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Comment by woliveirajr | Hacker News Reader

> Serrana, with 45,000 inhabitants

20 deaths in March/2021 to 6 in April/2021. When you go to see the stats since April/2020, you'll notice that there were full months with 0 or 1 death. [0]

Too soon, too small sample to draw such conclusions.

[0] For ex., search for "Serrana" in this site: https://especiais.gazetadopovo.com.br/coronavirus/casos-no-b...

edit: typo, should be "april/2020"

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The end of winter probably has a lot to do with it also (just like flu deaths go down during the spring and summer). The vaccines effectiveness probably won’t show through very visibly until November.

With Brazil being on the equator and mostly south of it, I doubt the end of northern hemisphere winter has much to do with it.

> With Brazil being on the equator and mostly south of it

Brazil is a huge country. The city in question is a long way south of the equator, it's near the tropic of Capricorn.

It’s start of Winter here, i live 100km from serrana

Seasonality isn't really understood at all by epidemiologists, so it's probably best to confine discussion of it to the places where it's clearly visible, which is mostly the northern hemisphere indeed.

The state this city is in had a peak in deaths and cases during April, so for the region April was not a good month for them.

It’s wild that a lot of people consider the BBC to be a reputable journalistic outlet when they pump out articles like this.

It isn't ... But HN loves BBC for some reason.

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