Suez Canal: How are they trying to free the Ever Given?
bbc.com
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PmlTk_3NN_g shows flexion in a ship during a storm in the indian ocean.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mw6L69b6Y is less spectacular but also shows how un-rigid these boats are.
No amount of intermodal container stacking is going to offset this, and the containers and mounts are not designed to provide rigidity or load to the vessel in this way as I understand it.
* Work on the ship can most likely only work during high tide. This will prolong the process.
* Many of the floating crane barges necessary to offload container weight function via strict contracts. Even if a ship is 'available' leaving a port early is breach of contract, further complicating the logistics of bringing help. The availability of specialized vessels to assist is essentially random right now.
* It's an oversight that the Suez Canal allows ships to traverse without tug/tow boats with high wind conditions (which probably led to oversteering). The Panama Canal has a more robust escort system that should probably be replicated in the Suez Canal to prevent this in the future.
* The excavators on the shore from earlier today are likely doing absolutely nothing in the grand scheme of things. Offloading weight via cargo and fuel with good tide conditions is likely to be more useful.
* His project estimate to completely remove the ship from the canal SAFELY is six to twenty weeks (worst case) of around the clock planning and operations. Big boats are dangerous and rushing could lead to casualties or even worse blocking hazards.
* The biggest roadblock might be procuring the specialized crane barges. He tried to explain to me what the difference was between the specialized cranes necessary for this ship and other crane ships but it went over my head.
He loves this stuff, so I can ask him a few other questions.
Edit:
* I asked him about the helicopter idea and he likes it as an aid to a larger crane operation. He doesn't know much about helicopters, but he does believe that with the right weight/container distribution it could help speed up the process significantly.
I'm actually curious in hearing potential problems or ( if it would be plausible) a raw estimation of duration ( since you mentioned 20 weeks, that's a huge timeline).
Edit: I don't know anything about this subject. So it's interesting to learn/ask some stuff I wouldn't encounter otherwise.
He didn't estimate timeline, but it would take longer than a weight/crane operation. If the situation was much worse (partial capsize, somehow deeper entrenched on the coast), this might be a more plausible option. With the containers in an accessible location, it should be faster to organize a weight redistribution campaign instead. Just thinking about the logistics of safely building and deconstructing the dam made his head spin a little bit.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yzdxnuk-2pM
Its way longer than that - the other thing is to think about the economic ripple effect - short, mid and long term.
Also its important to note that the evergreen is now out of commission for at least a year.
It will likely go to another closer port, all cargo offloaded to other ships, then it will go into dry-dock for in depth inspection for fatigue and micro-cracks in the hull and infra...
This guy: GCaptain sounds very similar in experience as your pops.
He goes into detail on a lot of the same points your dad makes.
He specifically says that its unbelievable that the Suez didnt have the appropriate bollard pull tugs or pumps available as a matter or course...
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SMIT is the salver for the project, they are going to slurp the ballast, the fuel and are dredging under the front bulb.
however the EVERGREEN is *FLOODING* according to GCaptain based on the immediate request by Suez for highspeed pumps for the forward empty space - he thinks the forward steering props are leaking into the forward empty space. They also called for them for aft...
He goes through the various least worst and worst scenarios. Talks a lot about micro cracks and flexion, sag and hog...
Also its important to note that the evergreen is now out of commission for at least a year.
It will likely go to another closer port, all cargo offloaded to other ships, then it will go into dry-dock for in depth inspection for fatigue and micro-cracks in the hull and infra...
The problem with crane barges is that there may not be one that is tall enough to handle the EverGreen.
Anyway - send this guys vids to your dad - He would like them.
The ship has a draft of 16m. the canal is 24m deep in the 121m wide fairway, quickly becoming shallower outside. This allows for the navigation of ships with up to 20m draft.
For the actual side gradients see this image:
https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/About/SuezCanal/Publish...
For extra credit assume some block coefficient and calculate how much sand was moved pushing all the way up to both banks.
