Key witness in Assange case admits to lies in indictment
stundin.is
stundin.is
For example to this day barely anybody seems aware about the fact how Swedish police changed witness testimonies to create rape accusations that were never even made by the two women, to have these nasty accusations leaked to the press only hours later, in the middle of the night.
That's only one of the many findings by the UN rapporteur on torture, Nils Melzer. His investigation into the Assange case is probably one of the best and most neutral takes on it, but if true also a really scary one [0]
[0] https://www.republik.ch/2020/01/31/nils-melzer-about-wikilea...
Here are the allegations:
He had consensual sex, and the condom broke. He didn’t tell the woman after the fact, but she found it in the trash. She wanted him to get an HIV test. He refused. She tried to get the police to force him to get an HIV test.
To her dismay, they decided to charge him with rape. This is all in the UN special rapporteur’s report, and apparently uncontested by everyone involved.
https://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2015/09/25/siggi_the...
Who on earth isn’t asking at this point “Are we (US intel agencies) the baddies?”
I'm quite torn. I feel like a dissonance in theory and practice is at play here. If you ask people about "American values" a lot of times you'll come up with things around freedom, liberty, in general individualism and protection from the "other" of tyrannical government. That's the theory. In practice, those individuals that make up U.S. intelligence agencies justify the dissonance between their tyrannical actions and their ideals by arguments such as "if it were the Russian/Chinese/Other on top things would be worse", etc. All boiling down to "necessary evils".
So, which is better, a tyrannical regime that professes values of liberty or a tyrannical regime that tacitly admits that it's tyrannical?
I feel like I may be betraying a bit too much of my lack of authority and competence on the subject, but there's something that has stuck with me as the central point of one of the sides at the end of the anime "Legends of the Galactic Heroes". SPOILER Paraphrasing: "Democracy may be just as bad for the people as autocracy, but at least in democracy the people deserve their fate".
That means more people can blow the whistle which should be no issue if you are the good ones and act ethically sound.
Your juxtaposition is wrong in the first place, but yes, that is a common line of thought in rationalizing breaking the laws you are supposed to protect. On the contrary, it leads down the same road, so there isn't any practical difference.
There's a whole political party whose dominant position is to go "rah rah" and paint pretty much any criticism of these agencies as unpatriotic. It is still not a settled opinion in the US that waterboarding is torture.
Congress passed amendments and bills that prohibited actually transferring detainees into the mainland US, because people went full NIMBY over “terrorists” in their backyard. The President’s power is not absolute.
JFK was quite bitter about his experience, for example, and suggested he wished to "splinter the C.I.A. into a thousand pieces and scatter it to the winds."
https://www.nytimes.com/1966/04/25/archives/cia-maker-of-pol...
https://www.ratical.org/ratville/JFK/Unspeakable/JFK-scatter...
As for this fellow, intel agencies don’t get to both conjure lies AND claim guilt by association--with 5-year gap in the timing to boot--though surely they are not beneath trying. Surely the ends justify the means, right?
Quite the contrary to your misguided assertions, way back in 1993, Assange consulted for the Victoria Australia police to apprehend child molestors and pornography distributors.
For better or worse, when bringing legal action against criminals, law enforcement sometimes needs to use evidence from other criminals and various kinds of unsavory characters.
I appreciate your applied view of the legal system but it's reasonably likely that such derogatory evidence would not even be admitted in court.
This is middle-age justice with a modern veneer. Might as well torture confessions.
[0] https://technofog.substack.com/p/when-the-fbi-framed-four-in...
I have no insight into the body of the post, but LOL at this conclusion. Durham has been running his “investigation” now for more than two years and has found diddly squat. The sole product of the Durham investigation is breathless “just wait for the bombshell” punditry from disingenuous right-wing extremist pundits, the same crew who are convinced Hillary Clinton is running a child sex dungeon in a pizza parlor.
The entire premise of the article under discussion in this thread is (1) “Assange associate who provided evidence to the FBI is an attenion-seeking sociopath and pathological liar” (everyone seems to more or less agree on this point), and (2) “you should believe what he just told a random journalist”.
A bunch of people are claiming here that this proves Assange is an oppressed freedom fighter or something. Personally I think it furthers a general impression that Assange and a bunch of other people in the Wikileaks orbit were liars and criminals with questionable agendas and methods.
https://www.emptywheel.net/2021/06/27/wikileaks-and-edward-s...
> This is what Assange’s boosters are now staking his defense on: convincing you to accept the words of liars as truth.
The people this article calls "Assange boosters" aren't rallying behind this person or claiming that he's not lying now, they're saying: "This man is a pathological liar either way, can't be trusted, and thus is useless as a witness. This man's words carry precisely zero weight at this point, whatever he claims."
That blog entry goes on to address a bunch of other strawmen that resemble no argument made in this HN thread. I don't know why you would link it.
A guy provided evidence, and then he said he lied, so he was telling the truth the first time. Thanks Marcy.
I do encourage you all to open the link and note how she writes in what is effectively a context-free grammar, presupposing conclusions, discussing casually about how they're correct, and linking back to more incorrect interpretations. The only way to even try to parse such nonsense is to click on endless links, which will eventually get you back to absolutely nothing. Like Lord of the Rings, except backwards and the characters travel in circles.
If you like this, Seth Abramson is similar, slightly more legal authority, equal intellectual weight.
Not that it'll matter if you're truly disinterested, but you posted a reply, so I guess you're not.
Since the Inception of the FBI they have declared war on the citizenry, they have zero respect for the constitution, seeing it as a hurtle to their power.
They have done this under many names "War on crime", "War on Drugs", "War on Terror", and now "War on Domestic Extremism"
They are all covers for the same abuse of power. The only way to end it is a complete reversion of decades and decades of legal frameworks that allows all levels of government to ignore the constitution, pass laws clearly outside the powers of Article 2 Section 8, and removal of all accountability under immunity practices like "Qualified Immunity" and "Sovereign Immunity"
In sort it will take something on the order of another Constitutional Convention and a complete restructure of the federal government... So I doubt anything is going to change
Their failure to actually prove that justice will catch up with the big fish at the top of the crime, drugs, and terror chains has resulted in the domestic extremism problem.
The FBI's continued incompetency laid bare. Possibly by design.
You can have a party dedicated to potholes if you have enough potholes, and you can have a party dedicated to agency oversight.
Both partys need to form coalitions to get any control, and need to compromise with each other or find win win situations for both parties.
The two party system has similar inside groups that sort of do this but it isnt pronounced, people still fall back to party lines when pushed (instead of their own views), and none are forced to compromise for their constituents. If they toe the party line theyre safe.
Someone who makes comments such as "Deep State Department," "drain the Swamp," and "witchhunt"?
I'm having Trumble thinkinp of one. I Don't know aldbody offhand.
He would have to be backed by the US military to have a realistic shot against such powerful factions of the US oligarchy. Who's popular with the military?
https://citymonitor.ai/government/they-rely-you-being-intimi...
All that "drain the swamp" bullshit? The fever swamp made that up. That was never Trump's gig, not once, from the day he showed up until he fled.
Currently Republicans though it used to be the Democrats.
Embedding undercover agitators in radical groups goes on all the time I'm sure. It's valuable but very easily abused, too.
>Currently Republicans though it used to be the Democrats.
This statement shows the absurdity of a two-party political system. Voting for either party will not change anything. You need to vote for particular politicians, and if that's not possible, then there is no way at all for reform or change.
People who switch parties to vote for their pet issue probably have a disproportionate impact on the outcomes, because both parties gain an incentive to take a position on that issue.
Nope, they need to mobilize their voters and demobilize the opposition. The media narrative about the importance of swing voters is greatly exaggerated, but it justifies election year media drama like showcasing “undecided voter” panels at debates.
You know, the FBI seems to have advanced notice and involvement with a lot of these kinds of plots...including the ones that actually go off. What is it that they're getting done with our tax money anyway?
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/peteraldhous/fbi-entrap...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/nov/16/fbi-entrapment...
https://www.hrw.org/report/2014/07/21/illusion-justice/human...
He's also facing a very minor charge (max 5 years in prison) for conspiracy to commit computer intrusion for allegedly helping Manning attempt to hack a computer.
