"Kuzweil's crunched the numbers."
From what I have seen only in the most superficial and optimistic sense - long term technological prediction is hardly a recognized scientific field.
From what I have seen only in the most superficial and optimistic sense - long term technological prediction is hardly a recognized scientific field.
Here's a good mashup from a number of third party sources: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ParadigmShiftsFrr15Events....
This is hardly a wishy washy thesis by a history major. The data are pretty robust.