The Antiscience Movement Is Escalating, Going Global and Killing Thousands
scientificamerican.com
scientificamerican.com
It's like a modern religion, with three tenets: (1) science made everything around us (iPhones and airplanes!) (2) we speak for science (3) therefore you must believe our conclusions.
But in fact, that's the opposite of a proper scientific attitude, which always admits doubt, and believes experiment over authority.
As for why authorities are increasingly losing trust, I think it's because they've been rather unreliable recently.
To use just one glaring example, the official advice on masks went overnight from, "they're useless!" to "you're killing people if you don't use them!".
Both positions were condescendingly presented as "the science". A lot of people will start to lose trust when you so glaringly contradict yourself in such a rapid amount of time.
In general, the approach seems to be when crafting public advice to not worry about presenting an accurate picture of our current knowledge, but just pick a position, pretend we are certain it is true, and hand it down as the infallible words of Science. (See also: our ever changing dietary recommendations.)
https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/yes-experts-will-lie-to-yo...
I agree that that erodes trust, but it was for "a reason".
https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/04/dont-panic-the-compr...
The larger issue is how the “science” changed on the whim of the politically expedience of it all.
Look at hydroflouriquine, the drug is perfectly safe, a politico said it was good and wham, just like that opposing political parties say that the doctors cannot use it. The trained medical professionals whose judgment in time of crises are now told by politicians at state levels to not prescribe something. We have lost our minds and the singularity cannot come fast enough.
The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
No lie needed. In fact the lying made things worse. Saying masks arent needed means people didnt work to produce masks early on.
1. The efficacy of masks for protecting against SARS-CoV-2 was unknown; 2. People in high risk professions will need to wear them as a precaution even if they might not be as effective as we would like, so the advise to the public was to not buy them for this reason
These "white lies" are why I'm done with it.
Pretty much every bit of advice in the health sciences has been changing over multiple generations (lead and xrays are two easy examples from over 50 years ago)
Anything else is religion — wanting to have a single unchanging answer forever. That’s the appeal of religion, and in the short term it might make you feel better, but in the long term it cannot adapt and eventually is out of sync with reality.
Science always wins because it can change.
It would help tremendously if new information was presented with some humility.
Thoroughly confused? Welcome to science.
Old science said “we observe that people who eat excess fat die younger, therefore we conclude that fat is bad”
Later, science said “Now that we understand more about the body, we now know that we need a certain amount of fat to live because among other things our brains are made of fat and we efficiently use fat as fuel. We have also found that there are different types of fat and that some people process each type differently. In addition, the previous conclusion was too broad. Those people who died younger also had inactive lifestyles and ate mainly processed food that’s full of sugar so we threw out most of that old data and started over with a better method. We have now observed that people who consume only healthy fats live longer than people who don’t. Therefore we conclude that a certain amount of healthy fat is good for you.”
Pasteur, Galileo, Einstein, Wegener...
https://www.discovermagazine.com/health/the-doctor-who-drank...
It's never about the science but about rooting out the people who disagree. It's purely a political movement and has almost nothing to do with science.
As a religion, it's the worst religion ever. Science is a tool for attaining the truth, not a top-down ideology for defining it. People who adopt the ideology ultimately lose science as a tool.
(A greentext user was posting this valid point and seems to have been zapped)
In the United States, if you live in a democrat controlled area the only way your kids were going to school in-person during COVID was private education. We had a wealth of data by September of last year showing that it was possible, and worth the risk, to open schools for younger children. And yet it was politics that kept our children out of school, under the guise of "science".
The same is true of masks. The outcomes in places with and without mask mandates are roughly similar in terms of spread and mortality. But god forbid you suggest that wearing a mask while working out is counterproductive at best.
The whole talking point bugs me. There's no such thing as "science says". On most topics you'll find a wealth of "science" that is contradictory. It's through assimilation and reconciliation of various conflicts through further experimentation that we arrive at "the truth."
Calling an entire group "Anti-science" is just another way to shut down conversation and dialog. Just like calling an entire group lazy, racist, criminals, etc.
Could you elaborate on this? It seems to be clear that while children themselves are relatively unscathed, they spread the virus among themselves and to their family members quite effectively.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-br...
> Based on the data available, in-person learning in schools has not been associated with substantial community transmission. Although national COVID-19 case incidence rates among children and adolescents have risen over time, this trend parallels trends observed among adults.17 Increases in case incidence among school-aged children and school reopenings do not appear to pre-date increases in community transmission
We knew all of this back in September because Europe had taken the lead on keeping schools open in many places. Only now in the United States is it politically palatable to talk about.
https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/children-and...
