Drivers new to level 2 driving assistance had lower awareness of on-road events
thedrive.com
thedrive.com
Designing a system like that but blaming PEBKAC whenever something goes wrong is going to kill a lot of pedestrians. If you set impossible expectations and people don't meet them, there is a problem with your expectations.
/edit
I'm not against automated cars in general, but if Level 2 means a decrease in fender benders, but a higher level of kids running out in to the middle of the road getting killed because the driver is zoned out, then I think it should be skipped.
I guess that's not true, it makes perfect sense that regulators don't do anything anymore in this crony capitalist world, but I guess it's disappointing.
The legal system needs to blame someone. If the system fails and it kills someone, whos fault is it? Currently its most likely the drivers fault because its their job to ensure everything is ok and brake manually if they see something.
I believe that the only reason Uber, Waymo, and friends have gotten away with "it's the drivers job" is because there aren't that many autonomous cars around and no one was brought to court yet.
Waymo doesn't do L2 or L3, only L4 autonomy. In the case where the AV is at fault for an accident, it would be due to the system as there is no human driver in the vehicle.
A cute upper middle class child doing something innocent will get killed by a car being operated mostly correctly with a driver who could have prevented the accident if they were more alert to the controls.
It really is just a matter of whether some event is rare or not. In countries where the traffic is more chaotic, drivers are necessarily paying attention much more than places where traffic is much more orderly.
Do self driving systems know that "ball" means "kid"?
I love taking trains rather than driving, I can put all my attention on netflix or reading a book. Sometimes the train goes at 100mph sometimes it doesn't, sometimes it stops for 5 minutes, sometimes it just continues slowly at 10mph. At first you find it annoying when a train appears to stop for no reason for a few minutes before continuing, but after it happening a few times, you get used to it, stop noticing and stop caring.
Self driving cars can do the same. It's ok for a car to slow down to 5mph when there are hazards, it's ok for a car to go fast when there aren't. The car doesn't need to know that "ball" means "kid" if, every time it sees a ball or a plastic bag or a puddle, it slows down to 5mph and continues at that speed until it's sure there is no more hazard.
Humans are very bad a driving. They treat the speed limit as a target rather than a ceiling. I live on a road with 2 schools, the speed limit is 30mph and yet many people drive much closer to 40mph past children walking to school. I'd be willing to bet big money that it's much more likely that that impatient driver driving at 40mph is going to hit a child than a self driving car that changes its speed according to the current situation.
The standard complaint for an under-developed L2/L4 system is that it's too timid, it slams on the brakes for a paper blowing in the wind, et cetera.
A car that can avoid hitting a paper blowing in the wind is a car that can avoid hitting a child. Maybe we should just accept a high number of false positives.
(Do people in China respond faster because they're on edge, or do they respond slower to the single risky event, because they're distracted from all the other noise?)
(Do children in China actually run into streets with fast moving cars more often? Perhaps they're more aware of the risks if the road is indeed more chaotic. Is the road filled with a slow constant traffic jam (something I experienced in India)?)
(Etc.,)
This could be one of those common misconceptions that can found out to be false if investigated properly (that being said- I don't know if it's true or false)
Wikipedia[1] shows deaths per 100k vehicles per year. It puts the US at 14 compared to China's 104. A slightly better statistic would be deaths per billion kilometers traveled but that's not reported for China.
If I had to bet, I'd bet that there is marginal benefit from having lots of experience with children running out in front of you. Maybe there's a slightly higher chance per incident of child-street-running resulting in death in the US, but I don't think there's any evidence for that opinion.
1 - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic...
In the West, the core concept in traffic is "Right of Way". Everyone on the road figures out who has the right of way, and that person shouldn't have to change their speed or direction.
In Asia [1], the core concept is "don't hit the thing in front of you". Basically, you should be aware of what everyone else on the road may try to do, and if you ever hit something in front of you for any reason, it was your fault.
([1] Obviously "Asia" is a big place, and traffic laws and customs will be different everywhere you go. This explanation matched the behavior I've observed in both Thailand and central China.)
So for example, in the West, if you're overtaking someone and need to switch lanes, it's your responsibility to check to see if there's already a faster car in that lane; because if there is, they have the right of way; if they have to slam on their brakes or swerve to avoid you, that's your fault.
In Asia, if you're overtaking someone, it's their responsibility to notice that you may need to switch lanes and give you space. If they hit you, it was their fault. So most people just swerve out without checking.
