UK government: no more smart motorways without stopped car detection
autocar.co.uk
autocar.co.uk
I think the idea is that the systems need to detect stopped cars and mark the affected lanes/shoulders as non-traffic lanes.
It's pretty hard to keep driving at dangerous speeds when your tyres are flat...
Ignore the signage and you'll be buying new tyres... That will soon have everyone paying attention to the signs.
Which is less bad?
Worst of all, the signs are almost always massively out of date and present a false alarm. You'll see a lane closure and very short text "obstruction in road" sign but then nothing actually there. I don't do huge mileage on these roads and I've probably come across this false alarm scenario 40 or 50 times, and never seen an actual hazard which was signed.
It's not at all surprising they get ignored by a significant minority of drivers.
This stopped car detection thing is indeed about the ones that can open the hard shoulder for traffic, though.
Because branding them “motorways without a hard shoulder” sounded unsafe and bad they decided to call the proposal “smart motorways” (Because who would want to argue with that? You want regular stupid motorways?).
Most recently in January [1] after two stopped vehicles - which would otherwise have stopped on a hard shoulder - instead had to stop in a traffic lane and were hit by a truck.
In principle, smart motorways are already supposed to be covered in cameras etc, so people in a control centre can stop the traffic in a lane if the need arises. Apparently it doesn't work all that well in practice, though.
[1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-557087...
"Overall, what the evidence shows is that in most ways, smart motorways are as safe as, or safer than, the conventional ones. But not in every way. The statistics suggest that fatal casualty rates are lower while injury rates are slightly higher."
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
Because the purpose of this work is capacity increase, it almost unavoidably increases total fatalities because it increases traffic. If 10% more cars make a journey, even if those journeys aren't made less safe you get 10% more fatal accidents.
UK motorways are some of the safest in the world - alcohol, phones and other distractions, tiredness, driving recklessly are probably more of an issue than smart motorways.
More capacity => More journeys => More fatalities. Dead people aren't dead "per traveller mile" they're just dead.
The government set out knowing they'd kill more people, but rationalising this as acceptable, unsurprisingly it takes a coroner to point out the problem here.
> alcohol, phones and other distractions, tiredness, driving recklessly are probably more of an issue than smart motorways.
Legislation exists to prohibit or mitigate the causes you list. Whereas astonishingly legislation was written to authorize, and indeed fund smart motorways.
This is overly simplistic - it’s not useful to quote “number dead” without considering the quantity.
By just the “number dead” metric, bull fighting or skydiving would be safer than a game of football. It only really makes sense when you consider (deaths from football / games of football played) vs (deaths from bull fights / number of bull fights) which is when we find that bull fights are actually more dangerous!
We could also say the same with surgeries: the more surgeries that are carried out the more deaths by surgery there are, but it doesn’t follow that this means that we should stop doing surgeries.
The total traveller miles in the UK has risen about 10% in the last decade, total accidents have dropped 30%, deaths 20%, despite the killer smart motorway conspiracy
The overhead signage warning of problems ahead (until people get used to the fact that they are often left saying something which is no longer relevant), the variable speed limits and the enforcement cameras are the big differences.
There isn't really a plausible scenario where removing the hard shoulder improves the safety of a motorway. The difference is most likely that smart motorways are bristling with automatic speed cameras and often have lover than normal speed limits applied during any busy period.
(Highways Agency, which was replaced by Highways England, was the very organisation that developed the "Managed Motorways" concept)
This is what the public were led to believe. In practice one of the things revealed by the inquest into one of those deaths was that no one is actually responsible for monitoring those cameras, so marking the lane out of action is on a kind of best efforts basis.
Smart Motorways were a Tory government idea designed to be "car friendly" and increase apparent road capacity without actually costing much money -- by using already-existing lightable signs above the motorway to convert the hard shoulder into another lane of traffic, and adding in "refuge areas" every $[$RANDOM % 5+1] miles.