Otherwise I agree. His treatment comes down to nothing other than the fact the USA govt want to make it very, very clear that they are willing to totally destroy anyone's lives who dare publish the horrific things they're doing.
It was actually senior Guardian journalists who compromised the cables by publishing the password Assange had entrusted them with. That's what led to the unredacted copies being made available. Jonathan Cook has written about it here: https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2020-09-26/guardian-assan...
> The Guardian book let the cat out of the bag. Once it gave away Assange’s password, the Old Bailey hearings have heard, there was no going back.
> Any security service in the world could now unlock the file containing the cables. And as they homed in on where the file was hidden at the end of the summer, Assange was forced into a desperate damage limitation operation. In September 2011 he published the unredacted cables so that anyone named in them would have advance warning and could go into hiding – before any hostile security services came looking for them.
> Yes, Assange published the cables unredacted but he did so – was forced to do so – by the unforgivable actions of Leigh and the Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2010/aug/10/afghanistan-wa...
The accusation was that the Afghan documents were not sufficiently redacted, but they were redacted. The Iraq War documents, released later, were more heavily redacted.
Basically helping to break into the computer system moves you out of the realm of journalist and into the realm of political enemy which now makes you vulnerable to espionage.
I think there isn’t much case law around this stuff though.
It's bad enough that there's a law on the books that allows the US government to go after American journalists, but in this case, the US government is asserting the right to prosecute a foreign journalist who operated from outside the US. As far as I understand it, if Julian Assange is extradited, he will not be able to argue in court that WikiLeaks' publications were in the public interest.
Good luck getting the Supreme Court agreeing with that. That greatest disappointment in the entire American Experiment has to be the US Supreme Court.
That was the founders greatest mistake, vesting soo much power in this single branch
They made up their own powers. There's nothing about judicial review in the Constitution. They basically decided that they had that power, and everybody else agreed with them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marbury_v._Madison
So perhaps their greatest mistake wasn't vesting too much, but vesting too little. That left the court open to write its own job description. And also to create lifetime appointments, in theory to de-politicize it, but in practice to enshrine ideologies for many decades.
That said, whistleblower protection rarely covers confidential information anyway.
The crime he’s charged with is that he was willing to (and I think did?) assist in breaking into a computer system to get the docs. I think under the CFAA. They have communication records of this because the person he was talking to was working for the USG.
Had he just been accepting docs as he was initially that would have been fine.
It’s hard to know the truth here though when nation state interests are at play. To what extent were the sex related charges against him political or flared up by nation state meddling?
At some point Russia was also using Wikileaks as a place to target the USG with some plausible deniability and Assange’s personal anti-US politics became a corrupting influence too.
So, who knows?
The US government claims this, but it's not been proven.
>At some point Russia was also using Wikileaks as a place to target the USG with some plausible deniability and Assange’s personal anti-US politics became a corrupting influence too.
This is just more Russiagate nonsense: https://pics.me.me/russiagate-explained-wikileaks-posted-the...
>To what extent were the sex related charges against him political or flared up by nation state meddling?
There are no charges. There never were any charges. There was an investigation and that's as far as it went.
>UPDATE GREAT NEWS: Swedish prosecutors are about to announce the dropping of the investigation into Julian Assange on sexual offence allegations. There never were any charges and the allegations were always nonsense, as detailed in the below article I wrote a month ago:
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2017/05/no-rape-char...
The Russian bit can be politically inconvenient for you and yet also be true.
I'm not sure how it's politically inconvenient for me when I'm a registered Pacific Green.
People need to stop "thinking" in false dichotomies like left vs right or liberal vs. conservative. Astrology is six times smarter.
The West being less hostile to and more willing to collaborate with Russia is a frequent position promoted in Pacific Green circles; Russia being tied to active hostile activity against Western regimes is politically inconvenient to that message.
This should be a frequent position promoted in sane circles. What is the alternative, promoting war between nuclear powers? A permanent campaign of bullying, hoping that the Russians never get into a position to do anything about it?
If the US can be close allies with the Saudis and the Israelis at the same time, they can collaborate with Russia.
The merits of the idea are irrelevant to whether an American politician corruptly colluding with Russia is politically inconvenient to those holding it.
Pure DNC propaganda. Zero basis in reality.
> We the People must: […] End the cold war with Iran and the resurgent cold war with Russia, forestall the emerging economic war with China, and withdraw from NATO.
You might argue that this doesn't require being more willing to collaborate with Russia but it absolutely means being less hostile to Russia.
Withdraw from NATO would be a good start.
The not-to-be-praised former President attempted troop drawdown from Germany, which was quickly reversed earlier this year.
Politically motivated reasoning can come from any party or person.
The comic’s content suggested some anti-Hillary sentiment, that paired with “Russiagate” suggested some pro-Bernie political lean, Green Party probably fits with that? Aren’t they more hard-left?
Sister reply is also relevant.
s/presented/investigated
There's a lot of things to investigate https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/12/21/how-russian-money-helpe... but since the whole world saw what happened on the 6th and what did not after I don't think there'll ever be evidences extraordinary enough to act on any kind of claims.
Even tho Euromaidan had US senators in person riling up protesters for regime change [0] and the new interim PM, after a bloody revolution, was sponsored by literally the US DoS and NATO [1].
Pointing this pretty blatant evidence out just gets one called a "Russian troll". While in the US some extremely obscure financial connections to Russia, are allegedly responsible for singlehandedly deciding a whole election and making the following one also a rather close call.
Maybe it's just me, but this seems like a pretty blatant double standard, one that also disfranchises a substantial part of the US population, as allegedly being nothing than "idiots" brainwashed by Russia.
It's no wonder how this kind of narrative keeps increasing the hostility and tribalism, even if Russia wouldn't do anything at all.
[0] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/dec/15/john-mccain-uk...
[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20200328203654/https://openukrai...
https://greenwald.substack.com/p/questions-about-the-fbis-ro...
The whole world saw what the FBI wanted them to see on the sixth. Time will tell what actually happened.
>Russians hack DNC
It seems to be rather hard to actually cite this mountain of evidence without looking like a partisan hack.
That said, if you have this “plenty of evidence” please lay it forth at the feet of humanity very clearly. It would be tremendously valuable and conclusive.
In practice we have waving again and again with more hand waving and assurance on top. A heroic confabulation of nonsense.
The Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity has members who have done good work for the public and the country. However, the memo referenced in your link did not even have the backing all the group's members and its arguments have been persuasively criticized.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Veteran_Intelligence_Professio...
But since you did bring him up, it reminded me that in July 2016, weeks after the DNC announced being breached, he publicly called on Russia to release information about Clinton. Candidate Donald J. Trump, verbally and in writing, called on a foreign government to interfere with the presidential campaign against his opponent; doing it in public doesn't make it okay.
"Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing, I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press. Let’s see if that happens. […] By the way, they hacked — they probably have her 33,000 emails. I hope they do. They probably have her 33,000 emails that she lost and deleted because you'd see some beauties there. So let's see."
I don't think "collusion" is the right term for what he did (the attempts to access emails had started in March); I don't know what the right term is, I just know it's not okay.
The Mueller report goes into specific detail or you can listen to the lawfare blog podcast that goes through it.
“Collusion” is a poorly defined term, the report found their actions didn’t rise to the level of criminal conspiracy, but there was plenty of evidence that the campaign was interested in support and responded to it (“collusion”).
Donald Trump Jr. just didn’t realize Russia was interested in getting the Magnitsky act revoked when he took the meeting and he was disappointed when the Russians didn’t have the “emails” (from the private server, not the DNC emails). The Russians thought they could manipulate their self-imposed orphan adoption ban issue, but DTJ didn’t care about orphans.
American intelligence agencies (or any intelligence agency) are not going to provide you with the precise methods they use to determine where the attack came from.
I suspect no evidence will meet your extraordinary standard because you’re only looking for evidence that supports an existing position based primarily on political motivated reasoning and cognitive bias.
Let's s start with even minimal evidence before we get to worrying about my cognitive biases.
Read #8 in this article: https://taibbi.substack.com/p/aaugh-a-brief-list-of-official...
"Shawn Henry of Crowdstrike, testifying in secret to congress, ... saying there was not “concrete evidence that data was exfiltrated from the DNC,”"
For example, in the muller report, a more extensive investigation, the specific hacking unit is identified. Whether or not crowdstrike knew in 2017 doesn't matter. Today we know APT-28 was responsible, and they're members of the GRU.
