We haven’t seen a quarter of known bee species since the 1990s
nationalgeographic.com
nationalgeographic.com
This is not to say that species richness is not declining, its to say that in the past 3-4 decades Taxonomists have done a poor (some would say terrible) job at describing to the broader world why they are important, and why they require fixed, institutionally-based funding to actually be able to provide the services that would allow us to confidently state that data like these are because of environmental change (again, they very likely are) rather than a lack of experts in the field actually doing basic research.
In other words, it is extremely rare that universities (in the US) actually hire what was once known as "alpha-taxonomists", in part this is a reflection of taxonomists inability to sell themselves and adapt to new tools (but note that many have evolved) in part it is a reflection of the (I would argue "immense") short-sightedness of institutions. "We want answers to complex questions! We've neglected to give scientists time to think deeply, and research over decades to answer those questions. Oh, we see."
We also have the internet now. Would be cool if you could upload photos of bees someplace and have them identified.
And we still need training data (i.e. identified by the expert taxonomists) for future work.
Think of biodiversity as a curve, with a long tail. Will AI on poorly taken images specimens work for the bell? Probably. Will it actually get at the numbers at the tail? Almost certainly not. This is largely because 1) getting at the tail requires intimate knowledge of where to find that biodiversity (the vast majority of iNaturlaist pics are shockingly close to civilization, where diversity may not be) and 2) intimate knowledge, often of internal features or other non-imagable data, so that one can actually record data that fits in the tail.
Another option is BugGuide (https://bugguide.net), which I've actually found more useful - it did me a lot of good figuring out those auplopids. It doesn't provide any sort of dichotomous key (that I've been able to find), but there are a lot of observations available, often with very high-quality images, which helps a lot when specific identification depends on subtle features.
In general, though, hymenopterans and especially solitary wasps are just difficult. There are many genera and even whole families that are hard to tell apart with much confidence. One of the first things you notice in the literature is the importance to specific identification of male genitalia, which are internal, practically microscopic, and only even potentially useful if you have the good fortune to happen on a very rare male of a solitary wasp species - and even then, sexual dimorphism can be such as to make a solid male identification useless for spotting a female unless you actually observe them to be in copula. (Female mutillids, aka "velvet ants", don't even have wings!)
All of which is to say, I would expect the more obscure solitary bees to pose the same sort of difficulty.
Bugguide seems to be North America only, but while I stayed in a remote area of the Indio Maiz reserve in Nicaragua I stumbled upon a spider that I haven't identified in years and can't quite find any place to simply share the photo[0].
[0] unknown spider on a banana leaf in eastern Nicaragua: https://i.imgur.com/iFMJxtl.png
That said, I wouldn't necessarily expect a whole lot. I'm not even an amateur arachnologist, but my sense is that spiders are about as complicated as hymenopterans, if not more so; especially outside well-known families like the salticids, it seems like it's not rare to find difficult identifications.
Without having the eye arrangement is not easy, but taking in mind the habitat and shape, a member of Ctenidae would be my first candidate
Compare for example with Ancylometes or Ctenus.
If not, we could start weaving further from there. Zoropsidae, Lycosidae or Sparassidae (check Heteropoda venatoria for example) would be other acceptable family candidates. Those last couple of legs seem very characteristic.
I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't particularly known, considering it was deep within the Indio maiz reserve (not just by the only town of Greytown but 5-10 hours by boat into the reserve from there)
The name Lycosa aragogi is already taken...
It's a wonderful aspiration to live in a society where anyone will have the free time to "level-up" to a taxonomists level of experience by making, literally, millions of observations, then "power-up" with their free access to SEMs, sequencers, high-powered microscopes and lighting, digital imaging systems (etc.) then "farm for $" to get access to travel and gear then gain "clan-clout" to navigate collecting policies and permitting, etc. etc. Something to strive for, but sadly not a reality anytime soon.
I've also got to say that for the same reason, I don't have a lot of confidence in the 'fungal genomic analysis' thing in particular, because, on the whole, it seems to me to be so easily manipulated.
Some argue that latin binomials should be abandoned, see "Against the naming of fungi":
Russula sanguinea was described from a European mushroom and therefore probably isn't here in North America at all. The name has been applied to many red Russula in N. A. adding to the confusion. Out west where it may be sorted it is being called Russula rhodocephala which itself is a lookalike for Russula americana but under different trees according to Danny Miller here [1]. Mushroomexpert's Kuo and Mycoquebec say that a lookalike under oaks in the east is Russula tenuiceps or R. sanguinaria under conifers/pines, but it is probably a group of species, and also not the same as the European one in the case of R. sanguinaria. We are trying to downvote these identifications for this reason. Hopefully, any people interested in identifying mushrooms will pitch in and help to vote any Russula that is being called Russula sanguinea in the eastern US back to genus level anyway, but we are concerned with a few other species too. Read fungee's journal post here [2]. Check out the master list here [3]. Another thing that is daunting for Russula ID, there are well over a hundred known red Russula in the east, many are not named yet, and, if they are, the name is not in use.
[1] http://www.alpental.com/psms/ddd/Russula/index.htm
[2] https://www.inaturalist.org/journal/fungee/46596-new-ai-comp...
[3] https://forum.inaturalist.org/t/computer-vision-clean-up-wik...
/r/mycology had to say stop posting “please identify this mushroom” because it was so common. I’d imagine its easier with insects. And you don’t have as many people who care because they aren’t trying to eat them as often.
I still like to ID random bugs I find in my house and backyard and it’s always a probability exercise.
Those tree identification apps by taking a photo never work. I used it at a UofT garden where every tree was labelled and it got it wrong every time. So even the ML is way off.
There are a lot of mushrooms that are very easy to identify, and learning edible mushrooms is imho a lot easier than learning edible plants. But if you pick up mushrooms at random then yeah, it's generally extremely difficult.
That's only the specimens that have been sequenced and archived at BOLD. That doesn't include the various other bee families, notably Halictidae, Colletidae, Melittidae, and others roughly all the "sister groups" in the Apoidea [1].
An example of why is this important? The Africanized honeybee, known perhaps from bad horror movies, is characterized (identified) as a hybrid of two species. It can be more or less aggressive (to the point of killing you if you don't GTFO) depending on then nature of its DNA. Hybridization has blurred the limits of the species in many areas, including in the US. Sequencing specimens is the only way to confidently determine which of the species you have, A (friendly bee honey), AB (grumpy bee honey), or B (deadly bee honey) (gross simplification here, not Mendelian).
[0](http://www.boldsystems.org/index.php/Public_BINSearch). [1](here: https://www.catalogueoflife.org/?taxonKey=625GP)
You're talking about The Swarm (1978), which is absolutely so-bad-it's-good. Fans of Michael Caine will I think in particular find it rewarding, and I was especially impressed with its frankly prescient treatment of the drawbacks inherent in mass insecticide application given that the ongoing research increasingly points to exactly that as the culprit for pollinators disappearing.
That said, my understanding is that A. m. scutellata x A. mellifera hybrids aren't unusually aggressive in nest defense by the standards of social hymenopterans generally, but only by the standard of the European honeybee (A. mellifera). I can't claim close familiarity with the relevant literature on bee hybrids, but from what I have seen, their nest defense behavior seems roughly comparable in aggressiveness to that of many yellowjacket (Vespula, Dolichovespula) species. On the other hand, a wild bee colony is likely to be one or two orders of magnitude greater in size than a wild yellowjacket colony, which means that a comparable level of aggression in nest defense could pose a significantly greater hazard.
