EV startup Rivian announces $2.5B funding round led by Amazon, Ford
reuters.com
reuters.com
So, is Google still a startup? When does a startup end being one?
What should I call my actual startup these days? A nano-startup? ;)
My personal definition is a company which is still looking for a product-market fit.
It would imply that a bootstrapped business can not be a startup.
> My personal definition is a company which is still looking for a product-market fit.
My first company became profitable on the night of the launch thanks to incredible product-market fit. Showing up to work the second day surely felt like still working in a startup, although product-market fit search was already behind us.
Personally, I define startups to be business ventures where the rate of change and the freedom to take sudden turns is still high.
And it isn't, at least by that definition.
> Personally, I define startups to be business ventures where the rate of change and the freedom to take sudden turns is still high.
This is also a good definition.
My point is that we need to keep in mind that not everyone thinks of the same definition when using the same words.
Tesla is still a startup, so is Rivian
Google is not a startup, Bank of America back in 2009 wasn't a startup although risk of equity going to zero was huge, but it had a darn long spell in which the risk was nonexistent.
Equity market price embeds every information about the company.
The amount of money has nothing to do with being or not being a startup.
This is why you don't call opening a new restaurant a startup.
"Put together a detailed presentation on something you worked on. The more detailed the better - code, schematics, block diagrams".
Um, excuse me? Did you just ask for IP from my previous employer, directly?
“According to the lawsuit Tesla claims, Jesica Siron took proprietary information regarding manufacturing project management, controls specification for manufacturing equipment, specifications for manufacturing equipment...”
https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/23/21335638/tesla-rivian-law...
Disgusting.
Seems like a, "Sorry, can't do that. I honor my contracts." would suffice. If the interviewer pushed again for proprietary information, their intent would be clear.
That's what I'm saying - I said "I can't do that" and their demeanor changed totally and obviously. It was super obvious they were lining up people to do deep presentations on their previous employers IP.
100% they should have delivered something by now.
Billions, yet vapor.
Life in times of the cool-aide.
What you should take away is that there is money to throw around. A lot of fucking money.
Which is not going into our pockets as employees, but easily given to those in the know, even with a huge chance of everything going to vapor.
Remember that, next time you ask for a raise.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJJNTVy62PU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LGtskt4YGA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzRDuLo3K6Q
Deliveries of the R1T should start in September after being delayed:
https://www.thedrive.com/news/41578/rivian-r1t-deliveries-ar...
A a few months ago it was "deliveries will begin in June". Then it was July. Then August, and now September. I'm sure they'll get there, but I wouldn't hold my breath while waiting.
When its a big deal that one of them is seen in a city, I feel like that says something.
Its to be expected, though, as the car business requires a lot of capital.
Edit: founded in 2003-4, roadster came out in 2008
They managed to get a product out quickly. Rivian did not.
I'm not sure that this was actually better than the Rivian scenario, since Rivian actually has a van, truck, and a large SUV in the early stages of production during their first year. Its a pretty ambitious move, tbh.
Of course, Rivian has the advantage of being a second mover. Tesla had to work a lot harder to get the batteries sorted out back in 2007.
Which is not going into our pockets as employees.
Remember that, next time you ask for a raise.
And thus it's a bad business by definition, which doesn't merit billions of capital investments.
Even if the investment thesis is that the whole world is rooting for them, and government will turn lots of blind eyes because of the "green mission", and they'd be first in line ESG funds allocation of capital...
Still all those elements don't propel you to SaaS type margins such as Google or Microsoft or Facebook.
Frothy valuations for companies which are building stuff in the real world are driven by the promotional power of said stuff and the CEO marketing ability, in fact people are fascinated by cars, it looks cool and it's out there in front of you.
Its not an investment that I'd want to make. I'm glad that folks are trying anyway, though. I love cars and love the products, but I can't rationalize it as a great business to invest in.
At the time they also announced that they'll be using Rivian's skateboard platform for Ford's cars. Later on that has been scrapped.
So why do they continue investing?
I don't really know but it might be an option for future collaboration / licensing Rivian's IP.
Rivian has been working on EV technology since 2009. Ford... not so much.
I think the reason you see so many EV announcements from Ford (and GM and Honda and Mercedes and...) in 2021 is because they all suddenly realized they need to press a panic button.