Same thing with pulling out onto the road -- in the West, if you're pulling out from a side street onto a main road, it's your responsibility to check that there's no traffic. In Asia, it's the job of the person on the main road not to hit you; so people will just pull right out onto the road without checking first.
I'm pretty sure "right of way" results in fewer accidents overall; but "don't hit the thing in front of you" definitely results in much more careful drivers in my experience. You just can't go 60 miles an hour down a city street if you have mopeds shooting out of random side streets left and right.
But your anecdote reminded me of what the instructors in my driving school used to tell us (20 years ago..I'm old..) - whenever you sit into the driver's seat, your left buttcheek is actually sitting in jail and your right buttcheek is laying in a morgue. Drive accordingly. - everyone else on the road is a psychopath that's out there to kill you. Drive accordingly.
That was of course mostly meant to calm down a bunch of 18 year olds who were eager to drive, but I think the basic premise of "don't even forget that driving is really, really dangerous" is correct.
There is also the cruel practice of “finishing off” a pedestrian injured by a car collision.
It is much, much, more dangerous to be a pedestrian in China. Be careful!
https://www.google.com/amp/s/slate.com/news-and-politics/201...
I’ve seen a taxi hit a girl riding a bike through a red light in Beijing. You never really forget the thunk. I’ve also seen a car’s tires all pop off on a ring road in the middle of the night while going 120kph or so (I’m guessing a bad mod job).
Still, pedestrians and other cars doing weird crap is just so common that everyone is expecting it. It is definitely dangerous to be a pedestrian even if you are following the rules, but trying to cross four lanes of traffic without a light or crosswalk doesn’t help. Still, the fact that most people do it and it’s considered normal means all the driver’s are on edge and paying deep attention.
While the traffic was a bit crazier than I'm used to, I actually felt safer on the road in Peru.
But I don't know if humans can handle that well. It's safer to brake instead of swerve if an animal darts into the road. Of course a kid darting into the road is more serious and traumatic, but the typical driver may not be able to avoid a crash.
Distracted driving was already a problem on the rise, and self driving mostly seems like it’s going to enable that type of inattentiveness even more.
That's certainly my experience. I love L2 for night driving, it lets me spend more time scanning the ditches for animals.
It's like learning to drive for the first time: you're task saturated just keeping the car driving straight and at a consistent speed. After a while you learn to manage that and then your attention turns to other aspects of driving the car.
But you are going to use L2 driving a highway or even just decently paved road that happens to be going through a forest.
Sadly there are a lot of irresponsible people on the roads, including school zones.
Of course they will, sane or not. Do you really think millions of drivers will stay alert when they've gone months or years without an accident?
When the car starts beeping, by the time the driver looks up from their phone and understands the situation, half of little Timmy is already 100 meters behind the vehicle.
Drivers using Level 2 ADAS who are experienced with L2 ADAS have more situational awareness. The ones using it for the first time have the least, while regular drivers were in the middle.
Presumably the ones used to ADAS relax more and look around. Is that good or bad? Unclear: does it make them more likely to note and deal with unexpected risks or not? The article guesses the answer though the actual paper may not have.
Someone who uses this technology because they dislike driving will always pose a danger. Those who enjoy driving will be more diligent.
"Adaptive cruise" is quite a nice thing.
And this is on the front page of HN because that headline reinforces the common worldview here: that partial self-driving is more dangerous than none at all, and full autonomy is further away than manufacturers like to suggest.
"Drivers who missed every instance of the bear spent more time looking at various parts of the car's dashboard than any other group."
I hypothesize that, while some of that was surely trying to navigate a radio or air-conditioning setup they were unfamiliar with, much was likely spent monitoring the speed of the vehicle.
An simple HUD illumination reflection on the wind shield for the speed might help as a safety measure. Or possibly changing laws and enforcement so that police were focused on non-revenue generating actives and mostly about curbing any behavior that harms the safety of a steady and orderly traffic flow.
Note that the article also mentions that other studies have found increasing complacency with experience.
> Does it make them more likely to note and deal with unexpected risks or not? The article guesses the answer though the actual paper may not have.
Given that noticing a problem is a prerequisite of dealing with it, this is not an unreasonable supposition, though one should also wonder if their reaction times are slower. Note that even if that is so, noticing more things, or noticing them sooner, could more than compensate for this.
In my experience the software developer in me looks at every odd action or lack thereof in the frame of, why this and not that and how do I think it should have performed.
