Charm delivers Stripe's carbon removal purchase ahead of schedule
charmindustrial.com
charmindustrial.com
These are welcome news. Seems like a small company in short amount of time was able to develop and validate carbon removal. Stripe's commitment helped them do this, which is great. I wish them further successes in making the process cheaper and faster.
And at the current prices it doesn’t cover even 20% of the cost of removal of co2, not to mention the environment destruction.
If everyone was simply free to pollute all they wanted, we'd all end up severely ill, which doesn't sound like freedom to me.
there should be no “but” in this sentence - the libertarian approach would be to allow anyone to pollute as much as they want as long as they clean up the pollution afterwards (or pay for cleanup :) )
The amount of CO2 sequestered is about 80 cars/year worth, and I’m not sure if that accounts for the thermal decomposition reactions, transport, or other steps involved with bio oil production. (Worth noting the “bio oil” is not a usable product, as Charmful says on their website it’s a waste product they’re burying in the ground.)
Say they had 1MM Stripes, operating at 10^6 scale, e.g. 80,000,000 cars worth, it would still actually make no difference, reducing yearly global CO2 output on the rough magnitude of .000001%.
Not sure what else to say.
Carbon removal is early in the development cycle and needs rapid acceleration to be able to become more efficient and scalable.
However often the cost overshadows this need and companies choose the greenwashing "carbon credits" approach to save $$s which blocks the progress.
Nobody can live a life without being responsible for some carbon emissions at the moment. Even if we could, there is still an excess of CO₂ already present that we need to remove.
This is an early, important step.
I hosted an interview at AirMiners with Shaun, Charm's Chief Scientist, last June right after they received the purchase order from Stripe here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lk0k0ioXqkM
The conversation included 3 of the other Stripe finalists (Vesta, Climeworks, and CarbonCure, who just won the Carbon XPRIZE), plus Ryan from Stripe.
For those of you interested in more details, Charm has a blog post about their process here: https://charmindustrial.com/blog/2019/3/17/making-grass-flow...
Congrats again, and cheers to many more.
Maybe it's too small scale -- a few hundred acres doesn't produce that much timber. Or too distant. Or something. But I have no idea how to even start reaching out about it.
Without a huge amount of research so far my high level plan is to convert waste bio-mass into biochar to sequester the carbon and then use the biochar as a fertiliser; for drainage etc. As long as it doesn't get burned then it should also work as a carbon sink.
It's likely that even with incredibly aggressive elimination of co2 waste, several economic sectors will continue to produce significant amounts of co2, and we'll need sequestration to make up the difference.
[1] https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/04/080428120658.h...
[2] https://stripe.com/blog/first-negative-emissions-purchases
[1] https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/14...
Yes, it includes things like sea level rise. Having said that, the giant knob hiding in the math is the discount rate. If you have $1 of damage in 2121, how much are you willing to pay today to avoid it? $1? $0.01?
Discount rates are usually in the 4.5-6% range. On the lower end, that means damage 100 years out is discounted 80x+. Most of the hefty damage from climate change happens from 2060 onward in most models, so the NPV to society not actually that high (yet). You also have to decide if society will allow geoengineering (e.g. stratospheric calcite, or something that fairly harmless by contrast but politically charged today) when things get really bad.
(Realistically, that will likely happen because the alternative is much worse, so do you price that in? Something like stratospheric aerosols can turn back the clock for a significant fraction of damage (minus OA and some other nastiness))
Anyway, the $50/ton number is intentionally framed as a purely economic one, and it's acknowledged that not all externalities are captured, so you may want to pick a different number.
Also, as an aside, $600/ton isn't where the market is going, and not something to anchor on. I hope pyrolysis+sequestration, which has a lot of benefits, will get to a low cost point. They'll be competing with things in the $50-150/ton range, with various levels of scalability.
https://grist.org/article/discount-rates-a-boring-thing-you-...
And yes it’s about $20,000 USD per year to account for the average american’s emissions. I’m actually cheered that this is a good deal less than average GDP per capita. So as the tech scales the costs are at least possible to pay. It would be much worse if the costs exceeded GDP.
Meanwhile, buying a smaller subscription provides funds to help scale the technology which should lower costs. This is Stripe’s goal with Stripe Climate.
https://www.climeworks.com/faq-about-direct-air-capture
> According to them, the grey emissions for the construction, operation and deconstruction of a Climeworks machine are less than 10% of the captured carbon dioxide with the use of waste heat and renewable electricity. Our goal is to reduce this to 4%.
(Apparently this is most practical in Iceland because of the abundant geothermal energy there.)
https://stripe.com/blog/first-negative-emissions-purchases https://github.com/stripe/negative-emissions-source-material...
Edit: More info on the portfolio of removal partners
7.8x10^11 tonnes of Carbon to remove from the atmosphere to return to “normal” (Handwavy approximations)
This was 4.16x10^2, in, let’s just say 12 months.
Assuming an absurd 100% increase in volume year over year... they’ll drop the carbon ppm by 1 after... 24 years.