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
This. Whoever knows and respects science knows it's a process, it's slow, it's full of contradictory results, hesitations, contrarians and cliques. It's the best we have for getting closer to useful truths about the world, but if you think you can take the last published paper and use that as the final support for your worldview, then you didn't understand how it works.
I'm also not sure what outcomes you're talking about with/without mask mandates. There are a lot of studies that show the effectiveness of mask mandates in slowing the spread of the disease. Do you have a study that shows outcomes are roughly similar in terms of spread and mortality between places with and without mandates? So far, I've only been able to find commentary that distorts the findings of the studies they purport to be citing.
Mask "mandates" in the US were largely unenforced, and therefore ignored by enough people to cause uncontrolled spread. Expecting a mask mandate to work without enforcing adoption is like expecting a "no smoking" section on an airplane to work.
Faking data, using “appeal to experts” and intellectualism to pretend that what they say must be true simply by virtue of the fact they said it, stifling opposing voices, leaning in to sensationalism with misleading conclusions, laying down at the feet of funding sources, propping up the image of “scientists” even in the face of impossible-to-reproduce experiments and predatory journals with overwhelmingly clear agendas... I could go on and on.
Human ego and the need for money are challenging hurdles for experts on the unpopular fringes to be sure, but if everyone stuck to (or stood up now and reaffirmed) the basic tenets of science:
- Change a single variable and record the results in an unbiased way - The scale of knowing is from “Absolutely no clue” to “fairly sure we’re not wrong”, and there is certainly never a “we’re absolutely sure we’re right”
I think it could go a long way towards rebuilding the public trust in the data from scientific studies, or at the very least give people the space to say “Yes the previous data was flawed, but we redid the experiments from scratch and the results are even more concerning.” without getting booed off the stage.
And WRT EamonnMR's point, while the article invokes 'antiscience' as a movement, its author is clearly only interested in medical science. Personally, I'm not convinced that there is a unitary, consolidated anti-science movement, though it might be developing.
I'm sure the crunchy-granola antivaxers are still out there, but they were a fringe group and remain a fringe group. But for the GOP it's mainstream.
COVID's a little different from general anti-vax, being driven by a hoax narrative from the President combined with the perception of rushing a vaccine through (with the intention of having it be an October surprise for the election). That makes everybody nervous, on all sides of the spectrum.
No, it's really not. It's only mainstream in the GOP if you get your news from the left - if you associate with and listen to people on both sides of the aisle, you realize that it's a fringe element on both sides.
4 months into widespread use they have been safe and have demonstrated high efficacy in real world use.
The blood clotting with the AZ vaccine is an issue, but that risk is still a good trade-off for a big segment of the population.
The unusualness of 2015 is because that's when Obama lost control. Republicans had control of senate and house. Then also paved way for making Trump presidents just a couple years later.
Let's just assume for a second climate change is the equivalent to 4-5 hiroshima bombs per second. Which is the political assertion that we are about to go extinct every 12 years. The problem with politicization of climate change is that if it's true, we cannot act in time anymore. Then again Al Gore(politician) made a ton of claims in his movie that were quite false. According to Al Gore florida is pretty much entirely under water right now.
Relying on blunt tools of persuasion alienates people irrespective of scientific substance.
This religion, despite Asimov, was not successful because it worked. It was successful because - like all other religions - it made it easier for people to stop thinking for themselves, and accept what they are told is the truth.
[When it works we call it engineering.]
Edit: I should be clear that I’m speaking about the scientific process: admit you may not have full understandings, devise experiments to test/expand understanding, execute, interpret, repeat.
I'm also reminded of the near daily episodes on reddit, which constantly has threads highlighting outrage over police brutality, criminal injustice, etc. Then, when it's someone they don't like getting crushed by the system, it's a party of joyous triumphalism.
This basically sets the scene that anyone can make any logic work and no one really needs to really think anything through - it's all just window dressing for the agenda. We act like it's only Trump that does it but he's just goofiest-looking, that's all.
I thought it was really funny in the picture accompanying the article, an anti-vaxer waved a sign that said something like "Respect my bodily autonomy" - we know where that kind of logic came from. Also, since that group was clearly anti-abortion, we knew it was just really poking fun at the "window dressing" logic that of pro-choicers that it is really about "autonomy".
I believe at the end of the day we've entered the phase of words mean nothing any more, we all just have our agendas, we want what we want, and we'll all just wrap it in whatever bullshit we want.
One can dream.
The problem with that definition is "mainstream" science is also full of unproven theories, often for nefarious and political gains. The only real difference between what they consider science vs antiscience is how mainstream the views are. That seems like a poor way to determine scientific credibility.
