The Last Days of Tokyo’s Nakagin Capsule Tower
japan-forward.com
japan-forward.com
The air isn’t polluted by leaded gasoline. The equal employment act and title ix didn’t pass until 1972, America is a more balanced and equitable society today than it was in 1970.
All that to say I find this take is needlessly pessimistic from multiple angles, and I disagree.
Regarding pixels, well, there were still some high-res vector displays left (otherwise, there weren't any compression artefacts, at least). ;-)
Perhaps society decided to turn that progress into something a regular person could benefit from. Think EVs, or a network of internet satellites, work from home (and everything supporting that), getting all your shopping delivered at home, all the virtual "networks" (I don't mean FB here, any networking possibility) you can imagine, and all the knowledge now available from the comfort of your own personal pocket device. There are also plenty of social movements and evolution, think on the line of equal rights, that may have been rooted in the '70s but were completely in the realm of the implausible until the last 2 decades.
Of course people no longer see that as evolution and modernity because so many were born into them already. They look like normality.
And even the "modernity" that was available to normal people in their daily lives was mostly for the sake of the looks. I lived in some modern buildings of the '70s (not unlike the one presented in the article) and that wasn't modernity, it was creativity and embellishment mixed with a lot of impracticality. They were more art than practical creation. The result of the same current that gave birth to The Jetsons a decade earlier, just put in tangible reality in the '70s.
Regarding the the article, metabolism occupies a special spot: it's futuristic, full of anticipation, both theoretical and practically minded, and vitally combines elements from both art and engineering approaches.
Edit/PS, regarding art vs engineering: And in the arts engineering is called curating… ;-)
Comparatively very few things want to be both. The car wanted to be both engineering and "art" in the 50s-60s, in the 70s buildings had their turn with all kinds of experimental architecture. In the 80s clothing and fashion became art with outrageous and flashy colors and designs.
These days we have a clearer line between art and engineering. Then again my opinion may just be a product of being surrounded by "present day life", creating some bias. Or maybe electronics are today's form over function.
Aston Martin Vulcan: https://youtu.be/7ts_j5Pmwb0 Koenigsegg Gemera: https://youtu.be/1mPmCDS66Qc
Look at a '50s car and you'll see all kinds of functionally useless fins and embellishments all around, all meant to make the car look more futuristic and "airplane like", simulating airplane's wings and engines [0].
[0] https://live.staticflickr.com/1637/25965835911_3cd002a8b8_b....
The inflation adjusted minimum wage peaked in 1968. An American worker in 1970 could graduate high school and get a job that would allow them to support a family of four, buy a home, and take the occasional vacation. To say that we've progressed in terms of equitability since then is a cruel joke. The area under the curve of material wealth may be greater, but we've become a winner-take-all society.
Of course in the 70s they had over the air TV so the ads loaded instantly.
And spending 1.5% of your GDP to send like ten people to the moon probably isn't that great an achievement from a cost benefit analysis (I know there will be fierce disagreement).
Not taking away from how amazing those things are but we have billions of computers that connect most people in the world together which in my opinion just insanely amazing.
The reach of aeroplane travel is far more impressive now than flying under a 100 people at supersonic speeds.
I also dispute that there was mass transport plans - the total passenger load was tiny.
Not to take away that the plane itself is an amazing piece of technology.
A Concorde B variant with an even longer range and quieter engines was already being developed, and airlines were very interested in it. if the US market had been more open it's likely other markets would have followed suit.
Once it was stabilised in the market other improvements would have followed. Concorde was always a first class for the first class market, not an air bus. But if supersonic travel had become established there would have been market pressure to commoditise it, and we might have seen a continuing supersonic long haul market working in parallel with the smaller more local subsonic services we have now.
I dispute that airlines were actually interested in a Concorde B. The economic problems of supersonic flight would have remained.
There's a reason Boeing abandoned any pretense of interest in SST after Congress declined to fund it.
I do think supersonic was just priced out of the market. Would you pay twice for the time saving?
That's apart from improvements in digital imaging, large scale manufacturing, material sciences and flight control that were derived from the project.
Moreover, it was a longer term investment in humankind becoming a spacefaring species - something that will be necessary for our survival.
It was a bargain.
All the resources that went into the moonlanding could have gone into something else. Eg could have stayed in private hands.
For a different example:
Yes, in the real world WW2 sort-of gave us computers. But IBM (and similar companies) would have invented electronic general purpose computers anyway, and probably sooner, if there hadn't been a war going on.
The 70s looks at your example of progress, thinks of it as a big ARPANET and is not impressed.
We have wristwatch and pocket supercomputers with access to a global network.