Now there is a big claim out there we will all be able to opt into the new FSD beta and I truly want to give it a whirl.
The opposite happened. I'm more focused on the road since I can relax and not multi-task. On long road trips, I'm not feeling that ache in the knee or the tension in the shoulders/back from constantly keeping the car aligned in the lane. In fact, I wish Tesla would just introduce a touch interface into the wheel so it knew your hands were on it, but not require constantly resisting the wheel to trigger the sensor.
The conclusion I've come to: Level 2 can make good drivers safer and make bad drivers more dangerous. I don't look at my phone when I'm driving. I don't text at red lights. I don't constantly fiddle with the screen. If you do these things, you're a dangerous driver. If Level 2 increases this because you feel a false sense of safety, it'll make you more dangerous.
People just need to take driving a 2 ton heap of metal 70mph seriously and we'd all be much safer.
We recently rolled out capacitive steering wheels in several Mercedes-Benz models for that reason. It's pleasant.
Why is this a problem? My car is at a complete stop and is not legally allowed to proceed. What's the threat? Doing things while moving (even creeping along in stop/go traffic), sure, I'll agree, but stopped at a light?
Small things like bikes and pedestrians are frequently occluded and you may miss the glimpses of them you needed to predict their future trajectory.
We could argue about the absolute importance of this effect, but it's definitely real.
If you're sitting at a red light fiddling with the stereo, the light turns green but you missed it, so the person behind you honks, chances are you'll start moving forward without actually being fully aware of the scene in front of you. And if there is someone in front of you, you could hit them. So why take the chance? Always pay attention to your surroundings.
Life is about trade offs and constant cost/benefit analysis. How is reading/responding to a text message slightly sooner worth the decrease in situational awareness and possible accident involving a 2 ton vehicle?
I think we have normalized the dangers of driving a vehicle to the point where we sort of just shrug at the monumental number of vehicular deaths. I’m confident that when my kid is an adult, he’ll look at us with astonishment when we say we used to drive vehicles around, poorly trained, staring at phones, half-drunk, kind of paying attention sometimes, a bit sleepy and it was not only legal but _normal_. It’ll be like us hearing about how our great-grandparents had a 2 year old work dangerous farm equipment alone. You think “How the hell did anyone survive?”
This reminds me of a old news article from Sweden I came across some weeks ago. The headline was something like "Driver crashed into house, judge released him without any fines because he was drunk so couldn't properly control the car"
In the context of the modern world, it's hilarious. But one could wonder how that news headline was reacted to back in the day.
Edit: Actually found it, I was barely right, still funny (https://teknikensvarld.se/nyheter/bil-och-trafik/rattfulls-d...)
> In 1928, a materially serious car accident occurred on the national road between Örkelljunga and Åsljunga.
> It was an Örkelljunga resident who drove over a merchant from Skånes Fagerhult.
> At the subsequent trial in Klippan, it was said that Örkelljungabon, who was the cause of the accident, received a mitigating sentence because he had drunk brandy and therefore had difficulty controlling.
Morons will use devices that clamp to the steering wheel to defeat this sensor. Actively turning the wheel is harder to spoof.
edit: looks like we went through this process already.
https://www.theverge.com/2018/6/19/17479316/tesla-autopilot-...
Furthermore, 6/10 drivers with L2 experience saw the bear all three times, as compared to 2/10 drivers using a non-automated car. So a stronger finding (again, ignoring the laughably small sample size) is that experienced L2 drivers driving automated cars are better than inexperienced L2 drivers driving normal cars. In other words, we should put everyone behind a L2 car but require additional training.
This is what happens when you design experiments with 3 buckets, 3 tests, and tiny sample sizes. You can draw any conclusion you want.
I have a 2019 Subaru Forester with Eyesight (lane keeping and adaptive cruise) and Driver Monitoring System (beeps whenever you look away from the road and automatically adjusts seat and mirror settings based on facial recognition).
Compared to other systems it's far from perfect (it bounces between lane lines, it often looses track of the lanes even in good lighting), it doesn't always see the car in front of you especially if it's stopped or out of lane) but every time I drive it I find myself feeling safer to look around at my surroundings a lot more, especially my rear. I've saved my rear-end from two near misses, and countless reckless and speeding drivers because I look at my mirrors so much more frequently.
