Why Did Congress Just Vote to Break Up Big Tech?
mattstoller.substack.com
mattstoller.substack.com
The end result will be the US anti-trust action accomplished nothing but enabling foreign replacements.
You wouldn't pit one state against the other and say "we need to keep California founded monopolies in place or else Oklahoma might end up replacing them".
We're all in this world together. Yes there are cultural differences, but we need to shift our mentality to a global one.
I know some people will call foul on China, but remember they sued Alibaba for monopolistic practices https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/09/china-fines-alibaba-in-anti-... - all is not as it may seem on the surface.
Recognition on my part there are other issues to consider in China and many other countries, which is why we're looking to Philippines, Sri Lanka, Mexico and other location for our company. Legislation is slow, action is faster.
That’s totally something my local leaders would say. States compete for business here.
Practically speaking, my vote influences how US companies operate more than it influences how foreign companies operate. Therefore, all else being equal and since monopoly implies no other choices, I’m more invested in the companies I interact with being American rather than, say, Chinese.
For us, and we're about to start producing hardware, we think our purchasing power is more influential than our vote. That's why we're avoiding China for manufacturing.
The linear outcome of this ongoing state of informal submission is a rise in effronteries / audacious behavior at the official, international level, such as https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/12/philippines-wi...
"China has said it will not accept a ruling against it in a key international legal case over strategic reefs and atolls that Beijing claims would give it control over disputed waters of the South China Sea.
The judgment by an international tribunal in The Hague came down overwhelmingly in favour of claims by the Philippines and is likely to increase global diplomatic pressure on Beijing to scale back military expansion in the area. By depriving certain outcrops of territorial-generating status, the ruling from the permanent court of arbitration effectively punches holes in China’s all-encompassing “nine-dash” line that stretches deep into the South China Sea."
Five years later, it appears the case was quietly forgotten by all.
* * *
Or how about this, more recently: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-france...
"... members of the French Senate demanded answers at a hearing with the foreign minister as to why an article they said was fake and cast them in a bad light was still up on the Chinese embassy website [...] In the post, an unnamed diplomat suggests that careworkers in Western nursing homes - using the French term EHPAD - had abandoned their jobs, leaving residents to die."
As an EU citizen, whether I'm kowtowing to Chinese or US imperialism is not all that different. Sure, I'd much rather live in the US than China, but in recent history, US influence outside their borders has been much, much worse for those under their heel than has Chinese influence.
I can think of substitutes for Apple (Huawei) and Amazon (Alibaba) with US market penetration, but I can't think of any for M. I can think of a couple reasons why off the top of my head but I'm curious as to what you think.
* Where's the monopoly? TikTok is one slice of the social media pie, unlike Facebook's ownership of Whatsapp/Messenger, Facebook.com, Instagram (with its Snapchat lite features).
* What are ByteDance doing with TikTok that's different from what US companies do with their social network data? e.g., Twitter. As a side-note one could argue Twitter aqui-killed Vine, setting the stage for TikTok.
* If desired, couldn't the Biden administration immediately return to the Trump-era policy of requiring ByteDance to sell a substantial part of their TikTok business to a US company? Which is a remedy that US companies complain about when China does it.
I see far fewer problems with TikTok's associations with China than I do with Facebook's ownership of many slices of the social media pie, never mind that the US has many 3-letter agencies hoovering up data from US owned social media networks, even about US citizens (at the very least all it takes is an interaction with a non-US account for the US account data to be considered fair game).
Relative to its size, the highly consolidated US car industry isn't a great exporter, for example, and even required bailouts to survive.
That, I think, is probably a pessimistic view - Gmail being split off from Google Display Ads and Google Search wouldn't make me any less likely to use Gmail, say. But it would also open the door for US companies to replace them, not simply foreign ones. It's not like countries that crack down on the US services have produced many better companies good enough to compete in the US to date.
I'd accept the risk of some new dominant players from other countries in exchange for limiting the risk of misuse of market power and increasing the chance of new US competition to arise. Competition from inside or outside the US should make the encumbents better. Stagnation is what will let them be replaced by disruptive newcomers.
