The flu vaccine is around 10-40% effective. Bu suddenly we pretend like if a vaccine doesn't give us 98% immunity, it's useless? Seriously?
But IMO, the flu vaccine is pretty useless. I've never had any confidence that it's actually doing anything for me or anyone I know. I notice no difference between years I get it and years I don't. And if the Covid vaccines were only providing 10-40% protection, this whole situation would be a lot worse.
* School is out, university is out
* Air conditioning is comparatively rare. Or if present, unnecessary. People open their windows and doors instead. I’m typing this now with an open door with bug screen in front.
* Drivers roll down their windows
* People socialize outside in parks and backyards
* The population tans all of a sudden, raising vitamin D levels. Normal respiratory virus spread collapses
* Patios flourish at bars and restaurants. Often the inside is fairly empty. Window-walls open completely leaving restaurant/bar interiors open to the fresh air
* Many offices and professions have summer holidays
Then by mid September we hermetically seal ourselves inside and everyone gets sick once school is back.
I’m cautiously optimistic we’re past needing lockdowns but it is still too soon to tell. Our summer had a powerful seasonal effect last year and seems to have this year too.
(Past needing lockdowns = we’ll get enough new first and second doses in over summer while the season is on our side)
If you think that variant changing is a bigger deal than getting them out fast what makes you so sure we shouldn't increase dosage another 50% or another booster?
Right now it seems like the mRNA vaccines work fine and the variants are actually getting better at spreading but not killing.
I've heard that this is not unexpected, that it's to a viruses advantage to not kill people. That would jive with the fact that the several already endemic coronaviruses are much less likely that sars-cov-2 to cause severe problems.