Not meant to doom/gloom, just curious.
In the 1970s solar cells cost 100 USD/Watt, today 0.2 USD/Watt. [2]
These napkin calculations are fairly meaningless on those time scales with emerging technologies, 30 years is a long time. In fact they don't even hold for this year. They finished delivering 150 tons in January of this year and the rest in march so that'd be 300 tons in 3 months.
[1] https://www.futuretimeline.net/data-trends/6.htm
[2] https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/evolution-of-...
Not all technologies are subject to the same scaling laws and it is foolish to act as if they are. Carbon removal won't get 1000 times cheaper, because thermodynamics.
Adding to that, industrial processes tend to be big and heavy, and also take fossils fuels to make. Even the outputs of these processes are measured in tonnes of carbon
No less, whatever format you're storing the carbon in will be very energy dense, either via compression, or by chemically removing the oxygens.
So, there's limits to how quickly your apparatus can interact with new carbon molecules, on moving it to new carbon molecules, and on making sure the products of you apparatus stay sequestered.
If they're thinking they can scale, it's by setting up on top of carbon emitters, but doing that is net carbon positive(some will leak, and carbon emitters will continue to scale up), rather than negative
That's just trees.
a 100% increase in volume doesn't sound ridiculous to me. zoom alone grew revenue over 100% in like a month - dumb example but there are lots of others. The triple, triple, double, double, double unicorn formula is widely marketed as another example.
There would surely be scale efficiencies in all these techniques too?
I think we are past catastrophe at this point and even with your math that sounds like more of a win than I would have guessed!
We have spent Trillions in the last year on stimi. that could have been targeted for dual purpose... and especially the proposed infrastructure bill should be changed but that would be another longgg thread.
Just trying to argue a point that even 'small' and maybe even not feasible at the moment ideas need to be actively pursued and scaled when they work, even if not as efficient as a HN engineer's dream we need to have basically an immediate all out war to fight climate catastrophe at this point.
Do this on 1000 different ideas and spend much bigger much faster we might stand a chance..
I am heavily bullish at the growth of carbon removal. Not as an excuse to continue emitting but as a growing awareness of necessity to restore more natural CO₂ levels.
* [0] https://stripe.com/blog/first-negative-emissions-purchases * [1] https://www.shopify.com/about/environment/sustainability-fun...
Though seems like a tree can easily be more than a tonne and way cheaper than that. Even if worried about keeping the carbon in the forest could bury it too!
Either way, it remains to be seen how effective carbon capture plants will be. A lot depends on investment and proving a business model. Renewables have the upper hand on fossil fuels now, because they solve a proven business problem, cheaper. Carbon capture companies have to prove that there's even a market for their services. Although, some would advocate for a Keynesian approach to building out mass DaC infrastructure funded directly from federal spending.
Changing agricultural practices probably has a better outlook for carbon sequestration at the moment.
I was imagining that this would be the case. I was reading about pine farms being paid to halt harvesting. My very first thought was “I wonder if it makes sense to buy forested land to make a profit.” Clearly other people have already thought the same thing.
A fully grown forest won’t be removing any more CO2 (I assume the plant mass doesn’t keep growing without bound). Cutting the pine, replanting it, and using it to build homes and furniture would. Why can’t we make credits based on net CO2 change?
This explains the price of lumber right now, holy cow. I hate this.
I find it weird that one company can trade away a taxpayer-funded subsidy allocated to them another company and claim it as a profit. On what basis was the subsidy granted to the first company in the first place?
Paying that family for the economic value of their home is not a complete replacement for the lost home. But it's a hell of a lot better than giving them nothing, which seems to be the usual alternative. Tradeable carbon credits seem to be the least-bad option that's actually workable.
These are not mutually exclusive events.
We need to reduce our emissions and stop pumping oil out (develop clean alternatives).
We need to remove the existing excess of emissions in our atmosphere to get down to more natural levels.
That is a weird sort of anti-symmetry. If we burn novel carbon fuel it is better to burn energy dense ones (natural gas vs coal) but if we want to sequester it the filthiest fuel for the energy is best in the situation.
> Conscious consumers and companies are moving towards engineered carbon removals after carbon registries, verification bodies and trusted brands have sold fraudulent carbon offsets with abandon. Research from Oxford, Stanford and Berkeley has found that 85% of nature-based carbon offsets sold today are not “additional”, meaning nothing happens as a result of the carbon offset purchase. This has triggered a momentous shift towards permanent removals beginning in 2019 with Stripe’s landmark carbon removal RFP, followed by Shopify’s later in 2019 and then Microsoft’s in 2020.
However there is no good way to buy the rights to permanent sequestration of a given oil resource. It would, however, be optimal to tax oil burning from stored reserves.
"Gilets jaunes" riots two years ago were caused in part by a relatively minor fuel tax increase. Actually taxing oil so much as to significantly reduce its consumption would be a huge impact on population and cause much larger resistance, probably violent.
Efforts like this are the only way we make a dent in climate change.