EDIT: I think a more likely risk is that we lose some money-losing "free" services that are basically loss-leaders, maybe even some vanity project ones. I would LOVE to replace some of those with paid products that a more healthy company could grow around, with better user-facing incentives.
I bet, based on recent history, that most of the upstarts would be from the US. If that isn’t the case, it will be a wake up call and hopefully the US will rise to the occasion.
The last company broken up was AT&T; at the time everyone was worried about Japanese electronics companies.
> breaking up AT&T in 1982 was the best thing that could have happened to America. AT&T's core project in 1982 wasn't fighting Japanese electronics companies: it was suppressing the growth of the internet in the USA
> Antitrust enforcement isn't an economic drag, it's an economic STIMULUS
Source: https://pluralistic.net/2020/10/21/each-drop-of-strych-a-nin...
How is that better?
I'd think very, very hard about crippling US companies in a global marketplace. So far, I don't even see any discussion about it.
Seems very unlikely.
If it were more profitable to be based in another country, they would be. As it is, the stability of the US and the porous byzantine tax laws, corruptible politico, et al make the US ideal.
Also, as a believer in the free market, shouldn't you welcome competition, both national and international, as a means for everyone to become better at this?
I'm not disappointed to see them put under scrutiny. I hope big media companies are next.
One possible reason may be integration, which definitely is a factor for Apple, but Google’s is so hideously bad it might as well not exist.
For consumers it’ll be better whether or not the competitors are from the US (as an EU citizen I’d like to see some local options).
Couldn't the US President just decide that they should be banned if they don't sell to an American company?
https://www.npr.org/2020/09/21/915043052/trumps-tiktok-deal-...
These companies have become bloated and become a liability to the US and the dollar... Soaking up all the newly printed money and wasting it on bureaucracy whilst depriving everyone else from capital. Monopolizing user attention for the benefit of other aging, rotten, decrepit, bureaucratic corporations. They were producing big nominal gains through hoarding of newly printed money but rotting the economy from the inside. Good riddance.
If the reserve banks want to restore faith in the US dollar, they have to prove it works.
Their high visibility is why they are able to soak up fiat from the economy. When the Fed did the trillion dollar stimulus packages, it went straight into these highly visible stocks.
These companies seem to be running a kind of money laundering operation at this stage. I suspect they found a way to keep borrowing large amounts of money from banks in perpetuity and then circulate that money among themselves to pay off each other's debts to inflate revenue numbers (maybe they use shell companies or corporate partners). It seems that there's something not right going on financially speaking. They're not playing on an even playing field as other companies. They shouldn't be profitable but they are; simply because they have an unfair advantage due to having special access to the centralized money printers.
I feel like your comments would make more sense about banks.
If the environment was different (e.g. using hard money like gold or Bitcoin instead of constantly printing more), then the game would be radically different and completely different companies (IMO, more socially beneficial companies) would be winning this game.
The total market cap of all of these companies is far less than the 6-8T that’s been printed in the past year alone, so I don’t see any evidence of that assertion.
Perhaps if people listened, then it wouldn’t need to keep being made.
> They were producing big nominal gains through hoarding of newly printed money but rotting the economy from the inside.
It isn’t obvious how this statement relates to tech companies in any way.
How for example is Apple hoarding newly printed money?
There is hope, we tend to forget after only a few generations, but if politicians are moving now this is because the collective opinions about big tech progressively shifted during the last decade.
I might be naïve, but I think that HN played a role.
And of course this is not over yet.
The citizens of the US are being harmed in education both primary and secondary, medicine, and in housing. These are heavily regulated industries that recieve large amounts of tax dollars - why are they not being addressed?
Congress needs to look at the sectors with the lowest productivity growth! Home construction, infrastructure, health care, and eduction.
Here's a great place for congressional investigators to start: https://pedestrianobservations.com/2019/03/03/why-american-c...
Though, in reality, many those industries are high cost because of congress
But I largely attribute the high productivity of tech to the simple nature of software as opposed to the tech industry being comprised of the most productive workers and efficient management.
The flexibility and efficiency of software is insane compared to even just the hardware side of it, much less medicine or home building.
