What mRNA is good for, and what it maybe isn’t
blogs.sciencemag.org
blogs.sciencemag.org
https://www.pcibiotech.no/nucleicacids
This presentation has a lot of illustrations and explanations:
https://www.pcibiotech.no/s/PCI-Biotech-SMi-RNA-Therapeutics...
One thing that I'd like to emphasize is how unbelievably tiny mRNA therapeutics have to be. It's probably around 30 mg, and it's hard to do it more than once every few weeks, at least judging by siRNA therapeutics (which have similar immune issues).
30 mg is really tiny. It's hard to come up with a meaningful therapeutic in such a small amount of material. People have been hyping up self-replicating mRNA as a solution, but that's still in its infancy, and has its own problems regarding the "compilers"/polymerases that need to be packaged with it.
And it is indeed tiny. Even for LSD "the only drug measured in micrograms", a typical dose is around 100µg. Most drugs (both the legal and illegal kind) are in the tens of milligram range.
Levothyroxine (for underactive thyroid) is typically administered in µg doses - but patient confusion with the more common mg means most medical staff will translate any mg dose a patient claims to be taking to µg automatically.
It may be atypical, but it's certainly not rare for drugs to be µg doses.
Perhaps about a hundred years, give or take. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Opium_Convention
The English language just hasn't caught on, yet. At least not completely.
In eg German, people generally differentiate between Medikamente and Drogen, but they still have a Drogerie which is essentially the same as a drug store.
To add a little additional context 'Drogerie' mostly sells hygiene products, supplements and the like. They only sell 'Medikamente' which are allowed to be sold over the counter in Germany, which basically is Aspirin and everything that is even more harmless. You will not find the kind of drugs you typically get in a CVS in a German Drogerie.
Every serious drug is only sold in what is called 'Apotheke' = pharmacy.
In Germany Apotheke (pharmacy) and Drogerie (drug store) are very different. I think there is no real distinction between drug store and pharmacy in English, but I'm not sure. There is also Reformhaus which is pretty similar to a small Drogerie with a focus on healthy living.
EDIT: I checked my claim about the Aspirin and it seems I'm wrong. They are not even allowed to sell that. But it kind of reinforces my point: Drogerie doesn't really sell drugs in the sense the word is used in English.
This is... oversimplified, at least. I'm sure usage differs by region, even within the United States, but where I am a "drug store" is a convenience store which either contains or historically contained a pharmacy (in the latter case, there appears to be a decent chance the store is an historical soda fountain/cafe). A pharmacy is a place where one buys prescription medications, often only being a section/counter of a larger store. I would never use the terms interchangeably: one does not buy household goods at a pharmacy, nor does a place become a "drug store" by the filling and sale of prescription medication.
But many US pharmacy chains also have RNs onsite providing services, part time, for vaccines and such. That's not quite the same as an MD but it's different than pharmacology.
The pharmacists' lobby always defends them with 'oh, you need a proper pharmacist in a pharmacy to give people proper advice'. But whenever some intrepid journalist goes and tests the actual advice given by pharmacies in some bout of investigative journalism, the majority of pharmacies tested always fail dramatically.
If a doctor asked me if I was 'taking any drugs', I would assume they wanted to know in confidence about anything recreational; not prescriptions/off the shelf medicine.
Eg if your wife asks you whether you've taken your drugs yet, she means the same thing as meds.
As for the shops, the one that sells prescription and over-the-counter drugs is called "pharamacie", the next tier is "parapharamacie", which sells vitamins, essential oils, hygiene products, etc... "Drogueries" are actually hardware stores.
Carfentanil is probably more potent then LSD, here is a lethal dose:
https://mediad.publicbroadcasting.net/p/wosu2/files/styles/x...
"For pain relief, a unit of carfentanil is one hundred times as potent as the fentanyl, five thousand times as potent as heroin, and ten thousand times as potent as morphine, despite having only 14 to 135 times the affinity for the mu receptor."
so about 1/50th of a milligram is deadly... not sure what's the maximum dose before it kills you
I'm going to echo others and ask what you mean here. A lot of drugs have effective doses lower than 30mg. Are you saying that 30mg is an unusually small dose for a pharmaceutical? Because I don't think that's true.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_tolerance
it's not for genes, but for epitopes
Not really. For example the amount of beta blocker I take for my heart problems is 5mg per day - the pill size goes down to 2.5mg.
