Amazon's Kuiper responds to SpaceX on FCC request
cnbc.com
cnbc.com
I'm sure both sides are as bad as each other on the competition aspect, after all it's Elon Musk and Amazon/Bezos, I can't imagine two worse people for that. But it does seem a little unfair that Amazon have barely any proven track record and could prevent SpaceX from furthering their very proven track record.
Edit: as much as Blue Origin may play into the plans for this, they have not reached orbit, and do not have an operational rocket suitable for this (yet). Maybe Amazon have signed a deal for launches, but otherwise just being owned by the same eccentric billionaire shouldn't really suggest the ability for the company to pull it off.
Forget the names of the companies and their leaders for a second. We have a shared public resource, like a pond. Company A showed up and says "I am going to set up shop on this side of the pond, and we will leave the rest of the pond open for other people to use." Company B then says "okay, we are going to set up shop on the other side of the pond so we don't interfere with each other." Company A then says "no, we actually want to use that side of the pond, too. too bad for you".
In what universe is Company A in the right here, and why does it matter who gets there first? It's clearly anti-competitive practice on the part of Company A trying to shut out Company B, and the only people who will suffer from it are the general public.
We already have an absolutely terrible oligopoly of wired ISPs, do we really want to start down this path of allowing the same to happen for space-based internet, too?
1: https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20160923/06590635601/att-s...
2: https://www.slashgear.com/att-files-lawsuit-to-hinder-google...
3: https://www.theverge.com/2019/2/7/18215743/google-fiber-leav...
How come I can't easily find a registry of the UP/DL/Beacon transmission frequencies for every satellite. Am I just not looking in the right place? I can find various hobbyist's catalogs, but nothing that looks remotely official. Any satellite with downlinks between 30 MHz and 1.2 GHz is potentially useful for helping to calibrate one or more of the radio neutrino experiments I work on.
A good source of downlink information is the FCC International Bureau records of satellite ground stations in the US.
Also note that this shows licences, not actual use. You can have a satellite licenced to a particular frequency but not using it.
I can understand a year or two, especially if they have orbital capacity ready. But six years?
The space could provisionally be granted to SpaceX with a 15 year renewal period or something. Locking down options for a decade on wishful thinking does not seem particularly competitive for me.
Yes, sure, give Amazon the same treatment. Start orbiting large numbers of satellites in 2022 or you lose it.
Also, it's not like the FCC should be allowed to take it back, even if 6 years is unreasonable.
It's worth noting there's bad blood in the general space community already after Blue tried to stop SpaceX from doing barge landings, attempted to also take over pad 39A vs SpaceX even though Blue has nothing to launch, their $10 billion HLS "40 foot ladder" proposal and Bezos infamous "Congrats @SpaceX on landing Falcon's suborbital booster stage. Welcome to the club!" back 6 years ago gives a general gist of why Bezos' claims are being treated with skepticism by many. https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/679116636310360067
To Elon Musk everything he's done in his life so far has been so that he could eventually do this space thing and that is what defines him. The two couldn't be more different. For Elon failure is not an option, for Bezos it very much is.
As far as reality distortion fields go, I don't think it's that bad, but with these kinds of things I am firmly in the "don't trust; verify twice" camp.
The guy literally invested huge amount of his money into a scientific mission to mars and when he realized it wouldn't work he dedicated the next 20 years trying to build a company that could do it.
And he did all of this so he could have a good 'image' a small part of the population? That is just beyond stupid.
Everything he has achieved with Amazon very much seems to imply otherwise.
How likely is it that Starlink and whatever amazon is planning will end up polluting space with satellite garbage that will make future missions difficult/impossible due to high velocity collisions?
The Starlink satellites are also designed to completely burn up in the atmosphere. This is one of the reasons why the first generation does not have laser-links, that was supposedly the hardest part to design fulfilling that criteria.
That's actually one of the advantages of their proposed lowering of the orbits, they need to think even less about end of life questions and redundancy.
Edit: See here for the continuous sweeping happening at lower orbits.
https://www.reddit.com/r/space/comments/ld4vlq/gabbard_diagr...
1. starlink.com
Also it's not so much the concern about hitting a satellite on your way up (easy to track and space is spacey) rather the concern that over many years any 2 satellites in the shell will collide creating a lot of debris that could collide with more satellites in the shell and so on. That's why there are requirements about being able to move your satellites actively as part of these proposals, to prevent such a scenario from happening or growing if it did.
Are there cost weight savings if they can remove the fuel or equipment needed to force a deoribit? So if a sat dies on day one they can just shrug and say it will burn up in 5 years.
Or can they induce drag without extra equipment?
Also they are used as part of the normal operation of the satellites anyways, ~60 are launched together in one big clump and then the ion thrusters get them into the individual target orbits and keep them there over time (until fuel runs out trying to keep the orbit on track or the satellite stops being operationally useful), so getting rid of it does make it lighter but not necessarily better suited.
SpaceX is being forced to innovate in this area because everybody realized the YOLO attitude towards space junk doesn't scale to thousands of satellites.
