US bosses now earn 312 times the average worker's wage, figures show (2018)
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
1) Globalization has led to larger companies. The larger the company, the higher the pay you'd expect for the CEO (value of each decision is greater).
2) Technology has allowed margins to improve via cheaper cost to scale... economies of scale etc.
3) As another commenter noted, the impact of a CEO is relatively more than in the past, due to advancing technology. More social media presence, more effective means of communication across the company and so on, meaning their decisions are able to effect change more quickly.
4) Globalization has led to reduced wages at the bottom. Unskilled labor is paid less than ever due to that work being outsourced to China, Mexico etc. Some of the change may be more of a story of effective wages falling for the lowest worker.
5) Public CEOs are compensated mostly in stock, and interest rates continue to get lower and lower. Government has been much more aggressive with stimulus than in the past. This has juiced stock valuations.
I'd be interested in seeing how the gap has changed in "like-for-like" businesses. e.g. a 10 person construction company in 1989 vs today.
The CEO, though, is just one person and it's easy to pay a single person a lot of money.
In a company of 100,000 people, an extra $5,000,000 would only increase their salaries by 50 each; but, it could all go to the CEO and look gigantic.
CEOs are working in much more vague competitive environments.
- Sports is 11 people. Business is thousands.
- Sports people are literally recorded for every step they take. CEOs not so much.
- Attribution is whole different issue when you've got a years long strategy. By contrast in sports there's rarely a player left from the team of 10 years ago.
- Sports are made to be repeatable. Business evolves.
I'm just not buying your claim that sports stars can justify their extraordinary salaries while CEOs cannot.
No it isn't? You're comparing a literal where-was-Ronaldo-at-frame-768 with what the CEO does in his office all day. There's no way he's recorded in the same detail.
With sports you can say "this guy is the fastest, he will outrun everyone and that's useful". Or "this guy provided x assists". Or "this guy saved x number of shots". Players take shots many many times, so you can separate the good ones from the bad ones, due to high n.
There's no comparably clear measurement you can make on a CEO, because there aren't that many strategic decisions to make, and they aren't repeated. Once you've decided to buy that VR goggle startup, it won't be there anymore to tell you what would have happened otherwise. All you can have is a relatively small number of facts from which you can build a story.
> And attribution on sports success is also related to the other team members, the coach, the support given to the team, the infrastructure of the sport, the team doctors, etc. Sports teams definitely have years long strategies.
High number of observations and low number of team members in sports allows you to at least guess at replacement value. Eg LeBron really is better than the next guy, because we can see what happens when he's not there. And every game is comparable because it's set up that way. With business the landscape changes from the outcomes of the decisions, so it's pretty hard to figure out the counterfactuals.
Players do a lot of unrecorded influential moves, like team-building, mentoring, training, etc.
The game environment changes, too, as you're up against different teams, and teams evolve their strategy just like businesses do. The players change, the teams change, the strategies change, the other teams change, all on a constant basis.
Business is somewhere else on this scale.
But it was darn well worth it. The movie was a huge hit, and a big reason for that was Taylor's star power.
I'm sure they could have gotten an endless supply of starlets who would have done it for free, or even paid to play the role. But that wouldn't have been a good business decision for the producers.
For that matter, the larger the company, the more viable CEO replacements exist among middle and upper management.
https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691120393/se...
I'm not sure who would be the general manager, how to replicate the functions of high school ball and the minor leagues, or how you could acquire the necessary data / stats... but I feel like there is some potential here!
He also pointed out there is a big "apples to oranges" problem even with the limited data available. In sports (but not business) you have lots of reliably tracked micro metrics in addition to final metrics (wins/revenue). The micro metrics are generated regularly (stats for each player for each game) and those metrics are portable across players (everyone is going for points, runs, blocks, whatever). In comparison, for CEOs you mainly have quarterly reporting of coarse financials (but nothing like employee morale, number of offices opened, etc.).
1.2 - Why?
2 - The New Deal's Capital's accommodation to Labor was to share the boon of increasing productivity (surplus). Neoliberalism (Reaganonmics) ended that foolishness.
