Square buys $170M worth of bitcoins
reuters.com
reuters.com
We’re going hockey-stick! (At least for a little bit)
Edit to add: Glad instead of getting 3 downvotes right off the bat, people decided to spend effort into writing thoughtful comments.
Bitcoin is backed by hoping a greater fool will pay you more for it, and a bunch of GPUs in Xianjiang.
You can try to gussy it up with arguments like “faith and credit” or “the military” or “you can pay taxes with it” or “has industrial applications”, but that’s not the basement level of determining value.
It's an unnecessary and unreasonable transfers of wealth weighted from late adopters to early adopters.
There's a better way. Bitcoin only gained traction and aligned people primarily due to greed and ability to profit off of others simply because of adoption - furthering the army/mob of HODLers who are then become aligned financially, to promote Bitcoin via mostly propaganda, to 1) to push it until it's back to the price they bought it at, or 2) hoping it skyrockets - only because the majority of people are HODLing with their HODL rally call - to then realize a profit.
So of course there's a collective belief it's worth something - because you keep essentially tricking more people with propaganda to buy into it, making it seem like it has more value than it actually does - because the value it has is speculation; now the rest of society will have to fight the greed and mob of HODLers from regulatory capture, as the current latest adopters don't want to be "holding the bag" at the end when there's finally no one left to buy the bag from them; do you understand how, this is why Bitcoin is also correctly compared to a Ponzi scheme as well? Or you'd be happy being the last person to buy Bitcoin?
Funny thing is, no pro-Bitcoiner is incentivized to create a system that would work just as well - better in fact, being able to then do policy like the Magnitsky Act - where there isn't a wealth transfer simply due to adoption; the incentives aren't aligned to be good for society, it's driven by a selfish mechanism - it's just the next evolution of the Finance Industrial Complex, and that's accessible to all via decentralized, global reach it has. BUY NOW!! GET IN EARLY!!
No, and Jack is a big proponent of Bitcoin and has offered buying/selling via CASH. He has been saying he's maxed out cash app's buying service since it's inception in 2018ish (?) with no repercussions.
Furthermore, their purchase/holdings could represent the amount outstanding Square has to have as reserves after daily operations--Square is CASH's parent company, which allows for the buying and selling of Bitcoin, not some IOU like Paypal.
I think they may be finally rolling out Bitcoin acceptances via the Square POS system, ideally with LN (something Jack has financed in the past). Something I wish we had during the pandemic to allow small businesses to invest in and convert to just keep the lights on, instead most got wiped out from dealing with fiat and may never come back again. .
I just hope you guys on HN start to realize the 2 biggest names in Fintech are already Bitcoiners, Jack has been for some time but Elon (who was arguably more important than Thiel, who also has Bitcoin investments, in making Paypal) has only recently made it public, but was also at one time regarded as potential person for who was 'Satoshi' for a reason. IN addition to the Worlds richest person, or was until the Tesla stock dip this week.
The SEC should have gone after Citadel, Melvin, Robinhood, etc... instead they had what even one politician said was 'political theater,' but they didn't and instead they go after things that change the status quo, which this may be... or until the status quo has adopted it in a way that it's beneficial to them, and while it we (bitcoiners) would be remiss to say we built this architecture for them, we knew one day they would of out of self-interest join.
That's where are now. I'm not entirely convinced it's not them lowering the price to get a better buy in position, both Microstrategy and Tesla have enough to make the market move in that direction. I'm just thankful they did and I got to buy more on the way down.
I actually wonder if Coinbase offers this as a service, as in you pay Coinbase XX million for services rendered and they start dumping coins on the market to help its high net worth buyers buy billions worth of bitcoin via OTC at a lower price. But this is just unsubstantiated conjecture on my part, though not entirely impossible. Then blame Kraken as plausible deniability and rinse and repeat.
Edit: typical HN downvote brigade... I expected more from this place, and felt that people would challenge the idea, not the message/messenger.
EDIT: I only ask this because if the world becomes more and more dependent on the blockchain and quantum computing becomes an existential threat, the existence of blockchain-breaking computation could potentially result in a global catastrophe. I compare quantum computing in this scenario to a device that can just magically take money away from you without your knowledge. Given that this obviously hasn't happened yet, I'm curious what mitigation strategies exist now. Thanks everyone for your replies.
disclaimer: I believe it's just a matter of time before all current (2021) encryption is broken. whether that happens in 2060 or 3000 obviously is TBD, but it's a matter of when not if IMHO.
I really wish people would research a bit more before posting these questions here. The quantum computing argument has been asked a thousands times before, it was first seen shortly after the bitcoin paper was published, it has been answered and re-answered and re-answered so many times, everywhere. And yet here we are filling the internet with more and more copies...