The trouble is, if you're in a motorway where every one of the now four lanes of traffic is going at the speed limit of 70 miles an hour (or, more likely, 80 miles an hour) and your tire explodes, you might not be able to coast the requisite distance to a refuge area, and you might not have the wherewithall to adequately pull into what is in effect a small siding about the size of an articulated lorry. If you break down in a "live lane" the signs are supposed to change to move traffic out behind you, so it doesn't ram into the car.
Naturally, this hasn't worked well, and a bunch of people have died. At least one coroner has specifically called out Her Majesty's Government for directly contributing to deaths and blamed the smart motorway concept in general. There's at least one harrowing 999 call I've heard somewhere of someone saying "Help, I've broken down in lane 2 of the M4 and my car has stopped and I couldn't get into lane 1 when <BANG> <sound of young child crying> <no more adult voice>".
Some of the "smarts" in smart motorways in doing lane-light switching this have been provided by humans and/or computer vision on the basis of CCTV. The trouble is, they've been ineffective. This announcement states that they're going to replace the previous approach with mmWave radar that I presume can detect changes more rapidly (quite how that works with shadows and reflections -- and cars in front of lorries, I don't know).
Fundamentally, this seems to be "papering over the cracks" of the idea -- and I unfortunately don't think it will work. Many, if not most, British people want to go back to the old system of having 3 lanes + a hard shoulder. We don't understand why the Tories really, really love smart motorways: it probably comes out of a combination of 'driver friendly' Manifesto promises combined with economic modelling about the cost of traffic jams.
Not so. The first smart motorway was introduced in 2006 under the Blair government. They were expanded under Ruth Kelly, Labour Secretary of State for Transport in 2007 when Brown was PM. They were further extended when the coalition came to power in 2010, but smart motorways were not originally a “Tory idea”.
Smart™ Motorways are an appalling idea no matter who proposed them. The current government should reverse the idea. Transport is meant to enhance life, not to end lives.
I wouldn't be surprised if it came out of the civil service in response to increasing congestion. It's easy to blame the current minister but the reality is much of government goes on with or without them.
This actually happened to a family member of mine on the M1. Tire exploded and rolled straight off across the motorway. It took several minutes for the motorway operators and to close the lane that their car was stranded on. The driver and passengers had to get out of the car onto a live motorway lane just to reach the safety area behind the crash barrier.
Thankfully everyone was OK, but it cemented my belief that smart motorways are an utterly, ridiculously and unquestionably stupid idea.
Wait, aren't they a Labour thing?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smart_motorway#History
Why are you talking about Tories?
They all feature per lane adjustable speed limits, as well as linked speed cameras at frequent intervals. This is supposed to help ease congestion by adjusting flow in certain areas.
In practice random signs are often left on the wrong setting, so you get a speed reduction to 40mph for 250m. Or a lane is closed for 6 miles with no reason.
I've no doubt that in the scenario where there is congestion that it greatly aids safety, as approaching traffic can be slowed before they reach the affected area
Sounds absolutely insane and lethal when you write it down doesn't it?
We have reasonable sized pull out areas every mile or so, but the really nasty part is that the on-ramps now suddenly dump you into the moving breakdown lane traffic (which would otherwise be your acceleration / merge lane).
Thankfully, traffic is so bad around Boston, that typically it's all at a standstill anyway.
> This has proved very successful, with journey times decreasing by 26% northbound and 9% southbound. Drivers can also better predict their journey times as the variability decreased by 27%. The average accident rate dropped from 5.2 to 1.5 per month.
It would be interesting to know what caused the project to start showing worse results.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shoulder_(road)#Peak_period_us...
Think how much money can be saved by just... not allowing anyone to drive there.
Completely agree that it's a dumb idea, but I think the point is that converting 3 lanes + a hard shoulder to just 4 lanes is far cheaper and logistically easier than adding a whole extra lane.
I'm not sure if Highways England have any right to the land either side of a motorway, but if not I imagine spilling over into other people's land would be a huge sink of time and money.
It's a patch though, it alleviates some of the symptoms but the underlying problem that is much more difficult to stop is commuting and travel in general. I'm kinda glad we've been forced into a work-from-home experiment the past year, it gives hard data on WFH's effect on traffic pressure. But it's not enough.