How exactly did they arrive at that attribution?
> Today we know APT-28 was responsible, and they're members of the GRU.
How do we know that? No offense, but out of all the places I thought at least people on HN should be aware about the massive caveats that modern-day cyber attribution comes with.
The vast majority of times it's just "educated guesses" based on identifiers that any smart adversary will know how to spoof and thus utilize as false leads.
It's something that feels like was generally recognized and agreed on circa a decade ago, but somehow got lost in the flood of sensationalist headlines trying to sell any nmap scan or somewhat noteworthy ransomware infestation as Russia/China/Iran starting cyber world war 3.
> The vast majority of times it's just "educated guesses" based on identifiers that any smart adversary will know how to spoof and thus utilize as false leads.
No, I'd say people on hn often vastly overstate the lengths people are willing to go to to create these false flag attacks. If we believed hn, no attacks are done, every cyber attack is actually spoofed by an even more formidable spy ring.
Sometimes the simplest answer is the right one. The attack, carried out with many technical signifiers of a Russian state backed attack, that was used to geopolitically help Russia was Russian.
The alternative is that someone (who?) was capable enough to infiltrate Russian cyber intelligence resources to then launch an attack on the us, which they then used to geopolitically assist Russia.
I'm not sure I can think of any attack where someone tried to successfully frame another nation. This doesn't mean they don't happen, but that they're rare. It also means that if they do happen, they're always successful, which seems unlikely. Far more likely is that successfully impersonating a state cyber attack is actually really really difficult, because doing so successfully would in general require persistent access to the state actor you're impersonating.
Why can't you just spell out the method of attribution, instead requiring me to read trough dozens of, mostly political, reports?
> The attack, carried out with many technical signifiers of a Russian state backed attack, that was used to geopolitically help Russia was Russian.
Technical signifiers are not difficult to spoof, nothing about them requires any nation state backing as they rely on heuristics which are semi-public.
That's been the reality of the "cyber theater" for decades: It's asymmetric, there's been more than one example of some lone kid on the spectrum, living in their parents basement, pwning very important and advanced national infrastructure at scale.
That's why I'm very skeptical when a cyber incident is instantly declared as "state level!", usually that's just part of PR and damage control script, along the lines of: "The adversary was a whole nation state, there's nothing we could have done to prevent this from happening!".
Even when the methods deployed are anything but exclusive to nation state actors: Spear-phishing and social engineering are not types of attacks that require nation state resources or knowledge, there's a whole grey market industry offering such attacks as a service.
> The alternative is that someone (who?) was capable enough to infiltrate Russian cyber intelligence resources to then launch an attack on the us, which they then used to geopolitically assist Russia.
Why would that be the only alternative? Your alternative assumes that the attribution to the Russian cyber intelligence is a fact beyond doubt.
> I'm not sure I can think of any attack where someone tried to successfully frame another nation.
That's because if said attack is successful, you wouldn't even know about it being such an attack, that's the crux of the problem.
> Far more likely is that successfully impersonating a state cyber attack is actually really really difficult, because doing so successfully would in general require persistent access to the state actor you're impersonating.
As mentioned before: Nobody needs to impersonate a state cyber attack because by now that's the default assumption not just by media but often enough by those affected themselves to cover up for their own InfoSec negligence.
"We got pwned by the whole Russian intelligence apparatus using massive resources!" sounds much more impressive, and sympathy inducing ,than "We got pwned by some kid from Ukraine because we don't patch our stuff/one of our employees got phished".
So, yes, someone would need to have piggybacked on Russian state controlled servers.
> Technical signifiers are not difficult to spoof, nothing about them requires any nation state backing as they rely on heuristics which are semi-public
Do you work in this field? I've basically only seen lay people suggest this.
> That's because if said attack is successful, you wouldn't even know about it being such an attack, that's the crux of the problem.
Hence my second point: that we've never seen evidence of an unsuccessful attempt, meaning that there's a 100% success rate of spoofing. You're telling me that's realistic? That the spoofers are just so incredibly more competent than everyone else that they never fuck up? That the random Ukrainian kid is so much better at hacking than various state agencies that when he impersonates them he always does it perfectly? That every Ukrainian kid is that competent? Come on.
Your thesis is essentially that state actors are the least competent "cyber actors", because everyone can impersonate them and none of them can tell. That's counter to basically everything else we know.
If you could be more specific, we could address this. However, you cannot, because the allegations are all this vague. If it's the assertion that I think it is, the "command and control servers" were asserted by Crowdstrike to be under Russian control, and its evidence for this, again, were somewhere deep in a rabbit warren of cross- and circular references[1].
> Do you work in this field? I've basically only seen lay people suggest this.
I have seen journalists claim that only lay people suggest this.
To your vague and amorphous allegations of "state actors", I reply with this specific analysis of the few concrete indicators of compromise supplied by the departments of the government making the allegation. It's farcical. If Russiagate were to be true, the Russian hackers are no better than script kiddies, using outdated PHP malware as they do. https://www.wordfence.com/blog/2016/12/russia-malware-ip-hac...
[1] Furthermore, IP addresses change constantly. Again, if you're referring to the assertion I think you are, that IP address had been defunct for over 2 years before the attack See https://www.wordfence.com/blog/2017/01/election-hack-faq/
An IP that was being used by Russian Intelligence today to hack a target may be used by another attacker to hack a different target a few days later. This can happen for several reasons:
- A hacked IP can be used by one attacker and then be compromised by a different attacker later on to also launch attacks.
- IP addresses change ownership from time to time. A Linode IP may be hacked by Russia and used to launch attacks. Then it may be shut down by Linode, change ownership and the new owner’s site can get hacked. Then that IP address is attacking once again, but the attacker is someone else.
- IP addresses are also dynamic if they belong to an internet service provider (ISP). Some of the IP’s in the Grizzly Steppe report do belong to ISP’s. For example we can see IP’s belonging to Yota.ru, a Russian internet service provider. The hostnames are ‘wimax-client.yota.ru’ which suggests that they are wifi customers. These IP’s are probably dynamic and regularly change hands. They may be used by one attacker today and a different attacker tomorrow.
Why do you cite older and less extensive reporting as though it debunks more recent and more thorough investigation?
> Furthermore, IP addresses change constantly
Yes, and if this was the only evidence, you'd maybe have a point. But, the collection of evidence is:
- a russian-state associated IP was used to
- deploy software developed by the Russian government
- to steal data that would be beneficial to Russia if published
- and was ultimately published via channels known to be associated with Russia (I'm not talking strictly WikiLeaks here, but also how they got the data)
For each of these bullet points, there are multiple pieces of supporting data.Your alternative explanation is what, exactly? A random ukranian group hacking for the lulz successfully stole this info and either did it so well that the us thought it was actually Russia, or the us lied and claimed it was Russia. That lulzy group proceeded to publish the data via russian-appearing channels or Russia then stole the data from the hackers to publish it. And said group never took credit, even though "we tricked the CIA" is about as much cyber hacker cred as you can get.
I apply Occam's razor. What's your excuse?
Keep in mind, I can apply exactly your logic and say that appearing amateurish is good operational practice for a state actor as it will make it more likey for people to claim that the attacker wasn't a state actor. That's the problem with unfalsifiable claims like yours, I can simply invent a better conspiracy, so to speak.
Not an argument or a refutation. A fallacy, in point of fact. Its age has nothing to do with the correctness of its argument.
Have you not read any of the comments above? All of these "more recent and thorough reports" - and again, here, as to which specific reports you're being as vague as the "reports" themselves - are obfuscating, designed to confuse and redirect, at the end of which is always "trust us, here are some other trustworthy reports that say the same thing".
By contrast, the word fence report goes through specific allegations and adresses them point by point. Clear, simple, straightforward. In all of the reports demonstrating that Russians hack the DNC, not one is as clear and straightforward, because it never can be.
Your alternative explanation is what, exactly?
You haven't really refuted anything here, and your reference to Occams Razor should come only after clear logical steps from evidence to conclusion, which you do not have.
I don't know who did it. Which is the point. No one does, and no one can know, given the evidence presented so far.