Trusting science on the mask and lockdown policy issue means rejecting the official policy direction. On mRNA therapies it means examining FDA approval and human trial results. Trusting science on curve flattening means rejecting that Ferguson epidemiological model used to justify lockdowns. So-called science should inform policy, but it is not a sound justification for it. To say that your political policies have the authority of "science," as though they were discovered truths is as sound as saying they were divinely revealed, because it comes down to trusting the people who are telling you that.
A scientific policy is also necessarily not a democratic one, or one based in any policymaker accountability, because it is founded in the views of a few unaccountable initiates. When elected representatives forfeit their responsibility to un-elected experts and just do what they are told, they are renouncing their authority and giving it to people who don't get fired (or worse) for being wrong.
The conflict is that policymakers have basically asked "what is the exception we can use to suspend all these legal constraints on us so that we can wield power to do what we think is the right thing for humanity?" and they have settled on a medical crisis. If only pandemic policy were based on science, we would be in much better shape, but it's based on leaders avoiding responsibility and blaming "science" for their unwillingness to produce democratic policy that preserves the foundations of their societies, arguably, because their agenda is to destabilize and un-moor them.
I intentionally don't mention the word "science", because "science" isn't really the issue here - moreso this idea that certain organizations or individuals somehow know the truth we and should just believe them.
Politicians on both the left and the right sometimes find their political interests at odds with mainstream scientific research. That doesn't mean they're on some kind of crusade against science.
I also find the obsession with anti-vaxxers strange, when the FDA and many european medical authorities refuse to allow the AstraZeneca vaccine. I guess it's easier to blame everything on internet trolls, rather then medical authorities run by people like you, in your social circles, but the latter are objectively responsible for far more death.
AZ has not yet asked the FDA to allow the AZ vaccine. They are still in the clinical trial stage in the US.
The FDA emergency use authorization procedure includes FDA scientists plus a panel of outside scientists reviewing all of the submitted trial data and doing their own analysis rather than just relying on the submitted analysis. This is why it takes 2 to 3 weeks between the submission of an application and the approval of the authorization.
AZ had enough anomalies in their European trials that they weren't sure they would pass the FDA's more stringent review and so are conducting more trials in the US to get cleaner data.
About 3 weeks ago AZ said it expected to have results in a few weeks and would apply then.
Similarly, the evidence for climate change is pretty much undeniable now and I can only assume that those pretending it doesn't exist are not honest actors.
But the lockdown scepticism I can kind of understand as it is more of a political issue - the cost/benefit of lockdown and depending on the type of lockdown, if it will even be effective.
It seems the usual rational decisions over medical intervention based on quality-adjusted life years etc. has been abandoned in favour of emotional arguments.
China showed us lockdowns can work, but these "lockdowns" we have now just seem to be political theatre with little effect on transmission. The politicians want to give the impression of doing something because actually effective measures like closing workplaces and schools would be too expensive/difficult.
They may simply reacting and just try to do 'something'.
By that logic sweeden, florida, south dakota, shows lockdown doesn't make significant difference.
That's exactly my position, except the opposite. Anyone who claims that "the world is ending, give us money" is anything but a scam, shamelessly copied from the Catholic Church, is not an honest actor.
Do you know what a feedback loop is? Heat rises, permafrost melts, methane is released causing heat to rise more, more permafrost/ice is melted causing higher temps.
Do you know what happens if we lose bees and other polinators, and how close we are to losing them because of pesticides?
There's plenty of people pushing climate change and not demanding a cent. Those pushing the hardest AGAINST climate change are the ones demanding we "look the other way" because of their corporate greed - re: Oil / Plastics industries.
I rest my case.
Worse may people getting swept up in the movement due to mistrust in the government and health system often don't realize this, starting to repeat right wing propaganda while position themself as everything but right wing.
Noticeable is also that as far as I can tell there are organized people spreading this misinformation using expertise about how to best manipulate people. For example thy intentionally take easy to misunderstand since "results" related to Covid and twist them using "broken" (i.e. outright wrong) statistics which for a person not knowing anything about statistics "seem ok/valid". While there are some cases which might have been mistakes many clearly are not. Furthermore the way "fake news" pop up indicates (for me, I didn't to to deep research) that this people do understand exactly what they do. I.e. they look for the best ways to disproof they content and then pre-empty create "fake news" to discredit the sources which would be used for this arguments. Or at least this is how I perceive it.