The problem is what happens if your sat breaks and you can't de-orbit it.
I'm not sure if a company could held liable or get fined unless they ignored the rules. I don't think currently you are held liable if its an accident.
Thankfully once we have Starship, the cost of taking space garage should start to be reasonable.
Yes this is a huge concern, which is why attention is being paid to how these satellites will de-orbit.
Up to maybe 10 years ago satellites were just put up there and at best would move out of the way a bit when they reached end of life, but most would just stay. Plus lots of things were just discarded from mission, or lost accidentally, creating more junk. All of this made space junk a big and growing concern...
However, now everyone is very aware, so satellites have de-orbiting built in (and I think this might be a legal requirement now), orbits may be chosen with ease of de-orbiting in mind, more care is taken to letting junk accumulate, several companies are working on clearup mechanisms, etc. All this may mean that the worst-case scenario doesn't ever actually play out, and it's not that big a deal in the long run.
We'll have to wait and see, but there will be a lot of money behind making this as little of an issue as possible so that the space industry can really take off.
Looking at richest people of the world right now, none of them strike as eccentric.
Average plumber or musician is order of magnitude more eccentric or radical.
Every other company in the space is opposed to this move, because Starlink's unilateral reconfiguration would interfere with nearly every other company's operations. Part of the FCC's mandate is to prevent that from occurring, and SpaceX absolutely deserves to be slapped down for its anticompetitive behavior.
>Musk had fired at least seven members of the program's senior management team at the Redmond, Washington, office, the culmination of disagreements over the pace at which the team was developing and testing its Starlink satellites, according to the two SpaceX employees with direct knowledge of the situation.
https://www.businessinsider.com/r-musk-shakes-up-spacex-in-r...
Look at the timeline:
Jan 2015 -- announce plans
Jan 2017 -- Starlink trademarked
Feb 2018 - test flight of two satellites
May 2019 - Launch 60 of the v0.9 model
June 2019 - fire 7 people
Oct 2019 - this article
Nov 2019 - Launch 60 of the v1.0 model
7 Jan 2020 - 60 satellites launched
29 Jan 2020 - 60 satellites launched
17 Feb 2020 - 60 satellites launched
18 Mar 2020 - 60 satellites launched
22 Apr 2020 - 60 satellites launched
04 Jun 2020 - 60 satellites launched
etc.
To me, it seems more plausible that they were taking a solid-not-polished design that's been mostly worked through for a few years, doing some team re-org and removing people who aren't working out, and then finished tweaking the design and got ready for scaling to higher production over the next few months than it does they were scraping by on the skin of their teeth for almost four years and suddenly managed to catch up on everything (and have it work!) in those same last few months.
It's absolutely possible I'm wrong, but if the Starklink team truly managed a timeline of 6 months from "vaporware" to functionally the world's first mega-constellation, I'd be absolutely floored.
"Amazon representatives have had "30 meetings to oppose SpaceX" but "no meetings to authorize its own system""
... those 30 meetings fit into the timeline? :)
The article was published on Oct 31, 2018 (not 2019).
Speed and latency measured with the Starlink beta/GA are unparalleled at the moment, yet to see if they worsen with an increase of userbase.
Starlink is now delivering initial beta service both domestically
and internationally, and will continue expansion to near global coverage
of the populated world in 2021.
They're also going to minimize their contribution to space junk: At end of life, the satellites will utilize their on-board propulsion system to
deorbit over the course of a few months. In the unlikely event the propulsion system
becomes inoperable, the satellites will burn up in Earth’s atmosphere within 1-5
years, significantly less than the hundreds or thousands of years required at higher
altitudes.
Also interesting is that they're using "ion thrusters powered by krypton" and claim this is the first spacecraft to use this propulsion method.If they can boost data transfer speed from 40-60Mb/s currently to N gigabits/second, perhaps will provide stiff competition to conventional cell carriers.
These are exciting times.
From what I can see, Starlink is using a lot more power to transmit than cell phones are really capable of given the battery constraints.
I think the more likely possibility is Starlink offering backhaul for rural cell sites where it might be cost prohibitive to run fiber. However, I'm not sure it would be more cost effective to use satellite backhaul than terrestrial microwave or fiber. Satellites aren't cheap, but who knows.
In terms of boosting the data transfer speed, that won't be simple. Terrestrial wireless (like cell carriers) can offer good speeds because each cell tower is covering a very limited area. If you're 20 miles away from me, we'll be connecting to different cell towers and therefore can use the same radio spectrum without interfering with each other. With satellites, a lot more people will be sharing the same radio spectrum. Now, I'm sure Starlink is operating under the idea that they can launch lots of satellites and get decent spectrum re-use. However, cell carriers have around 80,000 cell sites each. Starlink is only planning on launching 10,000-15,000 and hoping to get permission to get up to 30,000. That still means a lot more sharing of the same spectrum.