I can tell you this, though: politically, the content of the emails themselves were deeply embarrassing to the DNC. Collusion with the media, including the Washington Post and the New York Times, to kneecap Sander's campaign; Donna Brazile passing debate questions to Clinton; Clinton's strategy to promote Trump as the easy win, etc.
Now, however, any time anyone discusses the content of the emails, true believers such as yourself will interrupt to talk about how Trump won only because of Russians. It was such a stupidly transparent strategy I was stunned it actually grew legs and walked. Skeptical, but open, I eagerly awaited the evidence which never materialized, sadly.
...us lied and claimed it was Russia. That lulzy group proceeded to publish the data via russian-appearing channels or Russia then stole the data from the hackers to publish it. And said group never took credit, even though "we tricked the CIA" is about as much cyber hacker cred as you can get.
Here you kind of rhetorically descend into incoherence. I get it. You don't want to steel-man alternative ideas, because "Russians" is what you have been told and "Russians" is what you believe. But almost any other explanation is as plausible as Russians.
I listed 4 bullet points. You've agreed with 2 of them (the first, that a russian-state associated IP was used in the hack), and 3, that the data if published would be beneficial to russia (by being beneficial to trump). Those 4 evidence based claims, some of which you've admitted you agree are true, point to a simple answer: Russia was the culprit.
Yes, there are other alternative explanations, but all are vastly more complex, or fail to sufficiently address all of the evidence presented, hence my reference Occam's razor.
> Now, however, any time anyone discusses the content of the emails, true believers such as yourself will interrupt to talk about how Trump won only because of Russians.
I've never said this.
> I get it. You don't want to steel-man alternative ideas, because "Russians" is what you have been told and "Russians" is what you believe. But almost any other explanation is as plausible as Russians.
No, that's my point. That was my steel man. Your argument is incoherent. You're free to prove me wrong. Its easy: provide the alternative explanation that is more likely than it haivng been russia. Provide an explanation that better explains the facts we agree on:
1. A russian state-affiliated IP was used in the attack
2. The data stolen and leaked was geopolitically beneficial to russia.
Again, here's my simple explanation of these facts that we agree on: "A russian state-backed attack stole and leaked these documents". What's your simpler explanation? Prove me wrong. It should be easy.Looking directly at the evidence, the simplest, and far and away most likely answer, is that Russia was the culprit. Other answers are, perhaps, possible, but that doesn't make them as likely, unless you want to pretend that two explanations of the same phenomena are always equally likely. That's simply a failure to reason correctly, and I'd expect better of someone who wants to bring up fallacies.
Put another way, there's some evidence that supports the claim that it was Russia. There's no evidence that supports the claim that it was the Ukraine. This doesn't mean that it had to be Russia, yes, alternative explanations are possible, but looking solely at the evidence, all of it points to Russia, and none of it points to anyone else.
You can create alternate hypothesis, but they all rely on the evidence being somehow misleading ("The US government is lying", "The Ukranian teenager spoofed a Russian attack"). By Occam's Razor, those explanations are less likely, because they are more complex. You're welcome to present some additional evidence that makes those explanations more likely, but you haven't presented any, you've simply said the evidence we have isn't conclusive (which I agree with), and because of that all possibilities are equally likely, which is terrible reasoning.
An extraordinary claim should have unambiguous, clear, unassailable proof. A skeptic should be able to look at all the evidence and verify it for oneself. One cannot do that with each important assertion. Instead, one must rely on assertions by "persons familiar with the matter".
A flood of circumstantial evidence of dubious provenance, no matter how earnestly believed by the politically motivated, should not be enough to destabilize the Office of US Presidency (no matter how much one finds the holder of the office distasteful) nor make dangerous accusations of foreign nations.
This is a no-brainer. Yet here we are, talking about 2-year old IP addresses as if it were some smoking gun.
Perhaps I'm confused here, what do you believe the facts are? I don't want to misrepresent you, so here are my questions, numbered for easy reference:
1. Was the IP address in the crowdstrike report you cited ever affiliated with the Russian government?
2. Who or what developed the X-Agent software?
3. Do you believe the X-agent software was used in the DNC attack? If not, how do you believe the DNC hacked?
4. Do you believe the data stolen in the DNC hack and later leaked was geopolitically useful to the Russian government? (keep in mind that the Democratic party has recently been far more anti-Russia than the Republican Party, so the evidence I have suggests that Democratic foreign policy would be more aggressive towards Russia than Republican. Obama, Trump, and Biden's actual foreign policy actions, e.g. in Syria, support this hypothesis)
5. Do you believe the account in [0] is reliable? If not, what is your explanation of what occurred, and what evidence do you use to reach your conclusion?
6. Do you believe that this[1] highly redacted senate report is evidence? That is, do you put believe that anything can be inferred from the fact that US intelligence services believe that this attack was undertaken by Russia, and have presented that conclusion (and, presumably, some evidence supporting this conclusion) to the Senate Intelligence Committee? Related does it hold any value to you that no one on the SIC has denied that this hack was Russian-originated (and in fact a number of Repulbican members have agreed that he hack was done by Russian state actors)?
Please note "I don't know" isn't a valid answer to any of these questions, you must have some belief that is most likely, even if none is held with much confidence, please provide that belief.
> An extraordinary claim should have unambiguous, clear, unassailable proof.
My claim is that based on the evidence we have, the most likely explanation is that the attack was undertaken by Russia. What about this is "extraordinary"? If you mean the broader claim, "Russia did a successful cyberattack against the US", I again don't see what is extraordinary about that claim.
> A flood of circumstantial evidence of dubious provenance, no matter how earnestly believed by the politically motivated, should not be enough to destabilize the Office of US Presidency (no matter how much one finds the holder of the office distasteful) nor make dangerous accusations of foreign nations.
I'm confused, I'm not making any claim about the any president. I'm making claims about a cyberattack.
I'm unclear what about "The Russian government undertook cyber-espionage against the US" is a dangerous claim. I'd make the same claim, in general, about the US. I'm quite confident that the US undertakes cyber-espionage against Russia too. I just don't have any particular examples at hand, but if you cited one, I wouldn't consider it "dangerous".
> The proof of all of which, if it exists at all, is buried under a warren of circular self-references, and journalists who breathlessly report them as known.
I'm confused, I'm referencing an[0] indictment by Robert Muller against the named GRU agents accused of carrying out the attack in question. There's no journalists involved at all.
[0]: https://www.justice.gov/file/1080281/download
[1]: https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/docu...
This level of requirement is beyond what’s required to convict someone of murder in a court of law. It’ll basically never be met under any conditions.
It’s also almost certainly selectively applied to cases where they don’t want to accept a conclusion.
It’s admirable to lay out details, but I’m skeptical you’ll make any progress here. If their responses are in good faith maybe it’ll have some affect, maybe they think they’re responding in good faith? It feels strongly driven by motivated reasoning rather than a genuine interest in what’s likely to be true.
Wait, what? I don't know most of these answers. Neither do you.
"Who wrote X-Agent?" "It was definitely Russians" is not a valid answer, either.
An indictment is not evidence. It's an accusation. Show the evidence, let it be examined, cross-examined, etc.
No, spooks' testimony is not credible by itself, not after they repeatedly lied under oath, to both congress and the public.
> "Do you believe the data stolen in the DNC hack and later leaked was geopolitically useful to the Russian government? "
"geopolitically" not to nitpick, but you probably mean plain "politically"
Not necessarily. Clinton was already cosy with the Russians as State Secretary. Trump was an unknown quantity. Asserting anything else is a retcon.
> "The Russian government undertook cyber-espionage against the US"
You're literally putting quotes around something I did not write. The accusation was far stronger than that. The accusation was that the Russians, WikiLeaks and the Trump campaign colluded to get Trump elected in exchange for preferential treatment. The DNC hack was a small part of it. But no, there's no evidence of that small part, either.
Ok, I think it's clear that there's no more fruitful exchange to happen on this topic. I tried to demonstrate that the evidence must be extraordinary and that it does not rise to that level. You disagree. You tried to demonstrate to me that the evidence is extraordinary. I disagree.
Know that I'll read your reply, and absorb it, and think on it, but likely won't answer. Let us amicably agree to disagree on this.
You're absolutely correct, but based on the weight of the evidence we have, we can find a most likely explanation. You've previously stated that all explanations bare equally likely, but that's not true. Bayesian reasoning allows us to look at various pieces of evidence and priors and weigh them, even when all are individually of dubious use.
