I am asking programmers to understand and avoid UB, but I am not asking them to look into the future. Future compilers will still implement the same semantics- that's, again, the point of having a spec!
I don't disagree that avoiding C's UB unaided can be difficult, but that just means the solution is to make it easier- and that's exactly what I suggested above: "precisely define the operations available to the programmer, and then provide tools to help them avoid misuse."
And this isn't a new idea. People have been making progress in this area for a long time: better documentation of the rules, sanitizers, static analyzers, changes to the spec to remove some forms of UB, new languages that reshuffle things to make it harder or impossible to invoke UB, etc.
The semantics for non-UB code are completely fixed across optimization levels and compiler versions. Only code that invokes UB can break on these changes, and only because this code never had any specified semantics to begin with.
From the perspective of defining and specifying a programming language, when we say "semantics" we mean the set of rules for an abstract machine, or a similar formalism. If those rules don't specify the result of an operation, it's like the machine gets stuck- like dividing by zero in a proof, there is no correct way to proceed. The behavior is undefined.
Nobody is disputing that compilers will produce something for code with undefined behavior. They're just saying that there is absolutely no useful way to rely on it, because nobody has agreed on or even decided what it should be (and always for some specific reason!)
If that makes it impossible to use the language, that's not UB's problem. It's the design of the language, and the quality of the tools that surround it. There are ways to increase your confidence that a C application never invokes UB, and they're getting better all the time. (There are also lots of new languages that try to solve this in various ways that C can't!)
Those are the solutions we have. "Just don't have UB in C" or "just make compilers more predictable" are not very effective by comparison.