Large cars kill US pedestrians, don't make drivers safer
twitter.com
twitter.com
Regulators badly need to reign the car makers in.
Electric cars are something we must do to halt climate change, but we need to recognize it's an example of doing the same broken thing, just better.
At the end of the day we will have a more green version of what we have now, carrying over all the existing flaws of automobile oriented infrastructure (ie. pedestrian deaths, traffic).
In the context of a conversation of how trucks are getting bigger and bigger, it's worth noting that the size gains are having implications on traffic too!
The point being though that electric cars will be just as space inefficient as ICE cars. If we want to move more people, more efficiently and avoid traffic jams and new highway construction, we'll have to opt for different solutions.
It used to be people bought trucks because they were the tool they needed but they are a status symbol now. For gods sake can we please go back to small sporty BMW status symbol?
There is no shortage of small trucks internationally. If you want smaller trucks, you seek deregulation (removal of fuel efficiency standards and the chicken tax).
This is a false equivalency.
This is a false statement. Unless you are oblivious to the current regulations, and the fact that one must remove (deregulate) CAFE as it stands before small trucks are economically feasible.
The CAFE regulations specify a target fuel economy based on the "footprint" of a truck [1], which is the wheelbase times the width between the tires. Trucks with larger footprints have less stringent fuel economy requirements. Unfortunately, the formula they use to determine this makes compact trucks practically impossible. A truly compact truck like a 90s Ford Ranger or Chevy S10 is supposed to achieve 44 MPG, while a full sized truck only needs to get 27.
The irony is that many people would prefer to buy a smaller, easier to park, less expensive, safer, and more fuel efficient truck, but these regulations make them unavailable.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_average_fuel_economy...
The big 3 and Toyota all used to make compact pickup trucks. Ford has the new compact Maverick coming out next year, but even that is still 6 inches wider, 4 inches taller, and 23 inches longer than the Ranger of 30 years ago. If you look at today's Ranger, it's 11 inches wider, 7 inches taller, and 35 inches longer than the Ranger of 1991.
Most of the weight shedding after 1975 happened in the 1980s in the immediate wake of peak oil prices. [2] Vehicle weight is just now catching up to what it was just before the ~1980 oil crisis, and current gains are far offset by fuel economy and horsepower ( there is a relationship between power, weight, and acceleration/speed available to the vehicle).
The extra 4% in outlay could very well be explained by a combination of consumer and regulatory demands for safety (all else equal, it is easier to engineer something bigger with cushion room to be safer than it is something smaller).
Ultimately it is difficult to explain away the lack of small trucks and smaller cars without accounting for the large play of regulation (safety testing, poorly constructed CAFE standards, and tariffs).
One can readily see from operators of the 125cc motorcycles like honda Grom, illegal street operators of ATV/dirtbikes, and mopeds that there is considerable demand for minimal footprint transportation. Tiny cars like the Suzuki Alto are in demand in other less regulated markets.
Our criticism should not be the presence of large SUVs and cars, who have legitimate use for large families who live off of dirt roads and those with a low risk tolerance that demands monster sized cars full of safety features and crumple zones. Rather our criticism should be aimed at questioning why the guy riding his ATV down the residential street is a criminal while the well to do person riding newly constructed 4,500 lb Tesla full of toxic metals recharged by the local coal plant is not.
[1] https://www.epa.gov/automotive-trends/highlights-automotive-...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980s_oil_glut#/media/File:Nom...
That being said,
* better to see the child and not hit them
* people should get training in how to drive trucks. They are not cars. Requiring a special license will make the lazier ones think twice at least
Do you have any studies that back up that claim?
Which is why they’re now patching it with front cameras. I saw a video from inside the cab of a big pickup truck (like an F250), where they’re at a stoplight and there’s a Corvette in front of them that can’t be seen from the driver’s seat, so they only see it on the dashboard screen.
How many a large car is turning, say right (via a dedicated lane), but 10-20% of the vehicle is still in the other lane? Hundred times every week probably... This is just driving me crazy because they are not a bus or a very large delivery truck! They are just an Audi, Volvo, BMW, Mercedes, etc ...
