Americans Are Keeping Their Cars Longer, as Vehicle Age Hits 12 Years
wsj.com
wsj.com
how long you keep a car is your decision. if you like it, and you're willing to pay for regular maintenance, then keep it. this "long run" comparison of owning and repairing versus buying a new car is just silly. So many people have the incentive to get you to buy a new car, but practically no one has an incentive to tell you to take good care of the things you own so they last.
And new cars arent always better. That nice collision avoidance/lane keeper and camera system? that was implemented as a countermeasure for increasing A and B pillar size after regulatory agencies decided too many americans were getting crushed to death in roll-over accidents. collision avoidance was literally the only way auto manufacturers could keep you out of a manslaughter charge thanks to the absolute byzantine nightmare of info-tainment systems that also do things like climate control.
controversial opinion here but older cars teach you a healthy fear of operating a 2000lb rolling death machine. no infofainment means they are safer for the driver, and no nanny-state A pillars mean you arent doing 80 in a 65 quite as often.
I own a 2000 mercury grand marquis. its a v8 so it inspires me to bipedal transportation pretty often with its fuel enconomy. the biggest problem I have with the car is my coworkers nicknaming me "the don" for driving a murdered-out land yacht but its what i like.
I've never heard this. Anywhere I can read more about this?
You do repair work in the desert don't you? I mostly agree with your sentiment. However in the rust belt we spray corrosive agents all over our cars and within 5 years loosening half of the fasteners takes 10 times what you are probably familiar with.
Right before the pandemic, I got rid of a 22 year old Honda del Sol. But it had been garaged for about the previous 10 winters. The mechanics at the dealer always went to look at it because they basically weren't on the roads any longer in New England.
It's around 325k now, I sold it to an acquaintance.
I ran into a local at the feed store who had one, and chatted him up. Turns out he has a whole little fleet of them. Easy to work on, run forever, cheap, and lots of spare parts around.
Can confirm this. Can't remember the last tine I saw a del Sol.
Cars should operate for no more than 10 years per climate. It evens out the heat-death and salt-death processes for max lifespan.
Yeah, my tires are old, but they don’t sit in 105F sun either. None of my interior panels have curled up or dried out either. My (electric) coolant pump hasn’t died yet because, well, it doesn’t run as much.
Ask anyone who works in the tire industry outside of sales and they will tell you that unless your tire was really, really abused or sat in the desert sun all the time 6yr is nothing and you should inspect the tire if you want to get an idea of how degraded it is.
Source: friends at cooper.
Personal anecdote time: Over the last year I went through a two and a half sets of old tires that I accumulated over the years for my van. I was intentionally doing burnouts daily to get through old stock as I planned to (and did) get new ones once I exhausted the old stockpile.
The only tires that had noticeably hardened and performed poorly (but oh boy did they do good burnouts) were the newest of the bunch and from 2016. The oldest ones were from 2009 and the half set was from 2012.
I got too far into this before realising you were referring to cars, not people. It holds up well.
It did have me wondering how early you learned to drive.
Most all of my vehicles have been 10+ year old vehicles, gently used, and bought for a great price from some elderly person who no longer drives/can drive or from a relative selling their parents/grandparents old ugly car they inherited and don't want. The older designs are often geared at making them easily maintainable vs new designs. This is shifting a bit and you're not starting to get in the early 2000s unless you want to get something much much older.
You do have to worry about seals, gaskets, rubber parts that have dry-rotted/cracked etc. or start to fail but the rest of the vehicle is usually in fantastic shape from my experience. I see many vehicles 10+ years old with less than 50k miles on them. It's probably hard to find anything like this any more and I really hope the pandemic doesn't inspire everyone to start picking these older used options long term because then it's going to get more expensive for me to find good reliable cheap cars.
I'm curious about this, can you explain more?
The more likely you are to survive putting the car on it's roof, the less you think about avoiding it.
I come back to my original anecdote, helmets is not something that consciously effects my driving. Not only that, unless a road biker biking for exercise is going super chill, it’s hard to notice the a helmet or not. And second, the prevalence of helmets, the prevalence of bikers and the regional road layout all probably effect general driving behaviors around hikers. I’m skeptical this effect is universal, but sure it apparently happened in the area of Europe under conditions studied.
This isn’t even the original paper, but one responding to another paper saying the original paper was wrong. I can’t read that original paper because it’s paywalled.
From skimming the article it looks like the effect is not even at p of 0.05. But i was a bit unclear on what exactly that p value was referring to and whether they had also tested many other hypothesis after the fact, a p-hacking issue.
There’s many questions I have about the road and locations and regional factors.
2) Road rage and resentment against bikers is real. There many drivers that act as psychopaths and will yell and haze bikers.
3) had people read the study before downvoting they would realize the study itself state it was a hotly contested topic and was in fact a response to another paper claiming they were wrong.
I don’t think someone asking if there is flaws to that study is someone that should be downvoted.
This was a weird statement since the article doesn’t seem to have any problem with people keeping cars longer.
> Im in automotive maintenance and repair
> but practically no one has an incentive to tell you to take good care of the things you own so they last.
Mechanics would love you to buy cars that cost $2000 for a headlight change, rather than maintain your 2002 Honda with regular maintenance and responsible driving.
BMW X5 rear lights - specifically the fibre optic stuff.
Jaguar brakes, or cam belt (chain?) on the v12.
They seem pretty happy when my Corolla needs some work.
Not as easy to make an informed choice about cars. The high incidence of rollovers for SUVs comes to mind. Apparently consumers had no idea that the Ford Bronco (as an example) was as deadly as it was.
I agree, it would be nice if we allowed for relaxed safety on cars as long as they were in their own category — sort of like dune buggies or something so consumers knew the trade-offs they were making.
But it's funny you mentioned that - dune buggies with roll bars are great for rolling over and keeping you safe. On the other hand, most widely available sport convertibles are not.
Although I wouldn't be opposed to motorcycles being outlawed - I can't even imagine an America where this happens.
So what else can you possibly do?
Why would you be okay with them being outlawed? Just because it doesn't affect you?
I can see why you may feel offended, but I don't think the parent post deserves your anger.
Stating a lack of opposition to the removal of those isn't just "not caring" is actively taking a stance that you believe those rights have no value. I think requesting justification for that stance is reasonable and not an expression of "anger".
I'll bite.
When I was 16, I REALLY wanted to own a motorcycle. I thought they were the coolest.