It's clear you don't want to answer any of those questions. They're simpler questions, my assumption here, again based on the weight of the evidence is that you're avoiding answering them because they demonstrate that Russia being responsible is the most likely answer.
As another user mentions, you're showing lots of examples of motivated reasoning, and that's unfortunate. Even more so that you're then projecting these accusations upon me. Hopefully your inability to engage with the substance of what I've presented will demonstrate that to any other readers.
> You're literally putting quotes around something I did not write.
Yes and, this is a valid rhetorical act when, for example suggesting the abstract idea one is discussing.
> The accusation was far stronger than that. The accusation was that the Russians, WikiLeaks and the Trump campaign colluded to get Trump elected in exchange for preferential treatment. The DNC hack was a small part of it. But no, there's no evidence of that small part, either.
That's not an accusation I made. Nor did any one else in this thread. And I'd agree that it is less likely than what I'm actually suggesting, which is that there wasn't collusion per say, but simply mutually beneficial actions. This is what is supported by the weight of the evidence and claimed in government reports, for example. That Russia hacked and leaked DNC data, to the benefit of the trump campaign and Russia itself, obviously. I'm unclear why you feel it necessary to inflate the accusations made to something less likely. This feels very motte-and-bailey, although I can't tell if it was intentional or a subconscious way to protect your preconception.
The Trump campaign, at minimum Paul Manafort, colluded with agents of Russia [2].
I'm not going to research how strong the public evidence that Russia was behind the DNC hack but again, it's not an extraordinary claim.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_Tower_meeting
[1] https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/id-exclusive-interview-trump-listen-foreigners-offered-dirt/story?id=63669304
[2] https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-paul-manafort-russia-campaigns-konstantin-kilimnik-d2fdefdb37077e28eba135e21fce6ebf A. He wasn't president at the time.
B. While it's natural to assume that a candidate is aware of, and is ultimately responsible for, everything his campaign does, I've distinguished between his campaign colluding and Trump personally colluding.
C. Everything that has already been made public about the campaign makes further claims that are less well documented not extraordinary.
> poor and circumstantial evidence that's hard to sort through and falsifyAllow me to spoon-feed an important part to you. Don Jr. publicly released emails about the Trump Tower meeting, those are real and not circumstantial evidence in his desire to collude and others in the campaign attended the meeting with foreknowledge of this. Google 'don jr "i love it"' and there are a zillion news stories about them, I don't know how you missed them at the time. An NPR story linked to a complete PDF [0] of what Don Jr released. Here's the beginning of a NY Times story [1] about them:
> The June 3, 2016, email sent to Donald Trump Jr. could hardly have been more explicit: One of his father’s former Russian business partners had been contacted by a senior Russian government official and was offering to provide the Trump campaign with dirt on Hillary Clinton.
> The documents “would incriminate Hillary and her dealings with Russia and would be very useful to your father,” read the email, written by a trusted intermediary, who added, “This is obviously very high level and sensitive information but is part of Russia and its government’s support for Mr. Trump.”
> If the future president’s eldest son was surprised or disturbed by the provenance of the promised material — or the notion that it was part of a continuing effort by the Russian government to aid his father’s campaign — he gave no indication.
> He replied within minutes: “If it’s what you say I love it especially later in the summer.”
[0] https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/3892196/Donald-Trump-Jr-Email-Exchange.pdf
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/11/us/politics/trump-russia-email-clinton.htmlHere is my reply. Simple.
https://taibbi.substack.com/p/aaugh-a-brief-list-of-official...
Your link is primarily about the press being insufficiently skeptical about sources in stories related to foreign intelligence. At yet it contains lines like this:
> No matter what, the clear aim of this report is to cast certain stories about Joe or Hunter Biden as misinformation, when the evidence more likely shows that material like the Hunter Biden emails is real, just delivered from a disreputable source. [emphasis added]
Taibbi is revealing his bias at the same time he's claiming bias influenced the contents of a report.
I'm all for healthy skepticism in the public and especially as a part of journalists doing their jobs. Journalists absolutely consider what sources have to gain or what axes they may have to grid. But reflexively assuming anything from the government is a lie is just as bad as assuming it's true. And when there's a public statement or report, that is news and needs to be reported on.
> reflexively assuming anything from the government is a lie
While true, this is a non-sequitur. "The government" is not a monolith. Some in "the government" insist that Russia hacked the DNC, usually Democrats, while others in "the government" insist that it's nonsense
Was it more valuable as kompromat?
The “RNC hack” was one guy’s old laptop with a years out of date local outlook db. Not even in the same league.
You have proof of that? This says otherwise.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/09/us/obama-russia-election-...
I'm replying for the sake of challenging your statement but I know it's likely not possible to have an honest discussion about it because you appear to be taking a partisan stance. I have no love for either party, and even if I did love the Dems, I'd be more than happy to acknowledge any and all failings of theirs.
Can you say the same thing?
https://www.wired.com/2017/01/russia-hacked-older-republican... https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/04/exclusive-emails-o...
If WikiLeaks is about exposing corruption doesn't it seem like they'd do so across party lines?
I don't trust either party but I also don't trust WikiLeaks to be operating without agenda as well.
And "Russiagate" is a bit more nuanced than that - Wikileaks claimed to have GOP emails as well but for some reason never released them.
[citation needed]
The Wikipedia sources for the DNC hack article [0] say the RNC wasn't successfully hacked. "GOP" refers to the entire Republican Party so I suppose there could be emails from a different Republican origin than the RNC.
> intelligence organizations additionally concluded Russia attempted to hack the Republican National Committee (RNC) as well as the DNC but were prevented by security defenses on the RNC network.
Searching for a source for the GOP claim did remind me of internal WikiLeaks messages from 2015 showing at least Assange's preference for the GOP over Hilary Clinton.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Democratic_National_Committee_email_leak#United_States_intelligence_conclusions
[1] https://theintercept.com/2018/02/14/julian-assange-wikileaks-election-clinton-trump/>“We do have some information about the Republican campaign,” he said Friday, according to The Washington Post.
>“I mean, it’s from a point of view of an investigative journalist organization like WikiLeaks, the problem with the Trump campaign is it’s actually hard for us to publish much more controversial material than what comes out of Donald Trump’s mouth every second day," Assange said.
When it comes to leaks about Democrats, everything is worth publishing. When it comes to leaks about Republicans, it needs to "controversial" to be worth publishing.
[1] - https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/2934...
Guess what? I have some information that is not worth publishing too. I bet you do too. So what would you propose the action be there?
You've asked fair questions, but you cannot presume the answers. Maybe you should start a blog and see if you can make such decisions yourself about what's worth publishing. Some people might even harangue you about your decisions and declare that you're a malicious foreign agent.
https://www.wikileaks.org/wiki/Sarah_Palin_Yahoo_account_200...
The statement from Wikileaks is inarguable given the information available. You have simply extrapolated a talking point that they discriminated against one side. That is simply second-order, non-provable agitation.
You simply disagree with their judgment in theory without having information about what you’re disputing, the magnitude, and the quality of your critique. You’ve clearly filled in the blanks with what you want to validate your criticism.
Once again, I am not assuming or presuming anything. I am judging the documents directly. Have you looked at them? Because it doesn't get any more mundane and uninteresting than people taking office lunch orders[1], people reporting they are at the dentist, or even over a hundred automatic out of office replies[3]. If these emails are worthy of publishing, everything is worthy of publishing.
If anything, these emails have negative public value because they drown out the leaked emails that might have actually interesting content and many of them, especially the out of office emails, end up leaking totally innocent people's contact information.
[1] - https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/21638
[2] - https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/23479
[3] - https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/?q=&title=automatic+reply&c...
Well now with their only witness coming out and saying that he lied about the whole thing and is receiving immunity for his testimony they've got shit-all.
I think that, even in and of itself, if a nation state intelligence agency is attempting a smear campaign or outright character assassination, and the very best they can manage is "may have had sex that was consensual but unprotected without agreement"?
That's one hell of a sad state of affairs for that intelligence agency.
Like beyond "never attribute to malice what can be explained by stupidity", "government incompetence" cliches. Like amazingly pathetic. I can't fathom that being the line they'd go for.
