Except for the part where the fed said (and continues to say) it would raise rates if it saw sustained high inflation
Except for the part where the fed said (and continues to say) it would raise rates if it saw sustained high inflation
https://res.cloudinary.com/apartmentlist/image/fetch/t_rente...
And at the risk of just reposting this comment on HN all the time. Focusing on central banks as the driver of asset price increases is looking in entirely the wrong direction. There is a third component that pushes both asset prices and central bank policy - the global supply/demand of savings vs investment opportunities. Which is driven mostly by demographics. China's massive working class, and the unprecedented rate at which they are getting wealthier, and their savings rate which is like >10x the average US citizen means there is a huge increase in the global supply of savings. Which bids up asset prices and pushes down yields, as savers compete with each other to buy up the extant profitable and safe opportunities. Central banks are the on the receiving end of this too: over-saving pushes down the natural rate of interest, which means policy rates must be lower to respond (unless you want to condemn some working Americans to unemployment). So long-term interest rates fall, and central banks have less operating space to smooth out the business cycle by moving short-term rates.
Nasdaq 100 - up 40%
Cotton - up 25%
Corn - up 40%
Gold - up 15%
Silver - up 25%
Steel - up 30%
lumber - up 100%
Copper - up 46%
Aluminum - up 22%
Salaries.
It's also hardly evidence for impending hyperinflation. For instance, aluminum is massively cheaper than in 2008, and copper is still quite a bit below the 2011 level. Commodity prices always fluctuate massively.