Student Loans. Medical Debt. Criminal Justice Fees. Cancel It All.
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
I'm not of that mindset. I'm content with my loans.
This assumes everyone is equally prudent, but I doubt this is the case. For instance, suppose I was frugal, eating only rice and beans so I could pay off my student loans ASAP, while my friend got takeout multiple times a week. In this case, does my friend deserve more intervention than me? If my acts of frugality and sacrifice leads me to not get intervention, what message does that send to society?
You can scold a smoker as much as you want, but we all still pay for their chemo in the forms of health insurance premiums.
I'd expect a refund and interest commensurate with the earnings I lost being unable to invest that money. Were I an amoral freeloader that's certainly what I would have done, rather than living up to my debt obligations.
I could really make out like gangbusters on this thing.
It's important to note that Jubilee was not at all the same as "debt forgiveness" or "restructuring". It came in regular intervals and people knew when the next Jubilee was going to be when they entered the loan. This significantly changes the types of loans even offered.
What's preventing you from getting a huge loan 1 day before the jubilee?
From a reading of the law there seems to be nothing, but I suspect there is something I'm missing. I'm not sure if there is something about who/how you can ask for a loan (thus meaning such a loan couldn't be requested just anytime), or if the culture allowed you to refuse to make big loans then even though the law said you couldn't.
https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Leviticus+25&ve...
The responsibility for making a fair purchase/sale was actually on both parties (buyer and seller). This is conjunction with the sale of property actually being considered the right of receiving the profits the sale of the goods the property produced would have prevented pretty much all short term purchasing. A landowner would not give up their land post seeding and prior to harvest because they have already invested in it, and a purchaser is not going to purchase land after a harvest in the year before the Year of Jubilee because there is no way for them to make a profit while still keeping the land.
EDIT: That being said, there isn't really a comparison here because the leaders of the Jewish people would never had made these kind of loans to the general populace and then expect other members general populace to pay for them.
(It's an NYT opinion piece, so straight into the garbage it goes, but it's written by Astra Taylor, who I value for her contributions to unschooling way back when, but since it's not free, I can't be bothered)
Instead the argument is that the terms of the debt are not just or that people did not enter into the debt fully voluntarily (e.g. medical debt isn't much of a choice when the alternative is death/disability, student loan debt isn't much of a choice when low skilled positions don't pay a living wage).
The proposed solution generally takes the form of canceling existing debt, reforming future debt, and reforming society so that the debt is less necessary.
The problem is, while Astra Taylor may get that, I'm not sure that Biden does. I haven't noticed the "reforming society" part in the debt forgiveness proposals that have been floated.
If you can vote, you can read contracts.
IMHO, we should raise voting age, precisely because of things like this. And because many entering these agreements today would be considered underage, more scrutiny would be expected.
But, until then, voting is a golden standard.
Indeed, since colleges will see loan forgiveness as an option, tuitions will rise.
There's a significant number who would not afford tuition and not apply. Universities would lose a lot students unless they changed fees significantly.
If it's a proper reset on the debts, we can't expect everything to continue working as before.
How is that good policy?
Our current system already allows for cancellation for low income individuals.
This is subsidy for the upper half of the middle class.
But now people want us to have to pay everyone else's debt too, through our taxes?
The only way this could possibly be fair is if they offer some kind of credit for loans already paid.
Or, I never went to college. I just started working right after high school. I make less than those who went to college. I'm going to pay taxes for this? How is that fair?
The companies themselves could be interested in that loans of course, but without the previous guarantee the risk would be too high.
A lot of those taxpayers aren't college educated, and they work hard for their wages.
To be fair, I find this thread to be a bit misguided. Everyone here is talking about canceling 100% of student loan debt but I've only ever heard suggestions where the amount of loans above 100k or above 50k are forgiven. Conceivably, those loans were never really going to be paid off so money isn't really being lost.
[1] https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/its-time-for...
By debt cancelling I expect he means the government / the central bank will pay the lenders. (If not then we will have a massive homeless retirees problem as they are generally the lenders).