"Sir, we came up with a plan to destroy his character in the public's eye!"
"Great, what is it?"
"Well, uhh, he had a bit of a threesome-like affair, and he may not have used a condom even though he said he would... we can spin that so well that everyone will disown him!"
"..."
That's literally the line they went for, thanks to Snowden we do know Five Eyes runs programs exactly for these kinds of character assassinations [0].
Or why do you think we had all these amazing headlines about how badly Assange allegedly treats his cat and how dirty his bathroom is? How is that of relevance to anybody on a global scale?
It's all pure ad-hominem to keep the narrative about him as a person, and not what he actually did and blew the whistle on.
Yeah, but that's not stopping the US for charging him with the Espionage act for it anyway. Most of his charges are for leaking/seeking secret info. The charge for assisting Manning is 5 potential years of the 175 he faces.
> Had he just been accepting docs as he was initially that would have been fine.
They would just invent something else.
Not really and not after they faked witness reports. It is completely in line with what was published and there was no alternative in acquiring this information, which there certainly being enough public interest.
There's a passage in Sarah Kendzior's book (Hiding in plain sight: the invention of Donald Trump and the erosion of America) which clicked (to me): ultimately things like wikileaks damage societies and governments that are transparent. You will always find more dirt and problems in public/accessible records than in dictatorships. These initiatives are doomed to be used at some points as tools against healthy democracies/open states.
edit: the passage
> Among the few who saw the threat clearly was computer scientist Jaron Lanier, who, in 2010, warned the public of a new danger: WikiLeaks. At the time, free speech advocates were hailing WikiLeaks, and its founder, Julian Assange, as defenders of government transparency. Their lionization of the leaker organization was largely due to frustration with the criminal impunity of the Bush administration. In February 2010, soldier Chelsea Manning exposed war crimes by sending classified documents to WikiLeaks, which WikiLeaks then published online. The emphasis on civilian victims led human rights advocates to believe that WikiLeaks would prove a formidable opponent for autocratic regimes. But after WikiLeaks dropped hacked documents from the US State Department in November, Lanier predicted the opposite—that WikiLeaks would ultimately ally with dictators and that social media networks would abet them:
>> The WikiLeaks method punishes a nation—or any human undertaking—that falls short of absolute, total transparency, which is all human undertakings, but perversely rewards an absolute lack of transparency. Thus an iron-shut government doesn’t have leaks to the site, but a mostly-open government does.
>> If the political world becomes a mirror of the Internet as we know it today, then the world will be restructured around opaque, digitally delineated power centers surrounded by a sea of chaotic, underachieving openness. WikiLeaks is one prototype of a digital power center, but others include hedge funds and social networking sites.
>> This is the world we are headed to, it seems, since people are unable to resist becoming organized according to the digital architectures that connect us. The only way out is to change the architecture.
> Social media sites didn’t change the architecture. Instead, over the course of the 2010s, the architecture changed us. The calculus of post–Cold War politics—that democracy spreads through engagement, that technology enhances freedom—was reversed. Hostile states used digital technology not only to attack their own citizens but to attempt to transform foreign democracies into dictatorships. We saw this with Russian influence operations in elections in the United States, France, and in the Brexit referendum, among others.10 The social media corporations that had once bragged of the internet’s liberating power now helped the hijackers of democracy. Networks like Facebook abetted, whether intentionally or not, the “iron triangles” of organized crime, state corruption, and corporate criminality, and they were aided by complicit Western actors content to let their own countries die while turning a profit.
And Snowden, having escaped overseas but not being particularly hidden, would have had an encounter with some kind of nerve agent delivered by someone totally unconnected to the government he had leaked info from.
None of which endorses the US treatment of any of them.
> You will always find more dirt and problems in public/accessible records than in dictatorships.
Wikileaks isn't some sort Wikipedia of public/accessible records, it's a platform to publish confidential information.If the US gov is a healthy, democratic, open gov, how and why can Wikileaks be so damaging?
Should we stop newspapers?
Because we are still humans and fallible. No matter how healthy, open gov or democratic our governing bodies are I suppose there will always be something going off rails at some points and it's much easier to spot it in transparent governing structures (which usually means democracies) than in non-transparent ones (which usually means dictatorships).
> > You will always find more dirt and problems in public/accessible records than in dictatorships.
> Wikileaks isn't some sort Wikipedia of public/accessible records, it's a platform to publish confidential information.
Yes, yes. But it's easier to feed wikileaks with information from democracies than from dictatorships.
> I believe the reason you are getting down voted isn't because you don't cite your source, but because the reasoning is absurd.
I am okay with downvotes ^^ as long as it's not a flamewar.
Did you look at what Wikileaks revealed? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WikiLeaks#Leaks
I don't think you realize the scale of what is happening. These aren't some cute human mistakes or tax evasion.
We are talking war crimes, environmental disasters, political corruption, ...
And yes - lots of it targets the US gov, maybe time to rethink what the US (and others) gov is and isn't ?
This isn't the work of fallible humans, this is the work of malfunctioning states.
Without Wikileaks, medias and investigation that reveals the wrongdoings ... dictatorship is at the end of the road.
This is why the reasoning that Wikileaks helps dictatorships and hurts democracies is absurd.
I never wrote that nor implied it. I wrote and I maintain that wikileaks deals more blows to democracies than dictatorships and that it's because of the very nature of democracies (edit: notwithstanding the whole anti-US bias of Assange).
I don't know how to make my point clearer:
- Wikileaks's leaks are mainly about democracies, not dictatorships.
- It creates tensions in these democracies and it does not in dictatorships.
- This consumes resources and has consequences in democracies (civil unrest, lack of trust from the population, investigations, weakening of governments, tensions in relationships with other nations, etc.)
- Whether it's a good thing or not, it's desirable or not doesn't change the fact that dictatorships are not diminished and are not the target of wikileaks while democracies are.
> We are talking war crimes, environmental disasters, political corruption, ...
And regarding my last point: I do not believe for a second that we should ignore those facts in order to appear strong or clean or whatever.
I think the central fallacy here is seeing the central operating principle of democracy, which is the informed public feeding their knowledge and judgement back in, as a blow to democracy. It is like a automotive mechanic saying "there's your problem, the fuel air mixture in your engine is exploding." The press reporting on the government is one link in democracy's central cycle.
Your are right about seeing reporting as a blow to dictatorship, of course. In their case the action of an informed public really is a blow to the state, following the fact that the public is not part of the state.
So in that light it's true that journalism does more to help free societies than it does to hurt dictatorships, since there's more of it in freer societies.
Phrasing it like this is misleading as it implies that Wikileaks is a neutral platform, a dumb tool that acts at the leaker's discretion. That isn't what we see when we look at their actual behavior. They do not publish every leak they receive and therefore they have editorial control over their platform. Assange himself has said they have received leaks about the Trump campaign that they wouldn't publish. That shifts Wikileaks from a neutral platform to publish confidential information to a political entity that uses leaked confidential information to achieve political goals.
EDIT: This is being downvoted so here is a source in which Assange talks about having leaked info about Trump and not publishing it.[1]
[1] - https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/2934...
Imagine a leak comes out about Putin (you don’t have to imagine that hard..). It would hardly make any noise: there’s no more free press to raise a stink about it, and the population is so used to swimming in the post-truth sewage spewing from the top that they’ll just ignore it
I have observed a `shark smelling blood` thing going sometimes on HN. If the timing is right and if a child comment in an upvoted parent that is at the top of post gets one or two downvotes then it has some visibility and then it attracts downvote clicks. If there are 4 or 5 other children they get ignored (I believe the last one gets all the downvote because people parse from top to bottom and only bother interacting with first or last elements... so some posts will get buried while others will sail through) shrug, it might be all in my head though ;).
Realistically, he simply pissed off members of the ruling class of the US. Their presence has become significantly more obvious in recent years.
Other than that, I'd say it's mostly a 'show me the man, I'll show you the crime' sort of thing.
> In reality he laundered hacked materials he knowingly received from an adversarial to the USA nation state actor, and released it deliberately to interfere with the US election process to damage a POTUS candidate he didn't like.
I know that you cannot and will not, because it doesn't say that. But you can try your darnedest. Give it a good college try.