Using the figures from the Wikipedia article [1] and its relevant source [2], it looks like A. m. scutellata x A. mellifera are responsible for an average of around 15 human deaths per year since the introduction of A. m. scutellata into Brazil in 1956. So I don't really see that there's very much to worry over here, in any case.
Are you? They attack rarely (although are thought to have done so fatally a few weeks ago here in NZ) and aren’t even seen usually, but they are close to popular beaches.
https://i.stuff.co.nz/national/123902863/four-reported-great...
Given that the shark attack stats cover a period 25 times as long as that for the bees, wasps, and hornets, I do feel like "considerably" is a fair choice of adjective here.
[1] https://www.floridamuseum.ufl.edu/shark-attacks/maps/world/
[2] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/pdfs/mm6829a5-H.pdf
Probably people die of bee stings more than sharks attacks here in NZ, but those bees certainly aren’t africanised. I suspect most US deaths aren’t all from africanised bees either but that’s going to be hard to prove.
That whole experience made me very skeptical of citizen-science projects once I knew how much training was required to do good work. While they are a great compliment to professional research they are no replacement (though often funders are treating citizen science as just that).
I can't see how that would possibly be a requirement for determining the species of a bee. Wouldn't DNA be cheaper and easier?
In any case, it's not rare in the literature to encounter whole genera categorized almost entirely through analysis of the males' aedagi, with microscopic imagery and line drawings included to highlight features by which distinctions are made. Some of these features are only easily distinguished at SEM scale, so that's what is used.
That said, it's thought among at least some taxonomists that these unique and incompatible genital configurations may be the only thing that prevents interfertility among individuals of these otherwise separate species. So it's going to be really interesting to see what comes out of genomics as applied to the Hymenoptera over the next decade or so - something else that's not rare in the literature is to encounter reclassifications and rearrangements of large branches of the family's taxonomic tree, as phylogenetic research heavily revises prior results. Beyond that, there's a lot else coming out of genomic research into the family, including a rare example of heritable mutualism between a virus and a eukaryote in the form of Bracovirus [1] [2].
So, while yours is a fair question, there is a lot going on with hymenopteran genomics and phylogenetics these days, and my understanding as an interested amateur who does a great deal of reading in the literature is that, for the moment at least, established taxonomical methods still are likely to provide a more precise, albeit still provisional, placement of an otherwise ill-characterized species. In a decade or two, though, that might no longer be the case.
And that's just one example! I could give more, like the effect the virus has on the wasp's reproductive host, and how it's honestly surprising that Peter Watts hasn't written a novel about that yet - I'm always happy to talk at length about wasps, or at least to whatever extent my interlocutor of the moment is happy to listen.
Take the comment a little more gently. You didn't really address that by just saying "many of which require internal dissection, or molecular methods". And even with this followup, it's not fully addressed. Dissection takes an expert, sure. But DNA extraction doesn't require deep knowledge about the species. And preservation requires skills but not taxonomy skills. Does SEM imaging for this purpose usually require species expertise?
I'm not saying you're wrong overall here, I'm just saying there are pretty obvious points where the average person won't know the answer or which of these skills end up mattering the most.
> It's a wonderful aspiration to live in a society where anyone will have the free time to "level-up" to a taxonomists level of experience
I don't think that's what they were suggesting.
> But DNA extraction doesn't require deep knowledge about the species.
The act of extraction doesn't, but interpretation of the results does. So to does actually knowing where to get the specimens in the first place. So to does building up experience knowing where to look, how to collect, building up a feeling for the diversity and variation in the group you study. Without these tools in hand all the images, sequences, and assays etc. in the world will a) cost you way more than anyone wants to pay and b) will have you floundering around in a giant pool of dirt-common species that are well known rather than pulling that series of uncommon and ultra-rare specimens and making a contribution that really extends our knowledge. It takes years to know where to focus precious time, this isn't peculiar to taxonomy.
When these are correctly identified, it's often because the person has a particular investment in that exact plant. So if the expert on irises or two-stripe bumblebees is offline at the moment you might get crickets, or wild-ass guesses.
There is something about video that makes it easier to identify things. The object feels more three dimensional, I suspect, which makes it closer to field identification.
That said, we use camera 'traps' for very shy mammal species. I wonder if we could tune those systems for bees. (A fox or cloud leopard might run if the camera gears make noise, but do bees give a damn?)
This xkcd from just a few years ago has already aged poorly: https://m.xkcd.com/1425/
And we've also seen what happened to climate scientists warning against the dangers of climate change for the past fifty years; they were - from a large part of the media, politicians and the public - at best ignored and more often belittled.
So, I don't think it is the taxonomists or entomologists are are fault for not screaming loud enough "WE ARE KILLING OUR OWN LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM" from the top of their lungs. It is us that is to blame. We capitalistic producers and consumers that have put the profit motive over any cautionary principle when it comes to health, safety and liberty. Just see how long it took the general public to accept that a substance like lead in gas is detrimental to health. It's ridiculous.
Then again; who could have thought that two centuries of ever-increasing predatory ecosystem exploitation could have any negative consequences?
This is the intellectual equivalent of burning coal. Your emissions have a cost that others have to pay.
My country is not much better.
I lived in a post-socialist country, and trust me, just because it's post-socialist doesn't mean that the systems change to other things next day. It wasn't much different.
There is a ruling class. Capitalism had nothing to do with it.
During the time when capitalism was first named an overwhelming majority of the populaces' exchanges of services and goods was not based on any capitalistic exchanges. And with capitalistic exchange I mean the exchange of good that were produced under a capitalistic agreement where the means of production are not in the hands of anyone with immediate social relations to the person controlling the means of labor. Most of the people were living and working in small villages, self-sufficient to a large degree and wholly preoccupied with agriculture. Goods and services were mostly produced in a feudal mode of production, not in a capitalistic mode.
Nowadays however, for a vast majority of the population of most industrialized and developing economies of the world this means of exchange is the primary - if not the exclusive - means of procuring goods and services.
So, I very much dispute that calling our society 'hyper capitalistic' is hyperbole, despite of the two sharing a prefix.
Also, for example, Rome during the times of Roman Empire had to rely on imports of food from Africa because Appenine agriculture wasn’t self-sufficient. And throughout history in Europe and Middle East trade was a big part of every complex society.
These stories about feudal mode of production is just bad outdated 19th century scholarship.
It also seems completely ridiculous to call modern states hyper capitalistic when in most countries 35-65% of GDP is controlled by the government (yes, even in the US). 100 years ago it was more like 5% of GDP and income taxes didn’t even exist!
The exchange of goods and services for a representative value (i.e. money) is not capitalism. That's just trade.
Could you explain why you think that the percentage of GDP a government controls has anything to do with capitalism?
Indeed, exchange is not always capitalistic exchange. Capitalism can be analyzed as a system defined by 3 core properties: (1) private ownership of the means of production (2) labor market (3) commodity market. This is what Adam Smith called “the system of natural liberty” and what Marx called “capitalism” (I am not sure he coined it, but he certainly popularized it). Hence, when the government uses spends money on big infrastructure projects or hires people to work on a mine, it has little to do with capitalism, thinks like that existed in Ancient Rome and even Ancient Greece!
Compare our modern world to what we had 100-300 years ago when companies had personal armies. I don’t see how we are live in anything close to “hyper capitalism”.