However, you don't just build battery / electric drive train expertise overnight so Ford might be keeping their options open for collaborating with Rivian in the future.
https://media.ford.com/content/fordmedia/fna/us/en/news/2019...
Or they could collaborate on charging standards and access to networks of fast-chargers.
You say this like Ford is floundering with no clue. But that’s not the case. They have 100k reservations for the F-150 Lightning, which by all accounts is pretty impressive (https://youtu.be/J2npVg9ONFo).
If you think for some reason that the F-150 Lightning that ships won’t be as impressive, or it’ll be more expensive or that people who reserved it won’t buy it … then please share why you think so. But otherwise a knee jerk “old car manufacturer doesn’t know what they’re doing” doesn’t appear to fit the facts.
It takes a long time to thoughtfully design a new chassis, electrified or not. It also takes a long time to build up manufacturing capacity, especially when they key ingredients such as battery cells were not integral to the chassis of the past.
The F-150 Lightning has clearly evoked interest. It could have come a lot sooner. But perhaps Ford can be an effective fast follower, especially if it figures out how to address sticky points like 1) managing dealer relationships and 2) writing software. These issues are business/cultural challenges, so may require more care to address than engineering problems, which Ford has a history (a century!) solving effectively.
That's just not true at all. Nissan has been selling the leaf for a decade, for starters. VW had the e-golf in 2017. Everyone else has been dabbling to some extent or another.
The problem thus far is that electric vehicles have not been profitable to manufacturer.
Alternatively, maybe because the traditional manufacturers timed the critical point where it made economic sense to focus on electric cars in the same way?
You might be correct if the "critical point" arriving meant that established manufacturers could just buy the cost-and-performance-critical parts of EV manufacturing in volume, at low cost, from their suppliers as they're used to. But they can't, because the advancements that make this the right time are not sold on the open market. Getting there requires at least five years of R&D and billions invested, and in that time their competitors will have advanced further.
This outcome isn't obvious yet, so I might still be wrong, but that's where my money would be. I suppose that purchasing one of the startups working on this is a more promising option, but I'm not at all convinced.
Tesla used to be the biggest BEV manufacturer in Europe. But now in 2021 Tesla is number 3:
https://eu-evs.com/bestSellers/ALL/Groups/Year/2021
It's not as though the world's biggest car companies are going to forget how to make cars.
At the end of the day, regional sales numbers are irrelevant. The number that matters is global sales.
The established manufacturers obviously know how to make cars, but are behind on battery cells, packs, drivetrains and software. That VW currently out-delivers Tesla in some markets is not a rebuttal.
If they’re actually out-producing and outselling them globally, that would be an interesting development.
They've taken over the biggest EV market from Tesla. That hardly fits the narrative of it being "impossible to win this kind of technological race". Look at the trend:
https://eu-evs.com/bestSellersCharts/ALL/Groups/Line-Cumulat...
Year by year they will continue transitioning to EVs:
https://www.volkswagen-newsroom.com/en/press-releases/volksw...
The case that the big car companies won't remain big car companies is flimsy at best. It's a product of wishful thinking more than practical realities.
Based on current landscape, it seems to me that the companies best poised to “win” in the transition to EV are Tesla, VW and Hyundai, with mixed/wildcard entries from Stellantis, Ford, maybe Volvo. Companies like Toyota, Nissan and Honda could go either way but I’m not seeing promising signs of them taking the inevitability of EVs seriously. No, the Leaf isn't serious.
The thing about Tesla is it’s hard to overstate the technology lead they have over rivals—particularly in terms of manufacturing costs through aggressive part simplification & count reduction (e.g. gigapress, octovalve) and wildly superior software engineering. Tesla is also the only automaker with no legacy ICE investments that need to be written down and no legacy vehicle market. And Tesla don’t have a legacy dealer network to worry about; they can sell direct when most other brands have to keep dealerships sweet.
I’m not saying Tesla have it in the bag, but if they keep up their current pace and release more hit products, they do have the potential to become a top 3 automaker within 10 years. Or not. Nothing is certain.
Sure. Tesla used to be the biggest BEV maker in Europe and now they're not. That's a lot of sales Tesla didn't make.