Being in the position of having dominant global tech conglomerates be American has immense value. Do we want to preserve that, or destroy it?
The real problem here is the natural preferential attachment that emerges with tech companies at this scale.
"A preferential attachment process is any of a class of processes in which some quantity, typically some form of wealth or credit, is distributed among a number of individuals or objects according to how much they already have, so that those who are already wealthy receive more than those who are not."
I don't know how we deal with this in the modern world. IMO we need to at least start with network science on the table and realize we do not have the answers if using outdated ideas.
Yes, other things are also broken! Let's fix those too.
You seem to be misunderstanding the issue as “these businesses are doing poorly” instead of “extreme concentration of power in the industries that control huge swaths of people’s lives is bad.”
Big Tech is still relatively speaking a very new thing. There are enough people who just had their first smartphone in 2015. So not really a decade.
>I might be naïve, but I think that HN played a role.
I wish that was true but it is not. Purely from US side of things, EPIC and DHH probably done more damage than anything else.
Although Big Tech had all the problems sitting in front of them for years but they were not sensitive enough to view those as problems. Remember the biggest problem of anything is to first admit it is a problem. EPIC and DHH lit a fire and set on a chain reaction. Those who previously were too afraid to speak now wrote to congress for help. Those complains piled up, congress think of it as possibly a non-issue to reaching a certain threshold being a big issue.
My personal opinion is the ban of Parler and silencing of Social Media was also another big thing, whether you agree or disagree with it. I mean it is pretty bad when EU hate Trump but also speak out for Trump about silencing him. It is a problem because Politics is Power, big tech decided to flex their muscles and show who is really in power. And you get bet this doesn't sit well not just with politics in US, but politician across the world.
I think most people often forget, Republic, Democracy and Rule of Law, all of these were set up because of Power balance. And it is pretty clear Big Tech crossed the red line. And now there are enough political interest and business interest ( from small competitors ) to fuck them up.
And it is also why all the discussions about monopoly are quite meaningless. It is about power, and AntiTrust is exactly about the abuse of power.
I dont actually agree with breaking them up, but it is a good threat to use. And I also dont know how to go forward other than some form of regulation. But regulation are often good intention with bad consequences.
Okay, this is plausible, but it can turn into all kinds of mess as federated systems aren't simpler to design, build, or operate. For example, how would Signal inter-communicate with e2ee intact with say, Facebook Messenger? They'd have to do a matrix.org style bridges, which is going to be super tricky to maintain, at their scale. Hardware is doomed: USB-C for all inter-connects...
> The merger bill makes it harder for big tech firms to buy rivals.
Well, the race to $2T market cap just got harder. Can get behind this. I can do without Zuck in my WhatsApp, or Satya in my GitHub. Such a restriction may, instead, result in a marked increase in venture investments from BigTech, which may not be as bad a thing, after all?
> The nondiscrimination bill is intended to ban the ability to big tech firms to preference their own products, the way Google substitutes its own reviews for Yelp reviews, even if Yelp’s reviews are better.
Much needed. Looking at you "Amazon's choice".
> The break-up bill is supposed to split apart big tech firms by prohibiting platforms from owning any line of business that uses that platform.
Affects tech companies ranging from AWS and Stripe to platforms like Android and iOS? This bill can be the straw that breaks the camel's back, imo, if they get the details right. Either the incumbents remain entrenched because of the loopholes, or they no longer wield undue advantage, leaving some breathing room for upstarts. Unsure if this is good or bad for software engineers. They've enjoyed higher salaries for a while on the back of some of the most ridiculous growth ever seen, driven in no part by unabated monopolistic practices.
> And that is truly stunning.
Indeed.
You may have used Signal as a random example but as side trivia... The non-profit Signal Foundation's Moxie Marlinspike did not want others to federate with Signal servers: https://github.com/LibreSignal/LibreSignal/issues/37#issueco...
He said others could re-use the Signal source code and create their own ecosystems but to not federate with Signal's servers. He cited costs was one issue.
I am down for a standard, it doesn't matter which one it is, so long as it's consistent. Mostly it's for power distribution, I want every single one of my devices to be able to draw from a USB battery bank.