Please check out Carbon Removed[0] which offers negative emissions subscriptions and one-time purchases. We are partnered with Charm Industrial and Climeworks (as well as others) and aim to offer a removal portfolio.
We do this for two reasons:
1) To support the progression of as many different removal methods as possible. There is no "silver bullet" when it comes to fighting the climate crisis and we will need tech based carbon removal - we're past the point that nature can do this on her own.
2) To make carbon removal more affordable - as somebody rightfully calculated, removing the average US footprint (16 tons) would cost around $16,000 purely with Climeworks and $9,600 purely with Charm. We spread the removal across expensive tech and cheaper natural methods to help lower the cost.
Happy to discuss carbon removal and offer custom plans if you want to contact me directly: Email me @ "ewan at (@) carbon removed dot (.) com"
Do you plan to offer any larger subscription plans as self service? Your Gold subscription is only 6 tons of the average 16 ton footprint. And then a family being multiples of that. While you could make one time purchases over time, it would be nice to have more options. Even a 'make you own' plan of sorts. Specify what you want to offset annually and pay in monthly installments.
Are you getting a lot of subscribers? I think one other thing that had me hesitant was only having removed 121 tons so far. Seemed pretty new and unused, and was not sure how sustainable the model was. If that makes sense. Although now I realize the numbers in my head are probably off because you are calculating the trees over time, and its only been about a year since you started, so they have a lot of time left in them.
FYI the first two links in your Transparency sheet are bad, one asks for a login and one seems dead.
I'm actually both happy and sad that the weighting of trees puts you off a little. Happy because it shows you know and value the active carbon removal, sad that you're a little deterred from using the product.
We did initially start with a much higher weighting towards Climeworks & Charm however the high costs were not gratefully received hence why we do add a stronger weighting to cheaper forestation. To give you an idea, without forestation (and an equal split between Climeworks, Charm and Greensand) the 500kg/month plan would be $500-600/month...
Our subscriber base is growing 1-5 subscribers each month and we're seeing a growing interest as people look for alternatives to carbon credits. At the moment neither founder takes a salary as all money is reinvested into developing the product, educating on carbon removal and spreading the word.
Thank you for the heads up on the transparency sheet. We recently shuffled things about and I had not noticed them, I shall fix them today.
If you are interested in purchasing a custom plan please feel free to email me your requirements and I shall get back to you with a price.
Thanks for the tip!
It'd be funny if at some point they concluded, 'storing this is much less efficient than burning it as fuel. Let's just burn it instead of petroleum based oils!'
Also, if our goal is reduce the CO2 in the atmosphere, not just keep the balance, we need permanent sequestration.
FWIW believe in carbon offsets but have deep skepticism about geologic storage (go see Aliso canyon as an example of geologic storage gone awry).
It has been observed that this is a valid tactic to consolidate their reputation, and encourage others to follow in their footsteps.
Yes, and people have the right to call it out as the PR fluff piece that it is.
"Others are working on this method. The landfills are expensive to dig, the geology is critically important, and we don’t believe the capacity to be as scalable or as permanent as injecting carbon-containing liquid into deep geological storage. The conversion of biomass into bio-oil via pyrolysis results in a liquid form with a higher carbon density, and is more easily handled, transported, and injected into existing wells."
Biomass can be pyrolized to produce flammable gas, charcoal/biochar, "wood vinegar", and a few other byproducts in a process that produces surplus energy. As long as you have biomass feedstock coming in, you can produce highly concentrated solid or liquid carbon on the far side and get energy out as power.
I'm not sure about bio-oil specifically, as it contains much more of the tar-like compounds. It's likely it contains benzene and other compounds. I found this in a cursory google search: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy07osti/37779.pdf
However, building these technologies may help everyone reduce net CO2 emissions.
It's cool, they already serve as our garbage dumps and contain the toxic waste that fuels your iPhone. Just saying the USA isn't anywhere near the peak of the problem.
in 2017, the US emitted 5Gt, the EU 3.5, and india 2.5. india's also got a billion more people than the US.
to make matters worse, these are attributional, not consumptive emissions. that is, if a US consumer orders a product made in india, the emissions from the creation of that product are attributed to india, and the emissions from shipping it are attributed to a global shipping counter. even though US demand and US consumption are responsible for those emissions, US emissions don't increase.
The biggest thing to note is both China and India are INCREASING every year.
I reckon I could turn my thermostat back a few degrees and save that.
That doesn’t make 416 tons a lot by any stretch, but we are still early in the technology cycle for carbon removal/sequestration.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_di...
I'm sure the numbers vary depending on what middle ground you choose. Here's another number that's higher than yours or mine - 48t CO2/yr: http://css.umich.edu/factsheets/carbon-footprint-factsheet
Atleast the different numbers I see are off by much less than the GP's claim.
The biggest benefit by Stripe purchasing carbon removal is the increase in awareness, funding and acceleration of research. It takes a lot for a company to buck the trend of $5/ton carbon credit greenwashing and invest $600/ton into active carbon removal.