Slamming political rivals may be the most effective way to go viral
cam.ac.uk
cam.ac.uk
"Understanding the factors that make social media posts go “viral” online can help to create better social media environments. While social media platforms are not fully transparent about how their algorithmic ranking system works, Facebook announced in a post titled “Bringing People Closer Together” that it was changing its algorithm ranking system to value “deeper” forms of engagement, such as reactions and comments (68). Ironically, posts about the political out-group were particularly effective at generating comments and reactions (particularly the “angry” reaction, the most popular reaction across our studies). In other words, these algorithmic changes made under the guise of bringing people closer together may have helped prioritize posts including out-group animosity." [0]
X can get everyone to agree in principle that Q is bad, but no one will pay any attention to it.
And Y can get everyone to pay attention to Q, but a lot of people who would otherwise oppose it will switch to supporting it just because they’re so mad at the way it’s being publicized.
At least Y got them to pay attention! They’re traveling up an incentive gradient that rewards them for doing so, even if it destroys their credibility.
Neither of those will convince anyone of anything but it makes people who already agree really happy and it drives those people who disagree up a wall.
The reason for it is that you don't win elections by convincing the other side that they are wrong, and they should vote for you.
You win elections by convincing your side to show up.
And the best way to do it is by telling your side that giving the victory to your opponent is voting for a Trump.
> You win elections by convincing your side to show up.
Well, in my country and many others, voting is compulsory, so we don't have this problem.
My old view was that voting should be as easy as possible (advance polling days, no advance registration requirement, mail-in ballot options), but at the same time it shouldn't be mandatory. I used to view compulsory voting as an impediment to the democratic process: if you aren't motivated enough to vote, why should you get to weigh in?
These days, I think compulsory voting may have a whole lot of value as an effective countermeasure to polarization. Political campaigns would be forced to shift from whipping up furor among existing supporters to reaching across partisan divides in order to convince independents and persuadable individuals in the other camps to vote for you.
Have there been any studies done in this regard?
> You win elections by convincing your side to show up.
And the other side not to, either voluntarily or by targeted voter suppression and disenfranchisement. At least, that’s all true in the US, but its mostly artifacts of a strongly-structurally-reinforced two-party system.
In multiparty democracy, positive turnout tactics over persuasion is less effective because the activation energy to move to another party is smaller because you don’t just have polar opposites, and negative turnout tactics are less effective because you’ve got more targets to suppress. So persuasion is more important.
In multiparty democracies, the one thing that can however temporary reduce the problem is the consequences of minority government. If enough parties refuses to talk to each other, and always vote against the others, you end up with a situation where the majority will votes no to everything. This does not work, so people then start to prioritize cooperation for a while.
That has been my saving grace in moments like that I think. I tend to hesitate for just a bit before acting and while that's just as often a bad thing in moments like that it's just enough time for that voice to whisper "How will this look? What would you think about what you want to do right now if someone else did it? Will this action change anything that's happened?"
Twitter and Facebook are not shy about having a hand in the conversation. If anything they reward polarizing content, and they've shown interest in censoring wrongthink, but do they have any interest in turning down the temperature?
> these platforms will continue to be swamped by political animosity that risks spilling into real-world turmoil.
It's more than a risk, it's been spilling into real-world turmoil for years.
nobody else seems to have this delusion, except cops responsible for investigating threats and harassment campaigns against individuals.
Ive grown out of the behavior but its definitely left me very cynical about politics.
And if your first impulse is to think well yeah because the other side blah blah, you're part of the problem too.
Can I get that on a TShirt please ?
(And yes, was it Nietscheze who says politicians are just sales people for their manifestos?)
The distinction here is that in STAR voting, I could rank two candidates equally to show that I have no preference between them. Also, I don't have to rank the candidates in order: I could give my first-place a score of 5, my second place a score of 2, and my third place a score of 0. If I scored my second place candidate as 3, this ballot could result in a different outcome.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arrow%27s_impossibility_theore...
And outside of specialized circumstances that don’t apply to usual candidate elections, the additional information on STAR ballots compared to unforced preference ordinal ballots is noise of no consistent meaning.
Also, Arrows impossibility theorem applies to any balloting system that expresses ranked preferences and produces a ranked result, whether or not it provides additional information or compresses the available rankings for either the inputs or the result (typically, it applies to single winner election results which compress the results the same way FPTP ballots compress ballots—one first place and everyone else tied for not-first-place.)
