Companies spend on technology, not workers
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
I can think of a way that this company could save $150 per interviewed applicant. Can anyone else spot it?
What does recreational drug use outside of work have to do with plastics manufacture? Do the plastics feel different if the engineer had a joint two weeks earlier?
Current employers insisting on a drug test is definitely more problematic, though, if there's no reason to suspect a problem it seems unreasonable to insist.
Why do people expect companies to throw money around just because someone needs a job? It's not a company's mission to create jobs. It's to make money. Sometimes that means creating jobs, but that's a side-effect, not a primary goal.
I don't see how this is a fact. It's one interpretation of the facts we see (productivity is up, employment is not).
Another interpretation of the facts is that 7 million people were on payroll but were not productive, and employer/producers have now corrected this mistake.
It is ridiculous that 7 million unproductive people were cut. In actuality, it was more like 70 million people, productive and not, who were cut. This is only marginally more people than in normal times.
(Data gathered by eyeballing the graph here: http://modeledbehavior.com/2011/06/05/strolling-through-the-... )
The idea is that among those 70 million people (probably a bit less, if some people were fired twice), most of the productive ones found jobs. The remainder were not rehired.
Of the 7 million, how many were 'productive' for companies that simply couldn't weather the storm?
Companies that are still around are reporting greater productivity, but it's a bit of a survivorship bias in these numbers, and to interpret them as "all those people were just dead weight" is too extreme.
Sure, some of them probably were, but entire industries simply shift away. We basically don't have travel agents any more. Decades ago it was a career. Today it's a minor niche. Does that mean that in 1980, travel agents were unproductive dead weight? Certainly not.
Technology advances and a big financial shakedown have given us the one-two punch, and I'm not sure we'll ever quite get back to where we were just a few years ago.
I was listening to Rush Limbaugh the other day bitch about the May US 'job creation' figures - only 50k or so. He was bitching that he knows how to "get this country right again". It boiled down to "lower taxes on corporations, and reduce regulations".
1. I know plenty of small businesses, and I don't know anyone who's thinking "dang, if only taxes were lower, I'd go right out and hire a bunch of people". Generally, they're just nervous about the short term economy, and would prefer some cash on hand if taxes were reduced.
2. Sure, I'm for lower regulations. It seems like it might help the guy in the article if there were fewer safety regulations that didn't require $7k in training per employee. Fair enough. But I don't see this as something that's preventing people from hiring as much as not being able to find qualified workers, or being willing to invest in the training for those workers. Many are trapped by underwater mortgages, so more employers are forced to deal with the workforce immediately surrounding them.
More on Rush for a moment. Yes, capitalism is great, etc. But with the changes in tech we've been seeing the past couple decades, 'successful' companies require fewer people.
I'm going out on a limb here and will say that a company's market cap is an indicator of the value they provide the market. Ford's market cap is $54B, and they employ 164,000. Apple's market cap is $300B, and they employ 49,000. Google is $166B and they employ 26,000. Value created and delivered is far greater, and as more companies "tech up", lowered taxes and regulations will just not be a path to higher employment.
Yes, the economy may get "back on track", but fewer people will be riding those rails.
Ford = 350k Apple = 6.122M Google = 6.385M
The US now has to come to terms with structural unemployment, which is something European nations have been struggling with for decades.
Well, they can be looked at as unneccessary now, but at the time they weren't considered to be (otherwise they wouldn't have existed then, as they currently don't now).
It's not as if employers just suddenly "wised up" 3 years ago and said "hey, I don't need any of you - you've been 100% unproductive the past several years, so I will simply lay you off now". Employers are acting as much in their self-interest now as they did 3, 5 and 10 years ago.
Same story for the dot-com (and probably the current) bubble. Employers are notoriously bad at accurately forecasting how many jobs they can actually sustain. And in a downturn it's easy to squeeze more productivity out of fewer employees because it's easier to retain overworked employees.
We can look at job situations 5 years ago and say they were unnecessary, although at the time it wasn't judged to be.
Then we look at now and say the unemployed currently are dead weight. If we weren't good judges of the situation 5 years ago, why are we any better (collectively) now?
Sounds like skewed incentives.
> “You don’t have to train machines,” Mr. Mishek observes.
This is such an overgeneralized comment. What specific business processes are these "machines" replacing? Where's the ROI comparison?
I'm taking this article with a grain of salt.