> Companies like Toyota, Nissan and Honda could go either way but I’m not seeing promising signs of them taking the inevitability of EVs seriously.
Toyota sold the most cars in 2020 and has been setting sales records in 2021:
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Toyota-s-strong-sal...
The idea that Toyota is somehow going away any time soon is faulty.
> No, the Leaf isn't serious.
The Leaf is one of the best selling EVs in the history of EVs.
> The thing about Tesla is it’s hard to overstate the technology lead they have over rivals—particularly in terms of manufacturing costs through aggressive part simplification & count reduction
Fantasy. The reality is Tesla is raising prices again and again:
https://electrek.co/2021/07/22/tesla-tsla-increases-model-3-...
Meanwhile Volkswagen is reducing prices on the ID.3 and ID.4. The cost savings of the common MEB platform enable them to do so. It lets them price models under the limits of government subsidies:
https://www.electrive.com/2021/07/05/vw-drops-i-d-prices-in-...
Volkswagen has built EVs to sell at competitive price points. Whatever happened to that $35k Model 3?
Nobody is saying Toyota are "going away". They will remain a major auto-maker, but I doubt they'll be in first or second place in 2030. It all depends on how quickly the economy car segment transitions from ICE to EV.
Toyota is a hybrid leader but an EV laggard. Their decision to dip toes into many electrification strategies is going to prove costly and wasteful.
> The Leaf is one of the best selling EVs in the history of EVs.
Despite being on the market for eleven years, it's already a distant second to the Tesla Model 3. Tesla sold more EVs in one year (2020) than Nissan has sold in a decade (2010-2020). And the future isn't looking bright: 2020 was the worst sales year ever for the Leaf.
The Nissan Leaf is much like the Prius was a decade ago, a darling of certain early adopters with near-zero mainstream appeal. But at least Toyota took their hybrid investments and successfully applied them to mainstream vehicles like the RAV4, Highlander and Camry. Nissan haven't leveraged their EV investments, they squandered them.
> The reality is Tesla is raising prices again and again
Tesla have been raising and lowering prices as their costs have changed. Recently the cost of raw materials like steel, aluminium, copper and lithium have skyrocketed.
This is what happens when you don't have a network of dealers: you can't conceal month-to-month manufacturer price fluctuations behind dealership negotiation.
> Meanwhile Volkswagen is reducing prices on the ID.3 and ID.4.
Because they flopped. For all the hype surrounding their launch, ID.3 and ID.4 are outclassed in nearly every respect by equivalent EVs from Hyundai—including range, efficiency, performance and driving dynamics. Teardowns of the ID.4 have shown that MEB isn't even a real EV platform. It was all hype.
Sorry, but this is just naive. Volkswagen has 26.5% of the European EV market in 2021. If the MEB platform is a flop then I think Volkswagen will very much like to continue that flop.
> Teardowns of the ID.4 have shown that MEB isn't even a real EV platform. It was all hype.
I don't know what that's supposed to mean. I don't think you know either.
It's well known that a LOT of people in Europe are holding out on their purchase of a Tesla vehicle until the Berlin-manufactured Model Y becomes available. Let's see how the market share numbers look then.
If the R1T and R1S are successful, its easy to see why Ford might want a part of both. It wouldn't shock me if they buy them completely at some point.
The billionaire space race starts before SpaceX, largely from/around the Ansari X Prize (Bezos, Paul Allen).
Bezos getting into electric cars, Blue Origin trying to get into Satellite Internet it always reeks of sub-par copycatness
> Charon made its only test flight at Moses Lake, Washington on March 5, 2005. It flew to an altitude of 96 m (316 ft) before returning for a controlled landing near the liftoff point.
The name is more ambitious too as it isn't just about exploration but expansion.
Rivian was also founded at the same time as Musk became a retroactive fouder-in-name of Tesla.
Meanwhile SpaceX are onto their 3rd/4th generation of launch vehicle and are doing more launches than everyone else combined.
Tesla when Elon “took over” made the roadster (a drive train for a lotus Elise), no real brand and no real identity. The founder-in-name is a pretty shitty dig. He has been directly involved in the Model S/X/3/Y
Wozniak built the Apple II. Is Jobs less of a founder?