Biden eyeing tax rate as high as 43.4% in next economic package
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
Heck, even if it were for everyone, I've yet to see a solid reason why earning a dollar from investing money is somehow better for society than earning a dollar for investing your labor. Income is income. Plenty of other countries tax it the same and we should too.
Edit: To those that say it's to incentivize investment and reward risk; I thought that was the market's job? Why is the government in the business of rewarding an investor for risk? The asset price should reflect the inherent risk in order to incentivize investment right?
Personally, I'd prefer higher capital gains tax and lower corporate tax. I think it would be more transparent and easier to collect.
But because most people will never understand this, we can't have a tax code that makes sense. Mass democracy is incompatible with sensible rulemaking in this area.
However, I think it misses that most of the benefit to owners is in the form of unrealized gains, not subject to any of the tax rates that people talk about tweaking.
To the extent that we care about the distribution of net worth, though, unrealized gains are an important part of the story.
[0] https://voxeu.org/article/consumption-and-income-inequality-...
This only costs you the interest of the loan and exposes you to the risk of declining value in the assets securing the loan. Appreciation of the assets or dividends may fully offset the interest or more.
Additionally if you a founder, for example, you retain the influence/control of your company that you derive from the stock ownership, while still be able to enjoy their cash value.
If people care about this loophole, how about just closing it, rather than taxing everyone else?
A bit of an "angels dancing on a pinhead" question, I'll admit
The proposal would hit every business not just a few tech giants.
“In 2018 Google NZ Ltd (an entity of Alphabet group) paid income tax of NZ$398,341 – about 0.055 per cent of the estimated gross ad revenue “extracted” from the New Zealand market.”
Facebook, Apple and Amazon have all been in and out of the news here for their arrangements too.
https://i.stuff.co.nz/business/121505796/google-and-facebook...
“It will hurt Apple and Amazon” is not a problem. “It will hurt most growing businesses”, is.
Doesn't this apply exclusively to the corporate profits not shielded in a Double Irish (or it's latest incarnation) arrangement [0]?
Same, but it'd mean more tax money for foreign governments, too, since those untaxed profits would be contributing to cap gains tax in another country (in the case of foreign investors) instead of domestic corporate tax.
I've heard time and time again that it's a moral imperative for corporations to reduce their tax burden to zero using every loophole available. Are big corporations actually paying tax?
>55 corporations had zero federal tax liability in 2020, including household names like Nike, FedEx and Dish Network, analysis finds
The money I spend of my income buying goods from other businesses is "already taxed" and then when those businesses collect it from me its "taxed again".
Mysteriously, the one form of taxation the already wealthy benefit from is very concerned about this happening.
A little bit like a VAT, we don't want to tax, tax and tax some product that has a long and complicated line of distributors, rather, tax the final product, either using VAT rebates etc.. This is more economically beneficial.
With corporate and individual incomes, we think at little bit the same way - i.e. how the taxation will flow through via corp tax, income tax, dividend tax and cap gains.
In Ontario, if you pay small business corp tax and then a dividend, it's pretty much the same as if you were to take a salary and pay income tax. Obviously, this because the million or so small businesses out there would rig their outgoing cash flows one way or the other, depending on tax treatment.
While cap gains is a special situation, it does still form part of those block of taxes that should naturally relate to one another in terms of how net surpluses are taxed.
When you spend your 'already taxed income' on an entirely new product or service, then that's separate economic activity, and so it's taxed without consideration to your 'previously taxed income'.
It's already been mentioned that some of the money has been taxed once already, when the corporation pays taxes on profits before they're paid out as dividends.
I imagine large investors will just break up their investments into so many shell companies/trusts that each entity will never carry more than 1M in investments. There's always a loophole.
I never understood "double taxation" arguments. Currency circulates, of course a given dollar will get taxed more than once as it moves around the economy.
In Canada, we don't have a separate "dividend tax rate" but instead taxpayers who receive dividends get a credit for the amount of taxes the corporation paid "on their behalf".
you might want to think about what happens when companies run out of capital.
And artificially pushing people to invest in income vs capital gains will increase bond/guilt prices.