Luckily, I was pretty poor - so I wouldn't have money for any such thing until I moved from my small town to get a job in Boston. There, I made friends with someone whose father owned a business that put people back together after motorcycle accidents. In just a couple of minutes, he convinced me of how unsafe they actually are. Despite the fact that I think motorcycles are cool as shit - it's hard to argue they are "less safe" than cigarettes for 18 year-olds (or for anyone).
Also, now that I'm older, I definitely wouldn't mind if they were banned on residential streets. At least the ones that are noisy as hell.
So - it's a mix of:
1) It wouldn't be out of line for the Government.
2) It honestly seems in-line for the Government (even if I don't really agree it's what the Government should be doing).
3) It wouldn't affect me personally.
4) Personally, it would actually be a plus since I'm older now and I can't stand the noise.
So as I said - I'm not going to vote to ban motorcycles - and I can't imagine it ever happening - but if it did - you won't see me out in the streets protesting.
However regarding your points in turn:
1 & 2. I don't think nannying is what the government should be doing. I agree that seems to be the modern character of government though, at least where I live.
3. Obviously would affect me. :-P
4. I can't stand the noise either. I haven't modified my bike exhaust.
Most affected I think though would be the "uberEats-alike" delivery services as they seem largely run on the back of scooters, although ebikes are becoming popular too, though no less risky really.
Aside: if you still think motorcycles are cool, review what aspect of your risk profile precludes them. Maybe ride offroad, where traffic is much less a thing. If tarmac speed is the cool factor, you could go to a track. Modern MotoGP riders do both so you'd be in good company!
Just don't try to emulate their speed capability! (By the time you are good enough to ignore this advice, you will know it...)
A. Motorcycles are hitting many things causing everyone's insurance to go up. But here at least, motorcycles and riders are insured differently to cars, as you'd expect with differing %chance vs damage outcomes. So not true.
B. The mysterious group "Everyone" is at fault hitting motorcycles too much, causing everyone's insurance to go up. Which seems... fair?
Under those circumstances I can see how "other people riding a motorcycle" makes your premium go up.
I don't quite agree that the "odds of a collision remain constant" over time. Motorcycles take less space for one. But obviously, being subject to more damage has a selective effect.
However in any case even if the selective trend is applied to maximum, holding to the assumption of safe/damage for riding-vs-driving means that the premium will have some increase vs a "all car" world.
But I live in a world where other people affect me in so many ways that I see this as another similar effect. Damn miners stealing my gaming GPU cards...
… which increases the weight the pillars need to support, which causes the pillars to get thicker, &c.
We’ve had it so long that even though I’m almost 30, it’s the vehicle I learned how to drive in. Its nicknames at the office are "Clifford the Big Red SUV" and "The Lunch Bus".
I don't buy this. It is simply a competitive advantage enabling those systems, plus being software-heavy, they do scale well. Thicker pillars are not a bad thing. Visibility is not appreciably limited by them either. If that was the case we would have a significant differential in crash statistics between the trims of the same cars with and without those systems. They would have different safety ratings.
> no infofainment means they are safer for the driver,
Unless you have data, I strongly doubt this too. No infotainment means people will handle their phone more often for navigation, music, calls etc. Stuff like CarPlay don't even allow time seeking sliders on music interfaces, they are much less distracting than full fidelity mobile interfaces.
> older cars teach you a healthy fear of operating a 2000lb rolling death machine
By that token motorcycles would teach you a healthy fear of operating without a chassis, and thus a safer vehicle?
One Hundred Percent inaccurate. I can't see shit out of my 2014 crossover when turning to check blindspots, compared to my 90s trucks and cars I've driven. Hell, backup cameras are mandated on all new cars in the US (they are very useful, but it's also because you can't see out of your own car).
>By that token motorcycles would teach you a healthy fear of operating without a chassis, and thus a safer vehicle?
I think driving a motorcycle creates safer drivers, absolutely. I take the stance when driving, turning, merging, etc. that at any moment, any car near me is going to do something stupid. Either not see my lane-change signal, or cross the stop-sign despite it being my turn, etc.
Every person who has proactively described that level of defensive driving (that I have talked to in conversation) had at one point or another been a motorcycle rider.
I learned to adjust my blind spot to be two lanes over so that I can see anything next to me in my mirrors. Checking my blindspot means looking directly out the window so that pillars don't get in the way. It's similar to how trucks do it, since they can't see out the back.
Something you may want to look into -- adjusting your blind spot so you don't have to look at your pillar.
They really do! If you want to know what it's like transitioning from my 1980's compact SUV into my gf's 2021 compact SUV, don one of those cheap Halloween masks you wore as a kid and leave it on as you go about your business the rest of the day. Steel-toed shoes would make a great complement.
> By that token motorcycles would teach you a healthy fear of operating without a chassis, and thus a safer vehicle?
If you're referring to a perceived lack of concern for personal safety among a subset of motorcyclists, try handing one them the keys to a Bugatti Veyron and see if their behavior improves.
Psychological issues with this demographic aside, would you be willing to ride an ordinary bicycle at freeway speeds if you were able? If yes, do you think you would spend much time looking at your phone while doing so?
-Anthony Jeselnik
The two are not necessarily connected except through premise.
Which I never understood, because it really just makes me want to pick up my phone and use the slider there, which is far more dangerous.
Someone like you was probably saying the same thing about ABS on a BBS back in 1996.
These features get implemented in the higher end segments of the market and then adoption plateaus.
Most people are not going to spend thousands of dollars to have a marginally better chance of a avoiding a "less than once in a lifetime" type accident. ABS is even more useful than that and its adoption plateaued before the feds mandated it.
Someone like me said ABS is purely a competitive advantage feature despite the fact that its adoption in mainstream cars struggled? That person must be rather incoherent.
> ABS is even more useful than that and its adoption plateaued before the feds mandated it.
Let's not overgeneralize the competitive advantage angle to all safety features, that would be strawmanning. Stuff like lane keep assist, adaptive cruise control are very different beasts than ABS. They have been popular features in no small part because they also offer comfort, and have luxurious connotations e.g. like Tesla's autopilot. Besides they've been cheaper to add at lower trims as defaults because like I said they are mainly software driven features and therefore the costs scale well, especially considering the vertical integration between luxury and mainstream car brands. E.g. it only costs the windshield camera and the 2 sensors to add the auto breaking feature to a Honda, when you already have the software of an Acura.
Yes, because that's how people work. Nobody was driving unsafely before, because they were afraid of their cars rolling over.
No, that's not how they work. They just died at higher rates.
