Earth is trapping twice as much heat as it did in 2005
livescience.com
livescience.com
> An unusually intense PDO phase that began in about 2014 caused a reduction in cloud formation above the ocean, which also resulted in the increased absorption of incoming energy by the planet, the scientists said.
It’s really not looking great.
We should be converting cities into greener spots to reduce ambient heat, and start switching to hydro-phonic farming within the cities. These are not future techs we already have them. No one need new fighter jets, when you have nukes. So why drown money into 'new jet research'?
> some cheap device people could have in their home or garden that removes CO2
CO2 should not be a citizen's option. Its a mindset that corporations want to push.
Its up to you individual to fight global warming. Hell it is not. Big business/polluters are the main source of CO2 and they should be responsible for dealing with their mess. They have been reaping rewards of not dealing with externalities for decades so its them that have to pick up the cheque now.
I am not against having a co2 scrubber connected to your solar panel, just the idea that common people should be doing 'their part' when the main source of co2 is not doing their part.
So if it had been doubled it would have increased to 78 C, which is obvious bullshit.
My point is more one of technical correctness. People keep thinking that the greenhouse effect is something new and strange, but without it the earth would be a snowball regardless of the about 0.5% increase we have affected so far, or the predicted 1% increase we will get in 30 years at current development. When people are saying the greenhouse effect has suddenly increased temperature by 1C they make people go what, that sounds strange and huge? if you say, the sum total of human activity in the world has had an 0.5% effect on the critical 74C atmosphere greenhouse property people generally go really, not more?
The bad framing caused by shitty incorrect titles like the one linked is making the problem worse. Politicians arent saying our atmospheric impact on the greenhouse effect is insignificant so far, they are outright denying that the greenhouse effect exists. And they get away with it because of bad framing.
That 4C temperature is the long-term equilibrium. The word "trapped" in the headline means the amount of additional energy that goes to alter that equilibrium.
It's not measuring the total greenhouse effect. It's measuring the additional greenhouse effect. Or rather, all of the total factors contributing to warming, which includes things like more blue ocean rather than bright ice.
As you note, the existing greenhouse effect is really quite large, and the additional ~200 ppm of carbon dioxide is relatively small. It leads to a change of about 1C so far, and perhaps a total of 3-4C over the next century. But those changes are significant when it comes to human society, both directly because of the temperature and indirectly due to an increase in extreme events.
Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a relatively small (presently ∼0.3%) difference between global mean solar radiation absorbed and thermal infrared radiation emitted to space. EEI is set by natural and anthropogenic climate forcings and the climate system's response to those forcings. It is also influenced by internal variations within the climate system. Most of EEI warms the ocean; the remainder heats the land, melts ice, and warms the atmosphere. We show that independent satellite and in situ observations each yield statistically indistinguishable decadal increases in EEI from mid-2005 to mid-2019 of 0.50±0.47 W m-2 decade-1 (5%-95% confidence interval). This trend is primarily due to an increase in absorbed solar radiation associated with decreased reflection by clouds and sea-ice and a decrease in outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) due to increases in trace gases and water vapor. These changes combined exceed a positive trend in OLR due to increasing global mean temperatures.
[0] https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL09...
It is a large factor due to high sulfur 27,000 ppm
It's unfortunate that the data doesn't go back terribly far though. It's nice to be able to look at a trend on one time scale, but without longer periods mapped for additional context it's difficult to know if the current trend is a local maximum on a wider scale. Correct me if I'm thinking about this wrong...
We've got plenty of long-term temperature charts, calculated in a variety of different ways. Wikipedia seems as good a place to start as any:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_temperature_record
This metric isn't really new. It's just becoming public because somebody's hoping that a new way to look at the same information might finally click with somebody. There hasn't really been anything new for decades about climate change, except the long steady drumbeat of data confirming the predictions. Which is no surprise: the basic physics and chemistry of climate change is really quite straightforward and well understood.
Regardless, I have little faith that a species which values money and reproduction so highly will be able to affect the changes needed to stave off apocalypse.
If true, this seems more meaningful than telling us CO2 levels...
They haven't just been telling you the CO2 levels. They've also been telling you the temperature, which are around .5C/1F over the long-term average.
Increasing temperature and increasing energy imbalance are one and the same thing. Trap more energy, get more temperature: it's the same Q=(delta T)mc you learned in high school chemistry.
It's just that we know that increasing CO2 is the reason for it, and it's the thing we can do something about.
Incidentally, the article specifically mentions a series of measurements, indicating that there is indeed a climate change going on, and while it also mentions short-term natural changes as a contributing factor, it also mentions that the scientist responsible for the study believe human factors are a large part of it.
If by screwed you mean 2% of the population dying due to climate change, and roughly the same amount of total infrastructure damage then sure, were screwed, but its not a civilizational threat.
Not to say it isnt bad, the loss of biosphere and the unique and irreplaceable information it contains is an absolute tragedy.
Get nuclear fusion working or use fission, small enough to put on a large ocean ship.
Sail these ships out to sea, spraying sea water high up into the atmosphere. (Hoses lifted up by balloons).
....
Profit.