As an Iranian (living in US) who follows this very very closely, you are wrong.
There are many signs of Biden administration going back to the deal. They are both dancing around it but there's definitely been a policy change regarding Iran.
There are many signs of Biden administration going back to the deal. They are both dancing around it but there's definitely been a policy change regarding Iran.
For stability of the region, commerce, peace and moderate forces in all parties, it was a good deal.
It wouldn't have resolved all the issues the world has with Iran, but the idea of having a "deal" in place that resolves all issues is childish.
Eg can the US have a "deal" with Saudi in place to resolve all the regional and human rights issues with them? Of course not. But those who argue against the JCPOA claim the US could've had a "deal" with Iran that resolved all issues.
It would've been used to rebuild some trust between both nations and help resolving other issues in long term.
Although right now the deal is hanging by a thread, I still think its possible that in long term it will be considered a major victory for all parties involved.
The fact that the hardliners couldn't kill it off despite years of effort (while being in power) may be later judged as a strength of it.
That's better than nothing I guess. But it's not the "we're back, let's make this work" announcement I'd hoped for.
I'm very supportive of engagement with Iran. In a generation they'll be the main power in the ME. Its time to get on board or be left behind I think. The Saudis are yesterday's news.
Both sides are dancing but there have been very positive signs. I expect the parties to return to deal in 2-5 months.