At the same time the established media does a horrible job, instead of properly factual reporting about this problems they put the people tricked in the same pot as the people tricking them and the people taking advantage of the situation. By discrediting all the involved people as extremist right wing and similar they denounce and discredit many people which just have been tricked pushing them further into it and loosing more trust. Especially there is a large amount of "moderate" people which have/had reasonable alternative ideas about how to approaches to handling Covid (like actually reasonable, potentially better then what the government did, especially around fall last year). But this people are repeatedly tricked in some but not all of there arguments by "fake news" and now, the press they already don't trust much discredit all they say because supposedly they are Nazis. (They are not, but they let themself be manipulated by them.)
Through in every case I looked into the press was noticeable more honest then alternative sources.
But more honest sadly doesn't mean fully honest.
The fact that especially some of the state payed (but supposedly independent) press has a record of not fully honest (and sometimes outright deceptive) reporting doesn't help. Similar is true for the non state payed press but in other ways (e.g. their involvement in the copyright reform which offended many young people).
For example one of the first larger demo against the covid measurements taken in berlin consisted of the demo moving through the city followed by an announcement. The press reported the lowest estimate of people involved by the moving demo but made it look like it is the number of all of it and also didn't say they took the lower estimated. But on the demo announcement probably twice to thrice of the amount of people had been involved. So not very honest. But the people behind of the demo where worse as they overestimated the amount of people by a factor of 10 or more and used the reasoning "that the press numbers are clearly wrong" to trick people into believing it. Then they took certain events related to the police out of order and represented a moderate reasonable action of the police as something completely different, using this to further undermine the credibility of the government.
People rightfully reject publications that write nonsense like that. If such a publication calls itself "science something something", or worse, has a longstanding reputation for representing science, it is no wonder if people become wary of science in general. It seems healthy, actually. Maybe it is not science that is in trouble, but fake propaganda science.
It’s hard to take an article seriously when it only points the finger in one direction.
I think anybody who claims to represent "the science" or "scientists" already should be mistrusted. It's an anti-science stance. In my opinion, proper science should constantly look for ways to disprove its theories, not the other way round. So saying one should "believe science" is anti-science.
The case for Covid-vaccines simply doesn't seem to be as clear cut as for example the author claims.
Here in Germany they just halted vaccinations with Astra Zeneca, and there is a lot of debate about it. I guess the author of the SciAM article would say the German government is anti-science, too. In reality, there are aspects in favour of vaccination and aspects against it.
I think the anti-science notions people worry about are more about distrust of official proclamations.
That's different from making opposition to science a political priority. Yeah, there's kooks on the left who go for healing crystals–but that's not incorporated into left politics. On the other hand, elected Republicans have actively fought in the political arena against climate issues being taken seriously.
This shows up in other areas, too, such as the Dickey Amendment that discouraged CDC research re: guns as a public health matter.
Mhh, critical race theory, the whole gender studies joke etc seems to be pretty deeply settled in left politics. It's just something that progressives "like" and therefore don't question the absurdity and consider it "science".
You're talking about misusing science, or relying on junk science. Those are problems, of course, but they're not the opposition to the scientific project as a whole that this article focuses on.
I don't think critical race theory and similar stuff is science. They're not misusing it, they're pretending somebody's ramblings are scientific, funding it at universities and then presenting it as "the science is in".
> they're not the opposition to the scientific project as a whole that this article focuses on
If you only pick those parts that you like and invent the rest, that's very much in opposition to the idea of the scientific method.
Climate science ended mixing up entirely with left wing ideology: de-growth movements, anti-nuclearists, anti-capitalist, etc. First they appropriate whatever they need from scientific discourse to support their agenda, then they denounce everyone who is against their agenda as "anti-science".
There are conservatives working to address climate change. Here was a plan [1] from a bunch of people who were prominent members of the Nixon, Reagan, and Bush administrations, for example. It's economically and scientifically sound. Good luck getting Republicans currently in Congress to even consider that.
[1] https://www.clcouncil.org/media/2017/03/The-Conservative-Cas...
Again, there are plenty of examples of anti-science thinking across the political spectrum.
Science doesn't care what we believe.
And that’s an understatement.
Sci Am used to be a quality magazine. No more.
But critical race theory is a deliberately extreme academic model of the world, and it actually turns out to be a useful model. To complain that it is not a falsifiable model misses the point of what literary "theory" is for.
Your post smells like a bad faith dogwhistle, rather than an attempt to discuss something.
If you believe critical race theory is science, OK - it's not the subject of this thread, I suppose.
The only relevant aspect is that we will see articles of how anti-science conservatives supposedly are, because they reject critical race theory. It's actually useful for that - identifying bullshit articles and organisations.