Both sides are firmly stuck in the banks. This means unloading containers until the front of the ships starts to float again will tip the vessel aft lodging that side even harder. Same with the reverse. So to do that you would need to unload from both sides to not risk cracking the hull or make one side more firmly stuck. Therefore likely unloading from the middle also.
Now you need barges and cranes. The vessel is 60m wide and the height is about 70m, say 60m to the highest container. A container may weigh up to 30 tons. It's an awful operation.
Really tough challenge.
Wikipedia says: As of 2016, the Mi-26 still holds the Fédération Aéronautique Internationale world record for the greatest mass lifted by a helicopter to 2,000 metres (6,562 ft) – 56,768.8 kilograms (125,000 lb) on a flight in 1982.
That is 56.8 to 62.5 tons, depending on the type of ton. Lift two containers at once.
I usually think of "worst case scenarios" as putting things into perspective in a somewhat reassuring way.
As in, "Worst case scenario, this takes another week and we have freed up the canal."
But wow, that worst case scenario....
Suez canal blocked by a massive ship - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26560319 - March 2021 (419 comments)
Also ongoing:
Is that ship still stuck? - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26585282 - March 2021 (446 comments)
It 'Might Take Weeks' to Free Ship Stuck in Suez Canal - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26585480 - March 2021 (26 comments)
This thread is pretty informative: https://twitter.com/jsrailton/status/1374942502684405761/pho...
I'm not even going to guess at how long this will take.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mil_Mi-26
[2] http://containertech.com/about-containers/container-load-cap....
This guys channel is fantastic. Check out his other Suez vids - he is a maritime expert, former huge ship captain and very very good at explaining all the concepts.
The part of the bow causing the most trouble is a bulge that sticks out to the front. Shipping companies sometimes add or remove the bulges as needs change regarding ship speed. That suggests that it could be cut off without sinking the ship. There is equipment that can cut through a ship with a big chain.
I wonder at what point the operating cost of those waiting leads them to just unload and destroy the ship?
(1) as I understand the effect of how it is stuck, you have to unload very carefully or you destroy the ship in the process, well before you are done, and
(2) unloading a massive cargo ship like this anywhere but a specialized port designed to handle such operations (even if it's not, say, stuck on both sides crossways in the Suez Canal) is...well, perhaps not technically impossible, but not an “oh, sure, we’ll just do that and get things resolved right quick” option.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/03/25/faq-suez-can...
https://www.vice.com/en/article/pkdjzb/cargo-ship-suez-canal...
Because if this is real, it puts "accident" in a whole new context for me...
That looks like some sort of holding pattern, which would be done to prevent having to drop anchor (if even feasible to do so where they were). Plus, there's all sorts of other lines in that diagram, Vice just chose to ignore everything except the crude joke they wanted to make.
Mostly copied from 5 minutes ago:
> Surround the boat, make a dam somehow and raise the water level.
Concrete is dry in 24-48 hours. Sand and wooden poles could be enough.
Some ideas on the how, could be found in this video, on how they created a bridge in the middle ages: https://youtu.be/nJgD6gyi0Wk
I'm pretty sure engineers could find better/faster solutions than what I'm proposing to raise the water level more quickly.
Edit: Omg, a record amount of downvotes for suggesting this: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wuVxvQh9Khy7xdIpgCNfVAdo4Dq... ;)
Thanks Arrath for mentioning sheet-pile coffer dams.
Edit 2: it seems that timer crib coffer dams are supported for 10-20 meters deep and diagrapragm or cellular cofferdams are used for more than 20 meters.
This is the most precise estimate that I could find on duration of construction for a 2100 foot ( 640 meter) cofferdam with a limited workforce ( 16 days! for probably a less sophisticated cofferdam) https://engineering.purdue.edu/CEM/people/Personal/Halpin/Si...
So, while my suggestion is plausible to execute. It could take too long ( planning + execution).
I guess we'll find out if the current solution will work within the current time-frame, since they have a huge amount of dredging to do.
Going to the bottom of the canal is "only 24" m. The video I gave before shows some ideas on how to do it.
