Tesla Reports Only 12.2 Miles of Autonomous Mode Testing in 2019
caranddriver.com
caranddriver.com
Well, nothing of what you wrote looks like an argument for why they would be wrong in saying that.
My comment wasn't meant to be some kind of flamebait (and I find the accusation rude and ad-hominen: you could have avoided it, and just say that my comment appears to not make any argument to you - which is not the same as a flamebait). I merely pointed out my observation about the parent's comment.
If Tesla wants to achieve 3, 4, 5, it'll need a place to learn without being crucified for it.
That's what I got from the comment.
At this pace the coast-to-coast test will take centuries :-)
So, in practice, they are probably constantly "lets see what happens after x more tweak".
Then Elon takes the time estimate of x more tweaks and announces it as "FSD by this date".
Tesla is working hard on moving from camera view based algorithms to estimatin birds eyed view using self-supervised learning (just like all competitors I guess). We just started to be able to separate moving objects from static objects on videos efficiently.
It would surprise me if by 2030 there wouldn't be an open source self driving system with open model and dataset.