Which is my broader point, people are thinking imprecisely about climate change in favor of catastrophizing.
I understand why, and emotional impact is maybe(?) needed for action- but it isn’t helpful for actually thinking about what to do.
It's not catastrophizing to point at a catastrophe that is embedded in a long row of other recent catastrophes and saying "That's a catastrophe".
Case in point, this is what I said:
> Imagine what droughts, famine and loss of land due to flooding will bring.
This is what is happening right now:
- droughts -> see Canada and whole North America / Europe right now. Large chunks of Australia and California 'burnt' down last year. Crops will be devastated, people will die.
- Famine -> the droughts above are going to cause massive issues with crop yields. Desertification is already happening in most of the world also...
- Loss of land (due to flooding). We are already losing arable land to desertification. Localized flooding happens in a lot of places now due to erratic weather. (massive rainfalls where not expected -> dykes fail -> flood with loss of life and crops).
Sure, Generalized flooding like what you say with Antartica won't be here for 20-30 years... but I hope I will still be alive by then as my children...
Now. Take all those, and imagine them happening to China/US/Russia. Will they sit idly or invade/take neighboring states resources?