As an economist, the issue with that is that it will continue incentivize the function of the underlying economic system and the problem will re-appear even faster.
In the economic area mentioned by the author, housing, eduction, utilities, justice, it seems clear that if people need to get over-indebted to get basic services, there is a pricing issue.
The problem come mostly because usual market arbitration forces are not applying in those areas because of asymetric needs of buyers and sellers. The average renter generally cannot avoid paying or use a subtitute and is generally forced to bear a price augmentation.
If the government simply pays the sellers of those services, they have no incentive to provide them at a lower cost.
So I believe it's really a pricing issue and only its resolution will allow to resolve the symptoms, debt and poverty, that it creates.
Also how much interest have we paid collectively on that 1.5 trillion? If we've paid that much already then what? Can't we just consider it an investment with a negative adjusted return and move on?
In other words macroeconomics doesn't make sense to me in a lot of ways.
There are two scenarios. In the first, the government simply prints the $1.5T. That's newly created money. $1.5T has been added to the economy overnight. It's been created, not destroyed.
The second scenario is where the government takes the money from somewhere else (maybe taxes). The money is removed from somewhere (someone's assets), but the exact same amount of debt is also removed. The net is zero - neither creation or destruction, just rearrangement.
> Prior to the Affordable Care Act, a majority of student loans originated with a private lender but were guaranteed by the government, meaning taxpayers foot the bill if student borrowers default. In 2010, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated 55% of loans fell into this category. Between 2011 and 2016, the share of privately originated student loans fell by nearly 90%.
TANSTAAFL maybe, but more likely the lunch is going to get paid by the future... which is kind of like a loan that no one out there can cancel.
If we agree as a society to invest in war, but we can't invest in our people, then we will reap what we sow.
Although admitting that too willingly probably could trigger some form of crash.
So says the NYT. From behind a pay wall.
- On modern debt servitude and having debt at the start of adult life "That you are a slave, Neo. Like everyone else you were born into bondage. Into a prison that you cannot taste or see or touch. A prison for your mind."
- On Usury and high interest credit. "What is the matrix? Control... To turn the human body into this" * holds up a battery
I can't downvote because I use new accounts for privacy reasons.
What I'm saying is, it's more complex than "choices".
There is no "cancelling" debt. There's only forcing other people to pay.
The incentives here are entirely backwards. All the people who made good decisions around cost-benefit of their education, all the people who made frugal choices, all the people who worked hard for the delayed gratification of their long-term planning get penalized and have to pick up the tab for the people who spent 4 years partying without any concern about cost of their education or lifestyle.
This is just so evil, it's insane that people have been tricked by the terminology making it sound it's a morally good choice. Imagine if we instead cancelled car loans or mortgages- everybody who's driving a honda or renting an apartment now (through taxes) shares the burden of paying off the Ferrarri's and mansions, but they're still driving their junker while the people who had chosen to load themselves with debt get to enjoy their sports cars and houses.
In a rational economic system those arguments should hold water. We have nothing like that now. Paying attention to the last 20 years of egregious hoarding of wealth should make that clear.
Ignoring the strawmen, the systems at issue (school debt, medical debt and government debt) are nothing like a free market. They are so highly regulated, the abuses so entrenched, its reasonable to consider changing them.
The real fun starts 20-ish years down the line when our elected officials decide to directly seize 401k assets in the name of "equity."
I am not a proponent. I happily make my payments every month while I enjoy my student-loan-enabled job. And yes, I made some decisions that would not appear to be the most intelligent when it comes to loan amounts.
This kind of hyperbole is, itself, an example of "dishonest, twisted" language.
> There is no "cancelling" debt. There's only forcing other people to pay.
If I declare a banana to cost $1,000,000 but you can get it for the low price of $1 with a loan of $999,999 today and that loan gets canceled, does that mean someone else has to pay me the remaining sum?
> The incentives here are entirely backwards. All the people who made good decisions around cost-benefit of their education, all the people who made frugal choices, all the people who worked hard for the delayed gratification of their long-term planning get penalized and have to pick up the tab for the people who spent 4 years partying without any concern about cost of their education or lifestyle.