Our housing market would probably be more sane if developers had more pressure to focus on building units in the middle to low end of the market anyway in California.
Does that mean if someone makes $1M of capital gains and has no other job, he'll get taxed at the high rate?
It's pretty simple in my mind: Retiring is hard enough, and at some point I won't be able to do any labor. Market investments are the current way that most people are able to retire, whether we like it or not.
Raising it for anything above 1M / year? No problem. They've got enough money to retire comfortably.
For everyone though? My god.
401ks and IRAs are free from capital gains taxes. Anyone can save enough money in those vehicles for retirement unless they start saving really late in life. For those who start saving late, most of their wealth will be in basis anyway.
*investing is basically a luxury for many, if not most
Granted probably much income that counts as 'capital gains' right now should be classified as regular income and taxed as such.
They let you deduct losses from gains and income for tax purposes. This saved me thousands after '08.
IMHO it's the market's job to price assets and reward risk taking, not the government
I also don't think it's about incentivizing investing relative to labor. The incentives are for investing relative to other things you could do with money, like spend it, save it, move it elsewhere, etc.
There's always a pull between spending and saving, but if you save, you're either investing, or losing money to inflation.
The tax isn't for their money, it's for their capital gains, which only happen when they realize those gains (e.g. sell assets). High net worth individuals absolutely can and do move to lower tax areas if the incentive is sufficient, or otherwise choose not to move to higher tax areas. It happens between US states all the time.
> Heck, the US is especially good at taxing people abroad.
Has it improved significantly since 2014 [1]?
> How many would really renounce citizenship just to save on taxes, and where would they go that taxes less?
Perhaps somewhere other than Canada, France, Holland, Denmark or Sweden, and without renouncing their citizenship.
There seems to be this idea that simply because the IRS tax rules apply to expatriates, that everyone bends over backwards to report their incomes and pay their taxes the same way they would in the US. I just haven't seen evidence that's the case--particularly among high net worth individuals leaving for that purpose.
And regardless, ideally our rates would be competitive and investors should want to put their money here. A "where else are you gonna go" attitude only works while there aren't better options, which may not be forever for all taxpayers.
[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/procedurallytaxing/2014/11/18/i...
Note however that capital gains tend to be "bursty", so having $1M of capital gains in one year doesn't imply having $1M of income in a normal year. (To take a personal example: I had a very large amount of capital gains in 2020 because I sold my entire portfolio of ETFs and bought a house.)
The reason is caring about the seniors/elderly and a pro-home ownership policy.
As you age, your ability to earn a living from labor goes down, for a number of reasons (ageism, family obligations, less energy), but your costs go up (healthcare, family obligations).
Having investments and being able to sell off capital, taxed at a lower rate than income is an insurance policy against reduced earning potential in senior years.
Is that in and of itself enough to say the tax rate should be half? Maybe not. But the argument is solid. It just doesn't determine the exact percentages.
A laborer gets paid $1 for working hard.
An investor gets paid for $1 for doing something smarter.
Work smarter, not harder, as a civilization. Deliver the most value to the greatest number with the lowest labor input. That's how we get scale, grow an economy, and prosper.
Labor need not be taxed at all if you ask me.
Like, the investor pays all the laborer's wages even if the infrastructure idea was stupid and the investor loses his shirt in the process. The laborer still cashes paychecks while the capital lasts.
Like, think stupid VCs. Investors might just be stupid VCs. A laborer can pocket money from stupid, stupid VCs while the laborer's work provides no value to humanity.
That's why smart investors aren't bastards. And why stupid investors aren't bastards for trying but failing. It's hard to not be a stupid VC. It takes skill. And capital. And understanding what people want. And grokking the shifting regulatory environment. And a whole lot of other crap beyond fizz buzz and and and...
This is on a graduated tax schedule, correct?
If so, then only the 1,000,001st dollar gets the higher tax (and every dollar thereafter).
Perhaps income should be income. It would definitely simplify the tax code. But money needs to circulate, that is how you have a booming economy. You asked how is a dollar earned from an investment with more than a dollar from labor. Well that dollar from labor might only exist because of the dollar from investment.