> On December 9, 2016, the CIA told U.S. legislators the U.S. Intelligence Community concluded Russia conducted operations during the 2016 U.S. election to assist Donald Trump in winning the presidency.[12][66][67] Multiple U.S intelligence agencies concluded people with direct ties to the Kremlin gave WikiLeaks hacked emails from the DNC and additional sources such as John Podesta, campaign chairman for Hillary Clinton.
> On July 27, 2016, The New York Times reported that Julian Assange, in an interview on British ITV on June 12, 2016, had "made it clear that he hoped to harm Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the presidency", and that in a later interview[118] on the program Democracy Now! on July 25, 2016, the first day of the Democratic National Convention, he acknowledged that "he had timed their release to coincide with the Democratic convention."[50][119] In an interview with CNN, Assange would neither confirm nor deny who WikiLeaks' sources were; he claimed that his website "... might release "a lot more material" relevant to the US electoral campaign ..."
How do we know it? "CIA told us." Why do we believe it? "CIA told us." What evidence do we have? "CIA told us so." How'd they come to this conclusion? "That's for them to know and us to take in faith." Do they have a history of lying? "Yes." To Congress? "Yes." Are there any consequences for this? "No." Okay, so you want to steer our country and globe like this? "Yes."
It's BS turtles all the way down. Oh, and btw their primary collaborators are pathological, serial liar, child molestors who are both threatened with prosecutorial jeopardy and granted legal immunity.
"The Office determined that it did not have admissible evidence that was probably sufficient to obtain and sustain a Section 1030 conspiracy conviction of WikiLeaks, Assange, or Stone."
"With respect to Wikileaks and Assange, this Office determined the admissible evidence to be insufficient on both the agreement and knowledge prongs."
They literally redacted (and way later un-redacted) the part that recognized that they had zero evidence. Pathetic beyond any conceivable reality, I know, but there it is. Page 177. Good luck with your theories.
https://epic.org/foia/doj/mueller-report/Mueller-Report-Repr...
Maybe it's you who doesn't like the facts?
They have already done a great job turning public opinion against him, though: the completely false claim that he was charged with rape is widely believed and repeated. Anyone who has fallen for this false narrative is encouraged to read the exact words of the women involved.
He has also been effectively imprisoned without trial for about a decade now.
Mostly he just serves as an example to what happens to people extrajudicially for fucking in any way with the US surveillance state and war apparatus.
It’s a bit dishonest to claim he’s been imprisoned without a trial when he skipped on bail in 2012 and chose to stay in an embassy instead of turn himself in to the UK government.
He was arrested in 2019 and promptly convicted of skipping on bail in the same year by the UK government.
from https://news.un.org/en/story/2016/02/521632-wikileaks-founde...
> The founder of the WikiLeaks website, which published confidential diplomatic information, has been arbitrarily detained by Sweden and the United Kingdom since his arrest in London in December 2010, as a result of the legal action against him by both Governments, the United Nations Working Group on Arbitrary Detention said today.
Skipping bail to seek asylum in a country that will attempt to preserve your human rights, when not skipping bail means you get extradited to a country that will torture you via extended solitary confinement prior to trial is not what most people mean when they use the phrase "skipping bail". If any description is dishonest here, it's that.
A sham trial that you get tortured before getting to attend is always something to be avoided. Let's not forget that Manning was tortured to the point of multiple suicide attempts in prison prior to trial, as well as being declared guilty in public by a sitting US president (also before trial).
Several senior officials in the US government called for Assange's summary execution for publishing. There is approximately zero chance that he will receive a fair trial or humane treatment in the USA.
On plenty of occasions, the UK has demonstrated its willingness to not extradite suspects to the US out of concern for their welfare.
> declared guilty in public by a sitting US president (also before trial)
Because the US has not yet fallen under authoritarian rule and has an independent judiciary, it's possible to have a fair trial even when the president offers an opinion about the case. But offering such opinions is frowned upon because it's bad optics. Before you bring up tainting the jury pool, an upside to the lack of civic engagement amongst Americans is it's not difficult to find people who won't have heard a president's or anyone else's opinions.
An extradition request which has so far been denied, in part due to the conditions he will face in the US, FWIW. I'm not sure that it can be taken as given that an earlier request (to the UK or Sweden) would have been successful:
> Faced with conditions of near total isolation and without the protective factors which moderate his risk at HMP Belmarsh, I am satisfied that the procedures described by Dr. Leukefled[sic][1] will not prevent Mr. Assange from finding a way to commit suicide. [...] I am satisfied that, in these harsh conditions, Mr. Assange’s mental health would deteriorate causing him to commit suicide with the "single minded determination" of his autism spectrum disorder. I find that the mental condition of Mr. Assange is such that it would be oppressive to extradite him to the United States of America.[2]
[1] "[Dr. Leukefeld] is a psychologist employed as the administrator of the psychology services branch in the central office of the [Bureau of Prisons]" ([2] at 350)
[2] https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/USA-v-As... at 361-363
It's very hard to make a case that this isn't arbitrary detention at this point.
>The charges stem from the allegation that Assange attempted and failed to crack a password hash so that Chelsea Manning could use a different username to download classified documents and avoid detection.[41] This allegation had been known since 2011 and was a factor in Manning's trial; the indictment did not reveal any new information about Assange.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indictment_and_arrest_of_Julia...
I don't believe it counts as journalism if you help someone commit a crime- that's the crux of the issue. Notice that real journalists who are passive receivers of information do not get criminally charged.
> It is alleged that WikiLeaks solicited material by publishing a list of information it wished to obtain, its “Most Wanted Leaks”. In November 2009 this list included: “Bulk Databases” including “Intellipedia”, (a non-public CIA database) and classified “Military and Intelligence” documents. In December 2009, Mr. Assange and a WikiLeaks affilia te gave a presentation to the 26th Chaos Communication Congress in which WikiLea ks described itself as “the leading disclosure portal for classified, restricted or legally threatened publications.” In 2009 Mr. Assange spoke at the “Hack in the Box Security Conference” in Malaysia in which he made reference to a “capture the flag” hacking contest and noted that WikiLeaks had its own list of flags that it wanted captured.
> Between November 2009 and May 2010, Ms. Manning was in direct contact with Mr. Assange using a chatlog (the “Jabber communications”). On 8 March 2010, it is alleged that Mr. Assange agreed to assist Ms. Manning in cracking a password hash stored on a DoD computer. Mr. Assange indicated that he was "good" at "hash-cracking" and that he had rainbow tools (a tool used to crack Microsoft password hashes). Ms. Manning provided him with an alphanumeric string. This was identical to an encrypted password hash stored on the Systems Account Manager (SAMS) registry file of a SIPRNet computer, used by Ms. Manning, and associated with an account that was not assigned to any specific user. Mr. Assange later told her that he had no luck yet and asked for more “hints.” It is alleged that, had they succeeded in cracking the encrypted password hash, Ms. Manning might have been able to log on to computers connected to the classified SIPRNet network under a username that did not belong to her, making it more difficult for investigators to identify her as the source of the disclosures. It is specifically alleged that Mr.Assange entered into this agreement to assist Ms Manning’s ongoing efforts to steal classified material.
> On 31 December 2011, WikiLeaks tweeted “#antisec owning Law enforcement in 2012.” It included links to emails and databases confirming that Hammond and AntiSec had hacked two US state police associations. On 3 January 2012, WikiLeaks tweeted a link to information which LulzSec/AntiSec had hacked and published in 2011 headed,“Anonymous/Antisec/Luzsec releases in 2011.” In January 2012, Hammond told Sabu that “JA” had provided Hammond with a script to search the emails stolen from Intelligence Consulting Company, and that “JA” would provide the script to associates of Hammond as well. Hammond also introduced Sabu via Jabber to “JA.” In January and February 2012, Sabu used the chatlog Jabber to communicate with Mr.Assange. On 27 February 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing emails that Hammond and others hacked from the Intelligence Consulting Company. On 27 February 2012 Hammond told Sabu, “we started giving JA” materials that had been obtained from other hacks. On 28 February 2012 Hammond complained to Sabu that the incompetence of his fellow hackers was causing him to fail to meet estimates he had given to Mr. Assange about the amount of hacked information he expected to provide to WikiLeaks, stating, “can’t sit on all these targets dicking around when the booty is sitting there ... especially when we are asked to make it happen with WL. We repeated a 2TB number to JA. Now turns out it’s like maybe 100GB. Would have been 40-50GB if I didn’t go and get all the mail from [foreign cybersecurity company].” Hammond then asked for help with ongoing computer intrusion committe d by his associates against victims including a US law enforcement entity, a US political organisation, and a US cybersecurity company. In March 2012, Hammond was arrested.