3 - CEO compensation is merit based?
4.1 - aka Glut of labor.
4.2 - I'm curious what our future leaders will do to remedy today's glut of capital, the by product of decades of labor glut without the benefit of appropriate profit sharing.
https://zacharytoillion.medium.com/how-neoliberalism-destroy...
As in... science.
What we should do about it (if there is something we should do) is politics, an entirely different topic.
It's important to consider absolute quality of life in addition to inequality. "Equality" is a relative measure, but what matters in the end is how well each individual is doing.
I'm in favor of policies that would help the less fortunate, though we need to be careful to implement them in an effective way.
I do think manufacturing will shift from globalization to localization once enough of the process can be automated. Once shipping costs start to exceed production costs, manufacturing will move back home. Of course, if the manufacturing is automated, it means those jobs aren't coming back. This also depends on whether it's cheaper to ship the raw materials vs the finished product, and where those materials can be sourced from.
That being said, a lot of the recent rise in inequality has been driven by government policy. Some things like housing are becoming prohibitively expensive to most due to short term focused policy by the Fed and perhaps congress as well.
The policy reaction we've seen has been quite effective, but is creating many potential asset bubbles that can cause bigger problems down the line.
These bubbles obviously inflate the wealth of the rich and lead to much greater inequality (often described as the k shaped recovery).
Hyper targeted policy, and letting things reach equilibrium through mostly free market forces often produces healthier outcomes in the long run.
Overall, the CEO:worker pay ratio is a pretty meaningless statistic. At most companies, even if you were to entirely redistribute the CEO's salary to the employees, the employees still wouldn't see significant wage increases. For example, dividing Bob Iger's $47M salary amongst Disney's 155k employees would only result in a $300/year pay raise for each employee. People hoping to solve poverty by slashing CEO compensation are going to be sorely disappointed.
No one thinks bringing CEO pay back to Earth will solve poverty by itself.
- To make it to the top, you need an aura around your persona. How often do you see an anointed one or two, among thousands? It's corporate religion essentially, the politics reduces the field unnecessarily to the level where there's just a handful of crown princes.
- Similar to sports, people try to split hairs about who is good enough and who isn't. Nobody's ever heard of randomness and serendipity. Add to that a total lack of controllable evidence, and you get stories about just how amazing this it that prince is.
- Most CEOs don't get a lot of chances as captain. It's like running for president, once you've lost your aura suffers. Someone did a study of this, I forget where.
- Since it's magic the cards are in the hands of the candidate who is chosen. They can really push up the price, and they need to before it wears off.
- Why has this happened more and more in recent decades? Generation of people who've grown up believing in magic. More TV news, more credit given to the boss, more people believe in magic.
- The boards-are-friends theory is not bad either, but boards have always been a bunch of business people who knew each other. More likely globalisation has provided a excuses for higher compensation: market is bigger and more complex, we're making more money.
- These are excuses, we can tell because how often does comp go up when perf is down? How often is perf relative to the index? How often is risk taken into account?
- Other things that don't make sense in the naive model of compensation: big business is like oil tankers, next quarter has already happened. Why would you pay a guy for the previous guy's performance? Why do you pay mega severance?
in a truly capitalistic economy, you'd expect capital to dissipate away from inefficiencies like that. that it doesn't is a serious signal of deficiency. in a fair labor market, you'd expect ratios to be much more equitable, as no one is 312X as efficient at value creation as another.
"Last year, McDonald’s boss Steve Easterbrook earned $21.7m while the McDonald’s workers earned a median wage of just $7,017 – a CEO to worker pay ratio of 3,101 to one. The average Walmart worker earned $19,177 in 2017 while CEO Doug McMillon took home $22.8m – a ratio of 1,188 to one."
Comparing ratios of yearly earnings between a CEO and part time workers can only be deliberate manipulation of numbers. This article is garbage designed to outrage and that's all it is.
As opposed to the garbage PG pulled out of his ass for his blog?