At the same time I find myself looking out of the side windows at the scenery, until the driver monitoring system beeps at me to keep my eyes on the road. It has performed automatic emergency braking a few times because I wasn't keeping an eye on the car stopping in front of me.
Gorillas in our midst: sustained inattentional blindness for dynamic events - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJG698U2Mvo / https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10694957/
But I'm not sure what that means, is it good or bad to see the bear. You are driving not looking at pretty things. You want to reduce dimensions. It's a 1 tonne vehicle, color shouldn't matter.
Which would be great if not for the fact that the bear is attached to an overtaking car - one of the things they're supposed to be noticing.
(You could make the case that they were focused on the car itself and thus the bear was an easily forgotten distraction to counter this.)
The only reason I would think about paying attention to the bear is because I sometimes am aware of the risks from other's carelessness: "what if one of the ropes holding it snaps, and it tumbles onto my lane?"
But, in this case, if it's only people that are new to an autonomous system (like, new owners, or rental car users), then I can imagine that there may be some learning curve involved that distracts you from being really focused on the driving task, because you're learning to use your 'tool'.
I know I intuitively feel it is anyways.
We need much better driver training.
They may have been paying attention to the pertinent details like whether the car was going to ingress their lane, overtake speed, etc. rather than the car's decorations.
Drivers may have even seen the bear but simply not committed it to memory since they were focused on driving.
In contrast, it was the drivers that were familiar with the car that most often remembered the bear, perhaps this was because they were paying less attention to defensive driving since they felt more comfortable and had attention to spare allowing them to remember passing car decor.
When the pandemic is cleared, get someone to drive you down any US interstate highway as a passenger during rush hour and count the number of drivers playing with their phones and texting. I'm amazed the highways aren't even deadlier than they are, given how little attention people pay.
From the article:
“ ‘Our data suggest that Level 2 driving automation has the potential to improve a driver’s [situational awareness] once he or she is familiar with the technology, although it does not guarantee it,’ the report reads.
Per the IIHS study's results, nearly all of the experienced users of Level 2 systems were able to notice the bear during their drive, and more drivers in this group were able to correctly note the number of times the bear drove past them than anyone else. Meanwhile, over twice as many of the drivers who weren't experienced with Level 2 automation but used it for the test didn't remember the bear at all compared to either of the other groups in the test.”
One might conclude that we need to reduce this “learning period” with formal driver training for these systems, perhaps the way we certify people for drivers licenses or something.
No, that's not at all what the article says! It says the opposite
>"Our data suggest that Level 2 driving automation has the potential to improve a driver’s [situational awareness] once he or she is familiar with the technology, although it does not guarantee it," the report reads.
Beyond that, even if nobody noticed the teddy bear, there were no controls who were driving with no assistance features, so you wouldn't be able to make that conclusion anyways.
- drivers experienced with L2 assistance were the most aware of on-road events
- drivers inexperienced with L2 assistance were the least aware of on-road events
- drivers not using L2 assistance were in the middle
This seems like a quite positive result for driver assistance features - they increase situational awareness but take a bit to get used to.
I've got an electric car with level 2 assistance since last year and although I didn't drive as much as expected due to Covid-19 and lockdowns I feel how driving has changed.
At first I was very "afraid" of the systems doing stupid things and probably killing me while doing that. I was very focussed on controlling the slight steering it does when getting near white lines (Germany here) or how it would brake when following another car.
As that fear passed, I became much more concious of my surroundings, paying more attention to what other drivers might do (especially on the Autobahn) and how I could improve my "driving style" to create a better flow of traffic.
Can't wait to experience higher levels of assistance systems. I'd LOVE to get into the car, position myself behind a truck with 90 km/h on the right lane and let the car do it's thing while I'm not watching what it does.
E.g. a car coming up in the next lane left will trigger an alert, resulting in an involuntary swerve to the right. This is not improving her safety at all.
You can say 'just learn to deal with it', but its been a year and no change.
I got a Hyundai and it has a lane assistant which keeps you in your lane, but it doesn't freak out when somebody passes you.
Braking, when you run up to a slower vehicle in front of you, is sometimes a bit stronger (depending on the speed difference), but it's not alarming either.
I know of dead spot assistants which light up in your mirrors if you have a car in the dead spot, but those don't beep either.
What kind of assistance system does your wife's car have? Just to avoid that... :-D
Its harrowing to be a passenger. I drive myself everywhere now.