[0] “RCV” is a name used by advocates to conflate IRV with ordinal methods generally, and accepted by some opponents of ordinal methods to conceal that their arguments apply only to IRV and not the broader class.
Could you provide an example? Thanks in advance.
> Arrows impossibility theorem applies to any balloting system that expresses ranked preferences and produces a ranked result
My understanding is that Arrow's impossibility theorem does not apply to STAR or any other Cardinal Voting system. Is that incorrect?
The only game-forms which are straightforward (meaning, one’s best strategy in what option to choose not depending on how one expects others to choose, or on others’ preferences) are the probability mixtures of “do whatever voter X said to”, “between option A and option B, determine how many voters expressed a preference for A over B and how many for B over A, and if the proportion preferring A is more than p%, pick A, otherwise B”, and “pick outcome C”, with the mixes being any mix of those over any combinations of A,B,C, and X.
(So for example, you could flip a coin, and if heads, select a random pair of candidates, and the winner is whichever of the two got more pair wise votes, if tails, select a random voter and go with who they said was their top pick, and if the coin lands on its edge pick Neil deGras Tyson. This would count as “straightforward” because in choosing how you want to vote, it doesn’t matter at all how anyone else is voting.)
(Another example is if there are just 2 candidates period. This is also “straightforward”)
Outside of such probability mixtures, there can always be situations where your estimate of how other people will vote would influence the most effective way for you to vote in order to best improve your expected outcomes according to your preferences.
Outside of such “straightforward” game-forms, there can’t be a function from (your preferences (like, vNM utility, not just a ranking) between the different outcomes) to (a dominant strategy for you).
Whatever STAR is, it doesn’t change this fact.
When further combined with other reforms, such as multi-member districts, this could completely transform the political landscape.
The US will probably get better outcomes with a multi-party system, but moving to one will not change the tone of political conversation. (Which is what this thread is about.)
[1] Although it suffers from all the typical FPTP nonsense, where the party that gets 30% of the vote gets 100% of the power.
I believe it could and would. There will always be extremists, but the current outsized focus on them is driven, in part, by their effectiveness in our two-party Plurality Voting system. In a system where the best compromise candidate is regularly elected, I believe the public discourse would differ.
Turning up without the numbers adding up was just an easy way to get pasted by the interviewer.
Now there is no interviewer - so the manifesto is what it always really was - an attempt to connect to the voter on a level of identity, common understanding and culture. It's why it is flat out amazing any single human being can get 70 million votes in the US (or even more amazing 300m in India)
How many hats does such a person have to wear? How many promises does someone need to connect.
I mean Brad Pitt is gorgeous and just has to say five scripted lines and he could not get 300 million women to vote for him.
The idea that democracy has scale this far with just a personality cult as its main adjudicator is incredible
The number of living humans who can make that many people think"yeah"'is tiny !
One day we will go beyond our initial ape reactions
These kinds of problems there is always going to be manipulation. Especially if the stakes are high. As long as the chimps aren't assassinating each other its all par for the course. I am just glad there are people willing to play such a game when things are ambiguous. Cause I usually just run for the hills when things get political :)
Television ads have this figured out, viewers subconsciously want to be the smiling cool guy drinking Advertised Beer (tm) and partying with the wealthy and youthful crowd shown in the ad, but no one wants to hang out in the scenes portrayed on CSPAN.
I'm glad to not need to deal with that level of reality distortion yet, but I don't know why that's the case.
On the other hand, millions of Americans voted for Donald Trump because his being ugly, irascible, and vulgar made him seem more relatable and sincere... likely as a reaction to a negative impression given by Obama's relative youth and well-spokenness.
I strongled doubted it was Nietzsche, so I googled the phrase "politicians are just sales people for their manifestos" (in quotes), and there was one result—your comment. It's yours!
Midwit: politics is actually about making good decisions for society
Topwit: politics is like a gang fight
Then, if we shift our focus further left, we see Bernie Sanders, who is just not all that socialist because he's really working within the neoliberal framework that his years of politics conditioned him to work in. Further left than that, well, there are no anarchists or communists in politics.