Would you look at that!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...
Turns out unsafe cars killed more people and when we started making them really safe, they stopped killing as many people, despite people driving more: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...
From the same article you referenced:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...
Passengers would be inconvenienced, but basically every phone-related crash would be prevented.
Snapchat was not worth my cousin's life.
More than a few pedestrians walk and use their phone, walk right out in the traffic, or other situations (some hilarious walking right into poles and getting laughed at on the internet.
I know in a few nations this may be a hard concept, but here in the US, it is absolutely NOT true that "pedestrians always have the right of way"... no no no
In these cases, you can be run over and you (or your family) will have no legal recourse against the driver. Zero, nada, zilch. So in the legal sense, it is not true that a pedestrian always has the right to exist at any point on the earth without being run over.
In a moral sense, perhaps every driver has an obligation to try not to run over pedestrians. That might create a “right” in some moral/ethics frameworks, but it doesn’t exist as a legal concept in my state.
The exceptions are street crossings or purely pedestrian streets, which have to be marked as such.
I don't expect this to be different anywhere in the world, since most paved roads are paved for vehicles, you don't really need pavement that much for pedestrians (well, you kind of need it for pedestrian with baby strollers or wheeled luggage & co).
"Le piéton est l'usager le plus protégé par le code de la route : il a, quoiqu'il arrive, toujours la priorité sur la chaussée"
> Pour un piéton victime d’un accident, on retiendra faute inexcusable s’il «franchit des glissières de sécurité pour traverser une voie à grande circulation (alors qu’un passage souterrain existe à côté)», s’il «fait un effort particulier pour braver les règles de sécurité», ou encore s’il «contourne délibérément les obstacles lui interdisant l’accès à une voie rapide» ;
In 99% of the cases a pedestrian would have to go over a barrier to end up on a highway, as part of regular traffic.
I'm not counting someone from a broken down car on the side of the road as a pedestrian, since those are covered by different laws.
Wouldn't you expect the hypothesis of new vehicles increasing ped deaths show up in motorcycle fatalities too? It seems much more plausible from this baseline data that the introduction of the smartphone is more relevant: the skyrocketing happened at the precise time the smartphone took off, and smartphone ubiquity naturally wouldn't affect motorcyclist fatality (while new vehicle shapes would).
Of course, there are myriad other potential explanations, including the trend towards urbanization and walkable cities over the last decade and a half, but I don't see how you can conclude that the pedestrian fatality graph is useful evidence of the greater dangers of newer vehicle designs.
My 2002 Saturn LW200 had the best UI of any car I've ever owned. Everything was a mechanical button, lever, or knob and it had only two very-simple screens: a clock radio (segment LCD) and an odometer (VFD).
With the secret de Sade trim, I hope. /s
I don't think the comparison is so absurd. The result can vary a lot based on where you live - how hard the weather is on the car, how much a mechanic charges per hour, how strict the smog/inspection regulations are.
In San Francisco maintenance/repairs are $150/hour at an independent shop. A former colleague and I worked out that the 10+ year old used cars we both drove ended up costing almost exactly the same in depreciation and maintenance as leasing a new Subaru Outback. They only worked out cheaper overall because we could forego the comprehensive insurance required for a lease.
I'd switched to a job that required commuting more than 15k miles a year by the time mine failed its smog test and needed to be replaced (a CARB compliant replacement catalytic converter would have been almost as much as I'd paid for the car) so got another old used car. He ended up leasing when his car died.
They're doing economic reporting -- they're pointing out that the median age is going up, which is bad for auto makers.
I don't think they're telling anyone that is a bad thing for individuals, just for the economy as a whole.
This seems to assume thay buying wastefull shit you don't need is good for economy? That efficiency and individuals saving money is bad for economy?
We want fewer people producing things that last more.
The 80s called and want their AOD and 700R4 back.
Sure. And what about adding a giant huge metal sharp spike in the windshield pointing directly to the driver's forehead, while we're at it. That should teach people to drive safely.
Put a little one on the steering wheel aimed at your heart, primed for airbag insertion. :-P
I fall on the "safer stuff = safer" side of the equation, against the "safer stuff encourages more stupid" BTW.
I mean, my car has ABS and I could brake a lot later for every corner but the shuddering, squealing and G forces don't feel like a nice UX.
We can also remove the seat belts.
Oh and 500Hp 8,000lb pick up trucks with 6ft tall front grills don’t accelerate fast enough, let’s put Tesla’s plaid tech in them so they can get to 90mph in seconds. Currently there’s far too much lag when 8,000lb trucks hit the gas to weave through traffic at 95mph.
Presumable Making these updates will give people the proper fear they need in order to drive safer and reduce accidents.
Hmmm.. that certainly doesn't apply to me, and I drive a '96.
https://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2014/02/falling-out-of-pan...
I don't need the absolute latest and greatest computer safety features. Some of them sound nice but if it has side+passenger airbags and seatbelts then that is good enough for me.
On the flip side, one of my family members gets a new car every year through some kind of special leasing program. Not only does that seem wasteful from a number of angles but how do you not get attached to a car you love driving? Once I find a car I like then I don't want to give it up unless maintenance becomes prohibitively expensive and even then it can be tough.
- No bluetooth.
- No touchscreens.
- Really, no screens at all.
- Cabled audio input.
A rearview camera is a good thing, except it still manages to make the car worse overall because the manufacturers somehow can't stop themselves from using the screen to display other things that should have been displayed in another way.
Manufacturers definitely went wrong putting important controls in the touch screen. That’s a usability nightmare. I’d consider the rest to be personal preference.
As far as the "questionable utility goes", I frankly love it. I love just walking up to my car and having it unlock for me. Sure, it's not much, but it's kind of the equivalent of Touch ID or Face ID on a phone these days. Sure, entering a PIN code isn't the hardest thing in the world, but it's the little things that make life just a smidge less annoying, right?
You didn't address my point regarding their ubiquity now, so I feel like you kinda decided to only address half my point...
I'm not sure I'd consider permanent connectivity and the related telemetry and OTA updates to be personal preference. These are often being used in ways contrary to the owner's or driver's interests, from invading privacy to "licensing" vehicle features that can be disabled later, and they come with significant security and safety risks.
They maintain value because a Sienna that's had an easy 100k miles with by the book maintenance is in much nicer shape and inherently has more life left than a Pacifica that was rode hard and put away wet over the same time period and distance.
Matter of perspective.. the only thing you list that I'd consider a concern to investigate is the "dash lit up like a chrismas tree". Everything else you mention is cheap replacement work.
