And the 2nd. part: https://slimemoldtimemold.com/author/slimemoldtimemold/
A 20% increase in food intake seems huge. The data I could find on weight over the same period puts people at only 15% heavier, so this seems to be underselling the difference.
When the time of insulin comes (approx. 2 hours after food intake), the insulin curve is sharp and overshoots over the peak in response to monstrous amounts of glucose in the blood. Despite clearly peaking, no amount of insulin can cover all previously consumed glucose at this stage, and the rest of it gets transformed into the fat.
Stressing yourself out and triggering that "horror"-phase (movies/ evening news) makes your body go into the "binge" for reserves during crisis mode.
Testable Hypothesis: End of the World screaming makes you fat, Continuous bored calm and mental safety feelings make you thin.
Now take several of these "insignificant" factors, add interaction effects, and we potentially get a much richer picture.
I just left this comment in the site (maybe it would interest somebody here too):
"Have somebody checked a correlation between breast feeding vs. infant formula in early infancy and hungry feelings in adulthood (or weight as a proxy of that)?
It’s just an random idea, but it seems to me that the timeline of increasing obesity and increasing of use of infant formula could be correlated."
> (...) I think at this point, few people in the research world believe the CICO model.
It is popular on HN too, as evidenced by the replies I got here:
Simple self experiment: If you are super hungry, try compare:
1. Eat a bowl of plain steamed rice (in hot water can make it go down easier) - you will very very quickly become satiated and stay that way, probably on less than a small bowl.
2. Eat cake, croissants, stuff that is sweet but not too sweet that you can keep eating it... initially you will stop, but then you will feel hungry again and keep going back for more - you can just keep eating on this stuff, even though the energy density is way higher.
The other difference is the speed at which the energy is released, the rice will keep you going through the day, your body gradually extracting energy from it... the cake and stuff get's absorbed almost instantly and so your body has nothing to do but make fat with it - the only way your getting that energy back is through ketosis, which wont happen so long as you keep eating cake.
It makes a lot of sense when you start to think about how things have been modified from their natural state, even orange juice is kinda bad in this sense - you can drink a glass of orange juice pretty easily, but there is no way you will be able to eat the number of oranges it took to make it in a single day.