An Update on Market Volatility
blog.robinhood.com
blog.robinhood.com
The thing is, clearing houses expect collateral up front.
It's not a risk issue between Robinhood and its clients, its a risk issue between the clearing house and Robinhood.
I'm not saying that this what actually happened, I'm just saying that the presented argument has plausible elements.
In other words, even if the end user isn't using margin, there is "margin" happening in the background between the clearing house and the brokerage.
I can assure you, there was a lot of margin purchases happening.
That's also not my problem as a RH user that's not buying on margin.
Again, this is the difference between a big boy brokerage and a free app. And them providing services they weren't capable of weathering was probably the original sin.
People who buy and sell stock on Robinhood don't pay them anything, it's the market makers that pay them.
In this case, the adage is true "You're not the customer, you're the product"...
I'm sure many people are buying on leverage, but that doesn't explain why they can't just limit margin buying vs preventing any purchase of the stock.
Same for selling a share. Cash from the proceeds will show up in your account, but the broker hasn’t actually received that money from the settlement. You can trade with that cash, only because the broker is extending you credit.
This is why you can’t trade more than once every three days in an IRA. Tax exempt accounts can’t be used as collateral for loans.
The Robinhood app is totally designed to suck Millennials into daytrading on their mobiles.
I think you're drastically underestimating the reputational hit they took today.
Perhaps, you're drastically overestimating the hit they took today? Let's mark this comment and check after 6 months or a year.
Sure, let's check back in a year.
Guess you've never heard of ThinkOrSwim. RH is a toy. It's fine for most purposes, but not much more than fine. They consistently fill orders at a sub-optimal price and the amount of downtime is a joke.
This hurts them and I think you're wrong about their future. They're helping to screw over the very people who have made them successful. We'll see what the actual fallout is given their relationship to Citadel and Citadel's relationship with Melvin Cap.
There are plenty of brokers, and web-based brokerages work better than a mobile app for me anyway.
Whatever they said was going to be ignored by people still furiously insisting that Melvin Capital lied about closing their position yesterday, but you'd have thought they could have got that statement out faster than the rumours too.
RHs told it's users 'you are our product. Do as you are told.'
People are not as stupid as they're made out to be and they have some self respect and dignity.
RH has mortally wounded itself.
I know they've lost me as a customer (and I actually pay for gold and margin). I was a huge fan of Robinhood and have been using them for nearly 5 years.
I actually buy the reasoning behind it - but putting out a corporate speak like this instead of trying to emotionally relate to upset users? Smh
Their reasoning makes no sense. If someone isn't buying on margin, who are they protecting exactly? Citadel and Melvin Capital, that's who. The funds weren't "protected", were they?
Can anyone translate that?
It seems to be referring to:
They have to meet certain governmental guidelines on deposits vs asset price risk.
> clearinghouse deposits
Clearing members have to deposit money into clearinghouses as insurance in case a firm goes under.
And if it's a scaling issue, shouldn't all stocks be equally affected, rather than cherry-picking just a few?
People invest due to variety of reasons. Speculation, undervalue, overvalued, etc. This does not seem like an open market if people cannot buy and sell at their own risk.
Sudden changes to what is allowed in the market could also cause some unknown shift to how it works. If things are let to be, at least, at some time, things will settle down ... whether that takes a few days, weeks, years, decades. I think that is how the market works. There appears to be added controlling factors into the market.
I would rather be with a brokerage where I can make my own decisions. Not one that suddenly controls what can and cannot be done.
TD & Robinhood restricts certain trades: https://www.cnet.com/personal-finance/robinhood-app-td-ameri...
Maybe limits/ban on selling of options where the loss can be unlimited (as opposed to buying where the limit is the option's contract price).
I'm from EU and was looking into investing earlier into Nasdaq symbols, iow before my bank decides to bother letting me pick some crumbs from their plate.
So I look around and I figure that what you can do on these online trading platform is to buy some glass-beads from them that happen to correspond to IRL stocks. IOW, these folks are data-mining user sentiment to place orders while offloading risk.
Isn't it the same with RH? Aren't they just saying "you can play along, just not with these beads. Too risky for us." Or is RH a straightforward stock broker?
