Buildings made with fungi could live, grow, and then biodegrade
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In many European cities (at least those that avoided becoming battlefields) there are apartment buildings hundreds of years old. I live in a 200 year old building built during the Austrian Empire, which has gigabit fiber amongst all of the other modern conveniences.
The interiors are typically redecorated every 20 years and the apartments themselves overhauled (ie. replace the floor, update wiring) about every 50 years. The facades and roofs are periodically maintained by the city.
The walls between neighbors are about 50cm of solid brick, so I also have complete silence and isolation.
Durable buildings, good food, and robust societies are all capital-intensive to construct, and huge amounts of capital have been destroyed and/or transferred away from you by certain post-modern political movements, so it's no longer viable for everyone to live in a good solid building with plenty of space. Instead, you have to live in a cheap pod apartment with thin walls. But don't worry, they'll remind you it's more efficient, greener, etc. You may not have a good kitchen, but you can order a bug burger to be delivered by a subliterate third-world indentured servant. Very modern and eco-friendly!
These will require making fundamental changes to how we live, build, farm, create. There is no master plan in the end, but an ideal of a reliable and sustainable future is a good place to start at.
As an example of how this affects the real world, notice how the prices of good things - high quality meat, cheese, seafood, housing, education, healthcare - continue to rise every year well above the supposed “true” rate of inflation.
With all of the money in big dams, it's not being spent, so we're not seeing inflation increase with money supply.
I think in-deflation is the early 21st century's analogue to "stagflation" in the 1970s.
This results in an economy where for example state of the art manufactured goods cost the same or even less than a large grocery store run. The primary cost in a TV, washing machine, air conditioner, or tech gadget is labor, and labor is subject to intense deflationary forces. Food on the other hand is tied to the costs of things like land and energy that have kept up with inflation.
It's the result of inflationary monetary policy combined with aggressive labor outsourcing, labor-unfriendly trade policies, union busting, and automation. These latter forces place tremendous downward pressure on wages. Inflation is therefore highly concentrated in things that are not subject to these forces: assets, resources, and things that are really hard to automate or outsource.
Housing has inflated to the most insane degree because it's an asset (and thus soaks up surplus dollars), takes a lot of resource inputs, and its manufacture is effectively impossible to outsource. Triple whammy.
The only 40-year-old washing machines you run into are the good ones, because the bad ones were scrapped a long time ago.
Even tiniest improvements in quality of building, it's heating system and insulation will result in dramatic changes. This favours something well built, well insulated, with a heatpump, high thermal mass, and most importantly with heat recovery ventilation. Not hastily constructed crap that goes to shit in 30 years.
I have not heard of any carbon capture technologies that are more efficient than trees and oceans, so the best we can do is facilitate a process that generates less CO2 from fuels spent.
So CO2 comes from the reaction between limestone and clay. And comes from burning natural gas or coal to generate the heat needed to drive the reaction.
Separately, they are nearly always heated with fossil fuels, but, unlike steel, it's not chemically helpful to do so.
Concrete itself doesn't handle the water, it's being protected. With quite brittle technology. In the long term these kind of ifs don't tend to work. You want to minimize the number of ifs if you want to build something that stays put for a long time.
On the one hand, I absolutely love the idea of creating lasting structures that stand the test of time and can serve many generations of people. That seems reasonable and cost-effective from a long-term perspective.
On the other hand, I also visited Japan and I learned that people generally tear down their houses and rebuild from scratch every 20-30 years. I don't know all the details about how this system came to be, but someone told me it was for a few reasons: One, lots of earthquakes meant making housing more cheap and replaceable reduced the impact of the shakes. Two, the financing structures are impacted by the Georgian land-value taxation system Japan implements, meaning almost everywhere the land on which the building sits is 10-1000x more valuable than any building could be. And three, the idea that future generations will have different needs and wants, and so having a house built hundreds of years ago that's perfectly fine structurally but ill-suited to modern living is an outcome to be avoided.
That also hearkens to something Joel Salatin said about how he thinks about building capex on his farm: He plans for any given structure to last 20-30 years. If it makes it that long, it's almost certain the farm's needs have changed enough that you'd want to tear it down anyways.
I don't think there's an obvious answer here, and maybe it's like most things: The best solution is a variety of solutions.
For example https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asahikawa#Climate
Incidentally, this is also a reason my colleagues wanted to go to work. Offices are often better setup than homes. (At least this was their excuse to stay at work)
From what I understand, the Japanese has a strange cultural aversion to housing that's been lived in or in which people died.
This was in San Francisco.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/292252/age-of-housing-dw...
How does that work out, wasn’t the point of Georgian land value tax to reduce land value?
I've heard this line about the Japanese before and I wonder how they got to this point. I recently learned about the Japanese housing bubble associated with their pre-90's collapse, and it seems the conditions before that crash were very much more similar to what the real estate market is like in the US today, with big conglomerates and banks able to buy and hold huge amounts of land.
I think the responses to the crash probably has something to do with it, the Japanese response was very different from the USA's[0]... but I haven't unpacked this fully enough to have a final analysis.
Another reason might be lack of engineering science. People did not now how thick wall should be, so they built them as thick as possible. Nowadays people prefer to build cheap structures which will work good enough for their needs and will have guaranteed lifetime of 50 years. Science made it possible.