Why do you think that the "feudal mode" of production was only localized and over a short period time? I would argue that since the agricultural revolution some 12'000 years ago, most people that ever lived, lived in some kind of feudal system. Chinese feudalism is well documented back to about 1000 BCE. It is not unreasonable to assume that this is true for most of the cultures at the time; there are countless examples of how tribal societies change with the introduction of agriculture and how this in term leads to stratification and thus to some form of feudalism or another.
But really; the point I'm trying to make is that the capitalistic mode and thus capitalistic exchanges are really something new in the history of mankind. Before the agricultural feudalism people weren't living in capitalism for sure.
Rome is an interesting exception. And it really is just that; an exception. Yes, there were vast trading networks, bringing goods from all exotic places to the center of the universe, hundreds of ships transporting tons and tons of loot and slaves and culture. But only a very, very small percentage of the Roman populace was ever involved in such trades. Even in Rome (the republic/empire, not the city), most of the population was living in farmsteads, producing most of what they consumed themselves, trading surplus for additional calories or goods.
Very few would have had any capitalistic exchanges, most of them would have had none at all. Yes, much of the Roman land was owned by the elite of Rome itself and even today's oligarchs would pale if they knew how rich Marcus Licinius Crassus was. But that ownership was very different from anything that we could honestly classify as capitalism. If there was capitalism in Rome, it probably was in the manufacturies and in the mines. (E.g. Terra sigillata was manufactured on a ginormous scale - but only for a fraction of a percent of the population)
And again; Rome in this shape existed for less than four hundred years. And for most of the world, Rome wasn't terribly important after that.
So, if we go back to your (very apt) definition of capitalism, we can see that the three core properties really only arise around the year 1600 and 1700, at least in Europe. There we have the faint beginnings of a capitalistic system, akin to what imperial Rom might have had (for some time); wealthy merchants trading goods that - produced in a manufactory (1) by hired labor (2), are shipped and sold in a foreign market (3). Again; it is only a small fraction of the population that takes place in this value-adding. Most of the population is still not taking part in any capitalistic exchanges. Most of the population is still living a nasty brutish and short live in agricultural settlements; still producing most of what they consumed themselves, trading surplus for additional calories or goods.
That's the time when the term 'capitalism' is termed. And I think it is quite different from what we have today; nowadays; most of all exchanges are capitalistic ones, for much of the population all the exchanges are exclusively capitalistic. This exclusivity is something that is new (since about ~70 years). And it is this exclusivity that I think is something that was neither obvious not expected when 'capitalism' was first being used to refer to systems that satisfy our three core properties.
So, there you have my reasoning. I understand that you might not agree with my assessment, but I hope I was able to explain my reasoning for using such an inflammatory term as "hyper capitalism" to refer to the manifestation of capitalism we have today.
Thanks for having this exchange and thanks for making me work for it. ;)
Well, depends on your definition of feudalism I guess. If you ignore all political differences, I am not sure what core economic difference would cause to group the system in the Middle Ages Europe with Fengjian putting aside the Roman Empire.
>But really; the point I'm trying to make is that the capitalistic mode and thus capitalistic exchanges are really something new in the history of mankind. Before the agricultural feudalism people weren't living in capitalism for sure.
For sure, it is quite different, but it is also more similar to the past that people usually imagine. Money, global trade, private property, even public-private partnerships in some sense (in Ancient Rome there were publicans, private subcontractors for public projects). You don't need capitalsim for any of that even though these things mostly didn't really exist in feudal realms.
>Rome is an interesting exception. And it really is just that; an exception. Yes, there were vast trading networks, bringing goods from all exotic places to the center of the universe, hundreds of ships transporting tons and tons of loot and slaves and culture. But only a very, very small percentage of the Roman populace was ever involved in such trades. Even in Rome (the republic/empire, not the city), most of the population was living in farmsteads, producing most of what they consumed themselves, trading surplus for additional calories or goods.
But it is not really an exception. Every centralized government did something similar, the difference is that the Rome was the most succesfful one, it produced lots of written artifacts and it is the closest one to the European mind. If you look at the Bronze Age states, they are also very "modern", but the problem is that we don't have much info about them. They had complex regionals supply chains, trade, even infrastructure like sanitation systems.
Of course people bought less stuff in Ancient times simply because there were less stuff that wasn't crops. I am not saying that there was capitalism in the past or that nothing have changed. My point is that many things people attribute as properties of hypercapitalism are not really that special. If food production technologies wouldn't be so advanced and we still had to rely to 80% of people working in semi-substistence farming (SSF) would this really make our world less "hypercapitalistic" by any measure people use for this label? (many people actually still do SSF, in Europe there are still over 5 million such farmers.) Doesn't this make hypercapitalism simply a measure of advancement of farming technologies? It wouldn't really change the everyday life dynamics of people who aren't engaged in such activities.
Society is heterogenous and by such weird measure everyone who didn't engage in subsistence lived in hypercapitalism for thousands of years, while people in Europe who rely on semi-subsistence farming are not even in capitalism; of course from the point of their lived experience. But to me it seems absurd, it is the totality of human relations that defines the social structure, the network of relations. Many people in the past relied on subsitence farming, but they lived alongside people that didn't and this certainly affected them and vice versa. And I don't see how I can say that modern society is hypercapitalistic when not only governments tax the corporations but the whole international community creates regulation and controls these companies in a way that would benefit the states.
>And again; Rome in this shape existed for less than four hundred years. And for most of the world, Rome wasn't terribly important after that.
Right, but after Early Middle Ages many states had many similar things. There were many so-called "Medieval renessainces" in Europe.
>That's the time when the term 'capitalism' is termed. And I think it is quite different from what we have today; nowadays; most of all exchanges are capitalistic ones, for much of the population all the exchanges are exclusively capitalistic. This exclusivity is something that is new (since about ~70 years). And it is this exclusivity that I think is something that was neither obvious not expected when 'capitalism' was first being used to refer to systems that satisfy our three core properties.
But that's not really true. Many services you receive are not capitalistic on surface: the roads, the healthcare in most countries, education. In a country like Norway the government commands over 50% of GDP, i.e. it tells people what to do, what services to provide, to whom to redistribute money. There is little capitalistic about that. Again, compare it to company towns and governments with less than 10% of GDP spending in 18th century.
> They had complex regionals supply chains, trade, even infrastructure like sanitation systems. [...] Society is heterogenous and by such weird measure everyone who didn't engage in subsistence lived in hypercapitalism for thousands of years [...] Many people in the past relied on subsitence farming, but they lived alongside people that didn't and this certainly affected them and vice versa. [...] My point is that many things people attribute as properties of hypercapitalism are not really that special. If food production technologies wouldn't be so advanced and we still had to rely to 80% of people working in semi-substistence farming (SSF) would this really make our world less "hypercapitalistic" by any measure people use for this label? (
Not quite, because - as we already defined, you need three things for capitalism: (1) private ownership of the means of production (2) labor market (3) commodity market. For most of time time until back to the dawn of apes, we didn't really have a labor market. This is only something that arose out of the fatalities of the black death that ravaged Europe and killed almost a third of the population. [0] This was the beginning of the end for feudalism in much of Europe, since for the first time, people had a reason to travel for better work, since suddenly - due to to lack of people - wages were rising and landlords were competing for sharecroppers to crop their fields.
This is the new phenomenon. The mobile labor market. This is why we never had capitalism before that time. As I said; I'm willing to make an exception for the Roman manufacturies, since there you had some kind of labor market-ish. A teensy-tiny one.
But other than that, a labor market really never existed. People were born in their villages, they grew old and they died that. If you were a weaver, you wove your weaving and then sold it. There was no labor market, you owned your loom and did your own thing and starved trying to do it.