But many people also live in a far more precarious economy, the global network is far too much a source of poor-quality or tainted information and toxic social experiences, monitoring and manipulation of all kinds are pervasive, and a compulsory personal ethic of branding, consumption, and selling is far more prevalent than anything more adventurous or creative.
What? Global inequality has dropped through the floor compared to the 70s. People in India and China used to starve, now they have smartphones.
Also, from a US-centric point of view, it seems to me that economic inequality has gotten worse since the 70s, or at least the 80s. See for example: https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2020/01/09/trends-... or https://academic.oup.com/cje/article-abstract/37/4/921/17127....
I'm not sure what the parent commenter meant, but when I think "precarious economy", I'm thinking about things like wage stagnation and rising costs of healthcare, housing, and debt, rather than the fact that people now have iPhones (which for many are only affordable if paid for in monthly installments over years).
No, I meant that not only has absolute poverty declined, global (!) inequality has also declined.
There is now more inequality inside of China then there was when everyone was really poor in Mao's time. Yes. Hence the emphasis on global: the vast mass of Chinese people are closer to eg American standards of living than ever in the past.
(American) wage stagnation is a myth mostly produced by being sloppy with inflation adjustment.
Sure, that's true. The pedanticism was pointing out that your second sentence was a non-sequitur. Starving and smartphones are about poverty, not necessarily inequality.
> (American) wage stagnation is a myth mostly produced by being sloppy with inflation adjustment.
Obviously it's more nuanced and complicated than this, but even if I grant you that wage stagnation is a myth, what about the other (majority) parts of what I said and cited? Would you argue that economic inequality has decreased in US over the past few decades?
I don't know how inequality came into the discussion?
The original point I commented didn't mention anything about equality, did it? "But many people also live in a far more precarious economy [...]" sounds like a complaint about poverty, not at all about inequality?
> Would you argue that economic inequality has decreased in US over the past few decades?
I don't live in the US, and don't care too much about that country. Even its poorest inhabitants are already rich and well off by global standards and are offered opportunities many can only dream off.
From what I absorbed over the Internet, it seems the answer to the US specific question depends a lot on exactly how you operationalize it:
The Gini coefficient is one common way to measure income inequality. It seems to have gone up slightly. See eg https://www.statista.com/statistics/219643/gini-coefficient-...
I (and many economists) prefer measures of consumption (in)equality, because people don't eat money. Presumably income is only a means to the the end of consumption.
See eg https://economics21.org/html/when-it-comes-inequality-consum... for that perspective. (It's just one of the first Google results for 'consumption inequality'.)
Though to be honest, I suggest we should care much more about the absolute welfare of poor people than about whether rich people have slightly more than they did yesterday (ie inequality).
Now, the future in the 1960s was wonderful. Spaceships! Atomic-powered flying cars! Jet travel to anywhere in the world! Air raid drills with duck and cover! That past had a future!
It was more commonplace than now, but flying in general was much, much more expensive, and supersonic travel even more.
There was much less future, it was less advanced but it felt more special, yes.
De-regulation of air travel made it cheap and commonplace.
See eg https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/AirlineDeregulation.html
Deregulation made air travel cheap, commonplace and miserable. I took Greyhound across the country several times in t70s. The quality of travel in airplanes is essentially at that level - but much faster of course. The 1950-70s were an era of regulated private monopolies. Those regulation stood in the way of all sorts of progress but also gave a substantial portion of the working class a middle class income.
I'm not going to argue whether one was better than the other because the change was inevitable, we'll never change back, just "change forward" to some further situation.
"Main" : modern looking, lots of plastic, maybe had 'advanced' features ( I couldn't imagine what those would be )
Close to € 25.
"House brand" : more or less the same as the main
About € 14
"Basic" or "Budget" : the exactly same scissor I remember my parents had, and everybody had in 70s & 80s.
€ 3,19
Elon Musk became the richest African-American in the process. I don't think he needed to think beyond his own wallet? (He might have or not. I don't know what he's thinking.)
Take a look at SpaceX. It has achieved success, it could double down on its existing work and earn great profits for many years to come. But instead, it's still pushing for Mars, following Elon's original plan. Never deviating, never compromising. Only slipping schedules and changing execution details[0]. They don't have to. He doesn't have to care either, he's already famous and filthy rich. And yet they keep pushing for Mars. So either Elon is that good of a conman, capable of maintaining this charade for so long, or... maybe he's just being honest.
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[0] - Which is normal for every company, and arguably every white-collar worker. For some reason, Musk gets badmouthed by plenty of software devs here over slipping a deadline on unprecedented feats of engineering - same developers who don't think twice about all the promises they break at their own workplace.