The rationale for this is that corporate profits are already taxed. The effective tax rate is about 25% for US corporations. For income from corporate profits to be taxed at the same rate as normal income, it should be taxed at a lesser rate once it's been distributed via dividends or buybacks (which is how the system is set up).
Changing the system would have several negative effects. It would encourage companies to take on leverage. Interest expenses are deductible for the purposes of corporate taxes. While interest earnings are and have always been taxed as ordinary income. So companies would likely shift their balance sheets to compensate. It would also make short term speculative trading more attractive for US citizens (and lord knows we have enough of that). And lead to greater foreign ownership of US equities, which is not necessarily desirable.
There are certainly fairly indefensible aspects of the US tax code. This just isn't one of them.
There's also an interesting argument that it's less distortionary to tax wage income than investment income. Because wages (and especially the variation thereof) are substantially driven by unearned human capital endowments.
Maybe I'm missing something but the "Sales of Capital Assets Reported on Individual Tax" from 2012 shows 7.5x as many long term Capital Gains as short term. https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-sales-of-capita...
Doesn't this mean the majority of individual investment gains are not taxed as income?
That's exactly right, but you're only looking at it from the point of view of someone clicking "buy" on their phone. Instead, look at it through the eyes of someone who has twenty years of working the daily grind saved up and is thinking about building something new out of nothing. Maybe it's worth the risk of losing that savings. If you tax that even more, then the balance tips even more into riskier territory and makes it less likely that you take on that new business venture.
You're saying that the market corrects for that, and it does... by disincentiving the investment by making the potential payoff less.
Unlike some other countries, there is no cost-basis adjustment for inflation and there is a limited ability to deduct capital losses, both of which can be substantial for long-term investments and risk capital.
All in, this makes it very difficult to get a competitive return on long-term high-risk investments, like tech startups, biotech, etc compared to almost any other asset class. Instead, it strongly incentives cashflow and rent-seeking investments, which have better risk and tax profiles in almost every regard if this goes through.
As a second-order effect, this would cause an extraordinary amount of capital to be moved into real estate which is already experiencing very high price inflation.
If one were to compare to 2008 to the pandemic, I'd actually hypothesize that the main inflation driver now is not from QE (though it is affecting the stock market somewhat like it did in 2008), but driven from disrupted lines of production from a mix of pandemic and climate change driven infrastructure disruption.
And it's that capacity drop that is pushing most of the inflation we're seeing now.
Good for you because nobody says that there is less than 2% inflation right now. I mean, bad for you because that government manipulation theory is on shaky ground now, the only real issue is that changing the definition of M1 is annoying and breaks the charts.
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-pri...
Instead of making a low-effort post, you could have done a single Google search with any of the obvious keywords and discovered this yourself.
Virtually every country in the developed world has much lower LTCG taxes than income taxes. It is so ubiquitous that I'm not even aware of a counter-example. Quite a few countries in western Europe have lower max LTCG rates than Silicon Valley has today.
That's simply false. The US has the lowest effective individual capital tax rates in the world outside of tax shelter countries. When I was at a firm, I had many (former EU) clients who came to the US who marveled at how low our taxes were here in CA compared to what they were paying at home.
Yes, those rates are higher than the US, but capital gains taxes are lower than wage income taxes.
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/germany/individual/income-deter...
(Yes, capital gains rates are generally lower than normal income rates everywhere in the world, but the rest of the world also defines capital gains more narrowly than the U.S. does, and for example, sales of startup stock would likely not qualify for cap gains treatment in Germany).
The capital gains rate in the UK is 20%.
https://www.gov.uk/capital-gains-tax/rates
The top capital gains rate in the US is 23.8% + state taxes.
That being said, I'm taking about effective (i.e. Actual tax liabilities) and you are all focusing on theoretical liabilities without understanding that the tax bases are different.
It's honestly not worth the effort to keep correcting all the GUD in this thread.
A tax on, among other things, capital gains. See:
https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/questions-and-answers-on-the-ne...
"8. What is included in Net Investment Income?