Which means you need to fork early and abandon any wallets that don’t do a transaction with the new system. That’s not the kind of transition that works with just the miners involved.
#define LATEST_BLOCK_BEFORE_EMERGENCE_OF_QC 76283747
# fill in number when that happens
if (block_height>LATEST_BLOCK_BEFORE_EMERGENCE_OF_QC) {
# Treat transaction as invalid if it still uses SHA256
}
You know transactions are timestamped through the medium of being included in a block, right?This means you need to pick some date where everyone with a private key needs to create a new key under a new system. Then before quantum crypto is available they need to make this transaction from their old wallet using an old key to a new wallet with a new secure private key. And they need to do this before quantum crypto is available.
Work is on the way to standardize a quantum-safe digital signature, but it takes years to get the best solution, and right now there's no time pressure.
Quantum computers have something similar to moore's law which is that adding each bit is as difficult as all the previous bits. i.e. the required noise floor scales exponentially, unless a certain threshold is reached.
If BTC has a multi-trillion-dollar market cap, and quantum exploitation occurs, the only thing that backs the currency (trust) vanishes, and the values quickly drops to zero.
If we are reliant on BTC for global finances in the future, as many are proposing, this could result in a global depression.
This might be the single biggest problem quantum computing could bring us, short of the "talking to alternate universes" theoretical use cases some people are talking about (that probably won't happen).
Encrypted data can be re-encrypted to be quantum-secure. The vulnerability is temporary
A compromised blockchain dies forever. A brand new quantum-secure blockchain would need to be invented.
More likely: "We'll skim from dormant wallets that won't be immediately noticed, and when it becomes too obvious, we move all of Satoshi's bitcoins to force an emergency fork that launders our profits".
I could exploit the old blockchain, then migrate my stolen keys to the quantum blockchain.
Forking doesn't work here. Traditional computing and Quantum computing are different enough that "porting" isn't just something you can do.
It's a question of how much time a new algorithm buys.
1. The oldest (and largest) wallets directly stored their public key on the blockchain. This would mean that attackers could transfer money away from these wallets (many of them are dormant).
2. Relatively early, the blockchain shifted to only storing the hash of the public key, which seems less susceptible to a quantum computing attack. The risk in these wallets is that once you want to transfer bitcoins out, you need to temporarily publish your public key - this key is not stored on the blockchain, but might be stored by future attackers. In addition, at some point getting your private key will be so fast that the moment you publish a transaction request you'll many fake requests asking to transfer to another wallet.
The solution is likely a soft fork - new addresses that are quantum resistant (similar to how in the past Bitcoin moved away from public key address into hash). The trick is that this needs to be deployed before attacks exist, and people need to transfer their Bitcoin into the new wallets.
That doesn't mean the Public key has ever been exposed online and therefore not true. Look up cold storage best practices, I'm not going to line it out for you but what you said is entirely false and built on a flawed premise.
> 2. Relatively early, the blockchain shifted to only storing the hash of the public key, which seems less susceptible to a quantum computing attack. The risk in these wallets is that once you want to transfer bitcoins out, you need to temporarily publish your public key - this key is not stored on the blockchain, but might be stored by future attackers. In addition, at some point getting your private key will be so fast that the moment you publish a transaction request you'll many fake requests asking to transfer to another wallet.
You started it off with a valid observation, but then led into a non-sequitur, what does that have to do with Bitcoin's vulnerability if as we just said 1 is not true if done correctly.
> The trick is that this needs to be deployed before attacks exist, and people need to transfer their Bitcoin into the new wallets.
While I agree security on mainchain is an issue, we should dhave had taproot long ago, and mixing by default by now as tx fees get more and more expensive--all you're doing is mixing it with other adddresses to make the sum indistinguishable from it's source and that cost adds up as the netowrk gets more expensive to operate on.
But also your premise is at odds with the fact that most of the traffic will be done on LN moving forward, and the bitcoin (token) will locked out of the network's mainchain (Bitcoin) to operate on LN and thus does not require your 'solution.'
In short, these are non-concerns.
Note how I didn't downvote you, and instead I challenged your arguments in order for others to benefit from this conversation, instead of being a child and downvoting simply because I disagree with your points.
Edit: HAHA!
Besides, the algorithm in question here is Shor's algorithm, it WILL be used to break some basic encryption. If Satoshi is dead, his coins will be hacked (they are old P2PK outputs). But there is no algorithm for breaking P2SH outputs (eg Native Segwit wallets). There could be, but Bitcoin has the ability to adapt if necessary. Bitcoin is not a static thing.