The warning lights could be just a few cheap sensors but could also be very expensive ECU replacements. So that one I'd have to dig deeper but the rest wouldn't bother me to buy such a car and fix it up in a weekend.
I might spend $1500 on my 12 year old car (which is "only" worth 4200 according to KBB), instead of spending lot more money to get a different used car with unknown issues or a hefty monthly payment.
Theft premium stays the same, even though replacement cost has gone down and it's less valuable as a target. You'd think other cars becoming safer on average would decrease the risk of getting into accidents at their fault and at my fault, but the comprehensive premium stays the same on a now older car.
I find it hard to believe that auto thieves somehow avoid the equally dense town 1hr down the highway.
Same here. Bought a Volvo which is more expensive and has a more powerful engine than the Opel that I had before for 16 years, I have even added some options to the insurance coverage compared to before, but now I pay 300$ less than before => of course I'm happy, but it's weird, didn't expect this... .
Maybe the car's brand has as well something to do with it? Maybe some statistics show that for some reason Opel drivers cause more damages or whatever... . Misterious... .
Assuming we're talking economic cars (Honda, Toyota, Mazda, etc), it is very difficult to imagine spending $3K a year in maintenance. Maybe once in a decade if you're super unlucky.
These are cars that'll go on nearly forever on just an oil change a year (less than $100) and belts and tires every so-many years (depending how much you drive).
There is no math in the world that'll make a new car cheaper to own and operate than an old reliable brand car. If you enjoy newer cars, enjoy! But it won't be cheaper.
It can never be cheaper to have a new car. Do the math objectively and this is clear.
It can be more predictable, if you value that. Lease a new car, you know exactly what you're paying every month and for how long. Sure. But it'll be a lot more than an old car.
> You can believe that if you want
I don't believe, I have all my car expenses tracked since the early 90s so I know what I spend. In those 30 years I've mostly had cheap reliable old cars and a few new cars. The new cars have their joy, but they are a huge money pit. Currently my newest car is 17 years old and the oldest is 33 years old.
No new cars for me ever again, I let others pay the depreciation so I can get nearly-free transportation.
If you wanted cheap transportation, there's nothing cheaper to own than a ~$3K-4K used Honda/Mazda/Toyota. You obviously cannot have 1K/year in depreciation on a car that cost so little. New cars will be guaranteed to depreciate way more than that though.
The strategy for cheap transportation is buy that reliable car for 3-4K, drive it for ten+ years with minimal maintenance, insure for liability only. At the end of the years you can sell it for pretty much same as the buy price if you kept it clean. You can easily verify this by looking at craigslist prices for, say, a Honda Civic from the 90s to the 00s. A clean running car will only depreciate to a certain point and no more. If you buy it at the bottom of the depreciation curve you won't lose any money in depreciation. For some models, if you hold them for a while, it'll actually appreciate.
A Citroen is not a Honda/Mazda/Toyota. With an esoteric car like that, I don't doubt parts are expensive and reliability is low.
Your experience may be that used cars are cheap. My experinece over 20 years is that’s not always the case. I’ve had good used cars and awful used cars, the awful ones costing more than my current lease even before you get into the less concrete value of reliability and comfort.
I don’t deny that used cars can be cheaper. I simply state that’s not always the case.
Your calculation is silly and so many people fall into this trap. If you want to calculate whether a repair is worth it you have to either calculate cost per mile or cost per month. If a repair costs 1000€ and buying a new car would get you 200€ monthly payments and the repaired car survives 5 months then you just broke even and every month after that is profit. Your new car is never going to make you a profit.
The only thing you lost is the opportunity cost of not driving a new car.
When people say "where the cost of the repair exceeds the value of the vehicle." what they really mean is that they want a new car and there is nothing wrong with that but it is absolutely not cheaper than maintaining the old car a little bit longer.
I don’t think they’re saying “get a new car with a monthly loan.”
That's hardly a catastrophic failure, it'll just leak oil and you can schedule repairs at convenience. Having replaced a few, it's also a cheap part.
Friday afternoon. Although to be fair it was gray ATF smoke and not steam.
I stopped and asked the guy what was up because I probably could have helped if it was easy and the details of the situation favored doing so.
Turns out "muh million mile 4Runner" had sprung a leak in the transmission cooling plumbing. Based on the age of the vehicle I decided it would be better for him to get it towed than have me attempt a field repair so I lectured him on the basics of how an automatic transmission works and why he would be maxing an expensive gamble with bad odds if he were to pour a couple quarts in it and try to make it a few miles to where he was going rather than tow it.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/green-living-blog/20...
The footprints can be reduced at scale over time, whereas these cars will be continuously producing more pollution as they age.
Which arguably supports driving older cars longer because not only does it reduce the overall frequency of car manufacturer, it also pushes that manufacturing process further into the future when the environmental impact of manufacturing a replacement would be lower.
Pardon me, but isn't that the definition of 'discounting'?. As in, you're ignoring that portion of the carbon footprint.
Totally wrong, it's only 20%
Think about it - if most of emission wad in production, electric cars would make no sence, they have higher production footprint and lower running footprint
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/society/201...
New cars aren't, or at least weren't, always this massive financial blunder people claim.
If it ends up costing you a few grand more per decade, why not lease, live within bumper to bumper warranties, and create the vehicles people actually seem to want, used ones.
https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1129864_nissan-leaf-lea...
Basically unobtainium lease rates outside of USA. In Canada, I'm seeing ~US$400/month for 60 month lease on a Leaf, and 40% more on a 3y lease: https://www.leasecosts.ca/en/cars/nissan/leaf-s-electric/202...
I feel like leasing in the UK is not a good deal, at least to me. I think a fair amount of people outside of tech get a company car allowance that probably props up prices a bit - I don't see why anyone else would pay these rates unless they absolutely must have a new car Vs a used one
All told I am probably spending about 1/2 or less what you are per decade by swapping leases every 2.5 years vs buying new and keeping it until it’s not worth maintaining. And that’s with buying nice new cars and always getting it repaired at the dealership. Which conversely means you can also drive a nicer model at the same price.
New cars remind you every year how much you paid for them....
The usual boneyard model these days immediately cut off the high-value parts for themselves (cat converters, rims, batteries or tires if they're newer, maybe body parts), drop it on cinder blocks for 3 months for U-pullers to take off other parts, and then crush them.
(This is why I buy mass-model Toyotas, easy to fix, always spare parts, always a buyer)
https://www.consumerreports.org/buying-a-car/people-spending...
