That explains all these news stories telling me what to expect:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/experts-warn-twindemic-...
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/09/19/covid-...
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-we-can-avoid-...
etc:
https://www.google.com/search?q=twindemic&tbs=cdr:1,cd_min:9...
1. A high number of COVID cases and a high number of flu cases.
2. A high number of COVID cases but low number of flu cases.
3. A low number of COVID cases and a low number of flu cases.
If flu and COVID were independent, there would be a fourth potential outcome (high flu cases and low COVID cases). Majromax is saying that it was largely predictable that this fourth outcome would not happen.
The thing that the news articles are warning about is outcome #1 which, if it had transpired, probably would have been quite bad. Note that the experts in the articles are warning about something that could happen, not saying that it will definitely happen. And the reason it didn't happen is at least in part due to the warnings that were issued.
I don't want to assume bad intentions on your part but I'm not really sure what you want us to conclude from these posts... elaborate?
Just tired of people using selective memories to pretend that the last year wasn't chaotic and full of many wrong predictions, from experts and novices alike. Some humility would be appreciated.
How could it not be predictable? I get the cold/flu when I or someone in the family is exposed to someone sick and it gets passed on.
If we're all staying in the house and not going anywhere for a year, by what mechanism could we possibly get sick? Seemed predictable to me.
In any case, it's been so awesome to not be sick in over a year. With elementary school kid, it used to be I was sick every few weeks all year long. Not looking forward to going back to that kind of normal.
I guess no one decided to write a news story about it cause it was so predictable, dog bites man and all.
The warnings you're referring to were predicated on a pretty generic and nondescript need to get people vaccinated. This was a widespread messaging campaign in the media, heavy on the threats but not specificity.
Instead of what was threatened all summer, what actually happened was that flu disappeared AND people were being chastised for poor compliance with local ordinances and vaccination.