See also : https://www2.deloitte.com/nl/nl/pages/innovatie/artikelen/qu...
More importantly, quantum computers actually allow for something better than encryption. If you are having a secret conversation over the quantum internet, not only can no one listen in, BUT you will KNOW if they are listening. I read about this in David Deutsch's "Fabric of Reality," which I HIGHLY recommend and is freely available on archive.org https://archive.org/details/TheFabricOfReality/page/n1/mode/...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_cryptography#Mistrustf...
Nobody knows except the people doing it.
> He comments on technical issues and engineering problems, things he knows a thing or two about.
He still doesn't seem to truly understand BFT [2].
[1] https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/buterins-quantum-quest/
But if the DLP is easy, then anyone can fabricate proper ECDSA sigs, and you're not wasting electricity to send bogus messages, you're wasting electricity to send valid messages.
The point I was trying to make is that there is no migration path from ECDSA. You can't fork bitcoin if the DLP is easy. It's just game over. Proof of work becomes irrelevant.
I don't think there is any feasible way you could ever convert the Bitcoin blockchain into a quantum variant, even if you set a hard sunset date before any exploitation could occur. You would have to start from the ground up and completely reinvent the wheel.
If it isn't different, is it really that much of an insightful statement beyond "people tend to do what they think is their own personal self interest"?
I've bought a Tesla in the past and was mostly happy with it, but I'll never get another one. (I'm sure they won't miss my business, as Musk's antics are presumably gaining them many enthusiastic customers. Still, buying elsewhere is the only power we customers have.)
If companies invest in BTC instead of growing themselves and hiring people, isn't that bad for the economy?
They said the same thing at $100.
If BTC was USD$1m per, that would make a satoshi one US cent. To me that makes 1m the hard psychological limit, not 50k or 100k.
Doenst seem like that's the case here at all, Square buys lots of Bitcoin as they offer it via CASH. Also, they didn't buy at the peak if they expect it to go higher in value, which Jack of all the billionaire class knows why and how it will.
> Not to mention an old generation crypto with dubious value on the face of 3rd generation crypto that does not damage the environment and does not have the same scaling issues. It's like considering some old tech as which has dubious value just because it was invented first.
Ok, this is starting to make sense now...
> Like overvaluing a gas car when an electric exists and is the wave of the future. What do these companies know that we plebs don't.
Horrible analogy, but it's an opportunity to explain relative value theory I understand cars better than most here by a large margin, short of being an engineer, as in designed stuff for OEMs, I've done just about everything you can do in the auto industry, including Motorsports. In with manufactures with both ICE and EV programs, btw.
And the fact that you will never understand why pristine a Toyota 2000GT, or Ferrari 250 GT California will be coveted and worth millions of X whether it's driven or not shows what a shallow understanding of the analogy that you're trying to describe actually is.
Value and worth are relative and subjective concepts, and while I KNOW bitcoin's utility is superior to fiat in every conceivable way as I helped build fintech solutions with this tech that fiat could not do, that led to monumental legislation and reversals of laws in the US that we all deal with every day, it underscores that utility is relative to it's users.
Square has lots of fiat, it loses value everyday, and it lost its value on its stock price today; but in a DCA model I bet their BTC holdings is still in the double if not triple digit returns given how early they got in in the high hundreds if I recall correctly. And Jack was playing with this tech pretty early, he never gave any dates buy its safe to say he was in before the 2013's rally that made all the non-tech people take even care.
So, what 'dubious value' are you talking about here? It made their earnings hold value when the OVERTLY manipulated stock price dipped this week.
Perhaps you are right with your gas car analogy... Or perhaps Bitcoin will be more like the relational database from the 70s which, despite being derided by the NoSQL crowd, remains king to this day.
All time high yes, but we don't know that this is a peak
All this speculation about speculation is wildly disappointing.
[1]: https://www.investors.com/news/technology/square-stock-sq-sq...
> Square said revenue jumped 141% to $3.16 billion as more Cash App users bought and sold digital cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
Maybe its just speculating that bitcoin will bring in money. It worked for Tesla.
- They have cash, and want to cover against inflation
- They want to eventually accept payments or provide withdrawals or pay salaries or bonuses in crypto, and they need to stock up to be able to have or provide liquidity
$$$$$$$$
Edit: Don't you have a sense of humor?!
"This person is addicted to online gambling. 'Investing' doesn't involve screaming 'hold the line!' on web forums 15 times per day, it involves patience and confidence and research. This person is investing based off of internet memes, and is treating a highly volatile security as if it were some sort of get-rich guarantee, because they see a select few winners rise to the top, and ignore the numerous losers that never made a dime."
Is that the kind of paragraph a reasonable person might extract when they see "HODL!"?