You can get higher speed by using more spectrum. However, that spectrum needs to be licensed, it isn't always cheap, and other people want to license it too. The way that the gigabit speeds from wireless carriers work is by using many hundreds of MHz of spectrum that can't go very far (because it gets disrupted by things like buildings, trees, etc.). Lower frequency spectrum can go further (since it penetrates objects better), but there's a pretty limited amount of it and most of it is already spoken for (whether that's TV, FM radio, current wireless service, etc.).
I think Starlink will provide a good option for many people who don't live in areas well-served by current internet options. It's a huge jump to believe that it will offer competition to cell carriers. It just isn't that type of technology and you run into limits that you can't really get around.
That's not to say that Starlink isn't important. It is important for many people who don't have access to good internet in the US and around the world, but it isn't going to provide competition for your cell phone provider.
I'm just waiting for tesla cars to all have starlink instead of (or in addition to LTE).
Or put another way, they don't pay global telecom providers, and instead they pay themselves, which helps fund space travel.
It's also possible they could do some fancy multicast updates of software/maps or some other fancy thing.
Real time logistics is a big deal. I've driven across the US and even on major highways cellular coverage is spotty. There might be a self-driving or emergency response angle too.
As for costs, I suspect it will all get cost-reduced like their self-driving computer (or cellular or wifi, ...)
So short answer, is no, it's impractical for cell phones.
for now at least
Please think more long term.
Okay, so think 10, 20 and 40 years from now.
> So let's say we hold back the scaling of Starlink to make sure there is room for future competition. That might make for a somewhat better future. It also might just stifle the whole project in it's cradle.
I guess here is where credible EE/RF journalism would be desirable. You don't know (and I don't know) but you want to stop this because it might maybe hurt Starlink too much.
If you assume SpaceX tech gets copied and reuse becomes the norm for rockets then Starlink would face competition. Over time the costs would fall both with regards to launches but also in the satellite part of it, meaning Starlink competitors would be able to do it for less.
Slowing Spacex/Starlink now would only serve the help their competitors and punish a first mover.
But on the EE/RF side of it i have no idea what arguments are legit and so forth tbh.
I want to know more about the RF issues involved here though.
Amazon reserving an a huge orbit and without real data claiming anybody else that want to operate there is only trying to prevent their system. That is unreasonable.
Amazon is trying to artificial hobble Starlink, not the other way around. If Amazon really designed it system in a way where Starlink hinders it, then why would Amazon be allowed to operate such a system? Such a system would mean nobody else can operate in such an orbit.
Based on similar claims SpaceX could have attempted to prevent Amazon system but they didn't because they knew it wouldn't, and did want to make false claims about it.
Spacelink reserved a similar huge orbit and said they didn't want the orbit that Amazon wants. Now they changed their mind.
> SpaceX is slightly changing it system (non of its hardware).
Sorry. Not changed their mind, changed their system. Precisely into the system they said they didn't want and Amazon subsequently chose.
It does not inherently prevent anybody else from operating. In every orbit their are many different sats and sat providers operating.
Amazon claims are entirely based on their inability to run their theoretical system when SpaceX is there. If their system is that fragile, then maybe they shouldn't be allowed to launch it in the first place.
SpaceX could have equally claimed the planned Amazon system was interfering with them, but they didn't.
This isn't a fair characterization. In order to have knowledge of something, you need more than theory: you need to validate your idea with observed experience. The first person to actually achieve something, demonstrated by an existence proof, can in most cases be said to have gone through both steps.
The second part of this is that individual rights guarantees that innovators are free to achieve ("the sky's the limit" is out of date"). Innovators do this for their own benefit, as they should. As a side effect, the rest of us also benefit enormously! There are a lot of people in rural areas stuck with incredibly poor internet service, via HughesNet or DSL, and Starlink is a massive boon to us. It's amazing to pull 150 Mbps on the side of a mountain or on the open ocean...
Why is it just that Bezos take a backseat here? Without the pioneering achievements from SpaceX, Bezos wouldn't have the certainty that such a network is even possible. Over the past two decades, many, many ventures have gone bankrupt trying to achieve what SpaceX has done.
SpaceX has earned its success, and Bezos shouldn't be allowed to run to the government to kneecap his competitor.
That's all irrelevant to the consumer, 20 years down the line.
What I see: Two tycoons battling it out. It doesn't really matter that one of them is a (very clear) follower in this field; competition is crucial in the long term.
> SpaceX has earned its success
That's not how this works. The frequency spectrum is a common good. The FCC exists for a reason.
Same with cellular networks. There's some theoretical sharing, but in practice we're covering same area 3x times at 3x slower total bandwidth...
Some governments are starting to realise this is huge ripoff and start their own networks with MVNO's, similar how copper/fibre telco's and power companies are have been sorted for decades. Unsure why space should be different. Sat tech is reasonably simple, it's just launch cost where competition is at. Same way the only competitior between cell network operators is tower installation (third party) and support (abhorrent).
Goldman highlighted that Amazon representatives have had “30 meetings to oppose SpaceX” but “no meetings to authorize its own system,” which he interpreted as an attempt to stifle competition.