Perth man jailed for 7 months after breaching self-quarantine instructions
skynews.com.au
skynews.com.au
The maximum term for drunk driving in Perth is 18 months[1] and that's for a repeat offense with a BAC in excess of 0.15. Is our contractor scenario really ~5 times more dangerous than multiple driving-while-absolutely-hammered offenses?
[0]: https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=covid+c...
[1]: https://www.gotocourt.com.au/drink-driving/wa/dui-penalties/
What is the statistical likelihood that any person of a specific religious group will commit an act of terrorism? Should we find that number and then jail a random swath of their population?
If I fire a gun into a building blindly, the chance I kill anyone is low. Should that be legal?
If we agree it should be a crime and just disagree on severity, that seems fair enough and (at least to me) not worth any further discussion than I already engaged in on it.
The downside is that the lockdowns that do happen are very heavy, and anyone breaching them is treated like a smoker in a fireworks factory.
I bet missed cancer screenings alone have caused more than a thousand deaths in Australia.
Consider this hypothetical: a pandemic solution which completely eliminates the disease while causing exactly 1 premature death. The death and despair from the solution far surpasses that of the disease itself, with infinity percent more death! This is clearly not a useful metric.
In the case of COVID, everywhere had some kind of pandemic response, but the least effective so far is Peru with 5982.3 deaths per million population, vs Australia’s 36 per million. Multiply by population, and the difference between the Peruvian and Australian fatality rate indicates Australia saved 152 thousand people. That’s the number of Australian residents you need to suspect have fatally missed a cancer screening.
Caveat: it ain’t over ‘till it’s over, and the Iron Pyrite medal for highest death toll can always change hands.
Edit: decimal point off by one
In no way could you provide any sort of facts for this statement.
Like how do you decide what is an acceptable violation of quarantine? Who decides? Who pays them to spend a lot of time deciding?
Safety wise, this is comparable to randomly firing a bullet at an occupied building. Most likely the bullet will miss (the guy won't be infected/won't infect), but if you get really unlucky (someone gets infected and spreads it before that connection can be discovered), the results are disastrous (and deadly - COVID still has a 1% IFR as far as I know).
Australia locked down, but from a New Zealand perspective their lockdowns have been rather less harsh than ours. Supermarkets and medical practices (for humans and animals) were all we had open.
It has seemed that their way got the results while having more shops open, though they are in a tight spot right now.
Whether it is lower now or not is more a philosophical question as empirical, the IFR has been demolished by vaccinating the elderly.
This can be taken two ways.... Either that Covid was never a risk to most people to begin with and only appeared deadly because of those close to death, OR Vaccines have saved us.
Either way, the CFR in Briton of the Delta Variant is 0.13%, for the unvaccinated that number is 0.08%
A reasonable IFR rate would be close to half those rates (in my opinion, as that is unknowable)
I think geography is doing the bulk of the lifting. Being on a sparsely populated island helps a whole lot.
so when lockdowns come out we (especially in the west) just loved going into lockdown and dishing shit on those that flouted the rules. its a weird dichotomy that we're very easy going and freedom loving yet also love rules and enforcing them.
I will criticise the government and their laws, be skeptical, be very vocal about my privacy rights etc.
But when it comes to covid, the restrictions make sense, and I agree with the goal for which they are deployed to meet, which is reduce spread, hospitalisation, and death.
So do I like rules? No. Do I want to stop the spread? Yes. It's that simple.
This made me double take. The Thirteen colonies was used as a penal colony too, so maybe the USA has expansive judicial discretion too, or maybe it's not really relevant.
So he exposed someone to a risk that was avoidable. Any other Health and Safety risk, would have been prosecuted in the same way (in the UK not Australia). [CDM regulations]
I don't know if you read the part where it says that he actually needs to spend only 2 months behind bars, but if you didn't, does that change your opinion?
Meanwhile us Liberal brits let everyone flout the rules and we're headed into a third wave despite being over 60% vaccinated. Oh and we created at least 1 new variant. Oh and we've had a lot more disruption, lockdowns, curfews etc.
Sometimes giving up some freedom now gets you a lot more freedom (and fewer dead people) in the very near future.
[1] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9783343/WA-man-sent...
Some things to note:
* There were fifteen separate incidents of quarantine breach. He also, "regularly left his house for hours at a time" during that period.
* The magistrate as much as said the harshness was in-part a warning to other would-be offenders (sending a "powerful message").
Yeah, we do take quarantine pretty seriously here. Having gone through the extended lockdowns in Victoria, while our geography was advantageous, it also required a huge effort of societal and political will and cooperation to get back to zero community transmission. It relied on following the advice of our health experts and scientists in the face of large economic and political pressures.
In Melbourne now we are enjoying reasonably normal conditions compared to B.C. (Before COVID) times. So we have a pretty low tolerance for any "dick-head" that may put that at risk. That said, I'm surprised at jail time instead of a steep monetary fine.
It is a shame we pretty much squandered our gains with a very poorly handled vaccination roll-out (but that's a discussion for another time).
Media Watch, the ABC news program captures some of the absolute stupidity occurring down under: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLDTPrMoGHssBtV3J7BBLZ...
This all could have been resolved by now if Australia had decent leadership. They were offered the solution, but were so pig headed they refused it. Now they are in an even worse situation.
"Australia is a lucky country run mainly by second rate people who share its luck. It lives on other people's ideas, and, although its ordinary people are adaptable, most of its leaders (in all fields) so lack curiosity about the events that surround them that they are often taken by surprise." Donald Horne, 1964