Interesting. Whatever it was, Trump did have a sharp effect on employment rate.
Trump was president 2016-2020. The participation rate went up 2016-2020. That does not mean Trump had anything to do with it. It is entirely plausible that it has nothing to do with politics at all, the economy is very complicated.
There are arguments to be made that Trump helped, but those have to be made. Blanket "the line went up at the same time!" observations are meaningless. It isn't even suggestive that Trump was involved.
No one here likes Trump. But if any of you have a good explanation, I’d love to hear it, rather than whatever point it is you are trying to make.
In the same chart, there was a huge decline during Trump’s tenure also, but I wouldn’t say he had something to do with it just because he was President.
The wording of my original statement was careful to avoid this whole boring “correlation does not imply causation” conversation. The negative of that statement would be one to claim Trump has no effect whatsoever on the unemployment.
I could as well say that Mike Pence did it, since his term was the same. Or Pelosi as the leader of the House.
There's no way around it, claiming the president has something to do with causing a good economy requires a statistical argument along the lines of "it must be him because this line informs that one and these plausible alternatives don't". That's my one liner summary but of course there are books about causality.
My guess is that there's not much you can do as president to improve the economy, or someone would have done it. There are lots of things you can do to derail it, which people from time to time because they're naive about how it works.