In general, investment income includes, but is not limited to: interest, dividends, capital gains..."
in similarity, we are see that capital gains tax today still exist above historical past, the graph you link again cherry-pick. longer-term view is showing of a different picture: https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com...
under here we are see a recover to normal over time not the "cuts for rich" things you are saying.
Sure, if you’re making a founding fathers style argument, it makes sense, but I doubt anyone really wants to go back to a world where America doesn’t have an interstate highway system or Medicare.
https://checkyourfact.com/2019/01/09/fact-check-90-percent-t...
> The top 1 percent of income earners paid an average effective income tax rate of 16.9 percent in the 1950s, according to data compiled by the Tax Foundation from a 2017 paper by economics professors. That figure includes all federal, state and local income taxes.
> Congressional Research Service calculations of data from the Internal Revenue Service similarly found in a 2012 report that the very top income earners – the top 0.1 percent and 0.01 percent – also paid effective tax rates lower than the 91 percent top marginal tax rate in the 1950s. The average rate for the top 0.1 percent fell from the low 40 percent range to the high 30 percent range during the 1950s. For the top 0.01 percent, it fell from the 50 percent range to the mid-40 percent range.
Unless someone is seriously proposing taxing all brackets at 91%, that article is being very misleading, and arguing against a strawman.
> the 91 percent rate kicked in for each dollar earned over $400,000 – the equivalent of $3,426,776 in constant 2013 dollars
So, the top 0.01% (the top 1% of the top 1%) must have made significantly less than $800k ($7 million today) yearly throughout the 1950s in order to pay around 50% total on average each year. I'm sure _some_ of them were executives that would have made a million or two in salary, if the top income bracket was much lower. But instead they had most of their salary turned into benefits and shares or whatever/however it would not be classified "income", and they were successful at this.
Giving our current leaders more money to spend is just wasteful.
https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0110/10-things-t...
Carved out only for real estate investors. I don’t see why it shouldn’t either apply to everyone, or no one.
As I understand it, it's possible to use both rules on the same property, but it takes many years and specific facts.
Speculation in this case could just be buying a house and trying to sell it for a profit later without improving the property.
1) real estate is relatively illiquid, which encourages long term investment
2) real estate is culturally significant as it differentiates us against the British
3) real estate is the primary source of gaining wealth for the middle class in the US
4) real estate ownership encourages community involvement
TOTALLY debatable, but Real Estate is 100% given preferential treatment so far as investments goIt routinely shows >7x long term vs. short term capital gains.
Say you buy a stock for $1000 in year 1. Suppose monthly cost for living in that year is $1000.
In year 10, you sell the stock for $2500. Suppose monthly cost for living in year 10 is $2000. Your investment essentially just beat the inflation by $500 at year 10. In other words, real capital gain is not $1500.
How will it address people financing their spending with pledged asset line loans against their portfolios? Interest on that is tax deductible if the loan is used for an investment; which doesn't seem like a high barrier.
Raise taxes if you need money. I guess the government does?
But doing it to solve inequality and bring down equity valuations? That seems like irresponsible tinkering with the economic chemistry set, and not the right way to set govt policy.
Depends how the money is used. If we spend it on social programs, reducing taxes on lower-income earners, infrastructure, then it will.
But if it just gets spent on more weapons? I don't know that that does anyone any good.
Do you want actual, proper change that will benefit society? Ban interest and all the shenanigans that come out of it (shorting, puts and calls, etc.). I guarantee things will dramatically improve - it's been done before.
> The reason why we have interest in the first place is to encourage savings and stave off inflation.
It's the other way around, interest causes inflation, because the government has to print money to pay off its debts, thereby devaluing everyone else's hard earned money.
The problem with this particular proposal is it would hit most members of congress (on both sides of the aisle) and their friends right in the pocketbook. Being flawed humans, the people in congress rarely vote against their personal self interest.
I expect to see at most 30% cap gains rates and likely for people making $5M or more, with carve outs for about 15 special interest groups to the point where it’s basically ineffectual.
As a stockholder, I can always make my own dividend by selling shares; but I can't make my own stock buyback, because I only get a portion of the dividend.