Also comparing CEO pay with hourly part time pay is completely on-point, as CEO's famously do very little work unless you count networking at the golf course as billable hours.
As someone here said just days ago 'Jesus Christ himself isn't worth 500x' I would add especially since the low wage hourly workers are almost always the ones making the actual money for the business.
Abstract: This paper develops a simple equilibrium model of CEO pay. CEOs have different talents and are matched to firms in a competitive assignment model. In market equilibrium, a CEO’s pay depends on both the size of his firm, and the aggregate firm size. The model determines the level of CEO pay across firms and over time, offering a benchmark for calibratable corporate finance. We find a very small dispersion in CEO talent, which nonetheless justifies large pay differences. In recent decades at least, the size of large firms explains many of the patterns in CEO pay, across firms, over time, and between countries. In particular, in the baseline specification of the model’s parameters, the six-fold increase of U.S. CEO pay between 1980 and 2003 can be fully attributed to the six-fold increase in market capitalization of large companies during that period.
The US military of course has a budget many times that of most (any?) private companies, and it's generally agreed to be a better run institution than a lot of them.
Exactly?!
People in this thread and elsewhere say this is inevitable because of "globalization" or "automation" or "increasing scale of operations" or "increasing concentration of authority" or similar things that apply equally to the US military.
The actual reason for this compensation disparity, which exists in large for-profit companies, and doesn't exist in one of the biggest organizations on earth, measured by budget, is capitalism and the market. The fact that the US military is not a for-profit company is the point.
If you view this disparity as a bad thing, then you have to accept that the corollary: you might, just maybe, have a problem with free market capitalism. Welcome to the club! :)
The only issue I see is when salaries are too low for the job, or when companies tries to prevent workers from unionizing.
And that’s ignoring the problem that messes are inevitable, because programs must eventually deal with the real world, and the real world is a shitshow. Changing requirements, abominable external interfaces, business logic generally, etc.
The main draw for unnecessarily messy codebase however is putting novices in charge, but you don’t need to overpay to avoid this (and you don’t really need the best of the best) — you need better selection practices, and I’m not sure anyone’s ever found a good way to select new resources (hiring interviews have at best a very spotty record, and a very shallow filter)
For a big tech company, it is thus faster for them to just grow the number of teams and engineers, and give them each smaller and smaller chunk of an overall more and more complicated set. Basically, it's like throwing money at the problem, but it works.
You bootstrap some new product, program or feature quickly, the effort could be led by a single or a handful of A+ engineer and some PMs. And then you create a whole team to forever maintain it composed mostly of junior and mid with high attrition rates.
There isn't really much to squeeze out by firing employees.
At the same time we have:
1. Corporations are paying less tax, largely due to tax avoidance schemes that mostly revolve around transfer pricing, particularly of so-called "IP";
2. Wealthy individuals pay less taxes. And here the tax rate they pay is a bit of a red herring. You see for most people they pay tax on their entire income. For the wealthiest individuals, they only pay taxes on what they (choose to) realize, which is significantly less than income. The counterargument is that this is simply deferring tax liabilities but if you can defer something essentially forever, it's basically the same thing as not paying it;
3. Zero interest rates mean that both wealthy individuals and companies can borrow money at little to no cost instead of realizing income or profits to gain disposable capital. You need $50m? Well, you can realize $100m and pay taxes on that or you can simply borrow $50m at 0.5% interest rate and not pay any taxes.
Here's an accounting change we need: borrowing money is treated as distributing a profit (for a company) or realizing income (for an individual).
So, back to CEO pay. Here's the problem: a lot of very mediocre CEOs earn astronomical pay packets because of justifications about "market rates", "large companies" and the like. Their impact is overstated due to outliers like Steve Jobs.
Here's a comparison. Steve Jobs earned roughly $2.1 billion from his comeback to Apple CEO [2]. Considering the transformation and the value returned to Apple shareholders, paying him 10x that would've been a bargain.
Compare that to... Sundar Pichai, who seems to earn ~$250m/year as Alphabet CEO... for what exactly? I mean what has Google done since 2015 (when Pichai become CEO) other than extract more from the ad golden goose?