Well…sort of. As the article details, there’s a lot at the top of the market that skews that average upwards. But even then, I don’t think you can get into a Honda Civic for less than $20,000. And good luck buying an F-150.
But also it’s remarkable how long cars last now. A 2010 car is still probably in fantastic shape. (My parents’ Camry sure is.) And while the new safety features are very useful (c’mon, dad, buy the new car, you need that blind spot warning), if the car ain’t broke, why replace it?
Note inflation.
I still have my 2003 Golf TDI that I bought brand new for CA$ 30K (all-in). In 2021 that would be the equivalent of CA$ 41K.
* https://www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/related/inflation-calculat...
Nowadays Golfs (sadly no diesels) are in the CA$ 22-28K range (plus fees/taxs):
Inflation has been exceptionally, historically low for over a decade.
So at least part of the reason would be improvements in sharing reusing resources between models increasing the economies of scale.
In general, car manufacturers also removed stuff people don't care from lower models like better rear-suspension. You also save costs by going electronic e.g. the steering wheel isn't connected to the wheels anymore, it just tells them to turn by wire. Same for the transmission, that's why cars are getting rid of the transmission lever in the middle and using weird buttons instead : it isn't actually connected to the transmission box anymore. This also extends to removing physical buttons/volume knobs.
Nominal median household income in 2019 was $69k, compared to $42k in 2003, for an increase of 64%[1]. The price inflation figure that the parent comment shared is about a 36% increase in nominal dollars.
Using the parent comment's inflation and ignoring his claimed 25% nominal price decline for the Golf, this means that a new Golf costs a dramatically lower portion of median income.
Whoever told you that real median income has been negative since 2003 has badly misled you. I suggest doing a quick spot-check when you hear a new figure, as these figures are very, very easy to find.
[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/200838/median-household-... The figures are denominated in 2019 dollars, so I converted the 2003 household income figures to 2003 dollars to get the nominal comparison we're discussing. I used the parent comment's inflation figure for consistency.
Ditto. I'm in a condo and I suspect it'll be at another 5yrs before they support installing chargers. Right now: nope.
Probably a good burgeoning opportunity here i.e. install the charging infrastructure in condo garages.
It was still going pretty strong but vehicle tech advances rather quickly these days that after about a decade there is really a sizable improvement in safety.
I think it was not mandated into US law until about a decade ago, but some OEMs have offered it since 1987, like Mercedes Benz
Didn't have any airbags at all. Not illegal in the rest of the world but I think they didn't sell them in the US.
The UK, but it was the same model they sold everywhere that they sold them.
This 2009 Land Rover model had front, side, and overhead airbags, ESC, ABS, etc.
But the model I had didn't, and didn't anywhere it was sold. Do you think I'm mistaken about my own car or something?
So you are most certainly mistaken about the claim that it is sold "everywhere", although you have since edited that to be restricted to "where they sold them" which conveniently excludes all the places where it simply couldn't be sold.
I'm obviously not going to be mistaken about my own car, am I?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_Rover_Defender#2012_updat...
Selling as late as 2016 with no air bags, in many Western first-world nations, obviously including such as the UK where it was built, but I think also France, Germany, etc.
In fact they even specifically say:
> However, safety regulations due for introduction in 2015 requiring minimum pedestrian safety standards and the fitment of airbags to commercial vehicles cannot be met without a wholesale redesign of the Defender.
Another source.
https://www.carbuyer.co.uk/reviews/land-rover/defender/sport...
Which says:
> it was never fitted with any airbags
And we can see when you edit your comments, because I already quoted them.
The original claim you wrote 'So either your vehicle was sold in no first-world nations, or you are indeed mistaken.' is clearly false.
It's funny that you bring up editing, because the single thing I was replying to was your original claim that your airbag-less vehicle was the same model they sold "everywhere" (which you later edited because of course the vehicle was illegal in a number of nations). I never contested that you bought some bizarrely outdated vehicle in the UK in 2009. If I edited a comment, I made it more accurate immediately, and it's incredibly strange that you think you've caught me out.
I truly don't care about your strange retro vehicle. But in this conversation it is so hilariously irrelevant to the context.
Yeah everywhere they sold the Defender, they sold it without airbags. That's always what I said, and it's true.
> I never contested that you bought some bizarrely outdated vehicle in the UK in 2009
You said 'your vehicle was sold in no first-world nations'. This a demonstrably untrue statement, because it was sold in at least the UK.
It's not as crazy as it sounds; with the front-impact ones, wearing your seatbelt works about as well, and you don't have to worry about Takata syndrome.
This was apparently because at that point, manufacturers could get out of putting in front airbags if they put in those automatic should belts. Not sure when that was tightened up.
A lot of the more recent improvements seem to be trying to compensate for either gross driver failures or much reduced visibility with modern vehicle designs. It will be interesting to see whether they end up significantly improving safety overall or just cancelling out the negative effects of less careful driving and less visibility.
Age is being used as a really sloppy proxy for safety features, when a lot of these things were completely standard 10 years ago. As mentioned in another post, a 2009 Range Rover came with every major safety feature.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimgorzelany/2018/05/11/newer-c...
[1] https://www.iihs.org/news/detail/new-study-suggests-todays-s...
[2] https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-03/Ped%20Spotl...
[3] https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/oct/03/collision...
IIHS is changing tests now to incorporate pedestrian safety tests. NHTSA is also considering the change.
It's design nonsense and the only reason it ever got this bad is the regulators are fully captured.
The airbags inside the car are meant to cushion the hard surfaces of course and the curtain bags are meant to keep people and their limbs in the protective passenger area when the car spins, but also they are acting as a counterforce and slow the speed of the person a little more gently, versus an instant stop to a solid object such as the dashboard, causing internal injuries as well as the external trauma.
Also airbags are a very good reason to wear a seatbelt - if you pop the airbags while colliding at relatively slow speeds, you'll probably lean forward a bit from the deceleration only to be punched in the face by the bag (and probably get some vertebrae renovated).
So while installing external airbags to cushion the pedestrian impact sounds like a good idea it probably isn't, as the bag suddenly expanding from the direction of the vehicle would simply add to the energy and "punch" the pedestrian away from the car at the 200mph at which an airbag expands.
Lastly, I'm all in for the gel from Demolition Man, why aren't we funding it?? Would it come in different scents and colors? :-D Really the car could one day - when detecting an unavoidable collision - spray out a foam or expanding gel that would cushion the surfaces and also decelerate the fall of the pedestrian - I'm thinking Final Fantasy Spirits Within -soldiers drop gel"?