Quick thought: A skeleton where the bottom layer is filled with wooden poles ( to stick them firmly in the ground). The rest is a construction that is quicker to create.
The ground of the "canal" could be 3D mapped for precise measurements ( a company i know does this).
And you'd need some additional meters on top of this to raise the water level.
You can suck up the sand ( if it's even required, since normal dredging could be done afterwards) before you destroy the construction again.
If it's surrounded by poles, then you just take them out again on the end.
The construction on land can be cleaned up afterwards.
It's one of the most highly trafficked canals in the world, I'm certain if the solution was this simple they would already be doing it.
The problems that I heard of till now are logistics and duration ( since it also has to be removed). None mentioned the depth/length since it is doable and had been done ( cofferdams, but with more planning ofc)
It could have been more plausible if the problem was worse though.
True but I guarantee you that's not the case here. Any engineer who's familiar with canals will have coffer damns in the front of their mind, because that's exactly how locks work. And besides that, it is (forgive me), kinda obvious.
I promise you the people working on this have thoroughly explored the possibility of raising the water level, probably by more means than you or I can guess.
I don't know if they'd raised the water with cofferdams before, i checked online and haven't seen an example ( didn't knew the term at first either). I also didn't see it proposed before or mentioned in any related articles.
It's possible that it was done in the past and is a known thing among experts, but i can't really know that, can I?
What's wrong with you? This isn't your first demeaning comment.
This is literally a place where people tend to discuss/propose things on and get feedback. HN can give a unique insight of commenters that ARE experts on the topic, even while the poster is not. Not many people here see issues with that.
Likely so did everyone else downvoting you.
While my original comment could have been worded better, which I already admitted, your reactions aren't a work of art either.
Calling it delusional and patronizing, while both methods were deemed feasible afterwards, for example. Take your pick.
My intention was always to find out the variables surrounding it and how to make it work and I think most people probably realized that. ( the "badly" worded comment only received -2 fyi, it's just more than what I'm used too)
PS. Some people also disagreed with your perception and told you literally to relax a bit. If you really want to go down that road... ( Didn't I already mention something about your demeaning comments just now?)
My first comment mentioned that you misinterpreted my words. Someone else disagreed with your perception. Someone else said to relax. I pointed out multiple times, that my original comment was badly worded.
Have you even considered the possibility that you misinterpreted the original comment, where you based your toxic reactions on?
Perhaps consider that the "proposals" I'm talking about in my original comment, ARE NOT what is currently being done now in the Suez Channel by the experts (eg. Dredging). Those aren't proposals, that's what currently is being done! But what has been suggested here on the different threads of HN.
I was genuinely eager to see alternative implementations of that concept ( raising water) proposed somewhere.
I copied my example of the other thread as a proposal ( = dams), which led me to the path of water based cofferdams and some other interesting google searches, thanks to comments here.
Now... Reread the original comment and the first sentence in particular ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26586467 )
This person wants to build a damn, someone else wants to use helicopters... waiting for other patronising armchair engineers to weigh in with other reasons why the experts have it wrong.
- Spengler in Ghostbusters
> He said it works in theory.
> He didn't estimate timeline, but it would take longer than a weight/crane operation. If the situation was much worse (partial capsize, somehow deeper entrenched on the coast), this might be a more plausible option. With the containers in an accessible location, it should be faster to organize a weight redistribution campaign instead. Just thinking about the logistics of safely building and deconstructing the dam made his head spin a little bit.
Yep.
Patronizing?
I never saw it that way.
I think most people suggesting helicopters (as an example) know they are probably not feasible but are curious as to why not.
Random person on internet confused about why professional engineers haven't taken note of the idea they just came up with. It's either patronising or delusional - take your pick.
Take your pick.
+ It does work: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wuVxvQh9Khy7xdIpgCNfVAdo4Dq... ^^ and without some downsides i read first ( eg. keeping the balance of the ship or putting additional stress on the structure of the ship)
Just interested in what the problems and potential solutions are on that scale.
But hey, thanks for your valuable feedback.
If I'd explain it as using cofferdams ( temporarily structures) to raise the water instead of the traditional lowering. Is that better for you?