I think companies should be incentivized to open up smaller offices across the country, and people incentivized to live where they work / work where they live. Which will mean bringing the 'good' jobs out of the cities.
I'm not sure how large each "block" is, but even if it's something like a mile, if I break down and have to stop that's still an awful lot of cars and lorries that are already in the block behind me that need to see me and move over before people further back are routed into the next lane.
They're literally a regular motorway but with slightly different signs that update over WiFi.
Adding those to an existing road doesn't justify costing far more than building the road in the first place!
I haven't seen recent statistics/costs but remember that the cost of the converting the M42 in 2006 to a smart motorway was £9M per mile, creating a new lane would have been £16M per mile.
Likewise I can get bulbs that turn themselves on and off based on weather, light, the stock market or the phase of the moon, all for $3 from China. There is no way someone should be allowed to charge the UK government millions for the same.
Some of the motorways in the UK have been under construction for what feels like decades. Surely the same job could be done with machine vision these days!
When an extra lane is suggested, NIMBY and/or environmental concerns will immediately raise objections and kill the proposal. So instead, the idea is to use the existing road in a more "efficient" way by making it "smart". This is of course ok, as it's not like we're adding any road, just using the existing road in a better way. After some time, accidents happen and people clamor for a hard shoulder, which should be ok environmentally as its not adding extra road, its just a hard shoulder for safety and not meant to drive on (and who can object to safety). And in the two step process, somehow we ended up with a widened road whilst completely avoiding the discussion if we want a wider road or not.
I sometimes also use this tactic in software if the PO's are non cooperative. First build the feature but hide it in a dev menu/behind a feature flag. No harm adding a feature if it's not available right? And then some time after it was implemented without explicit approval, I propose to enable the feature at zero cost, it is already implemented anyway.
You can also view the idea of smart roads in a more benign way of course. As cheaper way to experiment if adding an extra lane could be worth it. In the Netherlands it is done a lot, usually only during rush hour. It is then often paired with a stricter speed limit, so when the 4th lane is open the speed limit is 100km/h instead of 130km/h. But as the speed limit is 100km/h during day time anyways this is less of a change than it used to be.
The obvious idea in the future is to allow cars to communicate themselves over a network and allow themselves to avoid actual danager - removing human control will save so many lives.
We'll look back in 100/200 years and think we were insane for allowing humans to ever manually control a car.
The entire idea is very futuristic.
Yeah, the answer to the "why not" is simple, because most governments can't be trusted nowadays, especially not with data. Which is a freaking sorry state of the world.
When it is physically possible, the cost is prohibitive.
On balance, "Smart Motorways" can be safe - but poor driver behaviour is impossible to mitigate against. The automatic stopped vehicle detection should help things.
The government has said that it will scrap the older "Dynamic Hard Shoulder" sections of motorway (where the hard shoulder is brought into use as a traffic lane during busy times only - which some drivers clearly don't understand), and replace them all with "All Lanes Running" systems, where there is simply no hard shoulder.
That consistency should make it easier for drivers to know what to do in all cases, and help remove some of the accident risks.
Stopping on the hard shoulder (where there is one) is very dangerous by itself - again, due to poor driver behaviour. The presence of a hard shoulder does not eliminate accidents.
You can't exactly compare death rates per mile on fast and slow roads and be surprised when the slow roads are safer.
Despite being almost empty, the variable speed limit signs on the overhead gantries were lit up:
60, 60, 60, 60, 60, 60, 50, 60, 60...
Guess which gantry had the speed cameras.
Typically unless you are gunning it on the motorway you will be somewhere between 65-75 to be cruising with the other traffic and that variation of speed is normal unless you have cruise control.
I don't have cruise control in my car. The amount of worry and stress these things induce because I can't remember whether I was travelling at the correct speed (I didn't get a ticket so I must have been fine) drives me insane.
I am now at the age where I am never in a hurry so, both times, managed to avoid any contact but witnessed some hair-raising near misses.