Also not sure why it matters at all, if it's under 1g you can administer it pretty much any way you need to.
This doesn't seem like a problem from the point of view of those who are in the business of selling mRNA :)
Hmm? I keep hearing about plants and bacteria that have been genetically modified to secrete e.g. animal proteins. Do fungi assemble their proteins from a different set of amino acids than animals do?
You're correct that the genetic code is _almost_ universal, and we do use mammalian expression platforms without problems. However, using a live human to express a protein that we normally never do is a bit of an ethical problem due to the associated risk. You don't want a partial expression or maybe a protein gets cleaved and turns into a toxin, or is misfolded and then ends up killing the host or causing a fatal disease (hello prions!), etc, etc.
(Source: Just stuff I picked up at work, I'm not an expert on these topics)
Wait, so are you saying there's an ethical problem with triggering the expression of a strictly viral protein known to cause damage in and of itself?
:) We're discussing the expression of therapeutics. But, it is true that if you could control the process there would be no ethical problem. But it never is so simple. The cute analogies and diagrams (I do think they are useful for beginners) don't convey the real risks of the technology. Its really hard to wrap your brain around it, at-least for me, even after working in vaccines for close to a decade now I can only grasp a very limited amount of the complexity of our internals.
"We"? I don't remember deciding that. Who gets to decide that for me?
The abstract here seems quite well-written: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2919748/
https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/category/thin...
For example: Things I Won’t Work With: Dioxygen Difluoride https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2010/02/23/th...
Favorite part of a good article. Although it seems to me these experiments need to be repeated, for science.
You seem to be assuming “99% sure it is safe” means “sure that its 99(.9)% safe”. They are...not equivalent.
But a simple calculation sometimes is better than a correct long calculation in an online discussion :)
The correct calculation is to ask them "How sure are you that is at lest safe for X% of the persons?" The replies are like
100% sure that it's safe for 90% of the persons.
Also 100% sure that it's safe for 99% of the persons.
97% sure that it's safe for 99.9% of the persons.
93% sure that it's safe for 99.99% of the persons.
87% sure that it's safe for 99.999% of the persons.
...
Now you take the derivative of the function (or the inverse of the function?), multiply by -1 if necessary and get a gut feeling probability distribution to use to calculate the integral and get the expected values of deaths of using the new version without a clinical trial.
Anyway, you need a lot of 9s, because a FDA approval means almost automatic approval in a lot of countries. There are like 10 vaccines now and 7.000 million people in the word, so my guess that it will be used in 500-100 million people.
NIH funded the trial for the Moderna booster.
Like perhaps, how much study the practice of flu vaccine changes has undergone, what the limited target constraints are, and prior field experience with the sterotypical changes to those specific targets?
The current mRNA Covid vaccines have a pretty high incidence rate of ongoing rapid swelling and rashes (in the 1/100 to 1/1000 range), and it's still unclear what will happen to the hundreds of thousands of affected people.
Source: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pfizer%E2%80%93BioNTech_COVI...
Also to be found in the adverse reactions database (VAERS) by the CDC.
It's the same reason drugs show the thing they're treating as a side effect. People are reporting the symptom because they already had it.
That's an important point we need to keep in mind: mRNA can be used to fix the body where it is broken/or not producing specific proteins when it would be needed. But it doesn't give us superpowers or change us into other beings than what we are.
Isn't that what substituting uracil by pseudouridine solves?
The issue is it's rare and united States government approval is expensive and slow. Not something that works well with a degenerative disease.
I'm a bit insane right now admittedly, but given my background and wealth, I'm considering DIY. The technology is there, government is the hold up. Would you let your kid have seizures and cognitive problems because of red tape?
Metabolism is complicated and there are some really nasty and weird metabolic diseases out there, based on some small regulatory feedback loop being broken. Don't fix a working system!
If your weight bothers you, just go for walk or a swim once in a while. Have a salad.
It is super annoying when people post crap like this, as though that's all it would take to address the obesity epidemic.
