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> Hybrids were a mediocre half-measure

The US currently has just one million EV's and over 5.8 million hybrids (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plug-in_electric_vehicles_in_t...) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hybrid_electric_vehicles_in_th...).

I think it's a lot more fair to say that hybrids are a transitional solution. They came out in the 90's and still outnumber EV's on the road over 5-1 today, so I'd say we're in the midst of a 30-50 year transition.

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It’s going to tip a lot faster than that in 2 yrs when EVs are cheaper up front.

New car sales might tip in two years, but that’s a small fraction of cars on the road. The average car on the road is over a decade old.

In fact, if people stop buying non-EV’s entirely, that might eventually slow down EV adoption since existing car owners will be unable to trade in their vehicles to buy EV’s.

ICE trade-in value will crash as mfrs exit the market, parts will become scarce.

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