There's more to gain from this because of the social aspect (social change and reform), but also more to lose (bubble bursting on the average citizen that has more to lose personally than a fund).
I'm obviously not cheering for the funds here, but I do worry for people like my dad who can just buy a stock more easily than order dinner.
The social movement is honorable, but at what cost? This has the shape and character of a Joker move, when does the bubble burst?
there are not many guarantees in trading, but that is a guarantee to lose money. and because it's under the guise of "sticking it to the man" people have become even less rational about their money.
so when the stock eventually corrects to where it belongs for a dying retailer selling physical media in the digital age... I can only imagine the millions "surprised pikachu face" that will ensue
What? This is not at all a guarantee. Even if there were a guarantee that it will come back down eventually (which seems highly likely but that's still not a guarantee), that doesn't mean it will go down today or tomorrow or next week. For all we know there is still lots of time for new investors to get in, make money, and then get out before the price crashes.
The particular absurdity of your claim here is that if it were true, we could not possibly have ended up in this place. That's exactly how we got here, people who "knew better" knew that of course this stock was going down and shorted it. Then it went up a little and people shorted it even more and it went up even more, and on and on as this played out over the past few weeks.
- the price is overvalued and will correct
- the prevailing sentiment on the wsb subreddit is "HOLD NO MATTER HOW HIGH IT GOES" (seriously, that's what they are saying)
So, sure, maybe gamestop will magically become a company as valuable as its stock implies it is. But realistically no one would bet on this.
So given that it is overvalued by everyone's definition of the term, and given that the hivemind has decided to "HOLD NO MATTER WHAT", it becomes obvious what will eventually happen - the hivemind will keep holding, since that's the meme, and memes drive stocks now - and Gamestop will correct. And that will be that.
Yes, that means an equivalent amount of people will be holding the huge loss, because they bought in when the previous person got out...
The issue here is the clear protections/options in place for hedge funds that they can use when they feel a squeeze but absolutely no protection for average joe investor when these guys try to short an otherwise viable business going through a rough patch.
GameStop and Blackberry are in the middle of a turn around, shorting them and then telling the market they are failing is unethical and if they feel a bit of pain at the moment then good.
To me, GameStop is the mall store (problem), that required me to pre-pay for product expected to be wildly popular (problem), offers me $2 for physical media (problem^2) so that when I go in they can offer me used for $58 instead of new for $60 (problem).
The future of gaming is downloads and streaming. GameStop may be able to generate revenue for a while selling used last gen systems while the current new consoles launch, but there's nothing about their position or business model that has a strong future. Plus, I'd say their long history of horrible customer satisfaction mean they don't have the brand loyalty for a pivot/reboot.
I don't think it's unethical to short that.
I’m gonna disagree. The entire “social movement” seems to be little more than the same tired old cliches and hysterics about “speculators”.
The main grievance is basically that short selling is bad. Despite academic finance, finding again and again that short selling meaningfully improves price efficiency and protects ordinary investors from bubbles and mania.[1][2]
Again and again corporate executives use the scapegoat of short sellers and speculators to shift the blame from their own mismanagement. GameStop is no different, and it’s certainly not the short sellers that caused it to have a dying business model that’s hemorrhaging money.
[1]https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03784... [2] https://academic.oup.com/rfs/article-abstract/24/3/821/15904...
I think you're too quick to defend short selling as purely good, just as everyone else is too quick to decry it as pure evil. There's a middle ground here that's better for everyone, and a public dialectic on the scale we're seeing now is honorable and potentially effective, in my opinion.
I doubt reforms that might happen as a result are going to be what people piling on meme stocks want either.
Not that there aren’t well founded criticisms of the financial industry. But as far as I see WSB appears to have zero overlap with any of them. All I see are gross inaccuracies (“short interest over 100% means they were naked short”) and zero-evidence QAnon like conspiracy theories about hedge funds colluding to shit down Robinhood.
Short interest above 100% is perfectly fine. Stocks can and do go over this imaginary line, without any fraud involved. It just means that many people disagree about the price.
Allowing speculators to build up large short positions is a good thing, because it helps prevents overpriced bubble from forming. Read the actual academic research from my original look comment. If a hedge fund is willing to take the risky and thankless job of taking a large and concentrated short position, the public should be thanking them for their contribution to market efficiency.