I'm 100% sure that using simple solutions to hard problems is not always thought off when something is not used in it's "traditional" sense.
Sometimes outsiders give another POV that could be actually useful. And sometimes it isn't.
No need to get rude for that... Perhaps try some constructive feedback on why it shouldn't work next time? :)
PS. Before you misinterpret my words again. I'm saying that the concept is simple ( raising the water level), not the execution of it. Since on this scale every solution is harder to execute.
Edit: It's already been confirmed by another poster that it should work in theory: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26587692 ( with pro's and cons)
> Concrete is dry in 24-48 hours.
Sure, but building a dam around the entire ship? How much concrete are you going to need, and how long would it take to build? They're pumping sand and dredging right now, today.
This seems to be a good recipe for a viral news story. The Suez Canal has enough name reputation to be at least heard of world wide. The pictures of both the boat simply blocking the canal, and map of all the ships waiting to go through clearly demonstrate the problem.
However, I'm finding the response to this laughable. Sure they tried tug boats, but after that didn't work, what are they doing? A single backhoe? Given the importance of this shipping lane, why hasn't every dredging boat in the Mediterranean already been put to work? Can't they at least found a second backhoe?
It's exceedingly obvious given the scale, importance and national coverage of this that the issue isn't that they can't find a second backhoe. Your condescension isn't warranted at all.
What I'm finding interesting about this story is the juxtaposition of how easy it is to understand the problem, but how far from the apparent response the "why don't they just...?" questions are. It seems to be a good recipe for becoming a viral news story ripe for repeated updates.
You literally called their efforts 'laughable' and asked why aren't they trying obvious things.
You're an example of what you're now claiming to have been calling out.
I read the parent comment as that sort of laughable, not in the derisive sense.
the tumblehome hull's top is largely visible dug out, from the one hoe. there have been enormous amounts of fuel/energy burned trying to haul this ship out. but it still hasn't budged. about 1/3rd of the canal, on the east side, is simply not deep at all, and that, likely is the root cause problem here: the ship didn't just hit the wall, it's whole front quarter has run aground.
the new discussion is about unloading & lightening the ship, trying to let it rise up, & free itself. that seems like a solid-ish plan. but it also seems kind of weird & slow, a lot of unloading & re loading. maybe it'd shake out better in the end. but what seems like the capability that i want to have is the ability to dig this ship out effectually. not with a bullshit loader we'd use for any other (land based) earth moving task. which is obviously not working here. which will never ever help with all the massive amount of earth underneath the EVER GIVEN. there's a clear, resonant answer here, one that makes sense, and it's weird, but the answer is drone swarms. a modest number of underwater earth movers, that can effectively target moving the earth that is needed to be moved. a back hoe on land has a modest reach, little ability to help work a way underneath EVER GIVEN. the ability to get something, anything, into the actual situation, to start digging underneath this problem of being run-aground, seems like the most direct & sensible approach, yet we seem simply to be lacking in means & methodology to do so.
that's not really "incompetence", although certainly such sharp criticism makes sense. we haven't really seen a lot of situations like this before. the world's kept it's shit together. so it makes sense that we don't have a bunch of well prepared, coherent, sensible responses lined up, that can directly address issues. to me, that makes this not a problem of incompetence. but, i hope in the future, a better response can be mustered.
> However it's hard to understand why it wasn't easily fixed.
This feels like the type of comments you read when a major internet service goes down. As if resolving a major problem is just a matter of going into the basement and flipping the server on and off.
Problems are always more complicated than they look from the outside, and there's almost always a good reason it wasn't "easily fixed".
Suppose we want the very best. Let's put Bagger 293 by the stern and Bagger 288 by the bow. Come up with a plan to transport those from Germany to Egypt in a few days.
For reference:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bagger_288 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bagger_293 http://www.swapmeetdave.com/Humor/Workshop/Trencher.htm http://www.wisoveg.de/rheinbraun/rb-bg-17022001lnk.html
Don't forget to supply 16.56 megawatts of power for each of them.