It seems like such an airbag could be used to lessen the impact of vehicle-to-vehicle collisions as well. Perhaps have multiple inflators so the car can select air pressure based on the projected force of impact.
Airbag suits are available now for motorcycle riders, external car airbags would kind of be just a larger (potentially more complex) variant of the same idea.
Consequences for injuring or killing pedestrians only seem to enter the equation when serious negligence is involved, like when drivers are intoxicated, or when there is a hit-and-run.
"When a car strikes a cyclist, the initial impact causes severe lower-body trauma, but it’s also likely to sweep that person’s legs out from underneath them. This is significant, because as the rider slides up the hood, they’re scrubbing speed and, with it, some impact force. An SUV or truck, by contrast, is taller, so the initial impact is likely to target the pelvis or even the chest. “That momentum is carried through your body,” says Hu. In addition, the front-end shape of a vehicle is vital. More than 85 percent of fatalities among pedestrians and cyclists hit by cars and light trucks involve impacts from the front of the vehicle, according to 2017 data from the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration. Modern truck and full-size SUVs favor blocky, muscular styling at the front end, rather than the more gently sloping transition from grille to hood that cars and some compact SUVs have. Instead of sliding onto the hood when hit by a truck, the rider’s pelvis and torso rotate with a twisting, tearing motion. With a squared-off front end, Hu says, “it’s basically the person wrapping around the vehicle.”"
https://www.outsideonline.com/2411345/suvs-trucks-deadly-cyc...
Why isn't the same true for pedestrians and bicyclists?
https://www.iihs.org/news/detail/study-highlights-rising-ped...
I know an older couple with two vehicles from 2008 with 36k and 54k miles on them. They are in great shape, always parked in the garage at home, etc. While their natural life might be 150k, it's very likely they will be in a junkyard before then. Part availability becomes an increasing concern.
From an environmental standpoint, old cars were manufactured under less stringent emissions standards. At a certain point, the emissions required to manufacture a car are more than offset by the marginally lower emissions from a new vehicle.
From an environmental standpoint, the benefit would be on vehicles where parts get more difficult to find or the owner deems the vehicle to be lacking sufficient safety features (and possibly both, a couple hundred dollar repair prompting the owner to retire the car).
I don't have any numbers to estimate the impact, it's my shower thought for how to maximize asset utilization and minimize vehicle deaths.
What does any of that have to do with the environmental standpoint?
The most extreme example would be a car with a catastrophic failure that will happen at 200k miles, but the owner only drives 1k miles per year. Parts will become an issue far before the useful life of the vehicle is up. The resale value would be basically 0 after 50 years because everything is so out of date, from safety features to creature comforts.
I'm personally driving a 2010 Civic which just crossed 100k miles, and a 2009 CR-V with 140k miles. The Civic will likely be sold in the next few years pursuing an upgrade to safety while it would still have a ton of life left in it. It'll probably go to some high school kid who is learning to drive, and its end of life will more likely be due to a crash.
I just put money into the Civic for wheel bearings (likely needed because it sat most of 2020), transmission fluid, and brake fluid, and the CR-V checked out fine at its oil change. In ~75k miles, we have only done front suspension, tires, wheel alignments, oil changes, and a set of brakes on the CR-V. It spent a couple years in a town with terrible roads, which I point to as the primary reason for the suspension breaking.
Most people are not letting "never in a lifetime" frequency events have more than tertiary influence over major purchasing decisions.
I agree with the safety concerns others have mentioned about older cars, and I would gladly pay more for safety. But I do feel a bit frustrated when getting the safety also requires a huge TCO increase for frivolous features. (E.g., are the automatic windshield wipers really worth the 4x cost bump at the glass shop?)
This is a pretty common experience of Prius owners. There’s also a huge modding community for them, so it’s easy to find information about any part of them. There are even tutorials on how to replace bad cells in the battery pack. (Just don’t drop a wrench and cause a short.)
I looked it up, it's 500-1000€ just for the metals. It's a wonder people aren't stealing them more.
Hondas have a reputation for being fairly bulletproof and cheap to maintain. Mazdas have a reputation for being fun to drive and occasionally going "bang".
You might be pleasantly surprised by the TCO of a new Civic or Accord.
https://blog.tirerack.com/blog/motorsport-messages-from-mars...
Getting a rental for a few days just to double check that I was right. Rental market sucks right now because they dumped inventory and demand has gone up, but still better to throw away $400 so I can be sure.
Some will even let you keep it overnight to "think about it."
I'm not a car expert, but I'm guessing the dearth of driving in the past year has also affected this. Anecdotal, but I've put barely any miles on my 2013 car in well over a year, which I see as extending its life. I'm noticing my dealership has really amped up their direct-mail pleas to "come in for service," suggesting this revenue stream has dried up as cars stay in driveways.
[1] https://www.edmunds.com/car-buying/where-does-the-car-dealer...
I think another thing impacting this may be high car prices making people wait until things "cool down." A lot of folks I know are talking about how high car prices, home prices, really all prices are becoming. Some people may want to wait it out to see if this is permanent or just an aberration due to the pandemic.
It will be a couple of years before this supply effect works through the system. It has nothing to do with consumer behavior choosing to purchase more new cars and driving up the price as a result of increased demand.
Then I read the March 1973 "Bicycle" issue of Scientific American, which measured efficiency in terms of Kilograms/Kilometers/KCalories. Back then bikes were about 28x more efficient than cars. Steve Jobs referred to that article when he declared computers to be a "bicycle for the mind". As for me: I dropped cars and bought a bike.
We need to kill this before it ever manages to take hold.
"They don't make them like they used to!" - does anyone remember hearing this?
I'm surprised that no one has commented that 12 year is the AVERAGE. The population likely follows a long tail distribution. I'd love to have access to the dataset.
Some other implications:
The market for some cars has eaten it's own tail, and this is likely to be a progressive phenomenon - Sedans and small cars are still on the road in large numbers even as manufacturers reduce production on these models. If a manufacturer cannot sell a new car at a high enough price point, it does not make sense to stay in that business. This drives up the average price for new cars, as the market for lower cost cars has moved to primarily used cars.
Manufacturers make money on used cars in a few ways - repair parts and service is the biggest. I don't have access to privileged information about this, but I can only imagine that as EVs roll out Monthly Recurring Revenue will only become more important.