After the upheavals of the Black Death, many feudal realms introduced (or reinstated or reinforced) laws forbidding the movement of people without special permission. In Germany, England and France this only started to change after the 1750. For Russia it took over a hundred years longer to get there.
So, before that time, there really was no labor market. And without labor market, no capitalism.
> Right, but after Early Middle Ages many states had many similar things. There were many so-called "Medieval renessainces" in Europe.
I'm not sure how these would fit in here. The Medieval Renaissances were cultural and artistic in nature. Nowhere during Carolingian time can you find a Manufactury like you would have seen during the Roman times, with hundreds of workers living on or nearby the Manufactury grounds in Insulae operated by the manufactory owner or with branded corporations setting up manufacturing subsidies. No kidding, they did that. [1]
> But that's not really true. Many services you receive are not capitalistic on surface: the roads, the healthcare in most countries, education. [...] And I don't see how I can say that modern society is hypercapitalistic when not only governments tax the corporations but the whole international community creates regulation and controls these companies in a way that would benefit the states.
This is not about how powerful one single corporation or one single government is. It is about the system that they both operate in. Because as it is, both governments and corporations are participants in a game of Hypercapitalism.
[0] https://www.euroformhealthcare.biz/bubonic-plague/economic-e...
[1] https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/wiley/italian-terra-sigillata-a-...
Yeah, back when I was working in pure research every time I met someone at a party and explained what I was trying to solve the follow up question invariably was "what is the application?". In general, in my experience, people don't value the pursuit of knowledge or understanding the universe, they value product.
Correction: everything that is not _perceived_ to add value. The amount of bullshit and inefficiencies that are rewarded with exorbitant salaries is simply astonishing.
Under these conditions, anyone could study what they wanted and volunteer to do things like this, and institutions could provide support to them at little cost.
I imagine we accomplish this by making the necessities of life as cheap as possible, not by heavy state subsidy.
Our need to squeeze profitable labor out of every person seems actually counter productive. Anyway total aside...
Instead we should pay people to study things they are interested in, and then pay them to go apply those studies to the real world!
Give peoples lives meaning and purpose with valuable work!
People will find meaning. It’s part of the human condition.
It’s only when you take someone who has been working day in and day out for years and you give them a week off, and they’ll collapse on the couch and watch TV and feel bad. Because they are exhausted and haven’t developed any healthy hobbies. But if it was their whole life, they wouldn’t stay on the couch forever. Also when you give a worker a bit of time off, their friends are still working. If everyone can take time off, people would meet with each other. And that’s the oldest human pastime. The company of others. And it’s free!
Exactly! Do people not realise that the whole reason we have any science in the first place is because of these people? Before there was any kind of middle class, these were the only guys with the freedom to pursue knowledge for the sake of knowledge, thanks to living comfortably in other respects, and they did it.
Would you? I sure wouldn't.
Nobody needs the threat of hunger or homelessness to motivate them to live normal lives.
In a world where food is free, no one would be prevented from working. They would choose whatever job they liked, only they would have the freedom to say no if they wanted. But that would be their choice. Furlough is forced upon them, and there’s no free food down the street they can pick up for lunch or dinner.
[0](https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article/61/12/942/390232) [1](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/latest-endangered-speci...) [2](https://zslpublications.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...) [3](https://academic.oup.com/jcb/article-pdf/35/6/729/10346383/j...) [4](https://www.nsf.gov/funding/pgm_summ.jsp?pims_id=5451)
Without disputing your claim, why is this taxonomists' job? Imagine spending 10-15 years of academic work to get a PhD and become the world expert on something important but obscure, and then being told you need to market yourself to the general public and devote a significant portion of your time to answering stupid questions (as in 'who cares about this boring stuff' as opposed to 'what is the airspeed of a pigeon').
If I understand your 3rd paragraph correctly, maybe the real problem here is university administrators ending up actually in charge of things rather than as mere functionaries whose job is to facilitate the academics' goals, mysterious as those may be.Every single academic person I know loathes the administrators of their institutions (as a class rather than at the individual level, though I can think of exceptions) but seem helpless to displace them.
We don’t have unlimited research funds and they need to play the game just like everyone else. Taxonomy has a tougher time of illustrating value compared to cancer research (as one example), but they still need to convince people that they should be funded.
Hopefully the field will figure this out before there is a crisis. As a recent example, the field of public health usually struggles to get funding compared to individual medicine. Before the COVID-19 pandemic very few people saw the value in having robust public health policy, agencies, and research, especially when they considered that they could add a new wing to a hospital or buy ambulances with the same money. Public health as a field did a poor job of convincing people that the field had something valuable to offer. Hopefully taxonomy can figure out how to convince the world that they offer something valuable before they go extinct (pun intended).
It's either that or they naturally grow their own Neil deGrasse Tyson, or Bill Nye to popularize their cause.
The bottom line is they're essentially living off the government, so they need to compete with everyone else looking for tax money.
Maybe they should do it, yes, and I'm being 100% serious.
That would solve a lot of newspapers abuse, always delighted to sell a history about crazy eccentric being chased by bees in some jungle, fourty years after falling in a pond at 8Yo.
Journals seen politics or sports(wo)man as clients (they pay), but scientists... are products. They don't pay. Is a never-ending caricature.
No, no. The excuse for ignorance is not to blame the only people that have actually worked toward solutions to the current, ongoing extinction event. People that devote their lives to entomology, biology, ecology, and related fields have already done their part.
Endless propaganda and reality distortion has made everyone not care about plants and animals. This along with similar corporate and governmental mindfucking initiatives has made everyone go crazy.
Humour me; how would you have convinced the public that a pandemic was a real risk before it happened; such that they would need to fork out more money for taxes?
How would you have convinced someone before 2008 that regulating part of the finance industry might be somewhat a good idea; such that they would have to reduce profit on their pension funds?
And how do you convince someone, /today/ that climate-change might have quite far-reaching consequences; such that they'll need to pay more for consumer goods?
It seems like we're already having a crisis (ie the collapse of ecosystems) and in any case it shouldn't take a crisis to get supposedly-responsible people to think ahead and do risk mitigation etc. I mean, I have no scientific qualifications or special training other than curiosity and a willingness to plough through papers and follow citations, and it disturbs the hell out of me that I seem to have a much better grasp of environmental and fiscal systems than most policymakers. This idea that we should sacrifice all our institutions built up over centuries on the altar of economic competition (knowing the existence of perverse incentives and short-termism) is clearly Not Working.
Their jobs are to instruct. As part of that these other roles developed and became expected.
However, like healthcare, privatization got to a point where the money made a difference more than the research and other roles. This is not a failure of capitalism, business, or anything of that sort; it was just a problem of taking things that were considered important out of the equation, because they were not understood or justified; and we’re allowed to scratch our heads over this and wonder why, but it’s simply that it happened; things sometimes fail.
Should we guard against this?
Probably, yes.
Could it be crowdsourced?
Probably, yes.
And if we’re talking about public universities, these researchers are already crowd sourced.
The comment I replied to read as if they meant academia, not academy.
This might be how it was before, but in a lot of fields, your success going forward is directly proportional to the valuation of the impact of your work so far. This as you note invites perverse incentives.
So it is also part of that process that someone there provides the politicians good reasons to spend money. Now how to do this sanely is complex question, but it is step of process that needs to exist. Or we might end up funding astrology and likes...
Science making is bound to go wrong if it needs regular people's approval to be done.
