IIRC TSMC is planning on building fab capacity in the US soon anyway, which adds a new twist to that tale.
Then as the mainland market developed they increased their mainland footprint as a hedge (makes it harder for the Chinese government to attack TSMC, though as we've seen from Alibaba, Xi appears happy to "move fast and break things"). That did in fact forestall investment in a competitor until recently.
They have also been expanding outside China-Taiwan, distributing their capacity and developing support in the USA and Europe. Worst case (actual shooting war between China and Taiwan) they would have a lot to fall back on.
Hon Hai has followed the same geostrategy (to even greater extreme) with its Foxconn subsidiary.
Very unlikely. In case of a shooting war, the industry will run out of consumables sooner, or later. As a fact, 90%+ of them come from the Taiwan/Japan/Korea triangle, and just any military move in the region will be effectively shutting the industry down globally.
And seeing men thinking so again, 100 years after, only tells that Raymond Poincaré was right.
TSMC's GIGAFABs (> 100K/month) are used for mass manufacturing bleeding edge consumer electronics. They are still build only in Taiwan.
[1] https://technosports.co.in/2021/03/03/tsmc-to-build-5nm-plan...