This kind of moralizing about making the right decisions stigmatizes people who couldn't make it through college for financial reasons and weren't able to find a job afterward and pay off their debt. It stigmatizes grad students who started off with good intentions but couldn't make it through the meat grinder. It stigmatizes first generation college students who had to return home after a year or two. All of these people now face student debts that can't be discharged by bankruptcy.
If we agree as a society to invest in war, but we can't invest in our people, then we will reap what we sow.
The contract would likely be ruled invalid for being unconscionable, because the fair market value of a banana is like 50 cents. However, if it was something like 10 cents upfront but $10 later that would likely be upheld.
In this case you are the merchant (university) and the lender, which is not the case with student debt.
Before you make the case that a student can get a gov't backed loan and attend a state university, the other $999,999 has already been disbursed to banana suppliers, equipment, leases, ect. So yes, someone else would have to pay the remaining sum.
Try again.
If cancelling student debt solves real problems for the population on average, but makes a few idiots multimillionaires by accident... I'm all for it.
My assumption is that the debt holders would be the ones losing. I don't know about you, but I don't hold any person's medical or education debt. In my estimation, these are ultimately all held by the rich and powerful fat cats- owners of banks, etc.
We'd be taking things from the bucket of "the people who borrowed have to pay it back" and putting it into the bucket of "we all have to pay it back through increased taxes."
Yes, actually. If people were YOLOing away their savings on DOGE and meme stocks and the government picked up the tab, but the responsible passive investors like me got no assistance because I didn't experience any losses, I'd be pretty mad.
And student loans can already be put on thirty year plan, or setup for income based repayment. No one is starving because of their student loans, they're just having to purchase a house a little later in life than if they didn't borrow a bunch of money.
Are you sure you're not getting these two groups backwards? All the people that I know of who "worked hard and delayed gratification" are precisely the people who are getting penalized by having to jump through hoops that the "partying" type does not seem to have to worry about.
Not really, given that in the US, the central bank could just take over those public loans, not collect on them, and likely not much would happen. They’ve already proven that during Covid with corporate bonds.
The real issue with cancelling student loans is that it doesn’t fix the tuition cost for the next generation. We need a 20-year tuition freeze.
Isn't that just helicopter money with extra steps?
I think there is a good argument to make that cancelling that debt, and fixing the US college system, would likely result in more innovation: folks who come from (lower) middle class backgrounds could finally take more risk and try new jobs / start startups that they can’t today because of the money they need to put into debt service.
That's if you're only looking at the repayment stage of the loan in isolation. The way loans work is that:
1. you get money upfront in exchange for nothing
2. you pay it back
If you take out the second step ("cash flow relief"), then all you have left is "you get money upfront in exchange for nothing" which is the definition of helicopter money.
If it’s not “million dollar”, just $10-20k or something it wouldn’t require a bailout.
Bailouts are for rich people.
No, there is actually cancelling debt.
There is also forcing someone else to pay, but that’s a different thing.
Its probably the case that only some (such as government-held portion) of the debt at issue could Constitutionally be cancelled, in the strict sense, though.
> The incentives here are entirely backwards.
Because its not (unlike, say, bankruptcy), an ongoing thing available to people in the future, it has negligible incentive effect. Even as precedent, the expectation “if a set of debts across society becomes sufficiently onerous, they may be cancelled for everyone” creates very little incentive for anyone.
So the debt gets cancelled then banks and institutions restart their vicious cycle of predatory education price and predatory education loans?
What exactly is the goal here?
To mitigate the social harms resulting from the current debt load that have accumulated over decades as part of a process that includes development of policies to prevent getting back to the same state.
(Some of which actually may already have been adopted, as all of the debt areas at issue have seen policy reforms over the last decades that could be part of that, though most cancellation advocates would argue—and I would agree, even though I don't necessarily agree with “cancel it all”—that further work remains to be done.)
Can you give an example? I may just be out of the loop.
Considering just the educational side:
For policies that have already been put in place, the 2016 revision (partially undone by the 2019 revision) of the Borrower Defense rules are an example.
