Show HN: Never be 100% sure cuz that's overfitting

1 pointzipotm3 comments

A good relation to real life conclusions.

If your prior is 0 then you can't do Bayes updates

That's not a good joke even from a statistical modeling perspective. Logistic models can absolutely make predictions with 100% confidence.

Nothing has 100% confidence. We could be living in the matrix and it’s all a lie.

Setting a probability equal to 0% or 100% is like dividing by zero.