[40 minutes into the talk]: Looks like the study scanned 3.6 million github issues across 1.7 million repositories and looked for the number of bugs that were TypeError, AttributeError, or NameError and found it was 2.7% of issues.
I'm not a fan of this kind of methodology, because there are so many different use cases for github issue tracker (including feature requests, documentation requests, etc.) that I think the denominator here is overestimated. I'd rather have a study that looked at 1000 issues in depth with a rigorous rubric than one that grepped through millions of issues.
Also, looking only at the issues doesn't count the ones that were caught in development or testing. I like the notion of "moving your bugs to the left"[1] and would much rather find these type errors at build time than later.
Finally as I said in my other comment, avoiding type errors is not the only benefit of type checking. Making code easier to understand and refactor (including programmatic refactoring) are other benefits that are not captured only by counting bugs.
[1] https://samwho.dev/blog/move-your-bugs-to-the-left/