Here's the problem: boards set CEO compensation. Who sits on boards? Other CEOs of course. How is that compensation determined? In part by what other CEOs earn. It's almost like the top 0.001% have been put in charge of setting their own compensation.
[1]: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R45090.pdf
[2]: https://www.cheatsheet.com/entertainment/what-was-steve-jobs...
There are a bunch of business realities that get in the way if you want to pay a huge cash salary. For example, you may be a recently IPO-ed tech unicorn who doesn't actually make money, and the investors aren't too keen on the CEO paying themselves with their cash. But take all your comp in stock and all of a sudden you're a selfless hero aligned with business success.
I know that California has very high sales tax and very high state-level income tax and those can add to federal income tax; but, federal income taxes aren't anywhere near 40% for people that make an average income.
https://www.bankrate.com/finance/taxes/tax-brackets.aspx
And each tax bracket is a tax on the money made above that (edit: tier), meaning $1 is taxed at 37% if they made $518,402.
New York's tax rates are here: http://www.tax-rates.org/new_york/income-tax
New York City's sales tax is 4.5% https://www1.nyc.gov/site/finance/taxes/business-nys-sales-t...
edit: wow. I'm being downvoted quite a bit here. What am I saying wrong? Where am I wrong? Clearly I must have some misunderstanding of how taxes work, can someone clarify it for me?
For $160,000 salary it gives 63.28% take home.
25.97% from taxes: 19.73 federal, 6.24 state.
Social Security: 5.34% Medicare: 1.45%
edit: scratch that, NYC is 63.28.
Americans tend to treat taxes and social security as separate, though. The tax percentage is 29.87% in NYC
Here is similar, but for some time now the government can transfer money between pots (e.g. spend social security money on something else), so essentially this is just cosmetic.
Setup a foundation, use that foundation to employ friends or relatives (like say, your wife). Pay out very little in charity but take your donations to the foundation as a tax write off. Etc.
This is harder than you think: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piercing_the_corporate_veil
>Declare those fees as a capital gain and pay 15% tax.
That's tricky. You can't just take money out of the corporation's coffers and say it was capital gains. You'd need to sell off your shares or something. Otherwise it's a dividend and is taxed as income.
>Or, have the corporation housed in a tax haven, pay almost nothing in taxes.
You still need to repatriate it back to your personal account somehow.
>Setup a foundation, use that foundation to employ friends or relatives (like say, your wife).
...which they're promptly taxed on. Actually you don't even need a foundation, you can just employ them at the corporation from earlier.
Mitt Romney is the inspiration for the management fees as capital gains trick. https://www.businessinsider.com/law-professor-says-one-of-ro...
The point of the foundation is you evade taxes with the writeoff. Using it to pay your friends/family is just a bonus.
It also helps to win you goodwill, you get to have galas etc. and convince people you're one of the good ones.
This was not compensation.
It was actually a good thing, it brought money in for NASA.
I don't think the latter is what is happening though, hence the 312-to-1 ratio.
My wager is that this has increased significantly more than 6x.
Nobody even knows what makes a good CEO
What's pertinent is whether increases in productivity are directly attributable to the workers in the denominator, or whether there are other reasons for that growth. Furthermore the denominator in that graph is not actually the total workers involved in the productive output of an economy... for example, the billions of workers added to the work force but who work in developing countries for slave wages aren't factored in to the denominator of total workers, but their output does contribute to the numerator.
Imagine if he took that 13 Billion Dollar single day income and spread it across every employee at Amazon. That would be a life changing amount of money for almost every warehouse worker. Roughly $22,500 each. And that's just one day for Bezos.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/21/bezos-record-multibillion-do...
And even if you count stock fluctuations as income, he never earned it in one day, he earned it over 25 years of work.
If you give all of them 22k, a lot of them will use that money to jump ship. The value of Amazon will go down.
The value of a corporation is the _willingness of their staff to cooperate_. For low skill workers, higher pay can enable them to work their way up to higher skill jobs, which reduces their willingness to cooperate at the low wage job, which reduces the value of the cooperation.