Electricity would never have been a thing if we adopted that behavior from the get go
Tangentially I expressed the frustrations of being asked to do more at a recent meeting. Talk slides for the curious [0]
[0](https://github.com/mjy/presentations/blob/master/2020/tdwg_t...)
I mean, people hate rich banking elites so far removed from society providing obscure services to each others. What do you think they think of intellectual elites complaining of stupid questions by the people who paid them ?
You want funding you explain why. You don't want to explain why, accept nobody cares. It's because there's no absolute good in nature, nothing an expert can do to increase global knowledge is as necessary as the same guy growing lemons if society desires lemons more than knowledge. Make them desire knowledge more than lemon, THAT is part of the job.
Suggesting we must sell everything feels short-sighted. Knowledge of the Earth benefits everyone in the long run. We should collectively have the intellectual capacity to acknowledge this.
For example [0] there are cases where a semingly-obscure wasp, describe by a seemingly obscure person, for an audience of seemingly a handful of people, turns out to be critical to the lives and livelihoods of many, many people. The knowledge that lead to this discovery came from the passion of the taxonomists who dedicate their lives to this gathering of foundational knowledge, not from those who best knew how to sell themselves as useful.
[0](https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20201124-the-tiny-parasit...)
See my point ? You have to tell your taxpayers why you spend their taxes, they can't guess it. And if they know nothing abt what you do with it, they'll just vote for the next magical unicorn telling them they're actually stolen by a conspiracy of elitist universities.
Expecting people to be clever just because they exist is optimistic at best :)
That gets lost when we treat private gain as the only valid goal. It's not just a matter of getting people interested in something they might otherwise not care much about, but of overcoming the BS and outright lies put out by people who set out to attack institutional infrastructure and deliberately mislead the public.
We just had an example with the big freeze in Texas where various news commentators and political figures chose to lie to the public about why the electricity had catastrophically failed. And we've been seeing for the last year in less obvious form with people deliberately downplaying and misrepresenting the risk factors around coronavirus. Fraudsters and propagandists are literally willing to kill other people for political and fiscal gain by creating negative information externalities.
We need a better response to this than just shrugging and saying 'oh well, that's just how things are.'The Way Things Are is serving us poorly as a society.
The reason for the mocking tone of the above is that we have always solved this problem centuries ago yet somehow now everyone has decided they want to live in a crypto-neo-feudalist society that cares only for profit and stock price and screw everything else. Government will never work if we do everything we can to sabotage it at every corner. Enough is enough. We either fix this now or we resign ourselves to a dark future.
Society is the collective sum of its individuals.
Our collective sum of individuals is acting in a way which ignores the very obvious reality that it's quickly destroying the biome on which we are dependent.
Therefore, I would say that our society is being stupid.
And I get that ignorance may be societally self destructive. That there are cultural/economic/societal systems that actively suppress communication
This isn’t a capitalist thing, or even a modern idea by any stretch. Science, as far as I can tell, has always been a matter of pragmatism, and science for science’s sake seems like a recent idea stemming from Cold War fears of falling behind stoking heavy investment and public messaging romanticizing science. For all of human history, science has almost always been public ally funded and often for military or otherwise strategic gain.
So yes, even the most educated among us have to prove their value, because science isn’t some religious function or human right - it’s a discipline with pragmatic purposes to society.
Sounds like life to me, I don't see the problem.
What tools did they fail to learn? If we went from a state of identifying species to not identifying them, and the major change is removing the taxonomists, isn't it arguable that they were doing fine if not better than without them?
A - we identified species B - we removed our ability to identify species
A & B therefor
C - we're better off
... doesn't seem to follow. Something is missing.
I continue to be baffled by how many take serious this rather arbitrary concept as though it actually mean something.
Apparently Clostridium botulinum as a species is purely defined by the ability to produce botulinum; many members of this species have acquired this trait by way of horizontal gene transfer and are otherwise vertically not specially related and vertically related strains that lost it recently are considered different species.
The species of the neanderthal man has recently gone extinct, or not, depending on a sheer matter of semantics of whether it and the cro-magnon man are of the same species, or not.
Similar arguments can of course be made for languages. A dialect with an army-and-a-navy being lost is a tragœdy; a dialect that lacks such being lost is inconsequential, — for the former is a separate language, and the latter merely a variant of another.
My point is that they do not, and that the line between different species indeed can be quite arbitrary, and can very often differ from one specialist to the other.
Most of the earth's oxygen is produced by plankton, which is especially a place where some members of the same species produce said oxygen, and some do not.
It's trivial to show traits delimit useful species concepts, and indeed ample envidence can be used to show that species can be very robustly defined according to well defined species concepts (of which there are various).
So I'm unclear as to what your point is. Are you suggesting that species concepts allow us to do no useful work?
I'm but merely arguing that your supposition of the value of a “species" is nonsensical.
Value does not run across species lines is what I am saying.
> It's trivial to show traits delimit useful species concepts, and indeed ample envidence can be used to show that species can be very robustly defined according to well defined species concepts (of which there are various).
Yes, one can come with multiple arbitrary proposals of line in the sand, and there is no argument to be made that any of these arbitrary places to draw lines is more sound than the other.
> So I'm unclear as to what your point is. Are you suggesting that species concepts allow us to do no useful work?
I'm suggesting that decisions are made based on arbitrary semantics issues.
I'm suggesting that a rose by any other name, still smelling as sweet, would be treated differently.
But of course it's not. This is straightforward to demonstrate.
If you are to converve a set of traits, as you would like to think, (to me = proxy for species), so they will not disappear (= go extinct) how will you define this set?
You will gather the sets of traits (= species concepts), and figure out which set to preserve. The cutting edge way of doing this is to look at the evolutionary distance between species and weight those species (sorry, sets of traits), that contain unique evolutionary tradjectories higher. You'll look at what is actually possible, consider geographic and geopolitical constraints, and make a decision. Now, you can't preserve just one trait, because, and here's the problem with your "only traits matter" arguement ... they come bundled with others. Now you have an optimization problem, that can only really be tackled by understanding the sets, i.e. species concepts.
Use whatever words you want, semantics are that species concepts are extremely useful, because they are conceptual boundaries/limits that must be understood if we are to act in `some` useful ways. Note I do not say in `all` ways (you would coutner-point glowing fish with jellyfish genes), I only have to prove the `some` case.
At the end of the day definitions matter if they can be used to do meaningful work with them, regardless of wether other definitions can refute them, or point us in other directions towards other conceptual playgrounds. I hope you see that species definitions fall into the category of enabling meaningful work.
To you, perhaps, but my point is that this is not how species are defined in practice.
There is no consistent way to define species, whatever specialist working with it will define it however he sees fit at the moment with little consistency, and different specialists will come to different conclusions as to A) how many species there are among any population of organisms and B) what organisms should be placed under what species.
> The cutting edge way of doing this is to look at the evolutionary distance between species and weight those species (sorry, sets of traits), that contain unique evolutionary tradjectories higher.
Given the extremely common occurrence of horizontal gene transfer in actual reality, the concept of “evolutionary distance” itself is a nonsensical one.
Not only would that be a valid reasoning, but the number of counter examples is far from one.
Horizontal gene transfer is not something that happens only rarely, it is extremely common among bacteria and your model is based upon the assumption that it not happen.
That sentence is close to falsifying itself. If species can be identified by molecular methods, then anyone trained in basic molecular bio techniques can do it.
Now, I don't know how many insect sequences that would enable identification are actually available in databases (might be a few, might be a lot...), but "molecular methods" make this easier, not harder.