For not-yet-implemented rules that have been proposed, rules imposing total cost limits on programs accepting federal loans, or imposing other cost and quality requirements on such programs, are common. As are simpler reforms like making income contingent plans the default repayment plan, and other rules governing direct loan servicing (an issue with the student debt crisis haa been servicers active directing borrowers into deferment rather than income contingent plans.)
At least, that's what seems "most likely" to me...
How are these different things?
-Money was disbursed to the university. That money came from somewhere!
-If the loan gets canceled and the student does not pay it back, those who contributed the disbursed the money are the ones being forced to pay.
You can say I'm straw-maning, but it's hard to see your argument as anything else.
Should we tax the poor(people who didn't get a college degree) to pay off the debts of the middle class and upper middle class?
Or if we're going to hand out large sums of money why should the front of the line be college educated individuals who went to private colleges?
My main concern is really just to lower college tuition. I don't know how people keep putting up with it, but we are essentially enslaving an entire generation with debt as soon as they actually gain some agency.
Maybe instead of paying the debts with tax dollars, we force universities to eat the cost, or at least some of it? If you could declare bankruptcy on your college debt, it might make universities think twice about charging such high tuition. Or it would just make them selective, I don't know.
This was the political talking point that has repeatedly been brought up in the media in the last 2 years with all the student loan talk and it has successfully gotten Biden to back off cancellation of up to $50k for every loan.
There is just something very “Karen” about wanting someone else to suffer because you did, especially premised on the basis that you did everything right and they did everything wrong.
However, it would be more fair to simply give every taxpayer $5000 or whatever is decided (like it ever will be) that can be used to pay off loans or for whatever they please.
Jim, 50 years old, watches "house-flipping" shows on cable TV and decides that he wants to be a real estate baron. He starts flipping houses using VA/FHA loans. The real estate market tanks. Jim is allowed to file bankruptcy and walk away from the debt.
Dave, 18 years old, isn't a very good student, but every authority figure in his life (parents, teachers, ministers, you name it) tells him he HAS to have a college education. He takes out government loans to get one in a field with easy classes but low employability. But unlike Bob and Jim, Dave isn't allowed to file bankruptcy and walk away from the debt.
Can you justify Dave being held to a higher standard than Bob and Jim?
I've asked this question many times, but have never seen a convincing answer.
Dave is the only one of the three who could keep the asset after declaring bankruptcy, if that were allowed.
And if you would suggest that the bankruptcy court should consider the value of the degree, I would respond that the appropriate time for that is before lending the money.
Bankruptcies stay on your credit report for seven years. That doesn't sound particularly "financially optimal" to me, or likely to anyone else.
HN is supposed to be for curious conversation. If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking the intended spirit more to heart, we'd appreciate it.
Sheesh, folks, as Maggie Thatcher once supposedly said, the problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.
I was right. They didn't listen. I'm bailing them out today.
OTOH, I agree. If they are earning income and repaying, then I don't see a reason to nullify any loans of theirs. ( or mine )
The free-flowing student loan money has created the same kind of bubble that "stated income" and "0% down" loans created in housing in 2008.
We have controls on taking on debt for the other 99% of credit line applications, why is this one so significantly different?
Maybe we really do need AI overlords.
Op- you haven't attempted to think of the repercussions of such an event. If you want to weigh pros and cons, you can.
For everyone else, is today's candy of free college worth a collapse of faith in our financial system? Is it better to get rid of college debt and have people never trust investment?
My best answer is that a financial collapse might help the environment. But it would also cause incredible numbers of dead humans.
The first example is of the Asian Financial Crisis, and the documentary goes on to show how the 2007 US Financial Crisis showed the same playbook in action, of incredibly poorly planned monetary investments going awry & all effort being given to shield the financiers who made these bad decisions from harm.
So, like... yeah. We have made investing in markets have no penalty, for some. Deciding to invest in the welfare & improvement of our nation seems only logical, like only a modicum of parity, given the radical ways the world has continued to spend money to protect the vast fortunes of the giant investor class.