Oh god please no. I’ve been waiting years for Apple Maps to lose drop the gosh forsaken existence that is Yelp into a burning sun.
https://www.macrumors.com/2021/04/22/apple-maps-ratings-plac...
There are always unintended consequences, but it seems like it would be good in that if there are more upstarts there should also be more jobs for software engineers. The pay may (probably) won't be like what it is in FAANG companies, but not everyone can work for a FAANG company.
I also think it would lead to more innovation. How many engineers aren't working on their own ideas because the insane salaries at big tech would be stupid to give up? I don't blame someone on 200-500k a year for just sitting tight and soaking up the dollars. 500k a year is as much or more than a successful small business owner, and you don't have to take on any of the risk.
> I just feel like the worlds software talent could do better work in more interesting and varied fields.
Agreed, but I'm not sure how these measures will do anything to provide more interesting work. It would probably just be more of the same, but more different companies doing it.
We have our fair share of 30 something's on here already eyeing their exit. Nice mountain home, fun side projects, and perhaps some consulting here or there.
I think the fact that federated systems are harder to design and maintain is exactly the reason we need legislation enforcing this. It is extremely important for the benefit of humanity that communication between us is not beholden to one private company. This is basically where we are with Facebook at the moment, for the majority of the Earth's population (except China). For example, if you get banned from Facebook and whatsapp, in large parts of the world you will unable to communicate online with friends and businesses.
I think a judge is going to have to do a lot of homework on this law to come up with a realistic interpretation.
Would it be the worst thing if these went away and were replaced with open protocols that do the same thing? I say go back to systems that work together and tear down the walled gardens.
Couldn't you use Public Key Cryptography? Kind of like what we've done for encryption between the Web Browser and Service Provider using PKI+TLS (HTTPS).
Such-as...say each chat network having a certificate authority which crypto-signs each end-user's Public Key. With PKI used to encrypt messages between users. A 4096 PKI key can transmit 4KiB of data, which should be enough for most chat networks. For attachments or very large messages, can just copy how TLS uses PKI to transmit an AES key for decrypting a larger payload.
The user's Private Key(s) can remain on phone/browser. To keep traffic e2e encrypted.
For example, AirPlay requires HW chips that aren’t actually needed and could be done in SW. This gives Apple a non trivial economic advantage in the BOM of their products.
The amount of damage the banking system can do to the economy is orders of magnitude greater than FANGs can, as we recently witnessed.
And the telecom regional monopolies that suppress competition and block municipal broadband have much stronger competitive moats than the FANGs do.
The government needs to address those first, but they seem better at lobbying than the FANGs are.
The focus is not on damage to economy from FAANGs.
Breaking them up into pieces doesn't fix their deleterious business models and only opens the door for non-US entities who remain scaled/vertically-integrated to become the dominant forces in the market. Either that or this will necessitate passing future protectionist legislation to keep out foreign competition, which I'm both skeptical is actually a good idea in general or that the US has the actual resolve to do so.
What problem is supposed to be solved by breaking these companies up? It doesn't make any sense to me, and I say this as someone who is generally deeply disturbed by much of what is enabled by some of these firms, so this isn't an endorsement of these companies. It's an indictment of the approach.
As they said in 1997, “The reality is that AOL is cyberspace."[1]
This is an interesting perspective btw on how the Microsoft settlement set the stage for the rise of Google, etc.:
[1] https://www.theverge.com/2018/9/6/17827042/antitrust-1990s-m...
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/robert-bork...
(this is a conservative publication, by the way, hardly one you'd expect to be unfavorably biased against Bork).
It’s going to be a lot of lost tax dollars, and USA incomes.
But I hope it’s for the best.
Does that mean that e.g. Apple Music would now have to become a separate entity?
A more practical example is that Google can't run its ad-tech services in GCP. And Amazon cannot run its online store in AWS. They could, however, use each other's cloud. But not their own.
Amazon is already too huge. Why are those aqcuisitions allowed?
I don't think this approach has been healthy for quite a while. It may be an actual good thing that companies think more about long-term independent survival.