I'd benefit from having a newer car in some ways, but I actively don't want any specific new model I've seen for years because of their awful uses of technology. Go back to making cars that are about driving -- safely, efficiently and comfortably -- without all that other junk, and I'll throw money at you.
But still not too much money, because I don't think fully electric vehicles and the infrastructure to support them are quite there yet, and anything using an ICE or hybrid tech feels like it's only a stepping stone to the fully electric world that we'll probably be living in a decade from now.
I can't imagine why anyone would want to buy the kinds of cars that the big manufacturers are producing today unless they had no choice, and I'm not surprised at all that more people are keeping their existing vehicles for longer.
As plastics age and go through heat/cool cycles the get brittle and easily fail. It’s infuriating to have to dismantle half the engine just to replace a $5 coolant elbow because GM decided to use a plastic one instead of metal.
Frankly I'm waiting for EVs to become realistically available because right now they aren't practically priced. The range, eg of a tesla, is not an issue.
I'm happy with the future idea of three vehicles. Right now I have a little hatchback and a old truck for trailers and knocking about with heavy equipment. I'd appreciate a daily commute thing that is fully electric. By that time, the hatchback will have likely failed.
Maybe we will get to a point where vehicle lifespans can outlast a typical human as we transition to EVs which have less moving parts and lubricants than ICEs.
My 2013 car has 35,000 miles on it. Beautiful car (Hyundai Genesis sedan). 8 airbags.
But it lacks a rear-view camera and doesn't have the modern stuff like collision avoidance that pretty much comes standard nowadays.
Crutchfield will sell you a plug and play adapter from your factory radio to the new radio's pin outs. They do the wiring so you don't have to solder anything.
Having navigation and a backup camera definitely made it much nicer to drive.
I have an older 2005 Honda Element and the double-DIN OEM CD player no longer works. Both rotary encoders for volume and tuning malfunction, and it will eject any CD placed inside it.
So, I have been looking at these on Amazon as a replacement:
https://www.amazon.com/Double-Stereo-CarPlay-ABSOSO-Receiver...
I will probably pay more for a better quality version, but it literally is a double-DIN touchscreen with Carplay support and a backup camera for $118.
There is no shortage of various head-units with backup cameras for cars that did not come factory equipped, and quite affordble.
But another reason I'm holding off on buying a new car is that I sense a huge shift in car technology coming up, and I don't want to buy in a transitional period. When I looked around a year ago, the electric range was 60-90 for used electric cars, as much as 250+ for recent (but expensive) models. Self driving and navigating features may also be on the way. It seems that range is expanding rapidly and new capabilities for self-navigation are closer to being mainstream, while prices are likely to drop substantially for better range.
I guess I just don't want to buy a new DVD player just before they go obsolete. I kind of doubt my experience or motivation is the norm. But if it is so, this may a one time temporary delay as people are reluctant to buy during a one-time huge transition in the market (though alternatively, cars could become more like computers and cell phones, with such rapid technical progress that it becomes the norm to trade in or up frequently).
I hope to keep my electric car for at least 10 years
I own a Peugot iOn (rebadged Mitsubishi i-MiEV) manufactured in 2012, so it's 9 years old. I bought it second hand, and the service record shows it's needed zero maintenance (aside from tires). I have not needed to perform any maintenance in the ~2 years I've owned it. I'm not in any way recommending this specific car (although it suits me perfectly); but it shows that even a fairly early electric car like this is 10-year capable. The only downside has been the expected gradual decrease in range.
I've also owned a Tesla Model 3 for 16 months, and it's been maintenance and trouble free. I'm not denying that some people have problems with them, however that's not been my experience, nor the experience of the two other people I know who own one.
I probably plan to keep the Tesla for many years, so hope my trouble-free motoring continues :)
The most trouble-free cars I still go for are used Lexus sedans, especially those driven previously be senior citizens. Not always the coolest but man I never have to worry about anything on it.
[0] https://jalopnik.com/teslas-removal-of-features-on-used-cars...
That said, you will need to wait like 7 more years until you start seeing 10 year old Model 3s.
Less social pressure to get new car as harder to tell what’s new. Obviously not impossible but not as stark as a 1990 from a 2000 car. 2010 and 2020 car don’t look that much different.
Thus most car owners in the UK can tell (unless you have vanity plates) roughly how old your car is.
A neat experiment would be randomly issue vanity plates that change the year but look normal and see if there is a difference how long a person keeps the car. If having a plate that makes it appear you have a newer car makes you hang on to it longer.
So a study might be able to look at mainland UK vehicle retention rates versus NI, though it would have to normalise for income and outgoings.
However, people do sometimes put older vanity plates on newer cars to hide the age.
I consider it part of my entertainment budget, and while I don’t love eating the depreciation I’ve done fairly well over the years picking cars which have held their value (generally due to their niche appeal).
This wasn’t really the case with late 80’s and early 90’s cars in the late and mid 2000’s…
Aircon, airbags, ABS, power steering and heck even decent multimedia features all became quite standard pretty darn fast.
Other than the lack large LCD screens in the dashboard you can’t really tell if a car is from 2008 or 2018 even the shape is nearly the same because the same design language is used and we have optimized the form as much as possible from a fuel consumption perspective.
However it was a car designed and built in the days when cars were still largely analog. No infotainment, no fancy technological wizardry governing the power delivery or handling.
Nowadays many cars have gizmos and gadgets up the wazoo. Even if the base mechanical bits continue to work, wouldn't a lot of the fancy features become akin to Stone Age technology? That infotainment system that is awesome in 2021 isn't going to be so hot in 2026 let alone 2031.
These days, 260hp isn’t much of anything special, but back then it was the most powerful car I’d ever bought, and I still love the whine of the air, increasing in frequency, as I pull onto an empty freeway and put my foot down to get up to speed.
Over the years it’s needed a small amount of maintenance - new tires, timing belts etc. But nothing has gone wrong that isn’t expected to happen on the maintenance schedule. That reliability and the fact that it’s been paid for, for over a decade now, is just awesome.
Airbags everywhere, excellent brakes, not much rear visibility (but it’s a convertible, so the top is down more often than not), traction control, and a 6-cd changer [grin], what’s not to like :)
Having said all that, in a few years it’ll be time to move to an electric car, but I want to stave off that future as long as possible.
So it comes out to 30 cents per mile plus my morbidity/mortality risk. Hard to justify a new car if I am happy with my current driving experience, which all I care about is CarPlay and air conditioning. I am hoping electric cars are fully tested and reliable by the time my car dies. Or someone steals it.