I feel like I just earned a nobel price in economics, but I guess a real economist will quickly put holes in my epic bubble^^
Maybe I'm being disrespectful to these job, assuming that skilling up won't make them more productive and valuable.
not only could he not liquidate all of his holdings in under a few years without killing the stock price (and making the later sales worth less), but part of the value of amazon is bezos' oversight. if he dumps all his stock, the public elects a new board, which elects a new chairman, and they pick some new CEO, amazon wouldn't be worth as much as it is now.
(also he'd bleed away a chunk of whatever he sold off in capital gains taxes. his cost basis is presumably somewhere near $0, since he founded the company and has held from the start.)
It would also be around $17.5% of what he earned in 2020 alone.
The capital gains taxes would be offset by having a 13 billion dollar charity donation. Amazon Workers Fund.
of course paying someone more doesn't make them more valuable, in the same way paying extra for lunch doesn't make it a better lunch.
rather, they're valuable to you, so you pay them more. in the same way that lunch at the high end restaurant costs more.
perhaps the best CEOs, with their wealth of connections, aren't worth the additional cost. (like an overpriced restaurant.) interestingly, that's an investable thesis! you could go invest in companies with the cheapest CEOs. i look forward to hearing about your returns!
Also, your view is based on one of the great lies that CEOs tell shareholders. CEOs do better when they are fully invested, and (the argument goes) big pay aligns incentives. It doesn't. Most CEOs cash out their options, buy a McMansion, and waste all their money. If you want to do well: you buy businesses that don't rely on CEO skill (if you rely on a skilled CEO, you are done for...you aren't getting one), and you align incentives (i.e. no option cashing, the CEO has 99% of their wealth invested permanently).
No one actually believes that. The problem is that if you don't pay a capable CEO 10x more, they are gonna leave elsewhere where they can get paid 10x more. And the only people to replace them who wouldn't be asking for the same amount of compensation are not the kind of people you would want to be your CEO.
As others have said, CEOs aren't a commodity, just like top tier athletes and actors aren't. LeBron gets paid multiples of what his teammates make [0]. Most of his teammates on LA Lakers earn single digit low millions (with the average being even lower), while he made $39mil from his contract last year. Is he providing 10 times the value to the game that his teammates making under $3mil/yr do? I doubt it. But if you want LeBron, you gotta pay it up, because there isn't a lack of other teams out there who would be more than happy to pay him as much.
And CEOs are not like top tier athletes. The comparison is ludicrous because most CEOs are paid like Lebron but have the skill of his teammates. The number of actually good CEOs is far smaller than the number of CEOs...as in, there is usually one proven value creator per 10,000 CEOs.
Btw, my sample isn't small. I worked in equity research, I can only think of one CEO I have personally come across who was actually good. One out of thousands (I say personally, there are probably ~5 that I have come across outside of my circle). Your average CEO is not just bad, they are usually actively harmful (because they tend to view becoming CEO as an achievement, they tend to apply few standards of common sense to their decision-making, the way Boards incentivize behaviour also makes no sense).
The reason why this happens is two-fold: there is a culture of "the CEO", and most Boards are full of people who were also CEOs and believe they were very special. It is possible to prove this behaviour is irrational quite easily: how many CEOs have done nothing but fail, and still get hired? Lots.
It is out of this world, irrational behaviour.
I agree with you on this. However, do you expect the CEOs who are willing to take a comp that is x10 less to be just as good? Something tells me they won't be.
Like, sure, an average software dev even at a highly paid place like Google is "decent", not "great" (like LeBron would be in this analogy). However, do you think that Google would be willing to just switch to hiring all those other "mediocre" devs from Infosys or Tata for $40-50k/yr? After all, Google's own engineers are just "good enough" on average, and that would be a massive money saver. And yet they don't do it, and neither do their competitors.
