Hacker News Reader

Aren’t China incentivised to keep running these businesses? Why the doomsday sentiment?

Taiwan’s military is strong enough that PRC’s only route to “winning” in a war is to turn the island into a smoldering crater

Also, the island is so densely populated. It would be hard to see how an invasion would somehow avoid hitting these factories. Strictly trying to avoid hitting them would make them fairly obvious safe harbors from which to launch guerrilla operations.

They are incentivized to avoid confrontation with the west. But the question is whether they will face confrontations.

Right after the Biden administration has taken over, we immediately see Myanmar Coup, Russian persecution of oppositions, China sailing to Japan's Senkaku Islands, not to mention China's constant provocation in Taiwan's airspace.

They are testing the limit the Biden administration. And if it's like the Obama era, the USA won't react in any meaningful manner. The EU, which looks up to the US, can't do much.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com