Think of it like being an expensive way to have both a Honda CRV and a Dodge Challenger while only using up one parking spot.
And anecdotally, everyone I know who drives a sports version of an SUV also owns a sports car of the variety you're describing. You see lots of people hauling their GT3s to track days in those sorts of SUVs.
Nine times out of ten when I see an AMG g wagon on the road they are doing something dangerous with a phone in one hand. Usually just ripping the throttle to get to 50mph from a stop as fast as possible, then that's their baseline speed for driving around any and all residential roads in my city where the speed limit might be half that.
Believe me, I see these fast cars zipping on and off freeways and roads all day in my city, and they absolutely do not make the situation any more safe for anyone at all. They just create more chaos and uncertainty accelerating and decelerating so fast and jerking around the car so much, and a lot more noise on the street since even classy cars like Mercedes Benzes have this obnoxious throaty exhaust now as it seems, at least for the fast models.
And sure, technically you can take all the time you want doing the left turn even when the light turned red, it will be of a little consolation when a distracted driver t-bones you.
As far as suspension and brakes go - there is no constant need of course but in the extreme situations it can be life and death. Stuff can happen: animals jumping in front of you, stuff falling from trucks, your tires cut or blowing out for whatever reason, other cars not driving legally and safely etc. etc.
Also, I believe you, you notice bad drivers in expensive cars and have the class hatred for them. So do I, when I see stoners in the beater civics driving like maniacs, yet I figure that it's not the Honda problem, somehow.
I am preparing arguments for stronger regulation around vehicle size/weight. Focused on non-commercial usage.
Email in profile.
The road to hell is legislated with good intentions.
"Oops we created this bad side effect, let's narrow things down further" in the same way that we'd patch a security hole introduced by a new product feature.
Saying "the answer is to just stop trying to prevent bad things" is nonsensical on the face of it. The problems that caused people to care enough to want regulation didn't just magically go away!
Why don't we see this in europe, or japan, or any other first world urban area where you see a proliferation of tiny trucks, tiny vans, tiny vehicles, mopeds, etc? Surely these other places also chased fuel economy savings and safety, but they ended up with a market that looks (and weighs) a lot different. I doubt these cars are any more dangerous or less fuel efficient than some American market car. What sort of policies were enacted in these places that lead to the markets for these small vehicles, which we don't see here?
I don't understand what you're saying here. Are you implying SUVs have better fuel economy? Because they don't? Also generally safety regulations are tougher in Europe, but cars are smaller, so I don't believe that SUVs comply better with safety regulations either.
In EU car makers are paying for extra g of CO2/km on every vehicle. And that g/km is calculated based on weight of the vehicle. I don't have exact numbers, but basically 2 ton SUV can have something like 140g/km without penalty, while 1.3 ton hatch has to have 70g/km which is impossible.
I've moved with it, put a rack on the top, and drive friends around.
It's got CarPlay, cruise control, even stupid LED lighting for my cupholders.
If that's not punching above its literal size and weight, I don't know what would. Unfortunately this car has been discontinued now.
Nothing in today's market is comparable.
Regulation on size/weight will give cars like this the opportunity to survive.
Pretty much every product line has received this treatment over the last 20yr. Your car would exist without modern safety/fuel economy regulation. It would just look like a 2003 Ford Escort that puts down performance numbers that are more befitting the year 2021.
I'm sorta tired of people regulating or trying to regulate every aspect of life. Maybe just let people make their own decisions.
Even if regulation is the only solution (I do not believe it is) there's ways with better locality like limiting access to the roads, providing better pathways for pedestrians, better guard rails, lighting, etc. Regulating the vehicle is a sweeping change that assumes that people who own these vehicles have absolutely no need for them in the first place.
I live in an area where a high clearance SUV or other large vehicle is a necessity for navigating many of the roads. Why should I, and others like me, suffer for the externalities occurring in cities (this seems to pertain to) where I will never drive?
I don't live in Montana, fwiw.
I think other solutions would work just as well, just add sidewalks so roads become smaller, or make users of large SUVs pay for the cost of killing pedestrians.