In the same way as anyone with a laptop can program. The quality of the results... may vary.
Seriously, I've come to understand that contrary to what most of us seem to believe, it's not about what we can do to minimize our negative impact, but rather what we can do to have a positive impact on our environment. Not just ecologically, but also socially and politically.
That's fine if they're fine, but if the hive gets infected and you let them fester they can do a lot of damage to other hives.
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2016/08/03/backyard-beekeeping...
You didn't take their excess honey, but I assume you still inspected to give them room otherwise they could easily have swarmed.
For instance here in Texas we have BeeWeavers which do really well against mites:
https://beeweaver.com/our-breed/
That said no bee breed is 100% resistant. To breed the resistance that this breed has took a very long time and active management like killing susceptible drones to artificially select for the trait. It’s not going to happen with one hive.
And as others have said you might do more harm than good by letting a hive get badly infected, spreading heavy infection to other hives. You should definitely actively manage it.
With the beeweavers I still get some mites, and you need to do a mite count. Typically a mite count of 3% is in danger and needs treatment.
For me he choice is between an intrusive apiculture - introducing poisonous chemicals into the hive, frequent interventions, essentially having a dependent, weak bee population - and a more gentle one where I keep intervention to a minimum, and instead focus on giving the bees a healthy, thriving habitat, a garden without pesticides, access to water, and lots of flowers.
(I think honey bees are fine).
I think it's about both.
It is so much work though and only a few people would really have such commitment to do it on their own. We need new legislation that requires e.g. every new land development to rewild some fraction of that land, or some great benefits for people that otherwise perform ecological stewardship. It's the only way we can turn this around.
Humans think about certain things as being infinite, until they aren't:
forests are so big we could never impact them
oceans are so big we could never impact them
the atmosphere is so big we could never impact it
the weather system is so big we could never impact it
there's so many insects we could never impact them
etc etc
And likely decreasing now again, as people find less cultural benefit of living in an expensive city during an ongoing pandemic.
I don't think population size or density is really the problem - the problem is poor planning to account for probable changes in population size or density. Consistent 2% growth should be relatively easy for politicians to anticipate and manage.
So, all in all it's not surprising that we lack the necessary algorithms to correctly deal with the dangers that come from being a species that found the ultimate exploits in the game of life.
This idea has floated around since well before industrialization, but the negative effects were localized until then.
So we're simple reproduction/consumption machines -- and that is our highest calling. Woe be to those who would disagree.
Just wondering what you meant by this phrase:
> The monkey systems around us.
So; monkey systems -> other humans, albeit flippantly.
I think the real issue is that humans DONT think beyond their own needs. You have people who think having a picture perfect green lawn is somehow an achievement. If its not perfect, you must be a lazy sack of crap or have no pride. Think Hank Hill from the animated TV series, King of the Hill.
Same goes for gardens and so on. To achieve this they poison the earth again and again and again. Continuously spraying and pumping all sorts of life destroying chemicals into the air and ground. Just so they can stand on their porch, arms akimbo, nodding in satisfaction of the holocaust they just unleashed against multiple forms of life, both insect and plant. All for a crappy lifeless lawn.
If grass needed bees to grow you can be sure we'd be up to our eyeballs in bees. (I come from NYC/Long island so I'm more familiar with urban earth poisoning. I'm sure farming has as great or a much larger impact as well. Just my POV)
This isn't to say that farms don't have this problem, they definitely do.
Seems like a social imitation of feudal lords who could flex by showing off how much land they could leave empty while still being rich.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/01/vitamin-...
The root cause seems to be an unknown problem with bacteria that produce thiamine at the base of food chains, as well as some invasive species (which for example caused big problems in the Great Lakes in the USA). Thiamine is pretty fundamental to life so it might explain the decline in insects as well as the other effects described in the above article. Reading about thiamine antagonists it seems sulfates can destroy thiamine:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thiamine#Antagonists
"Rumen bacteria also reduce sulfate to sulfite, therefore high dietary intakes of sulfate can have thiamine-antagonistic activities."
Sulfates in the environment are one result of burning coal. So it is possible that one side effect of burning coal for decades is the food chain has been interrupted at the bacterial level, reducing the amount of thiamine available. If true, I'm not sure if that would be easy to fix; at the very least it would probably require coal burning to stop immediately and perhaps manufacture of thiamine and distribution of it in the environment, which could take a decade and might be somewhat risky with side effects if done on a large scale. If it really is coal burning causing thiamine deficiencies over wide areas it should be easy to tell by looking for thiamine deficiencies downwind of coal burning plants.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016953471...
Quoting:
Thiamine Deficiency as a Possible Driver of Wildlife Population Declines
Evidence is increasing that a range of taxonomic groups, including bivalve molluscs, ray-finned fish, and birds across the Northern Hemisphere, are deficient in thiamine (vitamin B1) 19, 20. Thiamine is required for basic cellular metabolism and functioning of neuronal membranes. Thiamine deficiency rarely is a direct cause of mortality, but impairs health and can cause immunosuppression or leads to behavioural and reproductive problems that ultimately could cause population decline or extirpation. Days of thiamine deficiency may present long-lasting sublethal effects, which makes recognition of the extent of thiamine deficiencies more complex. The deficiencies likely are caused by insufficient dietary intake, which may be related to shifts in thiamine-producing algal populations. A recent and extensive survey along the northwest coast of the US found evidence of thiamine depletion in the water column [21]. Additionally, exposure to environmental pollutants may interfere with thiamine uptake. The extent to which thiamine deficiency may pose a substantial long-term risk to a range of species remains unclear.
End quote.
So thiamine deficiency may also be partially induced by environmental pollutants which possibly includes insecticides (though the paper gives no citations for which pollutants). The scale of the known thiamine problems, at least in water systems, are scary, as is the fact that we don't really know what the extent of it is, especially on land. My experience in research, software, and life is that there are usually multiple simultaneous problems behind observable issues.
Especially with the popularity of Boy Scouts and Camp Fire starting way back in American history.
At least the common person.
Most people know what’s going on, forests destroyed and changing habitats. They just don’t care or have higher priority issues like having a job to eat or electricity/productive resources.
No one in their right mind can nowadays honestly deny that we are moving, slowly but ever accelerating, into a human-made ecosystem collapse that no one is able to stop before it is too late.
But still people are finding ways to weasel out of actually making the conscious effort of accepting the fact that we - as a species - are killing ourselves. Either by denying the facts - the climate is not changing, the animals are not dying, the rivers are not poisoned! - or by ascribing to some kind of techno-utopism where everything will be fixed in the future.
I'm wondering if this is part of psychological coping mechanism; that the fact of our species ending is such a trauma that we - even though we cannot deny it in all honesty - have to suppress our own conciseness from realizing the direful consequences for every single person we know and love. We have to deny reality, because the implications of accepting the facts are just to painful. And so we continue this charade of daily going to work and shopping and comparing our income to those of our neighbors and continue our meaningless competitions for status and rank.
I think deep in our hearts most of us know that it is really far to late.
And that's why we cannot admit the truth.
Or maybe they're pragmatic and begrudgingly accept that to maintain any semblance of modern life, they have to participate in however society functions *now*.
I'm in no position, financial or otherwise, to go off-grid, ride my bike everywhere, delete my car, home cook every meal with locally grown ingredients. Or to decrease my energy consumption through buying less VPS time, buying and using test equipment, parts, protypes made overseas with no pollution regulations. I can do better than I'm doing now, but not by much unless there truly is some massive, global-level, snap-of-the-fingers change. Reason being, if I do, it's essentially self-harm, like a social suicide. I suffer, I lose jobs, contracts, my livelihood, relationships, etc while the rest of the world happily moves on without me. Which yeah, it fits the idea of your of complaint.
