Yes, but there is no way you can conclude "the typical student should come from school X" from that, which is the main issue with the author's argumentation.
You cut out the context in some of your quotes that makes this clearer. The article says
> imagine that planet populations are distributed in the same pattern as countries on Earth ... in that case, most planets will have a very much smaller population
They're saying, for purposes of illustration, imagine planet populations were distributed like countries on Earth. But that's not the distribution they use in their actual calculation. It's just to help explain.