That was the whole premise of the big H1B visa controversy, with most applicants from more "legitimate" tech companies and outside of that being pissed off that they have to participate in the visa lottery due to most of the visa cap each year taken by Tata and Infosys employees who each get paid much less (which, in turn, makes the justification for H1B visa for them much shakier).
It's how mediocre CEOs like Marissa Mayer was able to get over $200 million in compensation, even though her background, while impressive, didn't warrant it. Yahoo shareholders ate that up. Take a look at someone like Shaquille O'Neal, who was able to command a 20 million dollar contract in 2009 even when he was at the end of his career and past his prime. He was marketing gold for his team.
The average size of companies in the US has increased dramatically and there has always been a very strong correlation between CEO compensation and the size of the company they lead. By ignoring this obvious confounding variable, the article undermines - maybe deliberately - the reader's ability to interpret the data. But then I believe the author's purpose is to generate heat/outrage rather than light.
I mean it seems to me that an obvious question raised by this trend is why are companies getting bigger on average? And why are companies bigger in developed economies than developing ones[1]?
Is there a natural limit to this growth in average company size? Or are we heading towards the entire economy being dominated by a few super-massive corporations?
[1] https://markus-poschke.research.mcgill.ca/papers/mposchke_sk...
https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2016/02/05/465747726/-682...
But your question is really inane. It's not about the individual choice to accept compensation, it's about a system for corporate advancement that creates such pressure for outsized wages at the top.
There's a real chance that the board has actively refused to allow increase in the lower level people's wages at the company.
It's not just that the guy at the top makes a lot extra, but also that the people at the middle and the bottom don't.
I have met almost no CEOs who were actually skilled AND were happy working for someone else. If you are worth $50m/year to the company, you are worth substantially more if you take that money and started your own company (the reason why most CEOs don't, and all the good ones do is because most CEOs are terrible).
Combine that with the rocketship of the market these past 20 years....
There used to be a cycle. Companies would grow huge, eventually becoming overbureaucratized inefficient behemoths where personal competence is replaced by carefully designed corporate manuals. And in the next economic turn they would crash, opening the market to the next wave of lean founder-driven companies.
We broke this cycle in 2008 with bailouts and we are printing money ever since to keep the party going [0]. So yes, CEOs and shareholders now have considerably bigger leverage than workers. The companies are tactically inefficient (good luck getting a competent person anywhere), but strategically unbeatable due to scaling. Competing with them is practically impossible because offering services below cost is now a widely accepted practice, and if by some magic you managed, they will just buy you off. People who didn't get the foot in the door before 2008 are miserable and walking around with pitchforks looking for the next target. But thanks to what the media does, they only end up stabbing each other over made-up differences.
[0] https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m0
The issue with high employee turnover is they are producing your product. As an investor, high employee turnover is almost always very bad. CEO turnover is usually totally fine (it depends, if a new CEO comes in and attempts to do anything bold...it is usually curtains).
If a single employee comes demanding a raise, they have 0 leverage over you. If you fire them, you will have 3659 employees for a day or two (until more candidates get hired) with your business designed to handle fluctuations between 3660 and 3750. It costs you zero, literally ZERO.
High turnover for low-wage jobs actually makes it better for the business. It's like if you already have a leaky basement with a sump pump in place, you won't even notice if you spill a single bucket of water there.
For a smaller business of 10 employees, replacing one could be harder. Sharing their workload over 9 people is harder. The owner will have to spend their own time searching for a replacement, remembering the things that the departed person knew and trying to teach them to the replacement, etc. That's why smaller companies treat people better.
As for the CEO, you can find people willing to do the job, but there's a big difference between willing and being able to. The main role of CEO besides giving a good public image is to keep the internal corruption and infighting at a level where it doesn't kill the company's business. Despite the fake smiles and positivity, it's a pretty dirty backstabbing environment and you need to know certain unwritten rules to play that game.
The corporations are handling it very well for their own bottom line: the people that could theoretically organize unions are now happily giving talks about privilege and forcing others to hate each other and compete for the artificially restricted pool of positions and zero-expense privileges (hello, pronouns), rather than coming together and refusing to do their work until everyone gets better terms.