> In June 2013, media outlets reported that Edward J. Snowden had leaked numerous documents taken from the National Security Agency and was in Hong Kong. It is alleged that, to encourage leakers and hackers to provide stolen materials to WikiLeaks, Mr.Assange and others at WikiLeaks openly displayed their attempts to assist Snowden to evade arrest.
[1] https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/USA-v-As...
You can also take it for granted that all the so-called conspiracy theories that are tagged as "misinformation" and "propaganda" by the US media "fact-checkers" will be revealed to be true within a few years. Of-course by then everyone will just shrug and move on since the public has the memory of a goldfish.
This is clearly a political attack on someone who has exposed some uncomfortable truths. Even if Assange is a criminal, which I don't think he is, there's no excuse for holding him in the manner which they are, treating him worse than the worst criminals.
Finally it's been shown that the rape accusations were an orchestrated smear campaign as well.
That isn’t true for their social media:
https://micahflee.com/2019/01/lies-that-wikileaks-tells-you/
This is false. They've denied putting people at risk, but there's decent evidence that their leaks have directly shared pii and harmed large numbers of random unimportant people.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2011/sep/02/leader...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_diplomatic_cab...
Although not required or authorized to do so, Wikileaks tried to limit the exposure of sources who would be at risk if their identities were exposed. The unredacted information exposed many sources and put lives at risk. The USG blames Wikileaks for this because they released the encrypted archive. I have never heard of an investigation or prosecution into the circumstances of the password release, but if Wikileaks is responsible, then David Leigh should be as well.
The Guardian journalist who published the decryption key to the unredacted cables has subsequently acted in bad faith towards WikiLeaks. He's the same guy who wrote the false story about Assange supposedly meeting with Manafort in the Ecuadorian embassy, which The Guardian has still not retracted, despite it being almost certainly false.
Seriously, why is it so hard to believe that Julian just punked them? It's easy enough to pull off, and honestly more believable from someone who otherwise has impeccable opsec.
Just look at the order of events:
1. Julian gives an encrypted file and its key to The Guardian.
2. In February 2011, the key gets published in a book by The Guardian's journalist.
3. In September 2011, it's discovered that the encrypted file is available via BitTorrent, with the key already public in said book.
4. WikiLeaks "helpfully" publishes all the unredacted information later that month, to "ensure" that no "malicious" actors would "selectively" publish it.
I have a very hard time believing that security professionals like those who run WikiLeaks would let this happen by accident. Step 4 was probably their end-game all along.
You do know there is no such thing as journalistic licensing or certification, right? They went to college. They have nothing above anyone else who break news because they are employed by a corporate outlet. That makes me trust them less actually.
> Wikileaks should censor the source files before journalists got them.
WikiLeaks, like anyone, should take prudent steps to avoid doxxing people. If you can't understand why doxxing people is bad, then I have nothing to say to you.
The first clearly endangered people, the second contained basically nothing of reporting use, it was just a trove of pii
In a heinous followup, Assange claimed that a murdered DNC staffer was the party responsible for the DNC leak...based on no evidence except Assange's bro-love for Donald Trump. (https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/wikileak...)
But sure, let's pretend that nothing Wikileaks has posted has ever been shown to be fake or falsified, or that Assange himself has never lied.
Nothing in that article shows any evidence of tainted leaks in the DNC release. It claims some other leak had some tainted links, that they were carried out by the sane group, and that the Clinton team claimed emails were fake.
Wikileaks Twitter account has been full of madness, almost as if it was being run by someone suffering years of torture. That's a separate claim from the validity of the site.
Come on...
Am I the only one?
The real big is UI elements that randomly appear and disappear in the browser chrome, such as scroll bars and address bars, that contribute to vh/vw randomly spazzing.
Assange was stitched up, but we still constantly have to hear claims of the superiority of Western "democracies", freedom of speech and justice.
Zero integrity.
I can imagine what would happen if Russia tried the same tactic as the US and used diplomatic channels in order to successfully influence the legal systems in countries like the UK and Sweden.
It's called stealthing and very much a terrible thing to do.
Is inventing a rape charge in order to kidnap a journalist also a terrible thing to do, in your opinion?
I am disappointed in Sweden that a prosecutor went against Swedish law, was found to be guilty of Swedish law, and yet received no punishment. It the only known case in Swedish history where the crime was public news for years and yet the prosecutor continued without changing course.
I am disappointed that when it became known that US diplomats has been involved in influencing the Swedish case, nothing happen.
I am disappointed that a political active prosecutor took over a case from an other prosecutor in a rather explicit way after getting a "tip" to do so.
I am disappointed that the police somehow "leaked" protected documents to journalist.
I am disappointed that the Swedish government opened the case just after Wikileaks released a bunch of classified diplomatic cables, and dropped the case in order to allow the US to take it over.
I am disappointed that the Swedish government had zero interest in investigate the case.
I am disappointed that the Swedish police ignored the wishes of the women.
If you want to talk about stealthing we can do that, or if Assange is a respectful to his sexual partners, or about the finer details of Swedish categories of the lesser degree sexual offenses. It has nothing more with the actually case, than when a police murder someone for a parking violation. Severe corruption is a separate problem than if Assange are guilty of the Swedish charges or not.
As documented by judicial procedure (Swedish equivalent to FOIA), the "stealthing" was a pure invention by the police. It was added days later _as ordered by email_ by the hierarchical superior of the policewoman who typed the statement of the second woman. This was done against the original wishes of both women, and contrary to what they originally said. Even calling it a statement is a misnomer (read more further on that subject).
That happened after tabloids had published that a rape had allegedly happened, somehow with the name of the victims. The changed was annulled later, after the fact, when this was found out.
Proof/source : you can see said email in full as part of the interview by Republik.ch of the UN Special Reporteur of Torture. Link https://www.republik.ch/2020/01/31/nils-melzer-about-wikilea...
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What the story actually is, as documented as a matter of judicial procedure :
The first woman had had consensual relations with Assange, knowingly without a condom, as she herself witnessed; the second woman had consensual sex one day after; she found out after he left the condom was broken; they found out about each other a little later.
Before asking Assange directly, they wanted to know if they could make Assange take an HIV test. They went to ask a policewoman friend of the first if that was possible. Neither didn't want to make a statement, nor sign one, nor report a crime.
The policewoman wrote it down just in case. Two hours later Swedish tabloids report Assange raped somebody. The condom, as tested later on, somehow contained no DNA of Assange's.
There was lot more fishy happening on the prosecutor's side, but it's beside this comments' points.
No, but they’d at least need to attempt it to be tossed in the same bucket as Russia re: Navalny.
The US’ repsponse (as quoted) was that these allegations were “wholly irrelevant.” That doesn’t sound like a denunciation or denial to me.
It's an unproven allegation and a world away from Navalny who was actually poisoned.
> According to a psychiatric assessment presented to the court Thordarson was diagnosed as a sociopath
The Panama Papers were first reported by the German newspaper Suddeutsche Zeitung, not Stundin, but claiming credit for another paper's work is pretty standard for a tabloid.
Sure, it might report on real news occasionally. A number of U.S. tabloids have reported on scandals and crimes that eventually turned out to be true.
But if it looks like a duck and acts like a duck, it's probably a duck.
You don't have to start OUT as a honeypot or a tool of foreign intelligence. It would be a pretty lousy intelligence service that had to start with pre-existing cooperation and alliance. Much better to work at twisting things, and then rely on rationalization and perhaps back it up with threat and intimidation. There's nothing new about any of this, it's just done with flair, ingenuity and determination. Or has been: I think there's a limit to how far that can go.
The org admitted to pushing it's own political positions. No idea why people defend the thing. All they publish now is the result of Russian hacks.
And he's not a journalist.
It's also difficult to appear politically neutral when publishing truths that are (or should be, but aren't) existentially inconvenient to any particular person or group.
They haven't done that. They've been selective, they've pushed agendas with their accounts, and they've sat on other leaks that other places haven't.