Isn't inflation the economic equivalent of gravity?
If an asset isn't growing faster than inflation, it's losing money. If there are other assets offering better risk/reward then money will flow to them and out of the inflated assets.
If an asset isn't growing faster than inflation, it's losing money. If there are other assets offering better risk/reward then money will flow to them and out of the inflated assets.
Personal savings rate is up, discretionary spending is down, people are stuck at home, and everyone is glued to their phones. I think a lot of people's extra money is going into crypto and the market. FOMO reigns supreme, at least until the numbers turn red.
It may or may not show up in consumer prices eventually.
How about the actual things you need: housing, groceries, college, gas, electricity, a vacation?
Due to the pressure on government to keep inflation low to avoid devaluing their dollar inflation is a gamed number and the goal posts have been moved to keep it low so things look good. Meanwhile the price on everything that I buy or want to buy is through the roof and I can’t find a job that will pay me more than my current one - guess I should have gone with software instead of hardware
Now, thanks to economic inequality, I think a lot of folks are feeling effective inflation, but the true value we define as 'inflation' has not risen much yet. Sure, some things are up, but they're not included in the calculation of 'inflation' so it makes sense to talk about them in different terms, I think.
Inflation as represented by CPI is only one measure of inflation. Just because the Fed uses that measure to drive policy doesn't mean there isn't inflation in other areas of the economy, like housing.
Inflation is coming, but it seems to be inflation driven by supply disruptions and not monetary policy driven inflation. I'm still not 100% on board with the idea, but I've been reading lately that QE is basically low-velocity money and doesn't necessarily contribute to inflation. I know we didn't get much inflation after QE'08 and the velocity of money has been in the toilet since then. Combined with the USD reserve currency status I think we could actually end up with deflation but IDK. Real economists can't figure it out and I'm just some idiot on the internet.