Winners and losers of the work-from-home revolution
theatlantic.com
theatlantic.com
Nobody I know who's moving to the suburbs is doing it to buy a loft apartment and bike everywhere. They're all entering or already in child rearing years and buying houses with yards and cars. As much as people talk about wanting to live in dense walkable neighborhoods, and as much as I wish we could build denser suburbs, the American dream of a lush lawn and big comfortable car is very much alive with millennials.
And more practically, where are you going to build these walkable suburbs? All the prime space of of the inner ring is already built out, and existing "street car suburbs" have already been popular, affluent and expensive for years.
Living in the city with children can be very desirable. You may have a small (or no backyard), but the city is your playground. Public parks, pools, trails, and so much more.
But the lack of people-focused planning for generations has put us in a long tail of catchup, leaving the burbs as a preferred choice for many.
Though in my region, a couple of small classic downtown areas are hoping to a keep some permanent pedestrian streets that were turned that way during the pandemic..
Have you been to the cities lately? We just left Seattle; the public parks and trails were overrun with tents and needles. The school district is allowing homeless drug addicts to live on school property. The city council appears to have no interest in the quality of life of children and their families.
How about you retrofit existing suburbs? Fill in large spaces with mixed development, construct new public transportation, etc.
However, you are wrong at least for USA. Zoning laws will slow this down and the momentum will be lost. I’d love a taste of europe in america with some mix zone areas.
I know not all cities are like the ossified ones. Ie., austin has mixed zones but many cities arent.
I want to live in the picture you paint.
We just had elections, and several candidates, including for mayor, campaigned very hard on the platform "my opponent is in bed with developers and wants to turn our sleepy suburban town into a dense urban hell hole!"
Surprisingly to me, those candidates lost.
An empty storefront is considered "rented, but temporarily empty, and can tack the lost rent onto the end of the mortgage". A storefront with a lower rent is considered "cost basis has changed and the mortgage holder can demand cash from you".
You can't put a barbershop into that slot as the barbershop will never meet the rent.
I was seeing a lot of empty storefronts in mixed-residential builds that hadn't been rented for years even before Covid. Covid is just going to supercharge that.
Mentoring someone remotely is no harder than doing it in person.
With WFH entry level people everywhere can gain access to the industry. No longer do they need to move or already live in SF, NY…
The big problem is that there's a bar to meet for Zoom which is higher than that to ask a question in the office. Rightly or wrongly, lots of people feel this way, and I ended up having to over-schedule meetings to make sure people got support.
Additionally, junior people are much, much less likely to have the space to make WFH effective, so they do benefit from having an office.
Don't get me wrong, I'm a big fan of WFH, but I'm pretty sceptical of it working for junior people as well as it does for senior. And even then, that difference will cause a bunch of problems.
Speaking up on Zoom may have a higher barrier to entry than in an in person meeting (maybe) but asking questions on Slack is much lower.
The great thing about remote first, is that a lot of communication is written and can be referenced in the future, which is a great boon to juniors.
This is probably the key, to be honest. The companies where I've done this were not fully remote. I agree with you that conditional on being selected for a fully-remote company, this is fine. My understanding is that these companies tend not to hire as many juniors though, am I incorrect?
Speaking for myself, I’ve always hired a good mix of jr/sr people. I do always look for devs that have the proven ability to ship (so jr devs with a GitHub project for instance).
Another factor I haven't seen much discussion of is people with vs without children. WFH with children presents a whole new slew of challenges.
I think some of the inequality comes not from the demands of the job itself but from where people are in life.
I've been working remotely for 10 years, so I bought my house because it had a home office. My WFH setup is very comfortable, and it works well for my family.
But early in my career, I was renting a cheap apartment with multiple roommates, and it was not as ideal for remote work. And I likely would have missed out on networking opportunities and just general friendships versus someone doing the same role in-office. Those aren't as important to me at this stage of my career, but they were very important back then.
What's sad is that since expectations are lower for junior people, and since the industry has embraced the idea that virtually all traditional management responsibilities in software engineering should be left for engineers to figure out themselves, new employees can hang around for months without anyone caring that nobody has put any effort into making them productive, which stunts their growth and desensitizes them to being helpless and useless.
Eventually effective onboarding for fully remote employees will become the norm, but meanwhile, a lot of people are falling through the cracks.
I'm at least in the same city: It would be a severe PITA if I had to FedEx my laptop back to the depot.
But there's nothing natural or ancient about going in to the office as a rite of passage - it's not necessary. It's just something this generation won't get to have, just like my generation didn't have to go through the ritual of getting our first proper business suit, and how direct deposit has taken away the moment of being physically handed a paycheck. But they'll have their own things, I'm sure. Maybe the defining moment will be when that Fedex driver arrives and you sign for your first work laptop? Maybe logging onto the corporate slack and seeing all the channels for the first time imparts some sense of shared purpose?
And maybe that means you also don't get artificially seduced by the trappings of the environment. Because the work is done in a serious building with serious glass conference rooms and serious desks, we learn to take the business seriously - maybe more seriously than it deserves. And maybe people who work in offices typing on computers every day do think a bit too much of themselves, because after all they work in an important building full of important people. Perhaps it's a good thing to miss out on that ego-stroking. Harder to take yourself too seriously when you're working on an Ikea desk at the foot of your bed surrounded by your own dirty laundry.
The big reason for this, I think, is that the whole team is remote. Since everyone communicated via zoom, and everything is coordinated online, they can slip into the team seamlessly.
I think the upcoming blended teams are going to make this more difficult. My org, like most, is pushing for two days in the office, three days remote, but a few of our hired are geographically distant, so they will always be remote.
I'm worried that they're going to start to feel isolated from the team.
Winners: High-income workers at highly profitable companies; Work introverts and people who enjoy (or are good at) using online communication tools; Suburban-town-center developers; the how-to-WFH economy
Losers: Entry-level workers in less established positions; Downtown landlords and businesses; Political comity
The "Political comity" was especially interesting to me.At the office, they play music on a Sonos system all day long and this alone prevent me from going there because it saps my focus. I prefer working in silence. Also, there's always someone passing in front of my office looking at what I'm going and this annoys me.
So for me to return to the office would mean accepting an inferior environment that saps my productivity. What's the benefit?
To what extent are sprint points a good measure of productivity or of effort? My understanding is that they're based on estimates, which seem like a moving target to me depending on the experience and motivations of the estimator.
Off-topic, but isn't this exactly what you're not supposed to do with points? AIUI, they're explicitly disconnected from time so that teams can adjust points to match their reality.
To be clear: out of all the sprint points you've ever completed, more than 50% of them were completed in the past 12 months? How long has your career been?
I now live 4 blocks away from main street in a small town - I can walk to the library for the first time in my life (suburbs suck for walkability).
I hope WFH spreads to as many people as possible as an option they could use if they prefer.
Maybe there is a better way to structure office workers that will increase productivity.
Yeah and abacus is better than calculators. The media pushing this daft narrative over and over won't make anyone believe this nonsense.