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afaik, it sponsors for L1 visa only. I need to become SDE2 first, and then after 1 more year with VP's approval, the transfer happens

The VP of Amazon has to approve all visas? VP as in Vice President?

Also, who's to say the VP will approve?

A VP has to approve it. There are many VPs at Amazon. There's a VP for FireTVs and a VP for AWS Sales in China.