The core of the social movement here is an asymmetry in who gets to engage in audacious economic transactions. Is it reserved exclusively for the institutions we should be thanking for maintaining the pillars of our society? Maybe if a fund decides to take out an audacious short position, retail investors should be able to have an equal and opposite reaction to it.
The suppression from trading platforms and the asymmetric response here is only supporting the cause of the movement, and not helping with getting us closer to "thanking" the funds.
The asymmetry is who loses, and unlike the hedge funds with dreadful risk management, most of the retail traders piling in this week won't have mansions and yachts to go back to after their bad bet turns sour.
- Does this advice apply to foreign currencies?
- Does this advice apply to local currencies?
See the contradiction? You're always invested.
Also, I'm concerned that the earth could get hit with a rogue planet.
I can't wrap my head around this argument at all. Why can't you trust your dad about his stock purchases? Yes, someone like your dad can buy a stock easily. They can also lose all their money at a casino or buy a lottery ticket easily. They can spend all their money on gadgets or fancy clothes. They can drink too much alcohol, or gain too much weight. Life comes with risks.
To the extent that a behavior will harm innocent bystanders, then I am fine with making various things illegal, I'm not an anarchist or hard core libertarian or anything. But I don't see how letting someone buy shares of a stock falls into that category of things that could harm innocent bystanders.
It's not the stock purchases in themselves. It's the degree to which certain stocks are hyped, largely by misinformation and traditional bubble mechanics, that's particularly insidious here. There's a reason why pump-and-dump schemes are traditionally regulated by securities laws.
I suppose it's a fine line, but to me this seems much more loosely coordinated. I don't think there's been any particular time to sell that has been agreed on, and all the communication is out in a public forum. And the demand for the stock is all based around public knowledge that it was shorted 140% of its market cap. It seems like the difference between insider trading vs if information leaks to the public about a company's plans in which case it's completely legal to trade based on.
It's crappy all around, but the ball was in their court for giving so many people the ability to trade on the margin.
the best way to protect this theoretical "bunch of teenagers" would be to block their purchases, but allow buys that are cash in hand.
they did't: they banned all buy orders.
that tells you everything you need to know.
No it wasn't. It was a reputation management decision and a bad one.
Uh huh...
Nobody is buying GME long at $400. The price is crazy. GameStop's business is selling used hard copies and leaning into customer dissatisfaction.
It's a clear bubble and people are going to be hurt when it pops. There should be some consumer protections, IMHO, because a bunch of people are amping up a price for lulz and hopes of timing things right, but not everyone can win that pyramid scheme.
What am I missing that is leading to the rage I'm seeing?
People get into credit card debt and eventual bankruptcy buying any number of luxury items. Should we require credit reports before you can buy Gucci or expensive wine?
People lose their houses in Las Vegas.
If we want to protect people, then I don't think it's fair to single out the stock market as the only place we do that.
I bought a single share near $400 for the memes, so I wouldn't say "nobody".
Some retail investors will likely lose, sure, but the biggest losers will be the shorts, and retail/longs will win as a whole. That's why people are mad, with Robinhood's manipulation they are setting it up so only the shorts win and almost no remaining retail.
You bought at $400 and expect that to be a good investment?
How will the longs that bought above arbitrary number $20 benefit in the long term?
People are tired of it. Gamestop is a form of protest. Robinhood did the worst thing they could by messing with it. They sided with Wall Street against the little guy. It shows how rigged the system is. Apparently the little guy can't exploit a bad trade by the rich, it can only go the other way around. So now Robinhood is on the other side of this, and I hope they go under from it.
The (maybe a bit of a conspiracy) theory is they shorted more knowing that Robinhood and other brokers would limit buying today.
Regulation coming for all sides soon.
Or actually, "outsources" is a misnomer because Citadel pays them for the orders, so they can make money front-running them. That's why Robinhood trades are "free" for their retail users. You don't pay a fee but you get a slightly worse price.
Citadel also, fwiw, just loaned $2.5B to a fund with a lot of short exposure to GME.
This seems coordinated tbqh.