>I live in an area where a high clearance SUV or other large vehicle is a necessity for navigating many of the roads. Why should I, and others like me, suffer for the externalities occurring in cities (this seems to pertain to) where I will never drive?
I don't know where you live but most SUVs are not really made for off-road use either and there are plenty of high clearance smaller cars around. Moreover, let's turn the question around, why should pedestrians pay (with their lives) so that some people in remote areas and many city people who want to feal like a outdoor cowboy can drive SUVs?
The same way you're responsible for anything you do around other people. Pay attention to who and what is around you, how exposed to danger you are currently. I don't walk around parking lots or other busy areas assuming drivers can always see me, do you?
> I don't know where you live...
It's fine if folks want to regulate their cities like this, by all means. Make vehicles over some size/tonnage illegal in the city limits, do whatever in the city. But why choose a pathway that effects people who live far from them? I struggle to follow the logic.
Implement standards for pedestrian safety. Ban personal vehicles that don't meet them from urban streets.
Please link to the regulations you're actually referring to, not a generic article about SUVs causing more deaths.
Specifically this regulation, the distinction between passenger and non passenger vehicles. A Lexus NX SUV should be considered and regulated as a passenger vehicle except for its 28 degree sloping chin giving it a “non passenger” vehicle exemption. This means it can avoid a slew of pedestrian safety measures.
I'm 100% fine with bans on large cars on most city streets - existing cars grandfathered in for a few more years.
Car Talk gave an interesting history here: https://www.cartalk.com/blogs/jim-motavalli/how-we-got-here-...
Generally speaking if a car comes in coupe and hatchback form factors, the hatchback is more popular among men and the coupe among women (in the USA). Since hatchbacks are unequivocally more practical, the only explanation I can see for preferring the coupe is aesthetics. This would imply that statistically, women make car buying decisions more heavily weighted by aesthetics as compared to men.
Perhaps a second factor is that Japanese cars dominate the market, and American manufacturers can only compete via competitive pricing (eg. compare the price of a Ford Focus and a Corolla).
I have driven a 2020 Lincoln Navigator and all the drive by wire nonsense completely removes any sensation from the driver that they are in this poorly-balanced 2+ ton death machine.
At least in the 90s you could feel that the Ford Excursion had an 8.1L engine sitting right above of the steering rack. It gave you this visceral sense of the size and heft of the machine. For me, this made me respect the physics a hell of a lot more.
Obviously, fly by wire is kind of mandatory once you get to a certain scale, but that is the entire point of my argument. If cars are getting so big that we have to add the equivalent of MCAS to make them feel more "driveable", then perhaps we are going in the wrong direction in a lot of ways...
You simply can't put carseats/boosters three across in most smaller or even mid-sized vehicles. They're too wide. To stay legal (meaning use carseats/boosters), you have to get a vehicle with a third row or something enormously wide.
https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/demo/tables/familie...
If you got kids, you're gonna need a bigger car.
The data you want is in census table HH-4. https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/demo/tables/familie...
Modern car seat mandates make two kids close in age a tight when travelling, doing an activity that requires supplies, etc., in anything short of medium SUV or very large hatchback (essentially a big station wagon, not that that labeling is used anymore); carseats are larger and required longer than they were when young adults these days were young kids (and weren't required at all when Gen X and early Millenials were kids), so “when I grew up” comparisons need to recognize that the constraints are different.
Moreover, if people would actually use station wagons or vans we wouldn't have the problem. It's the SUVs that have the weight.
One example Volvo XC 60 SUV weights 1,869 to 2,225 kg, the equivalent class station wagon V60 is 1,761 to 2,091 kg and the trunk volume (not sure what the correct term for this is) is 483 L (XC60) vs 529L (V60). So the SUV is heavier and smaller inside (I have driven both and the XC60 is also smaller for passengers). The we need larger insides argument really does not stand a serious test.
Good luck finding a compact where a car seat, especially rear-facing, doesn't sharply limit the (often already cramped for people over median height) seat travel of seat in front of it (heck, that's often true of mid-size and larger sedans).
(I don't mean to be defending SUVs here. In my view most people who need that size of vehicle would be better off with a minivan. But I was unable to convince my own wife of that...)