Cars are a money sink. They depreciate majorly in value really fast. There is no way I’m going to invest in a good/luxury car unless I have a very specific reason to do so.
In places where cars have mandated regular checkups, it's also something that comes with zero risk to people running cars that have safety or environmental issues. This (If I understand correctly) is only the case in a few states in the US though.
Honestly, they might be come infeasible from a software perspective far before they do from a mechanical perspective.
Their batteries sure won't.
Really, the thing with old batteries isn't so much that they degrade (though a few cars had problems with it like the early Nissan Leafs), but rather that the technology is getting better all the time, and even if degradation isn't a factor, a twenty-year-old battery will be based on twenty-year-old tech, whereas newer cars will be have more range, charge more quickly, and be lighter.
So the drivetrains may well last longer, but that's not what drives first-owners of cars to trade/sell for a newer model, as drivetrains already well outlast most first owners desire to keep them.
We actually have junkyards full of EV cars that are under 5 years old, because the battery or chassis got some damage, and it would cost $10k-$30k to replace.
Also, are ppl on average driving less? More delivery to home presumably means less errsnds to run? Less driving means a car lasts longer.
Car prices have risen quite a bit in the last few years.
ICE is proven to be if maintained.
Battery maintenance costs may prove to be the achilles heel of Electric Car ownership, which is why so many people are pushing for a post ownership society / CAAS (car as a service) model instead of owning a car
This is great for dense city dwellers that don't use their car much, but horrific for suburbanites, rural Americans, and people that drive more than 15k miles per year.
Reduction in ownership is happening everywhere. Devices, media, now cars and homes. It's not a good trend for many consumers. We'll all wind up as serfs.
Also if you are driving a high end one, like a Model S, that changes the game as well.
I have yet to see any manufacture come out with a battery replacement program that is economical. Look at Prius as an example, battery goes out in one of them it is basically totaled from a economic stand point unless you DIY the replacement with "unauthorized" batteries. I believe the Chevy volt is the same way
Internal combustion engines however have no problems lasting for 10, 15, 30+ years if they are maintained. I know many people that have cars over 15 years old.
It is yet to be seen how long battery packs of different design will last. Or if the drive to get more and more range out of these battery packs will push mfg's to squeeze more range sacrificing longevity as competition in the past increases . That is going to be a problem.
This planned obsolescence model we have for cell phones, to cars with shorter and shorter product life spans is not good for anyone, not the environment, not poor people that generally depend on older used cars which makes electric uses cars at ticking time bomb...
the solution can not be "just replace your $40-$60K car when the battery dies like your iPhone" that is moronic
The average American drives 16 miles each way to work. (Pre-pandemic, so it's even lower now). The kind of person who'd buy a $2k car can get by with very little battery capacity.
https://www.reddit.com/r/DIY/comments/zbxa6/resurrection_198...
This can be chalked up to another feature of capitalism: planned robustness.
Although I support capitalism to a large degree, this "consumerist alarm" is patently hilarious. The PE firms reading this are probably scurrying to find new ways to "engineer" cars to fail sooner and jack up the price of maintenance and spare parts. I'll wait for the spare parts "shortage" analogous to the lumber "shortage" which in reality was caused by PE firms who own large swaths of harvestable forests just deciding to not log as quickly...
We own all our vehicles so maintenance, insurance, and fuel are the only real costs of ownership.
Since I have lots of tools accumulated and skills learned over more than 40 years of driving I do a lot of my own maintenance and upgrades.
All but one of our vehicles has more than 230k miles on the odometer. The exception has 110k miles and is 6 years old. The other vehicles range in age from 10 years old to 46 years old. We bought 4 of these vehicles new, of the other two one was a gift and the other I bought at auction for a pittance.
I prefer older vehicles without all the safety stuff, electronics, etc. They are simple to work on and maintain and will last a long time without having to be molly-coddled. I do appreciate the skills needed by the new vehicle designers to fit all that crap under the hood, inside the dash, etc. and make it all work. The drawback is that this does make some maintenance work a lot more difficult than it should be as things have to be moved out of the way to fix relatively simple problems.
I don't see airbags and things like that as necessary features. I only have 3 vehicles that came with them and all 3 have had bags recalled.
As long as I have space to store the vehicles and the option to start and stop insurance coverage (shift from daily driver to stored vehicle) with 24 hours notice I will likely keep all of them since we own them.
I have a hard time getting excited about spending $30k or more for a vehicle that will monitor everything I do, how I choose to do it, where I go, etc. You will never own that vehicle like I own mine.
I am not one of those redneck dipshits who disables emission controls, lifts the body and buys larger tires. I use OEM parts for everything when they are available, aftermarket parts if they aren't. All my vehicles except one are or could be daily drivers for anyone. My wife and my kids drive them so they have to work right and be safe with no mechanical issues that could leave them in a bind.
Over the years I have had to upgrade my maintenance skills to be able to troubleshoot electronics, sensors, etc. That is probably the one thing that I appreciate most about newer vehicles, that I have been forced to learn new things and to buy new tools. Who doesn't like new tools?
I have also learned a lot about several manufacturers and the corners they cut or the extra steps they take to improve the ownership experience.
Cars are pretty great. Trucks are pretty greater.
I am excited to finally see wide adoption of electric vehicles. It can't come soon enough. I think Musk might have said that part of the reason he started building cars was to try to drive the old guard companies into a shift to electrics. With Ford, GM, Toyota, Honda, etc getting on board I think he has satisfied that goal and we will all benefit.
As someone who worked 40 years in the oil and gas business I just want to see all that ended. Regulate it out of existence or do as investment houses are doing and just cut off funding for new exploration.
Where would that leave all my older vehicles? Well, I would have great platforms for conversion to electrics or I could scrap them and let their materials become something else useful. Like the rocks, everything changes with time.
> I don't see airbags and things like that as necessary features.
Those points contradict this one:
> My wife and my kids drive them so they have to [...] be safe
Airbags don't make you safer. They simply absorb and dissipate damaging energy thus preventing many serious injuries when drivers become involved in accidents.
Safe drivers drive defensively and practice traffic hazard and conflict recognition and avoidance which minimizes the likelihood that they will become involved in someone else's malfunction. You won't need those airbags.
Consumer behavior has been very different in the last 18 months.
Not that I don't think quality improvements over he last two to three decades wont have an impact
After that, I'll probably become Amish or something.
Do you place any value on crash safety? Because if so, then this is totally untrue.