I wonder how much super spreaders affect outbreaks.
Let’s say LA had 50 super spreaders vs. 25 in SF. I’d expect LA to have more than 2x the cases because of the exponential spread of the virus.
And I think the idea behind masks was not that they’re a cure, but a 2nd best option if the best option of social distancing isn’t possible.
And even if they’re 30% effective, the idea is to get R (the number of subsequent people an infected person goes on to infect) to go down. Because a 30% reduction in transmission has a huge effect over time, even if it’s not perfect.