Yes, reopening the economy would be the cause of inflation. Not the trillions of dollars of quantitative easing.
Loans are forgotten if you fail to meet minimum income thresholds (i.e. you can put in forbearance until your income is above say $70k) if your income does't rise about that in ten years, congratulations you're free and clear and the government eats it.
Figure out some list of "necessities" bring your bills and get monthly loan disbursements for those amounts.
Or another option prop the banks but REQUIRE them to prop up landlords but ONLY if they prop up tenants who cannot pay and do the same for utlities, cell phone providers, internet.
That would've ensured a smoother way of essentially "pausing" where you're at, so we can lockdown and "reboot" the system. Basically.
Though I'm all for a UBI as I've been out of work for awhile myself as a freelance dev and am feeling the noose of despair tighten.
The reason they are finally expecting inflation now is that they are going into policy measures on the fiscal side that actually enter the real economy, not just qe. Imo one dollar of fiscal expenditure has the power of at least $10 of qe if not actually more like an infinite multiplier in the case that qe does literally nothing.
If you are interested I. This kind of stuff search YouTube for Jeff snider or Lacy Hunt. Both of them are really fascinating to listen to and have a strong conviction that qe is totally ineffective.
There are parallels to the law of the minimum.
>It states that growth is dictated not by total resources available, but by the scarcest resource (limiting factor). [0]
The same applies to the economy. If adding more money to the supply side does nothing, that means you already did your job and the supply side is already saturated and you should look for the part of the economy that is lacking in stimulus.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liebig%27s_law_of_the_minimum
A series of growing incidents will become a crisis, and it will lead to a collapse in faith of the spending power of all western fiat currencies. That's when everyone, including large institutions will start disgorging vast amounts of dollars in an effort to put that value somewhere more secure and the spending power of the currency will collapse and with it the value of everyone's savings.
There is nothing new here. This has happened many times before.
QE is central bank asset purchases, not attached to specific policy or spending, extending into the long end of the yield curve, of a pre determined quantity, at least pre determined per time period.
The first people to do this were the Japanese in the mid 90s. So every hyper inflation event before that was not caused by QE. The ones after it as well. Venezuela and Zimbabwe weren't trying to influence the yield curve when they hyper inflated, they were printing money directly to pay debt and buy commodities.
Despite the fact that QE increases the money supply, it is not synonymous with literally printing money
The media is complicit because they sure aren't reporting on the actions of the Fed nor the stimulus bills which are 75%+ pork and corporate welfare, with a $1,400 crumb going out to basically nobody.