I predict Google+ will die out in 1.5 years. It's inevitable. Too many tech people are saying it's the next big thing.. that's scary... I don't think a lotta tech geeks predicted Facebook would succeed.. Tech ppl don't know social.
Overheard in the park today, "google plus is like facebook but looks better". The same thing was said by non-tech people about facebook vs myspace.
Although, a lot of why it looks better is that there aren't any ad... I'd assume that this won't last.
That's true, but that's a competitive advantage that google can maintain for a long long time.
What you overheard in the park today is hardly evidence of some kind of trend. Google+ isn't even open to signups yet and is on an invite-only basis, used mostly by celebrity bloggers and other tech personalities who think every new social networking site is the greatest thing ever. Even the name "Google+" and the use of "+1" is too techie and mathematical for a lot of people.
I think "G+" stands a chance at being a memorable name. "Are you in G+?" sounds alrite.
The name Google+ is about as scary to non-mathmeticians as Facebook is to non-biologists.
I'd buy "tech people are poor predictors for social", but negative predictors?