The majority of your acquaintances who you've written off as stuck in the dark ages don't have the ability to make the extraordinary changes that you demand for removing that label. Your statement was more philosophical than demanding specific action, but ignoring the reality of humans and human society so you can shit on us from your tower is not helpful.
This is kind of where I feel I am, so I'm curious for you to expand. Do you have kids? Will you be able to tell them you did something positive about this problem? Or greedily stayed complicit due to the inconvenience? Are you prepared to tell your daughter you were the part of the people killing all the wildlife on earth? I know that sounds super aggressive but I'm legitimately asking. This stuff goes through my head for myself, so I'm curious how you address it?
Sounds more like a loaded question.
I don't have kids, but I'd like to. I know even that's the "selfish" answer, but I can attempt to justify it by teaching them to be good stewards and thereby doing something positive about the problem. Calling it passing the problem on, but they'll have better tools than me to cope with it because we're building those tools right now. At the very least, I'd hope my daughter would be smart enough to understand that being "part of the people killing all the wildlife on earth" is a gross simplification of an incredibly complex social and scientific environment.
> So this is how you justify it to yourself?
I don't justify anything. In my opinion, a first world life as it exists today is unjustifiable. But that doesn't mean it's my fault, or that I can do anything about it.
> It seems you acknowledge the legitimacy and urgency of the problem but are unwilling to make changes due to it being social suicide?
It would be impossible for me personally to make meaningful changes. I live in a city with no infrastructure. The USA has so much inefficiency baked into its supply chain due to globalism it's ridiculous. Everyone is anti-nuclear, no politician represents me or these interests. I recycle, I carry my own bag to the store, etc. I drive more than an hour every day even though I would like to not own a car. I can't ever not be employed because losing the insurance would literally kill me due to a medical condition.
> Do you have kids?
I will probably never have children because I don't really believe in the future.
> Will you be able to tell them you did something positive about this problem? Or greedily stayed complicit due to the inconvenience? Are you prepared to tell your daughter you were the part of the people killing all the wildlife on earth?
Here's the deal. All of our carbon footprints here probably suck, but you're playing into the hands of the real evil by framing things this way. Counterintuitively, pushing for individual responsibility for pollution and environmental degradation is exactly what big corporations want because it enables their destruction more than any other single thing. If I had a child, I would educate them not to make this argument but to push for structural reform and deprogramming of this mindset.
Have you ever heard of the Keep America Beautiful [1] campaign? It's where a lot of this sentiment comes from, and it was funded by Coca-Cola in response to a rise in sentiment supporting legislation to reign in environmental destruction on the part of big corporations. Greenwashing campaigns have been very effective at shifting public attention away from corporate responsibility and towards the individual. I'll 'do my part' to consume less, but I refuse to put responsibility for these corporate / government structures on myself. Especially after they've gone to such lengths to gaslight us all.
> This stuff goes through my head for myself, so I'm curious how you address it?
One thing I've brainstormed with a similarly-concerned friend would be to create a series of localized handout materials tying politicians that people in the area can vote for to specific environmental atrocities directly in an easy-to-understand fashion. That would be a pretty non-trivial effort though, would require cooperation from a lot of other people, and could get us in a lot of trouble. Maybe one day.
So I guess that might be misunderstanding my argument. I'm not demanding any actions, my point is not that everyone but me is doing to little and that we should do more to save the environment and our planet. That's a good argument (well, except for the 'everyone but me' part) but not the one I'm making.
My argument - or rather; the conclusion - that I've come to - is that we are mentally unable to accept the dire consequences of our current situation. It's not even that we don't /want/ to fix things, it's that most of the people cannot accept the fact of the situation we're in, because the of the absolutely devastating consequences we are facing, namely extinction.
We are unable to accept that. It's too big. It's too grandiose, too preposterous. We cannot imagine this happening. And so we deny it, continue with the lives we've grown accustomed to, with the pleasures we enjoy and the dangers we know. And because everyone around us continues the charade and we feel comforted in our not-quite-conscious decision to ignore the situation and continue as before.
I expect that this is to a large part the fate of any species "finding the ultimate exploits" in the game of life. That also answers the questions of; why isn't there anybody out there: any species evolved in the context of competition for resources is unable to handle the transition to a steady-state and after a brief and glorious period of unchecked growth collapses into itself.
We are - after all - reproduction machines.
Frankly it's also currently a lot of work to constantly make all the "right" choices. Taking the "right" actions would be significantly easier with a stronger "systems" solution. For example, a carbon tax or neonicotinoid ban would instantly make it zero-effort to buy low-carbon or bee-friendly.
Consumer-choice oriented campaigns like the Rainforest Alliance et al are absolutely well intentioned but the message of saving the world through our purchasing decisions may have indirectly disenfranchised our capacity for collective action.
What is important is acquiring the knowledge of your impacts.
Once you decide to acquire this knowledge, there is no more « right » or « wrong » way to act. There is only « reasonable », « unreasonable », « exceptional », « I don’t know let’s check this I’m curious ». You have the right to make the wrong choices as long as you are able to accept you were wrong.
What I like with this approach, is that it’s not self-flagellation anymore, it’s the joy of understanding the beautiful and complex world we live in.
You are not thinking about what the others do, you are just working towards being a better human. And this is easily transmissible around you without proselytism.
Human intelligence is a product of evolution, and that evolution apparently didn't provide us the kind of attributes that would keep us from destroying ourselves or our environment (or destroying ourselves is some kind of evolutionary advantage, but that's the kind of assessment that can only be made by whatever comes after us).
But since witnessing the pandemic and how the human race has responded to it, rapid vaccine development notwithstanding, I have pretty much zero confidence that will happen. At this point when I look at climate change and other impacts from our insistence on exploiting and trashing our planet and its ecosystems, I would be shocked to learn that humans were around and thriving a couple hundred years from now.
The difficult reality for me is not that there's nothing we can do, it's that there are things we can do, but a sufficient portion of the human population will simply not be convinced to do those things before it's too late, even as the impacts of the very problems they are being asked to acknowledge and accept are destroying their own lives.
I'm afraid we are - as I mentioned further up in the thread - are just not mentally equipped to be able to process the situation we - as a species - find ourselves in.
Isn't it?
I'm scared too.
After 5 years of watching my neighbors spray for mosquitos in their lawn, and anti-grub stuff, synthetic fertilizer all spring and summer -> they're all basically gone.
When you think about all the forests getting knocked down to build new houses not just in the US - but even more so in rapidly growing 3rd world countries...it makes sense.
Of course this has put me in conflict with my neighbors who make snide comments about a poorly maintained yard... sigh
We have a really large, fantastic yard. It is landscaped nicely with mostly ’native’ plants. Rhododendron, azaleas, among others. Also full of large, old growth trees. Many probably 150-200 years old according to the arborist who came out and surveyed recently.
Due to the large tree canopies in the neighborhood, we have an unbelievable bird population. Numerous small birds special, huge seasonal flocking birds passing through, hawks, even a couple resident owls. Huge amounts of squirrels and small mammals.
Unfortunately, we still have a horrible mosquito problem in the summertime. It’s really almost unbearable. I strongly considered having the yard sprayed last year, but resisted the temptation.
Side note: We also used to see long caravans of migrating birds flying south in the fall. Thousands of them at least, traveling overhead in a steady stream for 15 minutes or more.
