VCs are quite risk averse in my opinion, at least at the seed stage.
VCs are quite risk averse in my opinion, at least at the seed stage.
If you are a founder—any industry—hit me up and hopefully I'll fund you! Email m@zorinaq.com
I don't care if I don't know an industry. I look mostly for qualities and unique characteristics in the founders themselves.
Dude you asked for it :)
Avoiding category-creation risk is true of most investors most of the times
For VCs, it's understandable given investors see so many co's pitch and it's one less risk to worry about. The later the stage and bigger the check, even more pressure.
Earlier stage is always more welcoming than later stage. Risk is lower for angels b/c betting on team means the startup can pivot (harder later) and can always exit for lower amounts ($20-30M exit for a $50K check is more of a 5X return than the goal of 10-100X return-the-fund, but a few of these still works and is more doable)
Roughly:
The earliest investors (mostly angels, usually not VCs) are taking the risk of "can you ship?"
The next round (some angles, but mostly VCs) are taking the risks of "is there any market for this?" and "can you sell to a few customers in that market?"
The next round (almost entirely VCs) are taking the triple risks of "is this a real market?", "can you sell to LOTS of customers?" and "can you scale a business quickly?"
And every round (exclusively VCs) are taking the dual risk of "can you expand your customer base into adjacent segments?" and "do your economies of scale eventually work?"
Unfortunately, no stage proves the next one, sometimes what looked like market early on turns out not to be one (many of the dotcoms), sometimes the math never works out (MoviePass, 98% of the dotcoms), sometimes the people who got you there can't get you to the next level and can't admit it, and there's the occasional frauds that slip through (Theranos).
There are hundreds of other, more nuanced reasons investments fail but those are the big ones.