground structure? If it's working on temperature differentials, shouldn't you be able to achieve a more constant capacity by plugging it into earth where temperatures change less?
Edit: I previously had written mirrors. The concept art looked misleadingly shiny.
Now if the base is used area is used for growing plants then the air emitted at the top would be moist, which I imagine would cause cloud formation as it meets the cold air.
I'd expect the temperature ranges to change at different distances frmo the centre. It may be that you could do agriculture at some points underneath.
On the other hand, it's likely that for best efficiency they'll need to create as much momentum as possible from the device.
But - the venturi effect will be significant underneath and they might need to shape the land in sections under the rings. Is it possible you could hide crops within glass casings that improve that effect?
Will water vapour collect at any point in particular?
I'm considering a science fiction plot based around people who live in housing built around energy towers like this.
When this is built, I'd be interested to do a roadtrip to see it.
I think it's sad that there are so many people doing back of the envelope calculations and wasting time typing them into Hacker News. There are 100s of millions of dollars involved people. Someone qualified will check the figures. And really it's not rocket science.
I think it's sad that you think that. One of the fundamental qualities of science is that it can be independently verified, and one of the fundamental qualities of hackers is that they don't typically trust "someone qualified" with "100s of millions of dollars" to do the verification when they can get a rough idea themselves. Hackers aren't here to let the "qualified" people just do their thing. We're here to learn, inspect, disassemble, discover, and most importantly, to create.
So I'll change my words to say: I think it's sad that there are so many educated and capable people doing back of the envelope calculations on Hacker News. Half of us are capable of hunting down the original papers on solar towers and running the numbers through the proper calculations.
Also why are we just typing out the equations using text. It's the 21st century! We need a better way to discuss technical matters.
I think it is fair to say that while of course one should do the things you mentioned, one also would be wise to trust slightly more the "qulified" person, unless of course they want to go full blow on the matter and engage in thorough deep analysis.
Or did the article headline really mean the empire state BUILDING? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Empire_State_Building
"To put that in context - it will stand more than double the height of the Empire State building in New York City"
Be civil. Don't say things you wouldn't say in a face to face conversation.