This short time scale doesn't seem to fit with climate change being the cause (assuming that the decrease is actually real at all, not an observational artifact).
This is truly a problem that free markets will never handle, by design
The market is great at identifying the utility of aggressive pesticides. Need found, production started, pricing, & distribution - insect crop damage 'solved' (for some values of 'solved').
Discovering that this 'solution' actually breaks the food web will also be 'solved' by the free market, as the last remaining produce that requires those pollinators spike from $/bushel to $/gram levels.
But, that will fail to create more production when pollinators are extinct, and even if they could be ressurrected from DNA libraries, the poisons are still spread.
Oh, and all the customers also died
Yes, regulation is massively inconvenient, and apparently inefficient, and one can always find egregious bad examples. But intelligent regulation is necessary for our survival.
But supposing that's the source of the problem, I don't understand your focus on capitalism. In any economic system, some people are going to be trying to increase the efficiency of food production (if not, they'll all eventually starve to death). In doing so, they are going to be responding to incentives of making money, or of getting a promotion after fulfilling the goals of the five-year plan, or simply of having the inner feeling of having done a good job. I don't see why only the "making money" incentive is problematic. And indeed, the former Soviet block was notorious for terrible environmental problems.
Completely agree that over-regulation, e.g., soviet-style, is a recipe for many of the WORST environmental disasters.
Corporate regulatory capture or elimination of regulation is just crashing the scale in the other direction.
Since the current problem in most of the world is lack of constraints on production of, for example, things that serve some purpose but also break the food web, that's my focus.
Basically, it seems that, whenever people get enough good information, and have good democratic (small-d) control of the system, they find a balance to encourage and regulate development. No one wants to live in a wasteland.
But if too few control things, such as an authoritarian state, or corporatists doing regulatory capture, they have the illusion that they can destroy all they want, externalize the damage, and enjoy life in their palaces. For centurys, it was true. Now, we seem to be approaching the point where the whole food web may break.
Somewhat dark, but I imagine there are hundreds, if not thousands, of species that could simply go extinct without permanent "damage" to the biochemical ecosystem. Humans are probably one of those species. For example, what if all red ants went extinct? Would the Earth just be completely screwed? I would guess probably not. My question is what separates a critical species from a non-critical one and how do biologists even determine this effectively?
I know nature does not care about what species live and die; evolution has no "desire" to keep anything alive. But is there really a bottleneck species that, if wiped out, would cause an irreversible phase transition for life as we know it?
Not, in most cases.
> For example if all X pollinators go extinct, could it not potentially leave room for Y pollinators
Not. We would enter in an extinction vortex. Less pollinators mean less seeds, less plants, and the empty space would be filled by Y, the species that Y pollinators search for. X would disappear. And we would lose Z, M and Q also. Is the same that happens with companies that lose their main customers. They became less attractive, not more. To be rescued by the fanbase of a competitor suddenly moving in mass to your product is not likely.
> Would the Earth just be completely screwed?
Not, you can't screw the planet, but would be painful (Mess with nature, brace yourself for nasty surprises. Nasty and unfixable). If we take in mind similar events from our past many people would probably die.
I'll try again. If the metaphor you're choosing is a company losing their clients, then your argument is wrong, because what happens is that the competitor(s) fills the void and the system balances itself.
Why would that not happen in the scenario parent comment proposed? What rule prohibits it?
In ecology there is a concept called extinction vortex. It works very much like a black hole. You pass a non-return point and then the extinction process accelerates suddenly. There is just not time anymore for plans B or C. To escape the gravitational field you need to add lots of energy in the opposite direction. You need, lets say it, a "god's hand intervention"; A few humans that will decide to spend huge amounts of money, time, technology and resources to try to save the day. A struck of luck that worked for Californian Condor or European bison, but failed for Californian porpoise.
> If the metaphor you're choosing is a company losing their clients, then your argument is wrong, because what happens is that the competitor(s) fills the void and the system balances itself.
What you say is exactly what I'm predicting that will happen.
If you wipe an obscure species of mosquitoes, and they pollinate X, in the 99% of the cases X will disappear. Period. There is not time for the other species to fill the gap or for X to adapt. Can survive only by cloning itself. If all mosquitoes were equally equivalent and equally replaceable, we would have room in the planet for one single species, not thousands.
Over the winter holidays, I drove 9 hours and don’t believe a single bug was in my windshield after that long drive.
I don’t know what’s happening with bugs but could it be related?
But, it reminded me of an incident when I was a kid. In a minivan, all windows open, highway speeds. Driver hit a swarm of bees. I've never seen a density of bees like it. Made the windshield opaque for many seconds of wipers and spray, and the number of bees that came through the side windows to be smashed against the back windows and luggage was shocking.
I don't know anything about swarming behavior, and it's been years since I thought about that incident. Thanks for the memory!
I'm not sure what the point of this article is. It's not like we're going to be able to do anything about it.
I remember when I was younger, we were told about the killer bees were going to wipe out the modern world. Also, I was told that we would all be living on a beach or the sea because of global warming and the ozone hole lazering everything.
If not, why isn't it more common?
However, you can have a hive in your land just for the sake of feeding bees (and eat your own honey).
I don’t know how it works in your country, in France, you can legally do it as long as your terrain is large enough to place the hive 20m away any habitation (100m away if it’s a public building). You are also required to follow a 3 day training. It’s not that much but it requires some self-investment.
So I would say that it’s not common but it is totally possible.
I still have some nitpicks, but this article is a bit more balanced & honest than most, for a couple of reasons.
Firstly, because they admit up front, that the majority of pollination in farms comes from ‘managed’ bee hives, offered up as a service by commercial bee keepers. Many articles never mention this, and present the subject as if all crops are pollinated by wild bees.
Secondly, despite the title, the article clearly states that the science and observations on the subject are not well understood. Obviously wild pollinators supplement the managed honey bee hives, but I’ve never heard of any study that tries to measure the impact of wild pollinators have, compared to managed hives.
I think it’s safe to say the large majority of pollination comes from commercial honey bee keepers. For a point of reference, in the US according to the ‘National Honey Board’, ”The USDA has estimated that 80 percent of insect crop pollination is accomplished by honey bees”.
https://honey.com/newsroom/presskit/honey-industry-facts
Also, it is important to remember many crops do not need pollinators. When this article states right off the bat that bees ”pollinate 85 percent of food crops and fruits around the world”, this is slightly misleading.
They really mean bees pollinate 85% of crops and fruits that require pollination. The statement that 85% of all crops require pollination to grow would be incorrect.
With all that said, let me be clear. I’m not trying to be an apologist, or say any of this news is ‘okay’, it’s not. We see these articles all the time now for good reason, because it is super important to protect bees and other pollinators.
But commercial honey bee keepers need to be given credit for the invaluable and important work that they do by providing their hives to increase production in agriculture. They are the true champions. It’s not the best system, but it is the reality of large scale agriculture these days.
As the article mentions, depending too much on a single species can be risky. If there is a disease or pest outbreak in the hives, or in the fields, or problems from chemical application, that could have dramatic impacts of yearly yields.
The article also rightly says ”There’s no long-term, very accurate, precise sampling of bees all over the world,” , and ” Nevertheless, he cautions, the records that underpin the study don’t give us enough information to determine if certain species have gone extinct.”
Even with my nitpicks, I applaud National Geographic here. This is one of the more balanced articles I’ve seen on the topic of bee populations. Many of them are either purposely or ignorantly disingenuous.