And that’s just the car seats. Strollers are also huge (the latest trend is for newborns to lie flat in a bassinet, which is basically a mini-crib in a stroller). It all adds up, much faster than you would expect.
Finally if you have 4 kids close to each other, realistically the oldest will be at least 4.5 by the time the youngest is born, so there is not much time they all need a car seat (maybe 2-3 years, after that booster).
A current Honda Accord is 192"x73"x57" and 3400lbs. Not a massive difference and I'll assume the added safety equipment makes it safer overall even for pedestrians.
And a Hyundai Santa Fe (typical mid-sized SUV) is 188"x75"x66" and 4200lbs.
A new F150, the best selling vehicle in the US, is even more massive at 209"x95"x75" and around 5000lbs.
It takes a lot of safety equipment and design to overcome nearly 1600lbs of mass (over the current Accord), plus the visibility impact of such a large vehicle. To put it in context, 1600lbs is about the weight of a vintage VW Beetle.
The last time I looked at the data, the 2015 FARS data set, the biggest factor in pedestrian deaths seemed to be pedestrians walking at night along roads without a dedicated sidewalk. This happens in rural areas far more than you may think.
If you are saying this is a spurious causality you should suggest alternative reasons why we should see the correlation. To me it doesn't seem that there should be any reason why cities with increased vehicle sizes should also have increased number of people walking on the roadside without sidewalks.
Moreover considering the large numbers we are talking about i would imagine intoxication for example would average out.
So... pedestrians existing? It sounds to me that people are driving too fast for the road conditions.
Edit: BTW, I'm honestly serious about this. These vehicles clearly come with a significant cost, and while it's a bit callous, that cost (in the form of human lives) can be quantified in financial terms and then incorporated into the price of these vehicles in the form of taxation.
Doing so sends a price signal to the market: if you want a big truck, then you have to pay a large fee for the privilege, recognizing you're more likely to kill someone crossing the street.
The alternative is trying to legislate the size of vehicles or other safety features, which is absolutely an option. But speaking for myself, I'd prefer to discourage the purchase of these monsters in the first place by raising their prices so much as to render them unattractive versus smaller, safer vehicles.
Currently you're basically allowed to murder anyone by hitting them with a car, as long as you are sober. Let's remove the sobriety loophole. I'd favor harsher criminal and civilian punishments for killing/injuring pedestrians, which should naturally discourage people from driving larger vehicles.
The OP estimates $100/yr external cost of light trucks to account for the increase in pedestrian deaths. This paper estimates a cost several times higher to additionally account for driver and passenger deaths.
Summary article: https://www.accessmagazine.org/fall-2014/pounds-kill/
Full paper: http://are.berkeley.edu/~mlanderson/pdf/anderson_auffhammer....
Something like: https://imgur.com/4xHxlZg.png
I'm very suspect of any analysis that doesn't try to account for smartphone use. They came onto the scene in the 2010s and were instantly and obviously bad enough that they became a known issue and subject to regulation in short order yet the author doesn't even mention this.
I get why people prefer being higher up...but if everybody starts driving this big cars to compensate for the increase in big cars we're back to where we started but with a much larger environmental impact.
I drive a large vehicle for many reasons, #1 being comfort. I am a tall, large person. I want a vehicle with lots of leg room, and a ride height that does not require me to climb down into the vehicle. SUV's and Pickup trucks fit that bill. Cars do not.
If you're Andrei the Giant, for sure. But if you're just 6 foot and change and under 300 lbs, virtually any modern sedan has plenty of room and isn't hard to get into.
For me they are much more uncomfortable to get in and out of. Once you are inside sure, but compared to a SUV or Truck that have a ride height that places the seat almost exactly parallel to my standing height, making getting into them like sitting into an office chair Vs the standard car that is a good foot or more lower than that making it awkward to get in and out of
So it seems to be safer for the passengers and drivers. The link makes no defence to not making the driver safer.
For instance, obesity and its associated illnesses won't make recovering from a crash easier.
There's plenty of data that larger vehicles make the driver safer...which is common sense. eg the number of tank drivers that die in accidents when in a tank.
https://www.iihs.org/ratings/driver-death-rates-by-make-and-...