Also, there’s nothing nefarious about buybacks. It’s just a more tax efficient way to return money to shareholders. There’s no boogie man there.
I would add another bracket for 100mm+, as well as stretch the brackets out for regular income. It's ridiculously broken when people make 10,000 times as much as the highest bracket. If someone makes more than an order of magnitude above the highest level, it's time for an update, imo.
Someone who sells a $2 million business is rich, but they aren't that rich. The rules for houses and incentive equity compensation are complex. But this would generally be bad for people who get equity compensation in companies whose value is very volatile (read early stage startup workers). This is very problematic for Silicon Valley's current economic model.
Is that a bad thing?
A HUGE amount of complexity in tax code, tax preparation, and tax audit is the characterization of earnings.
Pop quiz, if you are going to be bringing in $100M, do you want to pay 40% tax or 15% tax? Long term capital gains = 15%. So a lot of hoop jumping to turn things into capital gains, then long term capital gains. What a pain.
Just for simplicyt I wish they would say, for everyone making more than $150K/year (300K married) investment income is taxed as any other type of income.
Cut overall rates if needed if you want it revenue neutral.
The next step is to tax unrealized gains. I know, lots of hand wringing, but if you can defer gains until death (not too hard) you can come out golden in terms of family wealth (lots of like kind property exchanges etc).
Can I borrow against these unrealized gains you say make no sense to tax and still spend the money, but perhaps never pay taxes on the gains ever??
If instead of taking income I take a carried interest in my portfolio can I defer taxes - maybe forever?
By the way, all these are the loopholes that are CURRENTLY being used by the well off to avoid paying taxes.
Seriously - why do you think portfolio lines of credit are so popular?
The end result is the same as now, you tax the capital gain from the time you bought the stock to the time you sold it.
I have heard rumblings of removing the stepped-up basis that occurs when assets pass to heirs. But I think the problem with this is keeping track of the basis over generations. What if stock has been in the family for 3 generations? Who knows and tracks what great-great grandma paid for a stock?
This is going to do shit all and just cascade to the middle class, just like all tax hikes do
There seems to be some myth going around that high income folks can just pay a CPA to absolve themselves of tax obligations. That's really not how this works.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzmSJpLWYAgVY3V?format=png&name=...
Why? Because do you think for a moment someone making $1 million in "Capital Gains" doesn't have access to a financial professional to avoid paying any tax?
If you want to tax the wealthy, you'll have to find a different way.
Think of this as a patch which fixes a bug that said financial professional would exploit.
What it does do is alter the effective tax rate, and even a partial effect is desirable.
Most of the things I'm aware of, and have been advised of, are things like QSBS (Qualified Small Business Stock) which I've been able to claim once. In that case it was a 5 figure gain. So the tax benefit was not particularly amazing. Yeah, others have been able to benefit much more from this. But it's a pretty narrow situation where you can.
I've recently early exercised some ISOs, so if this proposed tax change didn't pass, I'd have the long term cap gains rate.
I think there are some interesting things you can do with charitable trusts, but I think you're mostly deferring taxes, and I haven't had a situation where it made sense.
But all in all, in the years that I've paid, what I think, are a pretty competent set of financial professionals, I've yet to come across any magical way to avoid paying any taxes. I've actually paid a large amount of taxes and have to ensure my investments and finances are planned so I can pay the tax bill when it comes due.
I think most stories we hear about the wealthy not paying any taxes are either tax fraud, or substantial capital losses that offset all gains.
In the capital loss situation, that's probably a temporary thing for that person, otherwise they won't be wealthy for long.
At the time when everyone was scrambling to buy into the Coinbase direct listing, I was downvoted to warn them that the early investors will dump it immediately. [0] [1]
In fact, I shorted it on direct listing day and here we are the news are now reporting it trading down last week [2] the hype squad are no where to be seen leaving the retail investor bag holding at >$375. And now the news of US tax increases dealt another blow to the markets and boosted my short position in Coinbase.
Well done me, I guess.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26673100
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26790725
[2] https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/15/coinbase-coin-climbs-11perce...