I could make the case that this is here (and bad) bc neoliberalism will slide towards fascism if we give equal weight to everyone's ideas, but that does feel like I'm sinking further into divisions, and it presupposes that my positive opinions about the far left are actually supported by facts, regardless of any ground truth. But really, it wouldn't be an issue if we had more variety in ideology: discussion would be more varied and more thorough, we'd all question our own ideology's assumptions just a bit more, and overall it would be easier to engage in someone else's ideas if you knew they weren't coming from the same baseline as you.
Neoliberalism is not a neutral or balanced ideology: let's have more communists, socialists, anarchists, libertarians, hell, maybe a few fascists or stalinists could do some good.
I suppose in practice there are enough shibboleths in each political camp that readers will still be able to tell which side is their tribe, but it would be interesting to see.
Politics is a world of rap battles and gang fights. It's war by other means. That's the fundamental essence of anything political. The boring, ugly people are the wonks who actually think politics is about 'good policy consensus' and have been spending a little too much time on Laputa.
Serious question though. Is this merely a neologism used to describe a phenomenon that was old before Cicero lost his head?
Yep it is
Only now there's reduced geographic friction from it, so the waves can get larger quicker, "social media deterritorializes politics" if you'd like to get pedantic about it
While there may be nothing new under the sun, there is still plenty of room for the relative prevalence of slamming vs engaging to change in American political communiques, and for the press' coverage of slamming to change as well.
In my experience, this is one of those tropes. Yes, people will harmonize on their explanations and positions on certain debates. That's human nature. Watch a family describe one of its members and you'll see the same phenomenon.
If you go out and talk to voters about what matters to them, however, one tends to find a diversity of topics.
We perhaps need to bring offline behavior norms into the online world.
Reality is a lot more complicated. Even if we agreed on the facts, we don't agree on conclusions based on those facts. Or even what the right result should be. For example, there is a big factual dispute over whether the border is having a "crisis." But the earnest dispute is really just whether the US should allow illegal immigrants to come here or not.
I think the biggest problem is we avoid grappling with our fundamental disagreements and we don't honestly engage with what the other side is arguing. Both sides have basically labeled opinions they disagree with as, at best uniformed/ignorant, and at worst, evil (racist, communist, bigoted, depraved). Nobody is really trying to convince the other side. They are just trying to whip up a frenzy on their side and shame the other side into shutting up.
I've voted for both parties in the past (W Bush & Obama), but I don't think I could have a real political discussion with someone I meet at party without being attacked personally and viciously. And I know I can't post political views on social media without some psychopath trying to get me fired.
Everyone is addicted to anger.
Is exactly what a person addicted to anger would say. No, believe it or not, everybody is not addicted to anger - but those who are sure as hell like to perpetuate the idea of it and spread their toxicity
They don't eat, sleep, debate, propose, or discuss. They just slam 24/7.
I googled her to verify the spelling on her name and the first headline was:
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez slams the lack of diversity in an all-white group of lawmakers who drafted a bipartisan infrastructure deal"
Here's some recent 'slams' on that subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/Conservative/search/?q=slam&sort=re...
Headline writers run in packs, just like CEOs.
Republicans slamming her day-in and day-out made her a household name.
Like, AOC should be, (with no disrespect) basically a nobody in politics, she is a 1.2 term representative. But republicans wanted a villain and boy did they make one.
Beyond that, I kinda also think a critical bit in this is to understand that the headlines are not realistically a way to judge the actions of a politician because the politician is not the one actually writing them. Her job is to do her job and feed the marketing team the needed clips within. For the most part her daily life is reading memos and bills and voting. The PR team works like a marketing organization and they want to win in the same way AMD and Intel want to win, it's that simple. Hit the right notes while doing your job of working on the busywork of the job. It's mostly how Trump won 2016. Politics is marketing-based, not results-based.
No, she became a household name due to her ability to produce viral content (she's an influencer-politician) and the progressive media being in love with her.
Some time after that, yes, the Republicans realized they'd rather run against AOC and "the squad" than Joe Biden so they did their best to pretend that was the case.
It’s mutually beneficial for them both, in the same way that rappers spend so much time beefing with each other. Controversy drives popularity, especially when each side’s followers made up their minds long ago about which side they’re on.