By the way, there is approximately zero effect on weight in response to "going for a walk or a swim once in a while".
I acknowledge that there is an issue around cheap food being unhealthy food and people being forced to eat chips for lunch for financial reasons, but for anyone in the middle class or above I really don't understand why it's more complicated than 'move more, eat less'.
It's hard. But it's not complicated.
a therapeutic doesn't want you to kill the proteins it creates because the proteins created need to be able to go and do work on other cells... so it needs to look somewhat like "normal" proteins that a body would create naturally.
mRNA is sort analogous to code that compiles to proteins
https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/early-concerns-rai...
25-45% randomly modified or defective mRNA doesn't sound safe. It's a bit like machine code with random errors, isn't it?
The basic punchline is that while prion diseases are terrifying, there's not a lot of them and they are quite specific - you have to have a protein which is already able to adopt that conformational structure, and it has to be a protein we already make natively, as prions only work with what's there.
We are probably still missing part of the picture as well: i.e. the prion diseases which cause problems are brain diseases, we don't see the same issue with other tissues.
It would be difficult to actually induce a prion disease in someone via genetic vaccine in the first place, since prion's notably don't have a genetic component - and in the case of vCJD the infectious and benign protein sequences are the same (i.e. the coding is already something we carry, they're conformational jumps).
Aha, this is helpful. And I believe mRNAs are not known to trigger these conformational jumps.
Another fact-check article supporting your statement: https://www.reuters.com/article/fact-check-no-evidence-that-...
Not always - Are you familiar with Prions diseases ?
All mRNA disappears from body in few days anyway.
What the article doesn't answer to me, is how to cure my 40 year old ex girlfriend with metabolic breast cancer. Sorry, but giving up on people just because it's technically challenging is not an answer to me. If the CAR-T or TIL therapies can cure her, I agree that the mRNA therapy route should be stopped, but right now trying all possible routes is my best bet to not be at her funeral.
"With the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, protection against symptomatic COVID-19 was found to be 52% from 12 days after the first dose (immunity takes time to build). Protection then rose to 95% after the second dose." [1]
"Vaccine efficacy, based on the numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases from 21 days after the first dose of vaccine, is reported as 91·6% (95% CI 85·6–95·2), and the suggested lessening of disease severity after one dose is particularly encouraging for current dose-sparing strategies." [2]
Dear mRNA-ists, how is 95 % after second dosis (mRNA) vs 91·6% after first dosis (non-mRNA) worth being called "hugely outperforming"?
And I didn't even go into the severe side effects of mRNA vaccines (AZ: Blood clotting in brain and/or lung; Biontech: Myocarditis, Anaphylaxia) vs virtual absence of side effects in traditional vaccines. But how dare I point those out, that's heresy, right? :O
[1] https://theconversation.com/covid-19-vaccines-why-its-import...
[2] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
https://twitter.com/angie_rasmussen/status/13873971863720058...
Just want to emphasize the conclusion, because if you stop reading before the end, you might think that the article is dismissive of mRNA, its not, just realistic in the remaining challenges for some of the more ambitious outcomes of it.
At this point, the author of this article is more expert than I'll ever be, I'd assume that he has reasons to consider mRNA a low hanging fruit compared to existing tech like protein-subunit or adenovirus for infectious diseases.
And against DNA-based, well mRNA has beat it to the punch in being used at scale in humans, so that's possibly one advantage.
https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/14/health/novavax-covid-19-vacci...
Does anyone know what the agreed upon criteria for asserting the success of mRNA vaccinations is?
Aren’t we anticipating an uptick in cases in the US as we approach winter? Why are we assuming success already?
I guess a combination of how little side-effects they've had at scale, and of how effective the data shows they are at preventing the first virus and the earlier variants, which is what it was designed for.
I think the uptick expected is with regards to unvaccinated people, and to new variants for the most part. You should also still see a 5% to 10% of cases in vaccinated people, as the vaccines show a range of effectiveness only around the 90%, so an uptick will still occur, but the overall numbers should be much lower in vaccinated people.
To conclude, success is not on our fight against Covid, though you can say it definitely helped a lot, but the vaccine technology has definitely shown success here.