Also construction standards for earthquake resistance changed (iirc in the late 90’s) so values even for rentals fall off a bit of a cliff for older houses. Modern housing is a lot better though so habits may change.
Not sure what you mean about land tax though. If anything being taxed annually on land holdings should drive the value of land down. I’ve even heard of people trying to give away land in rural areas to escape land taxes.
Yes, please build to last. It will discourage crappy design, it will be more forward thinking because you can't just tear it down or slap it together in 3 months, it will be more economical in the long term (better insulation than the 2x4 cardboard boxes common in the US). Building materials are less toxic. It will also buck the consumerist glut that currently affects every sector of the economy and has led to enormous waste and poor quality. Actually, that's really the way in. To buck consumerism, an ethos of quality and classic style and design needs to be promoted. Anything else should be shunned as cheap and low quality.
It makes little sense for the comparatively poor consumers of the 21st century to pay extra for housing for the comparatively rich consumers of the 23rd century. Just as it doesn't make sense for a 20 year old to take out a huge mortgage to buy a big house that he won't need until he's 40 with a big family. It makes much more sense for us poor people or the present to save money by building cheaper, shorter-lasting housing, and let the filthy rich people of the future pay for it later.
I wish I could share your optimism. If the current wealth gap trend is continuing, the future won't be much different than nowadays. It's even harder to buy a house and/or build it today than let's say 30 years ago.
A lot of nice plots here: https://ourworldindata.org/global-economic-inequality
A more direct response: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/04/its-time-to-totally-c...
Maybe in 50 years people will want to move to South America, not the USA.
Your average customer may very well be 50x wealthier, but they may be in Costa Rica instead of the Silicon Valley
If your point is that short-lived housing is “cheating” because it has to get replaced faster, you do know that capital depreciation is included in GDP calculations, right?
Otherwise, I simply don’t see whete you’re coming from. Short-lived housing stock is just as valuable as long-lived housing stock. I care whether I have a roof over my head, not whether it will be the same roof in 100 years. For example in Japan the average home is knocked down and rebuilt every 26 years. And it works fine for them.
Even better in fact, Japans one of the only countries where the cost of housing hasn’t creased increased in the past 20 years. It also means that the average Japanese home is more up to do date with modern amenities and stylings. Much better than the drafty, damp homes with low ceilings, leaky plumbing, and outdated floor plans that you find in Britain’s century old housing stock.
Living your life in 4 different huts made of paper mâché is not the same as living in one properly built home. It's not like the hut will be good for 19 years and then suddenly fail you. It will be worse from day one, while a proper building can hold on to its quality.
I am coming from a standpoint of valueing actual quality of life improvements. I also value nature and realize that there is climate change going on.
Because no one can anticipate if the land a home is built on will be valuable in some exact moment in the future.
For example, should we build durable homes in Miami at all? There is sunny day flooding in North Beach right now.
And yet. A part of town literally not habitable in the far future, but still, its prices are high.
If you're so confident you know what land is going to be worth, go buy it.
Mix with that governments elected to ease ownership access whatever you end up owning and the fact these old houses you talk abt were a sort of dick measuring multigenerational competition between rich bourgeois and you understand why we build what we need rather than what 3 generations down the line would have wanted us to pay the cost of so they dont have to.
Population of Copenhagen today: 795,000.
And that's just Copenhagen proper, a relatively narrow geographical definition. The city has expanded to absorb many of the outlying towns, turning them into neighborhoods and suburbs. The population for Greater Copenhagen is 1,335,000.
An over tenfold increase in population (and a significant increase in area) can't really be said to be "roughly the same population".
Have other cities grown more? Sure. But cities 200 years ago were all tiny compared to today, all over the world.
Its not an apartment building either, it's simply been taken care of since 1770ish
As for consumption of adjacent materials, near the end of the article the talk about how it can be triggered.
Mycelium is AMAZING - and I really hope that we start using it in the myriad ways it is versatile for so many different applications.
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Have you Seen these Paul Stamets vids:
Joe rogan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPqWstVnRjQ
Ted (6 ways mushrooms can change the world: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XI5frPV58tY
It's such a huuggee gap of knowledge! The natural world has so much more weird stuff to offer, hope we will learn a lot from these strange non-plants non-animals
Neighbors will force you to upgrade because even though the pesticides for the new fungi eating microorganism are compatible in principle they are only provided in a container designed for the new buildings' sprinkler systems.
The "open-the-container" and the "create-open-pesticide" communities soon discover that competing is a thankless multimillion costs job after producing nothing.
Eventually after an upgrade the lucky ones who got unlocked on the outside end up forming militia to take control of the nearby caves. Humanity will have thus realized the early 19th century dream of a pastoral life.
If you want to get into mushroom foraging then the best way to learn (in addition to joining your local mycology club) is by getting some of the picture books, e.g. Mushrooming Without Fear and Mushrooming With Confidence. (Field guides aren't good for beginners, even the simplified ones.) If you're in the northeast, Lawrence Millman's book Fantastic Fungi of New England is also great.
If too much moisture gets in though, it's game over. Perhaps the mycelium bricks/plates can be coated in a sealant.
If it's dead then it's just food for whatever wants to eat it.
> Mycelium has been found to possess certain flame-retardant properties (e.g. high char residue and release of water vapour) and could be used as an economical, sustainable and fire-safer alternative to synthetic polymers for binding matrices.