That subreddit is literally filled with one person's posts. It feels like a blatant pr/propaganda/the positive version of the former two campaign that constantly worms its way to the top of reddit.
https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1408124343700369411
I don't think "slammed" is too harsh of a description.
After her critique about the Senators drafting this bill all being white:
> This is not to say that any/all bipartisan deals are bad but it’s to ask people to actually read what’s inside them instead of assume bipartisan=good
But surely, as a member of Congress, she has access to the details of this deal, and can opine on it specifically? Instead of opining on bipartisan deals as an abstraction?
Wouldn't her constituents rather know, specifically, if this deal will help them or not and whether she would vote for it, and why?
So both sides can be full of shit - and public discourse suffers.
https://natemat.pl/103155,korwin-masakruje-czyli-o-polityczn...
[EDIT] downvoters: is this wrong? My perception was that "own" was originally (in a political context—its roots are in gaming, of course) used as a fairly ordinary headline/title intensifier to get more clicks, mostly on the right (for that particular word—everyone plays with language to get more clicks, of course), that parodic use on the left followed, and I'm guessing that its continued use on the right is with some awareness of the way it's been mocked on the left, so has likely changed the intent with which it's employed.
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez slams": About 73,300 results
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez eats": About 109 results
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez sleeps": 1 result
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez debates": About 173 results
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez proposes": About 5,880 results
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez discusses": About 1,150 results
Damn, you were right! Also surprised that AOC never sleeps.
Well, she slept once according to your results.
Source: I’ve worked for Google.
Here's a bit of outside analysis that's fun to read: https://blog.xkcd.com/2011/02/04/trochee-chart/
My 2¢ on why "slam" specifically:
1. It's a super short word, which matters in headlines and tweets. I think this is also why headlines will "quote" a word or two (the quotes are magic symbol to ward against libel).
2. Our monkey brains are aroused by violence and tribal warfare, even when that violence is described second-hand and is figurative.
Aggressive verbs are certainly inflammatory, and certainly increases clicks and engagement (at the cost of societal cohesion and individual contentment).
Mark my words—future headlines will be even more outrageous as we become inured to (and accepting of) the current patterns:
"AOC Jr 'eviscerates' Will Clinton over proposed lunar sale to China."
"Don Trump VI 'rapes' UN Fusion Program's budget to pay for July 4 parade."I wonder if there is a point of diminishing returns - engagement goes down on clickbait titles.
Probably not since they are still doing it.
Article found from simple Google News archive search of "Pelosi" from 2004-2006: http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/01/28/tauzin.pelosi/inde... Same thing but "Bill Frist" instead: https://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/12/edwards.stem.cell...
Sure, "rips" and "knocks" have been replaced with "slams" etc but it's the exact same tactic that has been used for at least a while.
It would be interesting to see how far back this media behavior goes, which outlets are most culpable, and which "side of the aisle" these articles are mainly targeting, because I genuinely don't know.
Why are you attributing what they say, to what the media says they said?
AOC didn't write that headline, a news editor did, for the explicit purpose of making you put attention to it
I don’t think that word means what you think it means.
If you’re running for local office, what gets more attention when you troll social media?
Talking about policy to improve storm sewers or claiming that your opponent is a communist who wants to kill children? What gets more attention?
In my hometown, a guy got on the non-partisan school board on a platform of being pro-gun, and against his “woke” opponent, who was accused of hating veterans.
My favorite variation of all this is the micro variety.
. Find a social media maven with a zillion followers
. Say something horrid to them
. Get them to respond
. Huzzah! Instant fame or at least a few followers for yourself.
. Wash rinse repeat.
I subscribe to both DNC and RNC mailing lists and it's typical to see things like "Trump Rally BACKFIRES" and "The Radical Left is trying to destroy America". I try to laugh it off thinking people can't be dumb enough to buy into this, but then I'm gripped by the terrifying reality that actually yes, they are.
Dunking on opponents really wouldn't be all that bad if there was some actual debate progressing, where ideas could be tested and improved, but that seems to have stagnated to a large degree.
There are feedback effects within their decision making that dampen and then eliminate new ideas, which reinforces "return to the party line" and opposite of "take our group in a new direction with this idea" ; anti-evolution basically..
That's totally the case. I've read article after article for the past few years about the "disappearing center" and how elections are now won by getting your side to show up at the polls.