To attempt to make this a 'right wing extremist' problem, one has to ignore the fact that one of the historically least vaccinated counties in the US is also one of the most progressive (Marin CO in the Bay Area).
This is a 'nut jobs on Facebook' problem, not a right or left problem.
-- edited to clarify that I'm not referring specifically to the COVID vax
Fighting "nut jobs on Facebook" is a good thing to do, though it's really hard. "Hard" becomes "impossible" when prominent political figures endorse it.
I suspect/hope they'd reconsider their thoughts.
If it is truly science, why censor the ideas of others?
We, as a general population, have proven that completely uncensored speech gives way too much weight to ideas that have no merit.
That sounds like it'll get pretty scary once you start following the road.
I don't know what the answer is, or where the line should be but entirely unrestricted free speech isn't the infalable utopia that the US is conditioned to believe.
How is Nazi Germany doing? Or East Germany?
Soviet Russia?
Clearly there's an impossible hump of correlation/causation, but that doesn't mean we can't show at least part of the data set to be true - that you are far more likely to fail or be a horrible place to live.
> entirely unrestricted free speech isn't the infalable utopia that the US is conditioned to believe
It wouldn't be a utopia, it would just be better than the alternative, like most liberties. Utopianism is a vision that is associated with a lack of freedom and collectivism (large scale collectivism necessarily entails curtailed freedom), not with enhanced liberty.
> I'm pro free speech, but believe it should have limits in a civilized society
To be civilised implies two things, primarily:
- greater learning - better manners
That you can learn more where information is unrestricted should need no explanation.
As to manners, what better sign of good manners and civility can there be when you may say whatever you like without fear of punishment and yet you remain civil?
Hence, a more civilised society has less limits on what you can say and imbues its citizens with greater responsibility to practise that speech well.
> and imbues its citizens with greater responsibility to practise that speech well.
Name me a western country that does this. Until it does, and until that type of education (critical and logical reasoning) is embedded in the fabric of our societies sensible limits on free speech (such as hate speech) are probably a reasonable compromise.
The more freedom "given", the more this is done, so the answer is all of them to greater or lesser degrees.
> until that type of education (critical and logical reasoning) is embedded in the fabric of our societies
Free speech is the embedding of critical thinking - do you see more critical thinking in societies riven with censorship and the suppression of speech? Are there less lies in societies that supress speech? There could be the same amount but there's definitely not less - why bother to suppress it in the first place if there's not a lie to protect?
> sensible limits on free speech (such as hate speech) are probably a reasonable compromise.
That's as close to a classic begging the question as you can get. The "sensible limits" and "reasonable compromise" are the same thing, and you're yet to show that hate speech is:
a) harmful to society
b) able to be defined any better than any dictator in history has managed
Mr. CEO: Oh really? I never knew, I'll stop drilling immediately!
Mr. CEO to assistant: Fire these people and bury this study.
^ This scenario is why we need to "defend" science, because money/power doesn't align with the narrative.
Sometimes science recommends fixes that are just too costly for society to accept as "is this the only way" ... the only way to ensure less mass casualties? Yes, max profits? No. ...
Lockdowns were the same because $$ > lives.
Same thing with real numbers of people that suffer issues after receiving covid vaccines. The only countries I know of that are truthful in this is UK (their yellow card scheme) and USA(VAERS database). Anyone can see that in UK there were around 500 deaths that occurred shortly after vaccination (20 mln people vaccinated) and in US around 1000 last time I checked (for 60mln vaccinated). Anyone can search those databases and compare incidence of for example vascular issues, stroke, or anaphylaxis to their "natural" incidence in the population. However, in my country where we have 5mln people vaccinated half of people are fearing "death by vaccine" because "few cases of stroke" are linked to the vaccine. Coincidently there is no open database of issues. Clearly politicians think people are too stupid to be told the truth that the likelyhood of "death by vaccine" is extremely low as compared with "death by covid" in pretty much all age groups. Instead of presenting real numbers they claim "there is no risk" in taking the vaccine.
Additionally people stopped believing the bullshit they hear after hearing multiple "experts" telling us various versions of: "uv will kill covid so it'll end by the summer"(then brasil had huge outbreak), "children do not get ill", "children do not pass the disease to adults", "you can't get infected outside or if you keep 2 meters distance" "no need for masks at work if you can maintain 2m distance". Then a year later: "we're closing nurseries and schools because despite teachers being vaccinated we see high numbers of children spreading covid to their families" and "40% of covid transmission happens at workplaces despite adherence to measures put in place". One doesn't need to be a genius to understand those were lies of convenience and wishful thinking. I seriously hope politicians in charge will be brought to justice after this pandemic ends.