Only if you had deep pockets
The cost was $3500, which at the time was within a couple of hundred dollars compared to a business-class seat on KLM. Yes, that ticket price wasn't something I'd contemplate for personal travel, and it was a bit discounted at that; but for business travel it certainly wasn't exorbitant.
I had not heard car videos are so popular nowadays that their download speed can be used as a measure of modernity. But actually, that did not surprise me any more, more like the opposite. I feel that the older I get (I was born in 76), the more I see and hear things related to computers, music, media that apparently are very popular now I have never heard of. Sometimes it feels like I'm forever stuck in the 90's in a way. I mean, music was best in 90s-early 2000s, All you bases belonged to us as far as the best memes go and so on. But then again, with the technology in my hands today, I wouldn't change it to 90's junk in a million years.
The ‘lost decade’ is considered to have started in 1991, see https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decade_(Japan) and https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_economic_miracle.
> The economical miracle can be divided into four stages: the recovery (1946–1954), the high increase (1955–1972), the steady increase (1972–1992), and the low increase (1992–2017).
The period of highest growth ended in the 70s, which ended some of the optimism of that period.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikkei_225
(Though, mind you, a price index, not total return, so not including dividends, IIRC)
I think the first signs of not decline, but I'd say "wind down" were quite apparent in eighties already.
There is a insightful (if a bit messy, and occasionally wrong) book that purports to answer that question:
Where is my flying car?: A memoir of future past, by J. Storrs Hall. [1]
In that author's view, it boils down to
* a levelling off of energy consumption per capita, that previously had doubled every 10 years. (In particular, the author laments the dearth of advanced nuclear power, which would be good for the economy and the climate.)
* increasing regulation and risk aversion.
* as well as “centralized funding streams”, “bureaucratic inertia,” “cultural malaise and indifference”.
[1] Reviews:
https://rootsofprogress.org/where-is-my-flying-car
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/09/wh...
https://jakeseliger.com/2020/12/28/where-is-my-flying-car-a-...
Now we have them, and don't much give a damn how sci-fi the semi industry became.
Concordes on other sides were a cult icon even when they were flying. People were saving money to "fly on a Concorde once in a lifetime"
I also really love The Interlace in Singapore, but I have no idea how you could be expected to navigate it if you are unfamiliar. I wonder how it is for service providers etc to find units. The layout when you see it from above makes more sense, but only slightly.
There was one such complex nearby where I lived. But it didn't turn out well, because of the cheap and fairly indestructible accomodations, the rental agencies filled these up with 'problematic' tenants rather than students and it turned into a slum pretty quickly. The best place in town to get drugs or get stabbed. Eventually it was dismantled obviously. It was a good idea, but stupid management.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shipping_container_architectur...
I’m still nostalgic for that space. It was my first experience living alone, and a great one at that.
[1]: http://www.tombrands.nl/Spaceboxen_gemeente_Apeldoorn/mini-4...
It allows to make up something fancy very, very quick, and no risk that $10 per hour worker messes up somebody's gold plated loo.
For those interested in Metabolism a fascinating book on the subject is Rem Koolhaas’ “Project Japan - Metabolism Talks” from Taschen. I’ve only just begun to read it and the level of detail is illuminating.
https://www.taschen.com/pages/en/catalogue/architecture/all/...
So for anyone with the medical knowledge, was that a valid concern of mine or just a paranoia that prevented me from experiencing a building I've always been fascinated with before its disappearance?
Everything is a game of chance. You can quantify your chances of dying with micromorts, it is a good way to put things into perspective.
Dying of cancer because you spend a night in a capsule containing asbestos is, I believe, so ridiculously low that you might as well worry about being killed by a dog swimming with a gun in his mouth when you go to the beach. I mean, unless you are doing things like taking an angle grinder to the capsule, something the owner might object to.
Really, asbestos is mostly an occupational hazard. Once it is in place, the risks are low.
Asbestos is an extremely stable compound, which is the entire reason it was being used as fire resistant material.
For some reason, I'm really sad to see this go. I remember it being all over the UK media when I was a kid.
> swapped out regularly as needs changed
was the key design mistake, because it glosses over the fact that people get attached to things for sentimental reasons. Even if it were easier to swap out pods, I bet that some people would stubbornly remain in their older pods "because it is the pod I grew up in" for example.
Designers in all sorts of fields (even software) often fall for this fallacy, because it would just be so much more elegant if humans conformed to your vision for the world instead of the other way around.
Hell, maybe someone could buy all of them as a marketing gimmick like the London Bridge.
By the way, I really enjoyed this documentary: https://vimeo.com/ondemand/nakagincapsuletower
1976 dystopian fiction. It had a look and feel that matches up with this architecture.
Practicality first, then form, because a building in a high-value area has to be fundamentally useful or it becomes a spectacle, art, and/or blight.