I think a better design than an audible alarm is to show the driver using quadrants or a diagram when an object is within the "close," "very close," or "near-collision" zone around a vehicle and beep once but only when the object passes into another zone to alert the driver to a change in state. The tones should change for each transition so you can learn the tone for "object moved from close to very close in right driver's-side zone" and distinguish that from "object moved from very close to close in right driver's-side zone."
Having to constantly pay attention to an alarm tone is extremely nerve-wracking. In medical devices this will often result in "alarm fatigue" where you spend so much time dealing with false alarms that you miss a real alarm.
I think I'd find this study more compelling if we didn't have evidence that in general, human beings filter out state that is harmless but extremely discordant to the context.
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2011-04-gorilla-dont-front-ey...
If the teddy bear on the back of the car isn't relevant to driver safety, why do we expect drivers to notice it at all?
"Level 2 systems like Tesla Autopilot can improve drivers’ attentiveness: IIHS study"
Both headlines are accurate, both are misleading. Great example of showing you can't trust headlines. I don't even think it's possible to get an accurate summary into the headline.
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-autopilot-level-2-adas-iihs-...
To make it useful for anything except pointing to possible future studies, n must be larger.
Meantime, give those researchers a kewpie doll!
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2011-04-gorilla-dont-front-ey...
Also call me an arrogant asshole, but I firmly believe that any driver who drove normally without the assist and missed the bear (even once) has no place operating a vehicle at highway speeds.
Yeah, but planes aren't generally any better at this either. In almost everything except jet aircraft and especially jet airliners, autopilot can be as crude as "maintain this heading and altitude"; i.e. you still need to manage your speed (the engine throttle lever) yourself, including in response to changes of wind direction or intensity.
Then we get to airliners, which have flight management computers. You can give your flight plan to that, and they will even calculate optimal speeds along the way, which the autothrottle can maintain for you. This allows you to, for example, know when the optimum descent point from cruise is; too early and you need more fuel to maintain altitude when you get down to where you need to be, too late and you need to turn more to bleed off more altitude.
The more advanced flight management computers are also loaded with a complete navigation database that includes e.g. speed and altitude restrictions at each waypoint, so they know, for example, that you shouldn't descend below 12,000 feet or be doing more than 260 KIAS at <waypoint x>. This is basically what's on your charts, but it's still up to you to verify that you're complying with the chart, even if you let the flight computer handle it.
Then we get to the autopilot itself. The autopilot on a modern airliner doesn't mean the plane can "fly itself". They still need to be told what to do, and told correctly. If you take off from Paris and head south-east and tell it to maintain 8,000 feet, it /will/ fly you straight into the side of the Alps. The Ground Proximity Warning System will tell you that you're in imminent danger of smashing into a mountain, but the autopilot will not react to that. If you tell the autopilot to descend into the ground it will. If you tell the autothrottle to fly too fast you will damage your aircraft. If you're doing 280 KIAS in a 777 and you throw out flaps, the autothrottle will not slow the aircraft down, and you will damage them. If the autopilot is about to fly straight into another aircraft, the Traffic Collision Avoidance System will tell you that, but the autopilot will not react to that either.
Note that some of this doesn't apply to Airbus aircraft, as Airbus thinks they know better. Whether that's a good thing is up for debate; it did result in, for example, Sullenberger not being able to make an optimal ditching approach into the Hudson, because the Airbus thought his nose-up input would stall the aircraft (which it would have eventually, but he was only a few feet above the river anyway, so that's inconsequential). Then there was Air France 447, where the usually fastidious Airbus flight management computer would usually prevent the pilots from making input that would cause a stall, but because their speed sensors were not working, the computer didn't do that. The first officer held that plane in a constant stall for their entire 38,000 feet descent into the ocean, probably because they were relying on the system to not let them do that. The ground proximity stuff also doesn't apply to some fighter jets, which won't let a pilot aim the aircraft at the ground (because it could be because the pilot has passed out during a high-G manoeuver). Still, the vast majority of it applies.
The point is, these systems require the same kind of checks, instruction, and constant supervision that Level 2 autonomous driving systems do.
> The point is, these systems require the same kind of checks, instruction, and constant supervision that Level 2 autonomous driving systems do.
Well, that was basically my point. The solutions and more importantly the mindset (the machine will just fly/drive itself) can't be easily transferred from aircraft to road vehicles and just because we're doing one thing (half-assedly) in planes doesn't mean we can (or even should) attempt to do a similar thing in cars.
These results are completely unsurprising.