> This statement doesn't suggest simplicity as a measure of realness and it is unclear why reality would necessarily prefer the simpler thing.
Because it doesn't matter if the results are the same, and simpler things are inherently preferred. Assume that both of these models are 100% correct in their predictions: there is no reason whatsoever to believe that the more complicated one is a "truer" model of reality, nor is there a reason to believe the simpler one is, so we proceed on the notion that the simpler one is because that is more to our liking and the end results are the same.
I guess one of the fundamental impasses here is that I am not convinced, on a philosophical level, that there is any deeper "realness" than can be modeled. If we can't model it, or rather if modelling it serves no purpose, then it may as well not exist.
> As for whether it matters, I think that's rather the point: We don't know if it matters until we find out it does. I don't think we can know if matters until the moment it definitely does.
Right. We must assume reality is what it appears to be until we make observations and tests that prove otherwise, then we construct a new model. We must assume that new model represents reality because we simply have no alternative until we build a better model.
> A 100% accurate full-knowledge model is, by our own models, an impossibility. And even if we had such a model, how would we ever know it?
To a certain extent we can't. No matter how many correct predictions we make there is always the possibility that we will eventually make an observation that defies our model. That's sorta my point. What we call reality is, by necessity, a product of observation, deduction, testing, and modelling. We have to construct our reality from that, and talking about whether or not an accurate model represents some deeper "reality" or not is pointless without an alternative.
If right now we question the "reality" of spacetime, what changes? Can we even build an accurate model of reality as we currently know it without spacetime? Can that model be made simpler than the ones with spacetime? If so, no one has done it yet. Therefore we have no choice but to believe that the universe isn't deceiving us and spacetime actually does exist, because believing the opposite is completely pointless.